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Working Papers on Pandemic-Related Research, by Topic
- Asset Markets and COVID-19
Asset Markets and COVID-19
Capital Flows in Risky Times: Risk-on/Risk-off and Emerging Market Tail Risk
Anusha Chari, Karlye Dilts Stedman, Christian Lundblad Emerging Markets Sovereign Spreads and Country-Specific Fundamentals During COVID-19
Timo Daehler, Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak Renegotiation in Debt Chains
Vincent Glode, Christian Opp Firm-Level Risk Exposures and Stock Returns in the Wake of COVID-19
Steven J. Davis, Stephen Hansen, Cristhian Seminario-Amez Retail Raw: Wisdom of the Robinhood Crowd and the Covid Crisis
Ivo Welch Pandemics, Vaccines and Corporate Earnings
Harrison Hong, Jeffrey Kubik, Neng Wang, Xiao Xu, Jinqiang Yang The Fed Takes on Corporate Credit Risk: An Analysis of the Efficacy of the SMCCF
Simon Gilchrist, Bin Wei, Vivian Z. Yue, Egon Zakrajšek What Explains the COVID-19 Stock Market?
Josue Cox, Daniel L. Greenwald, Sydney C. Ludvigson Monetary Policy and Asset Price Overshooting: A Rationale for the Wall/Main Street Disconnect
Ricardo J. Caballero, Alp Simsek Financial Fragility in the COVID-19 Crisis: The Case of Investment Funds in Corporate Bond Markets
Antonio Falato, Itay Goldstein, Ali Hortaçsu Mutual Fund Performance and Flows During the COVID-19 Crisis
Lubos Pastor, M. Blair Vorsatz Pandemic Shocks and Fiscal-Monetary Policies in the Eurozone: COVID-19 Dominance During January - June 2020
Yothin Jinjarak, Rashad Ahmed, Sameer Nair-Desai, Weining Xin, Joshua Aizenman Portfolio Delegation and 401(k) Plan Participant Responses to COVID-19
David Blanchett, Michael S. Finke, Jonathan Reuter Treasury Inconvenience Yields during the COVID-19 Crisis
Zhiguo He, Stefan Nagel, Zhaogang Song Coronavirus: Impact on Stock Prices and Growth Expectations
Niels J. Gormsen, Ralph S. J. Koijen Corporate Bond Liquidity During the COVID-19 Crisis
Mahyar Kargar, Benjamin Lester, David Lindsay, Shuo Liu, Pierre-Olivier Weill, Diego Zúñiga An Event Study of COVID-19 Central Bank Quantitative Easing in Advanced and Emerging Economies
Jonathan S. Hartley, Alessandro Rebucci Inside the Mind of a Stock Market Crash
Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel, Stephen Utkus Banks as Lenders of First Resort: Evidence from the COVID-19 Crisis
Lei Li, Philip E. Strahan, Song Zhang When Selling Becomes Viral: Disruptions in Debt Markets in the COVID-19 Crisis and the Fed’s Response
Valentin Haddad, Alan Moreira, Tyler Muir Earnings Expectations in the COVID Crisis
Augustin Landier, David Thesmar A Model of Asset Price Spirals and Aggregate Demand Amplification of a "Covid-19" Shock Ricardo J. Caballero, Alp Simsek (NBER Working Paper 27044) Aggregate and Firm-Level Stock Returns During Pandemics, in Real Time
Laura Alfaro, Anusha Chari, Andrew N. Greenland, Peter K. Schott The Unprecedented Stock Market Impact of COVID-19
Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Kyle J. Kost, Marco C. Sammon, Tasaneeya Viratyosin Effects of COVID-19 on Households and Firms
How Did Depositors Respond to COVID-19?
Ross Levine, Chen Lin, Mingzhu Tai, Wensi Xie Bank Liquidity Provision Across the Firm Size Distribution
Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, Olivier Darmouni, Stephan Luck, Matthew C. Plosser Powering Work from Home
Steve Cicala Did COVID-19 Market Disruptions Disrupt Food Security? Evidence from Households in Rural Liberia and Malawi
Shilpa Aggarwal, Dahyeon Jeong, Naresh Kumar, David Sungho Park, Jonathan Robinson, Alan Spearot Covid-19 and the U.S. Safety Net
Robert A. Moffitt, James P. Ziliak Flight to Safety: How Economic Downturns Affect Talent Flows to Startups
Shai Bernstein, Richard R. Townsend, Ting Xu Private Equity and COVID-19
Paul A. Gompers, Steven N. Kaplan, Vladimir Mukharlyamov COVID-19 and SME Failures
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan, Veronika Penciakova, Nick Sander Modeling the Consumption Response to the CARES Act
Christopher D. Carroll, Edmund Crawley, Jiri Slacalek, Matthew N. White The Effects of COVID-19 on U.S. Small Businesses: Evidence from Owners, Managers, and Employees
Georgij Alekseev, Safaa Amer, Manasa Gopal, Theresa Kuchler, JW Schneider, Johannes Stroebel, Nils C. Wernerfelt Venture Capitalists and COVID-19
Paul Gompers, Will Gornall, Steven N. Kaplan, Ilya A. Strebulaev The Social Safety Net in the Wake of COVID-19
Marianne Bitler, Hilary W. Hoynes, Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach Income and Poverty in the COVID-19 Pandemic
Jeehoon Han, Bruce D. Meyer, James X. Sullivan On Socializing and Social Distancing in Markets: Implications for Retail Prices, Store-level Consumer Density, and Disease Transmission
Ricardo Lagos Measuring Customer Churn and Interconnectedness
Scott R. Baker, Brian Baugh, Marco C. Sammon COVID-19 and Crime: Effects of Stay-at-Home Orders on Domestic Violence
Lindsey Rose Bullinger, Jillian B. Carr, Analisa Packham How Did U.S. Consumers Use Their Stimulus Payments?
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Michael Weber Does FinTech Substitute for Banks? Evidence from the Paycheck Protection Program
Isil Erel, Jack Liebersohn Learning from Deregulation: The Asymmetric Impact of Lockdown and Reopening on Risky Behavior During COVID-19
Edward L. Glaeser, Ginger Zhe Jin, Benjamin T. Leyden, Michael Luca Norwegian and US Policies Alleviate Business Vulnerability Due to the Covid-19 Shock Equally Well
Annette Alstadsæter, Julie Brun Bjørkheim, Wojciech Kopczuk, Andreas Økland The Effect of Fiscal Stimulus: Evidence from COVID-19
Miguel Garza Casado, Britta Glennon, Julia Lane, David McQuown, Daniel Rich, Bruce A. Weinberg Small Business Survival Capabilities and Policy Effectiveness: Evidence from Oakland
Robert P. Bartlett III, Adair Morse Information Frictions and Access to the Paycheck Protection Program
Christopher Neilson, John Eric. Humphries, Gabriel Ulyssea The Targeting and Impact of Paycheck Protection Program Loans to Small Businesses
Alexander W. Bartik, Zoe B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, Christopher T. Stanton, Adi Sunderam Effects of State COVID-19 Closure Policy on NON-COVID-19 Health Care Utilization
Engy Ziedan, Kosali I. Simon, Coady Wing The Risk of Being a Fallen Angel and the Corporate Dash for Cash in the Midst of COVID
Viral V. Acharya, Sascha Steffen Unintended Consequences of Lockdowns: COVID-19 and the Shadow Pandemic
Saravana Ravindran, Manisha Shah Inequality in Household Adaptation to Schooling Shocks: Covid-Induced Online Learning Engagement in Real Time
Andrew Bacher-Hicks, Joshua Goodman, Christine Mulhern Older People are Less Pessimistic about the Health Risks of Covid-19
Pedro Bordalo, Katherine B. Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli, Andrei Shleifer The Impact of COVID-19 on Small Business Owners: Continued Losses and the Partial Rebound in May 2020
Robert W. Fairlie COVID-19 and the Demand for Online Food Shopping Services: Empirical Evidence from Taiwan
Hung-Hao Chang, Chad Meyerhoefer Does Policy Communication During Covid Work?
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Michael Weber Business Re-Opening During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Dylan Balla-Elliott, Zoë B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, Christopher T. Stanton Inflation with Covid Consumption Baskets
Alberto Cavallo The Impact of Covid-19 on Small Business Owners: Evidence of Early-Stage Losses from the April 2020 Current Population Survey
Robert W. Fairlie COVID-19 Doesn't Need Lockdowns to Destroy Jobs: The Effect of Local Outbreaks in Korea
Sangmin Aum, Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee, Yongseok Shin Building Better Retirement Systems in the Wake of the Global Pandemic
Olivia S. Mitchell The Impacts of COVID-19 on Minority Unemployment: First Evidence from April 2020 CPS Microdata
Robert W. Fairlie, Kenneth Couch, Huanan Xu Global Supply Chains in the Pandemic
Barthélémy Bonadio, Zhen Huo, Andrei A. Levchenko, Nitya Pandalai-Nayar Can the Covid Bailouts Save the Economy?
Vadim Elenev, Tim Landvoigt, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Outpatient Providers in the US
Pinka Chatterji, Yue Li The Cost of the Covid-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Michael Weber COVID-19 Is Also a Reallocation Shock
Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis How Valuable is Financial Flexibility when Revenue Stops? Evidence from the COVID-19 Crisis
Rüdiger Fahlenbrach, Kevin Rageth, René M. Stulz Income, Liquidity, and the Consumption Response to the 2020 Economic Stimulus Payments
Scott R. Baker, R. A. Farrokhnia, Steffen Meyer, Michaela Pagel, Constantine Yannelis Corporate Immunity to the COVID-19 Pandemic
Wenzhi Ding, Ross Levine, Chen Lin, Wensi Xie Macroeconomic Dynamics and Reallocation in an Epidemic
Dirk Krueger, Harald Uhlig, Taojun Xie How Are Small Businesses Adjusting to COVID-19? Early Evidence from a Survey
Alexander W. Bartik, Marianne Bertrand, Zoë B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, Christopher T. Stanton Firm-level Exposure to Epidemic Diseases: Covid-19, SARS, and H1N1
Tarek Alexander Hassan, Stephan Hollander, Laurence van Lent, Ahmed Tahoun How Does Household Spending Respond to an Epidemic? Consumption During the 2020 COVID-19 Pandemic
Scott R. Baker, R.A. Farrokhnia, Steffen Meyer, Michaela Pagel, Consta, ntine Yannelis COVID-19 and Labor Markets
Temporary Unemployment and Labor Market Dynamics During the COVID-19 Recession
Jessica Gallant, Kory Kroft, Fabian Lange, Matthew J. Notowidigdo Unemployed With Jobs and Without Jobs
Robert E. Hall, Marianna Kudlyak Pandemics Through the Lens of Occupations
Anand Chopra, Michael B. Devereux, Amartya Lahiri Who's In and Who's Out under Workplace COVID Symptom Screening?
Krista J. Ruffini, Aaron Sojourner, Abigail K. Wozniak Who are the Essential and Frontline Workers?
Francine D. Blau, Josefine Koebe, Pamela A. Meyerhofer Remote Work and the Heterogeneous Impact of COVID-19 on Employment and Health
Manuela Angelucci, Marco Angrisani, Daniel M. Bennett, Arie Kapteyn, Simone G. Schaner Dynamic Trade-offs and Labor Supply Under the CARES Act
Corina Boar, Simon Mongey This Time It's Different: The Role of Women's Employment in a Pandemic Recession
Titan M. Alon, Matthias Doepke, Jane Olmstead-Rumsey, Michèle Tertilt Measuring the labor market at the onset of the COVID-19 crisis
Alexander W. Bartik, Marianne Bertrand, Feng Lin, Jesse Rothstein, Matt Unrath Collaborating During Coronavirus: The Impact of COVID-19 on the Nature of Work
Evan DeFilippis, Stephen Michael Impink, Madison Singell, Jeffrey T. Polzer, Raffaella Sadun Projecting Unemployment Durations: A Factor-Flows Simulation Approach With Application to the COVID-19 Recession
Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, John Coglianese COVID-19 and Implications for Automation
Alex W. Chernoff, Casey Warman Early Evidence on the Impact of COVID-19 and the Recession on Older Workers
Truc Thi Mai Bui, Patrick Button, Elyce G. Picciotti How Did COVID-19 and Stabilization Policies Affect Spending and Employment? A New Real-Time Economic Tracker Based on Private Sector Data
Raj Chetty, John N. Friedman, Nathaniel Hendren, Michael Stepner, The Opportunity Insights Team What Jobs are Being Done at Home During the Covid-19 Crisis? Evidence from Firm-Level Surveys
Alexander W. Bartik, Zoe B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, Christopher T. Stanton Back to Business and (Re)employing Workers? Labor Market Activity During State COVID-19 Reopenings
Wei Cheng, Patrick Carlin, Joanna Carroll, Sumedha Gupta, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Laura Montenovo, Thuy D. Nguyen, Ian M. Schmutte, Olga Scrivner, Kosali I. Simon, Bruce Weinberg, Coady Wing The Impact of COVID-19 on Student Experiences and Expectations: Evidence from a Survey
Esteban M. Aucejo, Jacob F. French, Maria Paola Ugalde Araya, Basit Zafar COVID-19 and Remote Work: An Early Look at US Data
Erik Brynjolfsson, John J. Horton, Adam Ozimek, Daniel Rock, Garima Sharma, Hong-Yi TuYe Working Remotely and the Supply-side Impact of Covid-19
Dimitris Papanikolaou, Lawrence D.W. Schmidt Short-run Effects of COVID-19 on U.S. Worker Transitions
Benjamin W. Cowan Effects of Social Distancing Policy on Labor Market Outcomes
Sumedha Gupta, Laura Montenovo, Thuy D. Nguyen, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Ian M. Schmutte, Kosali I. Simon, Bruce A. Weinberg, Coady Wing The Adverse Effect of the COVID-19 Labor Market Shock on Immigrant Employment
George J. Borjas, Hugh Cassidy US Unemployment Insurance Replacement Rates During the Pandemic
Peter Ganong, Pascal J. Noel, Joseph S. Vavra Corporate Hiring under COVID-19: Labor Market Concentration, Downskilling, and Income Inequality
Murillo Campello, Gaurav Kankanhalli, Pradeep Muthukrishnan The U.S. Labor Market during the Beginning of the Pandemic Recession
Tomaz Cajner, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, John Grigsby, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, Erik Hurst, Christopher Kurz, Ahu Yildirmaz Determinants of Disparities in Covid-19 Job Losses
Laura Montenovo, Xuan Jiang, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Ian M. Schmutte, Kosali I. Simon, Bruce A. Weinberg, Coady Wing The First Weeks of the Coronavirus Crisis: Who Got Hit, When and Why? Evidence from Norway
Annette Alstadsæter, Bernt Bratsberg, Gaute Eielsen, Wojciech Kopczuk, Simen Markussen, Oddbjorn Raaum, Knut Røed Is the Cure Worse than the Problem Itself? Immediate Labor Market Effects of COVID-19 Case Rates and School Closures in the U.S.
Felipe Lozano Rojas, Xuan Jiang, Laura Montenovo, Kosali I. Simon, Bruce A. Weinberg, Coady Wing Which Workers Bear the Burden of Social Distancing Policies?
Simon Mongey, Laura Pilossoph, Alex Weinberg Labor Demand in the Time of COVID-19: Evidence from Vacancy Postings and UI Claims
Lisa B. Kahn, Fabian Lange, David G. Wiczer Labor Markets During the COVID-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Michael Weber How Many Jobs Can be Done at Home?
Jonathan I. Dingel, Brent Neiman The Impact of COVID-19 on Gender Equality
Titan M. Alon, Matthias Doepke, Jane Olmstead-Rumsey, Michèle Tertilt Aggregate Macroeconomic Effects of COVID-19
Post COVID-19 Exit Strategies and Emerging Markets Economic Challenges
Joshua Aizenman, Hiro Ito Monetary Policy Cooperation/Coordination and Global Financial Crises in Historical Perspective
Michael D. Bordo A Counterfactual Economic Analysis of Covid-19 Using a Threshold Augmented Multi-Country Model
Alexander Chudik, Kamiar Mohaddes, M. Hashem Pesaran, Medhi Raissi, Alessandro Rebucci The Great Lockdown and the Big Stimulus: Tracing the Pandemic Possibility Frontier for the US
Greg Kaplan, Benjamin Moll, Giovanni L. Violante Effective Demand Failures and the Limits of Monetary Stabilization Policy
Michael Woodford Modern Infectious Diseases: Macroeconomic Impacts and Policy Responses
David E. Bloom, Michael Kuhn, Klaus Prettner Optimal Management of a Pandemic in the Short Run and the Long Run
Andrew B. Abel, Stavros Panageas Pandemic Control in ECON-EPI Networks
Marina Azzimonti, Fabrizio Perri, Alessandra Fogli, Mark Ponder The International Aspects of Macroprudential Policy
Kristin J. Forbes Real-Time Real Economic Activity: Exiting the Great Recession and Entering the Pandemic Recession
Robert W. Fairlie The Determinants of Fiscal and Monetary Policies During the Covid-19 Crisis
Efraim Benmelech, Nitzan Tzur-Ilan Fear, Lockdown, and Diversion: Comparing Drivers of Pandemic Economic Decline 2020
Austan Goolsbee, Chad Syverson Epidemics in the Neoclassical and New Keynesian Models
Martin S. Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo, Mathias Trabandt Economic Uncertainty Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic David Altig, Scott R. Baker, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Scarlet Chen, Steven J. Davis, Julia Leather, Brent H. Meyer, Emil Mihaylov, Paul Mizen, Nicholas B. Parker, Thomas Renault, Pawel Smietanka, Greg Thwaites Socioeconomic Network Heterogeneity and Pandemic Policy Response
Mohammad Akbarpour, Cody Cook, Aude Marzuoli, Simon Mongey, Abhishek Nagaraj, Matteo Saccarola, Pietro Tebaldi, Shoshana Vasserman, Hanbin Yang Fiscal Policy and COVID19 Restrictions in a Demand-Determined Economy
Alan J. Auerbach, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Daniel Murphy EMEs and COVID-19: Shutting Down in a World of Informal and Tiny Firms
Laura Alfaro, Oscar Becerra, Marcela Eslava Trading Off Consumption and COVID-19 Deaths
Robert E. Hall, Charles I. Jones, Peter J. Klenow Wall Street vs. Main Street QE
Eric R. Sims, Jing Cynthia Wu Nonlinear Production Networks with an Application to the Covid-19 Crisis
David Baqaee, Emmanuel Farhi Deadly Debt Crises: COVID-19 in Emerging Markets
Cristina Arellano, Yan Bai, Gabriel P. Mihalache How Should Policy Responses to the COVID-19 Pandemic Differ in the Developing World?
Titan M. Alon, Minki Kim, David Lagakos, Mitchell VanVuren Reopening Scenarios
David Baqaee, Emmanuel Farhi, Michael J. Mina, James H. Stock The Hammer and the Scalpel: On the Economics of Indiscriminate versus Targeted Isolation Policies during Pandemics
Varadarajan V. Chari, Rishabh Kirpalani, Christopher Phelan The Macroeconomics of a Pandemic: A Minimalist Model
Luis Cespedes, Roberto Chang, Andrés Velasco Supply and Demand in Disaggregated Keynesian Economies with an Application to the Covid-19 Crisis
David Baqaee, Emmanuel Farhi COVID-19 and the Welfare Effects of Reducing Contagion
Robert S. Pindyck Pandemic Recession: L or V-Shaped?
Victoria Gregory, Guido Menzio, David G. Wiczer A Multi-Risk SIR Model with Optimally Targeted Lockdown
Daron Acemoglu, Victor Chernozhukov, Iván Werning, Michael D. Whinston Inequality of Fear and Self-Quarantine: Is There a Trade-off between GDP and Public Health?
Sangmin Aum, Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee, Yongseok Shin Health vs. Wealth? Public Health Policies and the Economy During Covid-19
Zhixian Lin, Christopher M. Meissner Sequential Lifting of COVID-19 Interventions with Population Heterogeneity
Adriano A. Rampini Economic Activity and the Value of Medical Innovation during a Pandemic
Casey B. Mulligan Economic Policy Incentives to Preserve Lives and Livelihoods
Roberto Chang, Andrés Velasco Covid-19 Infection Externalities: Trading Off Lives vs. Livelihoods
Zachary A. Bethune, Anton Korinek Covid19 and the Macroeconomic Effects of Costly Disasters
Sydney C. Ludvigson, Serena Ng, Sai Ma COVID-Induced Economic Uncertainty
Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Stephen J. Terry A Simple Planning Problem for COVID-19 Lockdown
Fernando E. Alvarez, David Argente, Francesco Lippi U.S. Economic Activity During the Early Weeks of the SARS-Cov-2 Outbreak
Daniel Lewis, Karel Mertens, James H. Stock Longer-run Economic Consequences of Pandemics
Òscar Jordà, Sanjay R. Singh, Alan M. Taylor Macroeconomic Implications of COVID-19: Can Negative Supply Shocks Cause Demand Shortages?
Veronica Guerrieri, Guido Lorenzoni, Ludwig Straub, Iván Werning The Macroeconomics of Epidemics
Martin S. Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo, and Mathias Trabandt What Will Be the Economic Impact of COVID-19 in the US? Rough Estimates of Disease Scenarios
Andrew Atkeson Health, Mortality, and Pandemic Modeling for COVID-19
What Explains Temporal and Geographic Variation in the Early US Coronavirus Pandemic?
Hunt Allcott, Levi Boxell, Jacob C. Conway, Billy A. Ferguson, Matthew Gentzkow, Benny Goldman Discovering Treatment Effectiveness via Median Treatment Effects—Applications to COVID-19 Clinical Trials
John Mullahy A Cost/Benefit Analysis of Clinical Trial Designs for COVID-19 Vaccine Candidates
Donald A. Berry, Scott Berry, Peter Hale, Leah Isakov, Andrew W. Lo, Kien Wei Siah, Chi Heem Wong The Distribution of COVID-19 Related Risks
Patrick Baylis, Pierre-Loup Beauregard, Marie Connolly, Nicole Fortin, David A. Green, Pablo Gutierrez Cubillos, Samuel S. Gyetvay, Catherine Haeck, Timea Laura Molnar, Gaëlle Simard-Duplain, Henry E. Siu, Maria teNyenhuis, Casey Warman Globalization and Pandemics
Pol Antràs, Stephen J. Redding, Esteban Rossi-Hansberg The Contagion Externality of a Superspreading Event: The Sturgis Motorcycle Rally and COVID-19
Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Drew McNichols, Joseph J. Sabia Disease, Downturns, and Wellbeing: Economic History and the Long-Run Impacts of COVID-19
Vellore Arthi, John Parman Test Sensitivity for Infection versus Infectiousness of SARS-CoV-2
Joshua S. Gans Decoding India's Low Covid-19 Case Fatality rate
Minu Philip, Debraj Ray, S. Subramanian The Economic Consequences of R̂ = 1: Towards a Workable Behavioral Epidemiological Model of Pandemics
Joshua S. Gans Nursing Home Staff Networks and COVID-19
M. Keith Chen, Judith A. Chevalier, Elisa F. Long Assessing the Age Specificity of Infection Fatality Rates for COVID-19: Meta-Analysis & Public Policy Implications
Andrew T. Levin, Kensington B. Cochran, Seamus P. Walsh Racial and Ethnic Disparities in COVID-19: Evidence from Six Large Cities
Joseph A. Benitez, Charles J. Courtemanche, Aaron Yelowitz Learning Epidemiology by Doing: The Empirical Implications of a Spatial-SIR Model with Behavioral Responses
Alberto Bisin, Andrea Moro Identification and Estimation of Undetected COVID-19 Cases Using Testing Data from Iceland
Karl Aspelund, Michael C. Droste, James H. Stock, Christopher D. Walker Testing, Voluntary Social Distancing and the Spread of an Infection
Robert W. Fairlie Group Testing in a Pandemic: The Role of Frequent Testing, Correlated Risk, and Machine Learning
Ned Augenblick, Jonathan T. Kolstad, Ziad Obermeyer, Ao Wang Black Lives Matter Protests, Social Distancing, and COVID-19
Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Joseph J. Sabia, Samuel Safford Racial Disparity in COVID-19 Deaths: Seeking Economic Roots with Census Data
John McLaren What Does and Does Not Correlate with COVID-19 Death Rates
Christopher R. Knittel, Bora Ozaltun The Effectiveness of Life-Preserving Investments in Times of COVID-19
Jules H. van Binsbergen, Christian C. Opp Implications of Heterogeneous SIR Models for Analyses of COVID-19
Glenn Ellison Estimating and Forecasting Disease Scenarios for COVID-19 with an SIR Model
Andrew Atkeson, Karen Kopecky, Tao Zha Understanding Spatial Variation in COVID-19 across the United States
Klaus Desmet, Romain Wacziarg Disparities in Vulnerability to Severe Complications from COVID-19 in the United States
Emily E. Wiemers, Scott Abrahams, Marwa AlFakhri, V. Joseph Hotz, Robert Schoeni, Judith Seltzer Statistical Decision Properties of Imprecise Trials Assessing COVID-19 Drugs
Charles F. Manski, Aleksey Tetenov Epidemic Responses Under Uncertainty
Michael D. Barnett, Greg Buchak, Constantine Yannelis Panel Forecasts of Country-Level Covid-19 Infections
Laura Liu, Hyungsik Moon, Frank Schorfheide Implications of Stochastic Transmission Rates for Managing Covid-19 Risks
Harrison Hong, Neng Wang, Jinqiang Yang Can the World’s Poor Protect Themselves from the New Coronavirus
Caitlin S. Brown, Martin Ravallion, Dominique van de Walle Reopening Under COVID-19: What to Watch For
Jeffrey E. Harris Estimating and Simulating a SIRD Model of COVID-19 for Many Countries, States, and Cities
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, Charles I. Jones A Note on Long-Run Persistence of Public Health Outcomes in Pandemics
Peter Zhixian Lin, Christopher M. Meissner Demographic Perspectives on Mortality of Covid-19 and Other Epidemics
Joshua R. Goldstein, Ronald D. Lee Estimating the Fraction of Unreported Infections in Epidemics with a Known Epicenter: an Application to COVID-19
Ali Hortaçsu, Jiarui Liu, Timothy Schwieg Estimating the COVID-19 Infection Rate: Anatomy of an Inference Problem
Charles F. Manski, Francesca Molinari Policy Implications of Models of the Spread of Coronavirus: Perspectives and Opportunities for Economists
Christopher Avery, William Bossert, Adam Clark, Glenn Ellison, Sara Fisher Ellison The Geographic Spread of COVID-19 Correlates with Structure of Social Networks as Measured by Facebook
Theresa Kuchler, Dominic Russel, Johannes Stroebel How Deadly Is COVID-19? Understanding The Difficulties With Estimation Of Its Fatality Rate
Andrew Atkeson The Coronavirus Epidemic Curve is Already Flattening in New York City
Jeffrey E. Harris Social Distancing and Other Policy Responses
A Theory of Voluntary Testing and Self-isolation in an Ongoing Pandemic
Thomas F. Hellmann, Veikko Thiele Who Should Work from Home during a Pandemic? The Wage-Infection Trade-off
Sangmin Aum, Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee, Yongseok Shin Face Masks, Public Policies and Slowing the Spread of COVID-19: Evidence from Canada
Alexander Karaivanov, Shih En Lu, Hitoshi Shigeoka, Cong Chen, Stephanie Pamplona COVID-19 Changed Tastes for Safety-Net Programs
John D'Attoma, Amedeo Piolatto, Alex Rees-Jones, Luca Salvadori Rugged Individualism and Collective (In)action During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Samuel Bazzi, Martin Fiszbein, Mesay Gebresilasse Is the Cure Worse than the Disease? County-Level Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States
Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes, Neeraj Kaushal, Ashley N. Muchow Limitations on the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Forward Guidance in the Context of the COVID-19 Pandemic
Andrew T. Levin, Arunima Sinha Four Stylized Facts about COVID-19
Andrew Atkeson, Karen Kopecky, Tao Zha Social Learning along International Migrant Networks
Yuan Tian, Maria Esther Caballero, Brian K. Kovak Measuring Movement and Social Contact with Smartphone Data: A Real-Time Application to COVID-19
Victor Couture, Jonathan I. Dingel, Allison E. Green, Jessie Handbury, Kevin R. Williams Inequality and the Coronavirus: Socioeconomic Covariates of Behavioral Responses and Viral Outcomes Across US Counties
Caitlin S. Brown, Martin Ravallion Adaptive Control of COVID-19 Outbreaks in India: Local, Gradual, and Trigger-based Exit Paths from Lockdown
Anup Malani, Satej Soman, Sam Asher, Paul Novosad, Clement Imbert, Vaidehi Tandel, Anish Agarwal, Abdullah Alomar, Arnab Sarker, Devavrat Shah, Dennis Shen, Jonathan Gruber, Stuti Sachdeva, David Kaiser, Luis M.A. Bettencourt Private Precaution and Public Restrictions: What Drives Social Distancing and Industry Foot Traffic in the COVID-19 Era?
Christopher J. Cronin, William N. Evans Large Indoor Events, Offsetting Community Effects, and COVID-19: Evidence from President Trump’s Tulsa Rally
Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Drew McNichols, Connor Redpath, Joseph J. Sabia How Much does COVID-19 Increase with Mobility? Evidence from New York and Four Other U.S. Cities
Edward L. Glaeser, Caitlin S. Gorback, Stephen J. Redding Messages on COVID-19 Prevention in India Increased Symptoms Reporting and Adherence to Preventive Behaviors Among 25 Million Recipients with Similar Effects on Non-recipient Members of Their Communities
Abhijit Banerjee, Marcella Alsan, Emily Breza, Arun G. Chandrasekhar, Abhijit Chowdhury, Esther Duflo, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Benjamin A. Olken Optimal Lockdown in a Commuting Network
Pablo Fajgelbaum, Amit Khandelwal, Wookun Kim, Cristiano Mantovani, Edouard Schaal Misinformation During a Pandemic Leonardo Bursztyn, Aakaash Rao, Christopher P. Roth, David H. Yanagizawa-Drott Social Distancing and Social Capital: Why U.S. Counties Respond Differently to COVID-19
Wenzhi Ding, Ross Levine, Chen Lin, Wensi Xie Socio-Demographic Factors Associated with Self-Protecting Behavior during the Covid-19 Pandemic
Nicholas W. Papageorge, Matthew V. Zahn, Michèle Belot, Eline van den Broek-Altenburg, Syngjoo Choi, Julian C. Jamison, Egon Tripodi Did the Wisconsin Supreme Court Restart a COVID-19 Epidemic? Evidence from a Natural Experiment
Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Drew McNichols, Joseph J. Sabia Civic Capital and Social Distancing during the Covid-19 Pandemic
John M. Barrios, Efraim Benmelech, Yael V. Hochberg, Paola Sapienza, Luigi Zingales Heterogeneous Actions, Beliefs, Constraints and Risk Tolerance During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Ying Fan,A. Yeşim Orhun, Dana Turjeman India's Lockdown: An Interim Report
Debraj Ray, S. Subramanian Divided We Stay Home: Social Distancing and Ethnic Diversity
Georgy Egorov, Ruben Enikolopov, Alexey Makarin, Maria Petrova Fatalism, Beliefs, and Behaviors During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Jesper Akesson, Sam Ashworth-Hayes, Robert Hahn, Robert D. Metcalfe, Itzhak Rasooly The Persuasive Effect of Fox News: Non-Compliance with Social Distancing During the Covid-19 Pandemic
Andrey Simonov, Szymon K. Sacher, Jean-Pierre H. Dubé, Shirsho Biswas Mobility Zones Ferdinando Monte Impacts of State Reopening Policy on Human Mobility Thuy D. Nguyen, Sumedha Gupta, Martin Andersen, Ana Bento, Kosali I. Simon, Coady Wing Were Urban Cowboys Enough to Control COVID-19? Local Shelter-in-Place Orders and Coronavirus Case Growth
Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Joseph J. Sabia, The Cost of Privacy: Welfare Effect of the Disclosure of COVID-19 Cases
David O. Argente, Chang-Tai Hsieh, Munseob Lee Accounting for Global COVID-19 Diffusion Patterns, January-April 2020
Yothin Jinjarak, Rashad Ahmed, Sameer Nair-Desai, Weining Xin, Joshua Aizenman Paying It Backward and Forward: Expanding Access to Convalescent Plasma Therapy Through Market Design
Scott Duke Kominers, Parag A. Pathak, Tayfun Sönmez, M. Utku Ünver Effect of a Federal Paid Sick Leave Mandate on Working and Staying at Home: Evidence from Cellular Device Data
Martin Andersen, Johanna Catherine Maclean, Michael F. Pesko, Kosali I. Simon Covid-19, Shelter-In Place Strategies and Tipping
Zhihan Cui, Geoffrey Heal, Howard Kunreuther Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Times of Large Debt: Unity is Strength
Francesco Bianchi, Renato Faccini, Leonardo Melosi The Macroeconomics of Testing and Quarantining
Martin S. Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo, Mathias Trabandt Did the Paycheck Protection Program Hit the Target?
João Granja, Christos Makridis, Constantine Yannelis, Eric Zwick When Do Shelter-in-Place Orders Fight COVID-19 Best? Policy Heterogeneity Across States and Adoption Time
Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Joseph J. Sabia Pandemic Lockdown: The Role of Government Commitment
Christian A. Moser, Pierre Yared, Internal and External Effects of Social Distancing in a Pandemic
Maryam Farboodi, Gregor Jarosch, Robert Shimer Health versus Wealth: On the Distributional Effects of Controlling a Pandemic
Andrew Glover, Jonathan Heathcote, Dirk Krueger, José-Víctor Ríos-Rull Voluntary and Mandatory Social Distancing: Evidence on COVID-19 Exposure Rates from Chinese Provinces and Selected Countries
Alexander Chudik, M. Hashem Pesaran, Alessandro Rebucci Tracking Public and Private Response to the COVID-19 Epidemic: Evidence from State and Local Government Actions
Sumedha Gupta, Thuy D. Nguyen, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Shyam Raman, Byungkyu Lee, Ana Bento, Kosali I. Simon, Coady Wing Lock-downs, Loneliness and Life Satisfaction
Daniel S. Hamermesh Risk Perception Through the Lens of Politics in the Time of the COVID-19 Pandemic
John M. Barrios, Yael Hochberg Did California's Shelter-in-Place Order Work? Early Coronavirus-Related Public Health Benefits
Andrew I. Friedson, Drew McNichols, Joseph J. Sabia, Dhaval Dave Optimal Mitigation Policies in a Pandemic: Social Distancing and Working from Home
Callum J. Jones, Thomas Philippon, Venky Venkateswaran Social Distancing, Internet Access and Inequality
Lesley Chiou, Catherine Tucker Triage Protocol Design for Ventilator Rationing in a Pandemic: Integrating Multiple Ethical Values through Reserves
Parag A. Pathak, Tayfun Sönmez, M. Utku Unver, M. Bumin Yenmez Polarization and Public Health: Partisan Differences in Social Distancing during COVID-19
Hunt Allcott, Levi Boxell, Jacob C. Conway, Matthew Gentzkow, Michael Thaler, David Y. Yang Compliance with COVID-19 Social-Distancing Measures in Italy: The Role of Expectations and Duration
Guglielmo Briscese, Nicola Lacetera, Mario Macis, and Mirco Tonin Human Mobility Restrictions and the Spread of the Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China
Hanming Fang, Long Wang, and Yang Yang Data Gaps and the Policy Response to the Novel Coronavirus
James H. Stock An SEIR Infectious Disease Model with Testing and Conditional Quarantine
David W. Berger, Kyle F. Herkenhoff, and Simon Mongey Other Aspects of COVID-19
Civil Liberties in Times of Crisis
Joshua Aizenman, Hiro Ito Do Black and Indigenous Communities Receive their Fair Share of Vaccines Under the 2018 CDC Guidelines?
Parag A. Pathak, Harald Schmidt, Adam Solomon, Edwin Song, Tayfun Sönmez, M. Utku Ünver Clean Air as an Experience Good in Urban China
Matthew E. Kahn, Weizeng Sun, Siqi Zheng The Long-Term Distributional and Welfare Effects of Covid-19 School Closures
Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln, Dirk Krueger, Alexander Ludwig, Irina Popova Who Profits From Amateurism? Rent-Sharing in Modern College Sports
Craig Garthwaite, Jordan Keener, Matthew J. Notowidigdo, Nicole F. Ozminkowski Effects of State COVID-19 Closure Policy on NON-COVID-19 Health Care Utilization
Engy Ziedan, Kosali I. Simon, Coady Wing COVID-19 Prevention and Air Pollution in the Absence of a Lockdown
Hung-Hao Chang, Chad Meyerhoefer, Feng-An Yang Federal Aid to School Districts During the COVID-19 Recession
Nora E. Gordon, Sarah J. Reber Natural Disasters and Elective Medical Services: How Big is the Bounce-Back
Tatyana Deryugina, Jonathan Gruber, Adrienne Sabety Electoral Concerns Reduce Restrictive Measures During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Massimo Pulejo, Pablo Querubín Scarring Body and Mind: The Long-Term Belief-Scarring Effects of COVID-19
Julian Kozlowski, Laura Veldkamp, Venky Venkateswaran Implications of the Covid-19 Pandemic for State Government Tax Revenues
Jeffrey Clemens, Stan Veuger The Political Scar of Epidemics
Cevat Giray Aksoy, Barry Eichengreen, Orkun Saka Gender Differences in COVID-19 Related Attitudes and Behavior: Evidence from a Panel Survey in Eight OECD Countries
Vincenzo Galasso, Vincent Pons, Paola Profeta, Michael Becher, Sylvain Brouard, Martial Foucault DEglobalizaion and Social Safety Nets in Post-Covid-19 Era: Textbook Macroeconomic Analysis
Assaf Razin, Efraim Sadka, Alexander Horst Schwemmer Bounding the Predictive Values of COVID-19 Antibody Tests
Charles F. Manski Financing Vaccines for Global Health Security
Jonathan T. Vu, Benjamin K. Kaplan, Shomesh Chaudhuri, Monique K. Mansoura, Andrew W. Lo The Relationship between In-Person Voting, Consolidated Polling Locations, and Absentee Voting on Covid-19: Evidence from the Wisconsin Primary
Chad D. Cotti, Bryan Engelhardt, Joshua Foster, Erik T. Nesson, Paul S. Niekamp Estimating Probabilities of Success of Vaccine and Other Anti-Infective Therapeutic Development Programs
Andrew W. Lo, Kien Wei Siah, Chi Heem Wong Bayesian Adaptive Clinical Trials for Anti-Infective Therapeutics during Epidemic Outbreaks
Qingyang Xu, Shomesh Chaudhuri, Danying Xiao, Andrew W. Lo Measuring Real Consumption and CPI Bias under Lockdown Conditions
W. Erwin Diewert, Kevin J. Fox Expected Health Effects of Reduced Air Pollution from COVID-19 Social Distancing
Steve Cicala, Stephen P. Holland, Erin T. Mansur, Nicholas Z. Muller, Andrew J. Yates Social Interactions in Pandemics: Fear, Altruism, and Reciprocity
Laura Alfaro, Ester Faia, Nora Lamersdorf, Farzad Saidi Did COVID-19 Improve Air Quality Near Hubei?
Douglas Almond, Xinming Du, Shuang Zhang Global Behaviors and Perceptions at the Onset of the COVID-19 Pandemic
Thiemo R. Fetzer, Marc Witte, Lukas Hensel, Jon Jachimowicz, Johannes Haushofer, Andriy Ivchenko, Stefano Caria, Elena Reutskaja, Christopher P. Roth, Stefano Fiorin, Margarita Gómez, Gordon Kraft-Todd, Friedrich M. Götz, Erez Yoeli Which Retail Outlets Generate the Most Physical Interactions?
Avi Goldfarb, Catherine Tucker The Subways Seeded the Massive Coronavirus Epidemic in New York City
Jeffrey E. Harris Covid-19: Testing Inequality in New York City
Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé, Ken Teoh, Martín Uribe
Demographic Determinants of Testing Incidence and COVID-19 Infections in New York City Neighborhoods
George J. Borjas 1918 Spanish Flu and Other Pandemics
The 1918 Influenza Pandemic and its Lessons for COVID-19
Brian Beach, Karen Clay, Martin H. Saavedra Business in a Time of Spanish Influenza
Howard Bodenhorn The Value of Health Insurance during a Crisis: Effects of Medicaid Implementation on Pandemic Influenza Mortality
Karen Clay, Joshua A. Lewis, Edson R. Severnini, Xiao Wang Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions and Mortality in U.S. Cities during the Great Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919
Robert J. Barro The Brazilian Bombshell? The Long-Term Impact of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic the South American Way
Amanda Guimbeau, Nidhiya Menon, Aldo Musacchio The Coronavirus and the Great Influenza Pandemic: Lessons from the "Spanish Flu" for the Coronavirus's Potential Effects on Mortality and Economic Activity
Robert J. Barro, José F. Ursúa, and Joanna Weng Selected Pre-2020 Papers of Related InterestFetal Shock or Selection? The 1918 Influenza Pandemic and Human Capital Development
Brian Beach, Joseph P. Ferrie, and Martin H. Saavedra Sunlight and Protection Against Influenza
David Slusky and Richard J. Zeckhauser Was The First Public Health Campaign Successful? The Tuberculosis Movement and Its Effect on Mortality
D. Mark Anderson, Kerwin Kofi Charles, Claudio Las Heras Olivares, Daniel I. Rees The Inclusive Cost of Pandemic Influenza Risk
Victoria Y. Fan, Dean T. Jamison, and Lawrence H. Summers Pollution, Infectious Disease, and Mortality: Evidence from the 1918 Spanish Influenza Pandemic
Karen Clay, Joshua Lewis, and Edson Severnini Policy Response to Pandemic Influenza: The Value of Collective Action
Georgiy Bobashev, Maureen L. Cropper, Joshua M. Epstein, D. Michael Goedecke, Stephen Hutton, and Mead Over The Effects of Employment on Influenza Rates
Sara Markowitz, Erik Nesson, and Joshua Robinson Public Avoidance and the Epidemiology of novel H1N1 Influenza A
Byung-Kwang Yoo, Megumi Kasajima, and Jay Bhattacharya |
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