Papers Issued in 2020

• w28304 December 2020 The Long-Term Impact of the COVID-19 Unemployment Shock on Life Expectancy and Mortality Rates
  Francesco Bianchi, Giada Bianchi, and Dongho Song
• w28296 December 2020 Political Parties as Drivers of U.S. Polarization: 1927-2018
  Nathan J. Canen, Chad Kendall, and Francesco Trebbi
• w28290 December 2020 Advanced Technologies Adoption and Use by U.S. Firms: Evidence from the Annual Business Survey
  Nikolas Zolas, Zachary Kroff, Erik Brynjolfsson, Kristina McElheran, David N. Beede, Cathy Buffington, Nathan Goldschlag, Lucia Foster, and Emin Dinlersoz
• w28291 December 2020 Scarred but Wiser: World War 2’s COVID Legacy
  Michael Lokshin, Vladimir Kolchin, and Martin Ravallion
• w28292 December 2020 Sovereign Debt Standstills
  Juan C. Hatchondo, Leonardo Martinez, and César Sosa-Padilla
• w28293 December 2020 Comparing Conventional and Machine-Learning Approaches to Risk Assessment in Domestic Abuse Cases
  Jeffrey Grogger, Sean Gupta, Ria Ivandic, and Tom Kirchmaier
• w28294 December 2020 Wage Risk and Government and Spousal Insurance
  Mariacristina De Nardi, Giulio Fella, and Gonzalo Paz-Pardo
• w28295 December 2020 Family Support in Hard Times: Dynamics of Intergenerational Exchange after Adverse Events
  Jessamyn Schaller and Chase S. Eck
• w28297 December 2020 History’s Masters: The Effect of European Monarchs on State Performance
  Sebastian Ottinger and Nico Voigtländer
• w28298 December 2020 Dynamic Banking and the Value of Deposits
  Patrick Bolton, Ye Li, Neng Wang, and Jinqiang Yang
• w28299 December 2020 Market Structure and Extortion:Evidence from 50,000 Extortion Payments
  Zach Y. Brown, Eduardo Montero, Carlos Schmidt-Padilla, and Maria Micaela Sviatschi
• w28300 December 2020 Parallel Digital Currencies and Sticky Prices
  Harald Uhlig and Taojun Xie
• w28308 December 2020 Self-image Bias and Lost Talent
  Marciano Siniscalchi and Pietro Veronesi
• w28301 December 2020 Borders within Europe
  Marta A. Santamaría, Jaume Ventura, and Uğur Yeşilbayraktar
• w28302 December 2020 Answering the Queen: Machine Learning and Financial Crises
  Jeremy Fouliard, Michael Howell, and Hélène Rey
• w28311 December 2020 Trauma at School: The Impacts of Shootings on Students' Human Capital and Economic Outcomes
  Marika Cabral, Bokyung Kim, Maya Rossin-Slater, Molly Schnell, and Hannes Schwandt
• w28303 December 2020 Deaths of Despair and the Incidence of Excess Mortality in 2020
  Casey B. Mulligan
• w28305 December 2020 Vertical Integration of Healthcare Providers Increases Self-Referrals and Can Reduce Downstream Competition: The Case of Hospital-Owned Skilled Nursing Facilities
  David M. Cutler, Leemore Dafny, David C. Grabowski, Steven Lee, and Christopher Ody
• w28307 December 2020 Exposure to a School Shooting and Subsequent Well-Being
  Phillip B. Levine and Robin McKnight
• w28309 December 2020 Cities, Productivity, and Trade
  Alvaro Garcia Marin, Andrei V. Potlogea, Nico Voigtländer, and Yang Yang
• w28306 December 2020 Event-day Options
  Jonathan H. Wright
• w28310 December 2020 Measuring Unemployment in Crisis: Effects of COVID-19 on Potential Biases in the CPS
  Ori Heffetz and Daniel Reeves
• w28312 December 2020 A Grant to Every Citizen: Survey Evidence of the Impact of a Direct Government Payment in Israel
  Naomi Feldman and Ori Heffetz
• w28313 December 2020 Who Will Fill China's Shoes? The Global Evolution of Labor-Intensive Manufacturing
  Gordon H. Hanson
• w28241 December 2020 Simple and Credible Value-Added Estimation Using Centralized School Assignment
  Joshua Angrist, Peter Hull, Parag A. Pathak, and Christopher R. Walters
• w28253 December 2020 Tracking Biased Weights: Asset Pricing Implications of Value-Weighted Indexing
  Hao Jiang, Dimitri Vayanos, and Lu Zheng
• w28254 December 2020 Optimal Default Options: The Case for Opt-Out Minimization
  B. Douglas Bernheim and Jonas Mueller Gastell
• w28255 December 2020 A National Study of School Spending and House Prices
  Patrick Bayer, Peter Q. Blair, and Kenneth Whaley
• w28256 December 2020 Public and Private Options in Practice: The Military Health System
  Michael D. Frakes, Jonathan Gruber, and Timothy Justicz
• w28257 December 2020 AI and Jobs: Evidence from Online Vacancies
  Daron Acemoglu, David Autor, Jonathon Hazell, and Pascual Restrepo
• w28258 December 2020 Aggregate-Demand Amplification of Supply Disruptions: The Entry-Exit Multiplier
  Florin O. Bilbiie and Marc J. Melitz
• w28259 December 2020 Business-Level Expectations and Uncertainty
  Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Lucia Foster, Brian Lucking, Scott Ohlmacher, and Itay Saporta-Eksten
• w28260 December 2020 Pricing Currency Risks
  Mikhail Chernov, Magnus Dahlquist, and Lars A. Lochstoer
• w28261 December 2020 Self-Fulfilling Prophecies, Quasi Non-Ergodicity & Wealth Inequality
  Roger Farmer and Jean-Philippe Bouchaud
• w28262 December 2020 Consumer Protection for Financial Inclusion in Low and Middle Income Countries: Bridging Regulator and Academic Perspectives
  Seth Garz, Xavier Giné, Dean Karlan, Rafe Mazer, Caitlin Sanford, and Jonathan Zinman
• w28263 December 2020 International Trade and Earnings Inequality: A New Factor Content Approach
  Rodrigo Adão, Paul Carrillo, Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson, and Dina Pomeranz
• w28264 December 2020 When the Great Equalizer Shuts Down: Schools, Peers, and Parents in Pandemic Times
  Francesco Agostinelli, Matthias Doepke, Giuseppe Sorrenti, and Fabrizio Zilibotti
• w28265 December 2020 What Were the Odds? Estimating the Market's Probability of Uncertain Events
  Ashley Langer and Derek Lemoine
• w28266 December 2020 Supply-Side Variation in the Use of Emergency Departments
  Dan Zeltzer, Liran Einav, Avichai Chasid, and Ran D. Balicer
• w28267 December 2020 Information, Preferences, and Household Demand for School Value Added
  Robert Ainsworth, Rajeev Dehejia, Cristian Pop-Eleches, and Miguel Urquiola
• w28283 December 2020 The Social Side of Early Human Capital Formation: Using a Field Experiment to Estimate the Causal Impact of Neighborhoods
  John A. List, Fatemeh Momeni, and Yves Zenou
• w28268 December 2020 Prep School for Poor Kids: The Long-Run Impacts of Head Start on Human Capital and Economic Self-Sufficiency
  Martha J. Bailey, Brenden D. Timpe, and Shuqiao Sun
• w28269 December 2020 Do Employees Benefit from Worker Representation on Corporate Boards?
  Christine Blandhol, Magne Mogstad, Peter Nilsson, and Ola L. Vestad
• w28270 December 2020 Religion and Educational Mobility in Africa
  Alberto Alesina, Sebastian Hohmann, Stelios Michalopoulos, and Elias Papaioannou
• w28271 December 2020 Gentrification and Neighborhood Change: Evidence from Yelp
  Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, and Erica Moszkowski
• w28272 December 2020 Dynamic Price Competition, Learning-By-Doing and Strategic Buyers
  Andrew Sweeting, Dun Jia, Shen Hui, and Xinlu Yao
• w28273 December 2020 Identifying the Latent Space Geometry of Network Models through Analysis of Curvature
  Shane Lubold, Arun G. Chandrasekhar, and Tyler H. McCormick
• w28284 December 2020 Self-Fulfilling Risk Panics: An Expected Utility Framework
  Jess Benhabib, Xuewen Liu, and Pengfei Wang
• w28274 December 2020 Specialization, Market Access and Real Income
  Dominick Bartelme, Ting Lan, and Andrei A. Levchenko
• w28275 December 2020 Effects of Reduced Workplace Presence on COVID-19 Deaths: An Instrumental-Variables Approach.
  John McLaren and Su Wang
• w28276 December 2020 Informal Central Bank Communication
  Annette Vissing-Jorgensen
• w28278 December 2020 Latent Exports: Almost Ideal Gravity and Zeros
  James E. Anderson and Penglong Zhang
• w28277 December 2020 Pound for Pound Export Diversification
  James E. Anderson and Yoto V. Yotov
• w28279 December 2020 Why Does the U.S. Have the Best Research Universities? Incentives, Resources, and Virtuous Circles
  W. Bentley MacLeod and Miguel Urquiola
• w28280 December 2020 Uniform Admissions, Unequal Access: Did the Top 10% Plan Increase Access to Selective Flagship Institutions?
  Kalena Cortes and Daniel Klasik
• w28281 December 2020 Macroeconomic Expectations and Credit Card Spending
  Misha Galashin, Martin Kanz, and Ricardo Perez-Truglia
• w28285 December 2020 Digital Capital and Superstar Firms
  Prasanna Tambe, Lorin Hitt, Daniel Rock, and Erik Brynjolfsson
• w28282 December 2020 Integrated Epi-Econ Assessment
  Timo Boppart, Karl Harmenberg, John Hassler, Per Krusell, and Jonna Olsson
• w28286 December 2020 Who Supplies PPP Loans (And Does it Matter)? Banks, Relationships and the COVID Crisis
  Lei Li and Philip Strahan
• w28287 December 2020 Infrastructure and Urban Form
  Edward L. Glaeser
• w28288 December 2020 Detecting Drivers of Behavior at an Early Age: Evidence from a Longitudinal Field Experiment
  Marco Castillo, John A. List, Ragan Petrie, and Anya Samek
• w28289 December 2020 Exporting from China: The Determinants of Trade Status
  Russell Cooper, Guan Gong, Guanliang Hu, and Ping Yan
• w28250 December 2020 Lead Exposure Reduces Academic Performance: Intensity, Duration, and Nutrition Matter
  Alex Hollingsworth, Mike Huang, Ivan J. Rudik, and Nicholas J. Sanders
• w28220 December 2020 Maternal Mortality Risk and Spousal Differences in the Demand for Children
  Nava Ashraf, Erica M. Field, Alessandra Voena, and Roberta Ziparo
• w28219 December 2020 Who Values Future Energy Savings? Evidence from American Drivers
  Arik Levinson and Lutz Sager
• w28222 December 2020 Measuring Racial Discrimination in Algorithms
  David Arnold, Will S. Dobbie, and Peter Hull
• w28221 December 2020 Issuance and Incidence: SNAP Benefit Cycles and Grocery Prices
  Jacob Goldin, Tatiana Homonoff, and Katherine Meckel
• w28223 December 2020 Does Eye-Tracking Have an Effect on Economic Behavior?
  Jennifer Kee, Melinda Knuth, Joanna Lahey, and Marco A. Palma
• w28224 December 2020 World War I and the Restructuring of International Business
  Ted Fertik and Naomi R. Lamoreaux
• w28225 December 2020 The Story of the Real Exchange Rate
  Oleg Itskhoki
• w28226 December 2020 Climate Finance
  Stefano Giglio, Bryan T. Kelly, and Johannes Stroebel
• w28227 December 2020 A Model of Occupational Licensing and Statistical Discrimination
  Peter Q. Blair and Bobby W. Chung
• w28228 December 2020 Probability Assessments of an Ice-Free Arctic: Comparing Statistical and Climate Model Projections
  Francis X. Diebold and Glenn D. Rudebusch
• w28229 December 2020 The Accuracy of Tax Imputations: Estimating Tax Liabilities and Credits Using Linked Survey and Administrative Data
  Bruce D. Meyer, Derek Wu, Grace Finley, Patrick Langetieg, Carla Medalia, Mark Payne, and Alan Plumley
• w28230 December 2020 Long-Term Effects of Equal Sharing: Evidence from Inheritance Rules for Land
  Charlotte Bartels, Simon Jäger, and Natalie Obergruber
• w28231 December 2020 Internet Access and U.S. - China Innovation Competition
  Gerard Hoberg, Yuan Li, and Gordon M. Phillips
• w28232 December 2020 U.S. Macro Policies and Global Economic Challenges
  Joshua Aizenman and Hiro Ito
• w28233 December 2020 The Impact of Covid-19 on Productivity
  Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Paul Mizen, Pawel Smietanka, and Gregory Thwaites
• w28236 December 2020 Understanding Debt in the Older Population
  Annamaria Lusardi, Olivia S. Mitchell, and Noemi Oggero
• w28234 December 2020 Social Networks Shape Beliefs and Behavior: Evidence from Social Distancing During the COVID-19 Pandemic
  Michael Bailey, Drew M. Johnston, Martin Koenen, Theresa Kuchler, Dominic Russel, and Johannes Stroebel
• w28235 December 2020 What Makes a Tax Evader?
  Marcelo L. Bergolo, Martin Leites, Ricardo Perez-Truglia, and Matias Strehl
• w28237 December 2020 Central Bank Digital Currency: When Price and Bank Stability Collide
  Linda Schilling, Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, and Harald Uhlig
• w28238 December 2020 A Panel Regression Approach to Holdings-based Fund Performance Measures
  Wayne E. Ferson and Junbo L. Wang
• w28239 December 2020 Where Does Wealth Come From?
  Sandra E. Black, Paul J. Devereux, Fanny Landaud, and Kjell G. Salvanes
• w28240 December 2020 When Workers Travel: Nursing Supply During COVID-19 Surges
  Joshua D. Gottlieb and Avi Zenilman
• w28242 December 2020 In the Red: Overdrafts, Payday Lending and the Underbanked
  Marco Di Maggio, Angela T. Ma, and Emily Williams
• w28244 December 2020 Estimating the Price Elasticity of Demand for Subways: Evidence from Mexico
  Lucas W. Davis
• w28245 December 2020 Early Career, Life-Cycle Choices, and Gender
  Itzik Fadlon, Frederik Plesner Lyngse, and Torben Heien Nielsen
• w28243 December 2020 Nomadic Pastoralism, Climate Change, and Conflict in Africa
  Eoin F. McGuirk and Nathan Nunn
• w28246 December 2020 School Closures During the 1918 Flu Pandemic
  Philipp Ager, Katherine Eriksson, Ezra Karger, Peter Nencka, and Melissa A. Thomasson
• w28247 December 2020 A Macroeconomic Model of Healthcare Saturation, Inequality and the Output-Pandemia Tradeoff
  Enrique G. Mendoza, Eugenio I. Rojas, Linda L. Tesar, and Jing Zhang
• w28248 December 2020 Why Do Sectoral Employment Programs Work? Lessons from WorkAdvance
  Lawrence F. Katz, Jonathan Roth, Richard Hendra, and Kelsey Schaberg
• w28249 December 2020 Learning to Navigate a New Financial Technology: Evidence from Payroll Accounts
  Emily Breza, Martin Kanz, and Leora F. Klapper
• w28251 December 2020 Away from Home and Back: Coordinating (Remote) Workers in 1800 and 2020
  Réka Juhász, Mara P. Squicciarini, and Nico Voigtländer
• w28252 December 2020 Why is Intermediating Houses so Difficult? Evidence from iBuyers
  Greg Buchak, Gregor Matvos, Tomasz Piskorski, and Amit Seru
• w28183 December 2020 Gender Differences in Negotiation and Policy for Improvement
  Maria Recalde and Lise Vesterlund
• w28188 December 2020 Effects of English Learner Reclassification Policies on Academic Trajectories
  Julian Betts, Laura Hill, Karen Bachofer, Joseph Hayes, Andrew Lee, and Andrew Zau
• w28198 December 2020 The Remarkable Growth in Financial Economics, 1974-2020
  G. William Schwert
• w28208 December 2020 The Value of Time in the United States: Estimates from Nationwide Natural Field Experiments
  Ariel Goldszmidt, John A. List, Robert D. Metcalfe, Ian Muir, V. Kerry Smith, and Jenny Wang
• w28206 December 2020 Job Satisfaction Over the Life Course
  David G. Blanchflower and Alex Bryson
• w28204 December 2020 Granular Instrumental Variables
  Xavier Gabaix and Ralph S. J. Koijen
• w28202 December 2020 Police Force Size and Civilian Race
  Aaron Chalfin, Benjamin Hansen, Emily K. Weisburst, and Morgan C. Williams, Jr.
• w28194 December 2020 Who Benefits From Attending Effective Schools? Examining Heterogeneity in High School Impacts
  C. Kirabo Jackson, Shanette C. Porter, John Q. Easton, and Sebastián Kiguel
• w28193 December 2020 A Unified Model of Cohort Mortality for Economic Analysis
  Adriana Lleras-Muney and Flavien E. Moreau
• w28212 December 2020 Education and Consanguineous Marriage
  Ş. Pelin Akyol and Naci H. Mocan
• w28191 December 2020 The Career Evolution of the Sex Gap in Wages: Discrimination vs. Human Capital Investment
  David Neumark and Giannina Vaccaro
• w28190 December 2020 The Political Economy of Deep Integration
  Giovanni Maggi and Ralph Ossa
• w28216 December 2020 The Gender Gap Among Top Business Executives
  Wolfgang Keller, Teresa Molina, and William W. Olney
• w28189 December 2020 Horizonal Merger Analysis
  Louis Kaplow
• w28217 December 2020 Child-Driven Parenting: Differential Early Childhood Investment by Offspring Genotype
  Asta Breinholt and Dalton Conley
• w28200 December 2020 COVID and the Economic Importance of In-Person K-12 Schooling
  David A. Green, Ali Karimirad, Gaëlle Simard-Duplain, and Henry E. Siu
• w28187 December 2020 Modern US Workers’ Compensation and Work-Related Injury: No Evidence of Moral Hazard
  Emiliano Huet-Vaughn and Youssef Benzarti
• w28184 December 2020 Common Shocks in Stocks and Bonds
  Anna Cieslak and Hao Pang
• w28185 December 2020 Firms' Exposures to Geographic Risks
  Bernard Dumas, Tymur Gabuniya, and Richard C. Marston
• w28186 December 2020 A Theory of the Nominal Character of Stock Securities
  Bernard Dumas and Marcel Savioz
• w28192 December 2020 Toward a Uniform Classification of Nurse Practitioner Scope of Practice Laws
  Benjamin J. McMichael and Sara Markowitz
• w28195 December 2020 Do Enlarged Fiscal Deficits Cause Inflation: The Historical Record
  Michael D. Bordo and Mickey D. Levy
• w28196 December 2020 Cybersecurity Risk
  Chris Florakis, Christodoulos Louca, Roni Michaely, and Michael Weber
• w28197 December 2020 Zombies at Large? Corporate Debt Overhang and the Macroeconomy
  Òscar Jordà, Martin Kornejew, Moritz Schularick, and Alan M. Taylor
• w28199 December 2020 Is Air Pollution Regulation Too Stringent?
  Joseph S. Shapiro and Reed Walker
• w28201 December 2020 Credit Frictions in the Great Recession
  Patrick J. Kehoe, Pierlauro Lopez, Virgiliu Midrigan, and Elena Pastorino
• w28203 December 2020 Revisiting the Entrepreneurial Commercialization of Academic Science: Evidence from “Twin” Discoveries
  Matt Marx and David H. Hsu
• w28205 December 2020 School’s Out: Experimental Evidence on Limiting Learning Loss Using “Low-Tech” in a Pandemic
  Noam Angrist, Peter Bergman, and Moitshepi Matsheng
• w28207 December 2020 Financial Fragility during the COVID-19 Pandemic
  Robert L. Clark, Annamaria Lusardi, and Olivia S. Mitchell
• w28214 December 2020 Selection and Causation in the Parental Education Gradient in Health: Lessons from a Large Sample of Adoptees
  Evelina Björkegren, Mikael Lindahl, Mårten Palme, and Emilia Simeonova
• w28209 December 2020 Rules, Discretion, and Corruption in Procurement: Evidence from Italian Government Contracting
  Francesco Decarolis, Raymond Fisman, Paolo Pinotti, and Silvia Vannutelli
• w28210 December 2020 Polluting Public Funds: The Effect of Environmental Regulation on Municipal Bonds.
  Akshaya Jha, Stephen A. Karolyi, and Nicholas Z. Muller
• w28211 December 2020 Efficient Programs to Support Businesses During and After Lockdowns
  Thomas Philippon
• w28215 December 2020 Economic Analysis and Infrastructure Investment
  Edward L. Glaeser and James M. Poterba
• w28213 December 2020 Monetary Policy and Redistribution in Open Economies
  Xing Guo, Pablo Ottonello, and Diego J. Perez
• w28218 December 2020 How Well Insured are Job Losers? Efficacy of the Public Safety Net.
  Chloe N. East and David Simon
• w28180 December 2020 The Effect of Computer-Assisted Learning on Students' Long-Term Development
  Nicola Bianchi, Yi Lu, and Hong Song
• w28181 December 2020 Urban Mortality and the Repeal of Federal Prohibition
  David S. Jacks, Krishna Pendakur, and Hitoshi Shigeoka
• w28177 December 2020 GDP, Wellbeing, and Health: Thoughts on the 2017 Round of the International Comparison Program
  Angus Deaton and Paul Schreyer
• w28161 December 2020 Aggregate Advertising Expenditure in the U.S. Economy: What's Up? Is It Real?
  Alvin Silk and Ernst R. Berndt
• w28162 December 2020 Why is End-of-Life Spending So High? Evidence from Cancer Patients
  Dan Zeltzer, Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, Tzvi Shir, Salomon M. Stemmer, and Ran D. Balicer
• w28158 December 2020 The Effect of Occupational Licensing Stringency on the Teacher Quality Distribution
  Bradley Larsen, Ziao Ju, Adam Kapor, and Chuan Yu
• w28159 December 2020 Corporate Social Responsibility and Imperfect Regulatory Oversight: Theory and Evidence from Greenhouse Gas Emissions Disclosures
  Jean-Etienne de Bettignies, Hua Fang Liu, and David T. Robinson
• w28160 December 2020 The Color of Money: Federal vs. Industry Funding of University Research
  Tania Babina, Alex Xi He, Sabrina T. Howell, Elisabeth Ruth Perlman, and Joseph Staudt
• w28163 December 2020 Local Sectoral Specialization in a Warming World
  Bruno Conte, Klaus Desmet, Dávid Krisztián Nagy, and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg
• w28164 December 2020 Gender Identity, Race, and Ethnicity Discrimination in Access to Mental Health Care: Preliminary Evidence from a Multi-Wave Audit Field Experiment
  Patrick Button, Eva Dils, Benjamin Harrell, Luca Fumarco, and David Schwegman
• w28165 December 2020 Estimating Preferences for Neighborhood Amenities Under Imperfect Information
  Fernando V. Ferreira and Maisy Wong
• w28166 December 2020 How Spillovers from Appointment Reminders Improve Health Clinic Efficiency
  Claire E. Boone, Pablo A. Celhay, Paul Gertler, Tadeja Gracner, and Josefina Rodriguez
• w28167 December 2020 Jim Crow in the Saddle: The Expulsion of African American Jockeys from American Racing
  Michael Leeds and Hugh Rockoff
• w28182 December 2020 Stay-at-Home Orders in a Fiscal Union
  Mario J. Crucini and Oscar O'Flaherty
• w28168 December 2020 Designing Advance Market Commitments for New Vaccines
  Michael Kremer, Jonathan D. Levin, and Christopher M. Snyder
• w28169 December 2020 Labor Market Implications of Education MisMatch
  Carla Varona Cervantes and Russell Cooper
• w28170 December 2020 Special Deals from Special Investors: The Rise of State-Connected Private Owners in China
  Chong-En Bai, Chang-Tai Hsieh, Zheng Michael Song, and Xin Wang
• w28171 December 2020 Natural Barriers and Policy Barriers
  Yang Jiao and Shang-Jin Wei
• w28172 December 2020 Did COVID-19 Change Life Insurance Offerings?
  Timothy F. Harris, Aaron Yelowitz, and Charles J. Courtemanche
• w28173 December 2020 Do State Tobacco 21 Laws Work?
  Calvin Bryan, Benjamin Hansen, Drew McNichols, and Joseph J. Sabia
• w28174 December 2020 TFPR: Dispersion and Cyclicality
  Russell Cooper and Özgen Öztürk
• w28175 December 2020 The Distributional Effects of Student Loan Forgiveness
  Sylvain Catherine and Constantine Yannelis
• w28176 December 2020 Divided We Fall: International Health and Trade Coordination During a Pandemic
  Viral V. Acharya, Zhengyang Jiang, Robert J. Richmond, and Ernst-Ludwig von Thadden
• w28178 December 2020 Dynamical Structure and Spectral Properties of Input-Output Networks
  Ernest Liu and Aleh Tsyvinski
• w28179 December 2020 The Impact of Organizational Boundaries on Healthcare Coordination and Utilization
  Leila Agha, Keith Marzilli Ericson, and Xiaoxi Zhao
• w28139 November 2020 Mandated and Voluntary Social Distancing During The COVID-19 Epidemic: A Review
  Sumedha Gupta, Kosali I. Simon, and Coady Wing
• w28133 November 2020 Consumer Surplus of Alternative Payment Methods: Paying Uber with Cash
  Fernando E. Alvarez and David O. Argente
• w28137 November 2020 Mediating Conflict in the Lab
  Alessandra Casella, Evan Friedman, and Manuel Perez Archila
• w28138 November 2020 We are all Behavioral, More or Less: A Taxonomy of Consumer Decision Making
  Victor Stango and Jonathan Zinman
• w28142 November 2020 The Economic Consequences of Sir Robert Peel: A Quantitative Assessment of the Repeal of the Corn Laws
  Douglas A. Irwin and Maksym G. Chepeliev
• w28140 November 2020 Inference on Risk Premia in Continuous-Time Asset Pricing Models
  Yacine Aït-Sahalia, Jean Jacod, and Dacheng Xiu
• w28141 November 2020 Earnings Dynamics and Intergenerational Transmission of Skill
  Lance Lochner and Youngmin Park
• w28143 November 2020 Happiness and Aging in the United States
  David G. Blanchflower and Carol Graham
• w28144 November 2020 The U-shape of Happiness in Scotland
  David N.F. Bell and David G. Blanchflower
• w28145 November 2020 On the Effects of the Availability of Means of Payments: The Case of Uber
  Fernando E. Alvarez and David O. Argente
• w28146 November 2020 Race, Risk, and the Emergence of Federal Redlining
  Price V. Fishback, Jessica LaVoice, Allison Shertzer, and Randall Walsh
• w28147 November 2020 Reconciling the Conflicting Narratives on Poverty in China
  Shaohua Chen and Martin Ravallion
• w28148 November 2020 All Aboard: The Effects of Port Development
  César Ducruet, Réka Juhász, Dávid Krisztián Nagy, and Claudia Steinwender
• w28149 November 2020 Production Networks and International Fiscal Spillovers
  Michael B. Devereux, Karine Gente, and Changhua Yu
• w28150 November 2020 Taxing Our Wealth
  Florian Scheuer and Joel Slemrod
• w28151 November 2020 Revenue Collapses and the Consumption of Small Business Owners in the Early Stages of the COVID-19 Pandemic
  Olivia S. Kim, Jonathan A. Parker, and Antoinette Schoar
• w28152 November 2020 Lockdowns and Innovation: Evidence from the 1918 Flu Pandemic
  Enrico Berkes, Olivier Deschenes, Ruben Gaetani, Jeffrey Lin, and Christopher Severen
• w28153 November 2020 Employer Neighborhoods and Racial Discrimination
  Amanda Y. Agan and Sonja B. Starr
• w28154 November 2020 Black and White: Access to Capital among Minority-Owned Startups
  Robert W. Fairlie, Alicia Robb, and David T. Robinson
• w28155 November 2020 How Does Cost-Sharing Impact Spending Growth and Cost-Effective Treatments? Evidence from Deductibles
  Claudio Lucarelli, Molly Frean, Aliza S. Gordon, Lynn M. Hua, and Mark Pauly
• w28156 November 2020 ESG Preference, Institutional Trading, and Stock Return Patterns
  Jie Cao, Sheridan Titman, Xintong Zhan, and Weiming Zhang
• w28157 November 2020 The Children of HOPE VI Demolitions: National Evidence on Labor Market Outcomes
  John C. Haltiwanger, Mark J. Kutzbach, Giordano E. Palloni, Henry Pollakowski, Matthew Staiger, and Daniel Weinberg
• w28135 November 2020 Designing Efficient Contact Tracing Through Risk-Based Quarantining
  Andrew Perrault, Marie Charpignon, Jonathan Gruber, Milind Tambe, and Maimuna Majumder
• w28134 November 2020 Private Equity Returns: Empirical Evidence from the Business Credit Card Securitization Market
  Matthias Fleckenstein and Francis A. Longstaff
• w28132 November 2020 Geospatial Analysis of the September 2020 Coronavirus Outbreak at the University of Wisconsin – Madison: Did a Cluster of Local Bars Play a Critical Role?
  Jeffrey E. Harris
• w28131 November 2020 The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Policy Response on Health Care Utilization: Evidence from County-level Medical Claims and Cellphone data
  Jonathan H. Cantor, Neeraj Sood, Dena Bravata, Megan Pera, and Christopher M. Whaley
• w28107 November 2020 Top-up Design and Health Care Expenditure: Evidence from Cardiac Stents
  Ginger Zhe Jin, Hsienming Lien, and Xuezhen Tao
• w28105 November 2020 Beyond 140 Characters: Introduction to The Role of Innovation and Entrepreneurship in Economic Growth
  Michael J. Andrews, Aaron Chatterji, and Scott Stern
• w28106 November 2020 The Comparative Impact of Cash Transfers and a Psychotherapy Program on Psychological and Economic Well-being
  Johannes Haushofer, Robert Mudida, and Jeremy P. Shapiro
• w28108 November 2020 Will the Secular Decline In Exchange Rate and Inflation Volatility Survive COVID-19?
  Ethan Ilzetzki, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth S. Rogoff
• w28109 November 2020 Has Persistence Persisted in Private Equity? Evidence from Buyout and Venture Capital Funds
  Robert S. Harris, Tim Jenkinson, Steven N. Kaplan, and Ruediger Stucke
• w28110 November 2020 Why Is All COVID-19 News Bad News?
  Bruce Sacerdote, Ranjan Sehgal, and Molly Cook
• w28111 November 2020 The Inexorable Recoveries of US Unemployment
  Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak
• w28120 November 2020 Public Mobility Data Enables COVID-19 Forecasting and Management at Local and Global Scales
  Cornelia Ilin, Sébastien E. Annan-Phan, Xiao Hui Tai, Shikhar Mehra, Solomon M. Hsiang, and Joshua E. Blumenstock
• w28112 November 2020 Revenge of the Experts: Will Covid-19 Renew or Diminish Public Trust in Science?
  Barry Eichengreen ⓡ, Cevat Giray Aksoy ⓡ, and Orkun Saka
• w28114 November 2020 Indirect Costs of Government Aid and Intermediary Supply Effects: Lessons From the Paycheck Protection Program
  Tetyana Balyuk, Nagpurnanand R. Prabhala, and Manju Puri
• w28115 November 2020 De-Globalisation? Global Value Chains in the Post-COVID-19 Age
  Pol Antràs
• w28113 November 2020 LATE for History
  Alberto Bisin and Andrea Moro
• w28116 November 2020 The Effects of Incentivizing Early Prenatal Care on Infant Health
  Kamila Cygan-Rehm and Krzysztof Karbownik
• w28117 November 2020 Fiscal Policy in Europe: A Helicopter View
  Florin O. Bilbiie, Tommaso Monacelli, and Roberto Perotti
• w28118 November 2020 Open Banking: Credit Market Competition When Borrowers Own the Data
  Zhiguo He, Jing Huang, and Jidong Zhou
• w28119 November 2020 The Collateral Link between Volatility and Risk Sharing
  Sebastian Infante and Guillermo Ordoñez
• w28121 November 2020 Consumer Vulnerability and Behavioral Biases
  Hanming Fang and Zenan Wu
• w28122 November 2020 How Do Mass Shootings Affect Community Wellbeing?
  Aparna Soni and Erdal Tekin
• w28124 November 2020 Liquidity Risk at Large U.S. Banks
  Laurence M. Ball
• w28123 November 2020 Foreign Shocks as Granular Fluctuations
  Julian di Giovanni, Andrei A. Levchenko, and Isabelle Mejean
• w28125 November 2020 The Stability and Predictive Power of Financial Literacy: Evidence from Longitudinal Data
  Marco Angrisani, Jeremy Burke, Annamaria Lusardi, and Gary Mottola
• w28126 November 2020 Migration and Fiscal Externality: US vs. Europe
  Assaf Razin
• w28127 November 2020 The Value of a Cure: An Asset Pricing Perspective
  Viral V. Acharya, Timothy Johnson, Suresh Sundaresan, and Steven Zheng
• w28128 November 2020 Cite Unseen: Theory and Evidence on the Effect of Open Access on Cites to Academic Articles Across the Quality Spectrum
  Mark J. McCabe and Christopher Snyder
• w28129 November 2020 Improving Public Sector Management at Scale? Experimental Evidence on School Governance India
  Karthik Muralidharan and Abhijeet Singh
• w28136 November 2020 Auto Dealer Loan Intermediation: Consumer Behavior and Competitive Effects
  Andreas Grunewald, Jonathan A. Lanning, David C. Low, and Tobias Salz
• w28130 November 2020 Policy Instrument Choice with Coasean Provision of Public Goods
  Christopher Costello and Matthew Kotchen
• w28093 November 2020 Maximize Utility subject to R≤1: A Simple Price-Theory Approach to Covid-19 Lockdown and Reopening Policy
  Eric Budish
• w28087 November 2020 Trade Integration, Global Value Chains, and Capital Accumulation
  Michael Sposi, Kei-Mu Yi, and Jing Zhang
• w28101 November 2020 The Antebellum Roots of Distinctively Black Names
  Trevon Logan, Lisa D. Cook, and John Parman
• w28097 November 2020 How New Fed Corporate Bond Programs Dampened the Financial Accelerator in the Covid-19 Recession
  Michael D. Bordo and John V. Duca
• w28074 November 2020 Long-term Effects of the Targeting the Ultra Poor Program
  Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo, and Garima Sharma
• w28078 November 2020 Understanding the Success of the Know-Nothing Party
  Marcella Alsan, Katherine Eriksson, and Gregory Niemesh
• w28096 November 2020 Foreign Currency Borrowing of Corporations as Carry Trades: Evidence from India
  Viral V. Acharya and Siddharth Vij
• w28095 November 2020 Building an Epidemiology of Happiness
  John F. Helliwell, David Gyarmati, Craig Joyce, and Heather Orpana
• w28077 November 2020 Effects of Welfare Reform on Parenting
  Nancy Reichman, Hope Corman, Dhaval M. Dave, Ariel Kalil, and Ofira Schwartz-Soicher
• w28094 November 2020 Twisting the Demand Curve: Digitalization and the Older Workforce
  Erling Barth, James C. Davis, Richard B. Freeman, and Kristina McElheran
• w28071 November 2020 Internal Deadlines, Drug Approvals, and Safety Problems
  Lauren Cohen, Umit Gurun, and Danielle Li
• w28072 November 2020 Pandemics, Global Supply Chains, and Local Labor Demand: Evidence from 100 Million Posted Jobs in China
  Hanming Fang, Chunmian Ge, Hanwei Huang, and Hongbin Li
• w28073 November 2020 Did U.S. Politicians Expect the China Shock?
  Matilde Bombardini, Bingjing Li, and Francesco Trebbi
• w28080 November 2020 Technology Within and Across Firms
  Xavier Cirera, Diego A. Comin, Marcio Cruz, and Kyung Min Lee
• w28075 November 2020 Optimally Imprecise Memory and Biased Forecasts
  Rava Azeredo da Silveira, Yeji Sung, and Michael Woodford
• w28076 November 2020 New Technologies, Productivity, and Jobs: The (Heterogeneous) Effects of Electrification on US Manufacturing
  Martin Fiszbein, Jeanne Lafortune, Ethan G. Lewis, and José Tessada
• w28104 November 2020 Sizing up Corporate Restructuring in the COVID Crisis
  Robin Greenwood, Benjamin Iverson, and David Thesmar
• w28079 November 2020 Sudden Stops and Optimal Foreign Exchange Intervention
  J. Scott Davis, Michael B. Devereux, and Changhua Yu
• w28081 November 2020 Aggregate Implications of Firm Heterogeneity: A Nonparametric Analysis of Monopolistic Competition Trade Models
  Rodrigo Adão, Costas Arkolakis, and Sharat Ganapati
• w28082 November 2020 Do Family Policies Reduce Gender Inequality? Evidence from 60 Years of Policy Experimentation
  Henrik Kleven, Camille Landais, Johanna Posch, Andreas Steinhauer, and Josef Zweimüller
• w28083 November 2020 Searching, Recalls, and Tightness: An Interim Report on the COVID Labor Market
  Eliza Forsythe, Lisa B. Kahn, Fabian Lange, and David G. Wiczer
• w28084 November 2020 Wages, Hires, and Labor Market Concentration
  Ioana Marinescu, Ivan Ouss, and Louis-Daniel Pape
• w28085 November 2020 Optimal Vaccine Subsidies for Endemic and Epidemic Diseases
  Matthew Goodkin-Gold, Michael Kremer, Christopher M. Snyder, and Heidi L. Williams
• w28086 November 2020 Can Nudges Increase Take-up of the EITC?: Evidence from Multiple Field Experiments
  Elizabeth Linos, Allen Prohofsky, Aparna Ramesh, Jesse Rothstein, and Matt Unrath
• w28088 November 2020 Going-Concern Debt of Financial Intermediaries
  Yueran Ma and José A. Scheinkman
• w28089 November 2020 Insurance and Propagation in Village Networks
  Cynthia Kinnan, Krislert Samphantharak, Robert Townsend, and Diego A. Vera Cossio
• w28090 November 2020 Dynamic General Equilibrium Modeling of Long and Short-Run Historical Events
  Gary D. Hansen, Lee E. Ohanian, and Fatih Ozturk
• w28091 November 2020 Choice Screen Auctions
  Michael Ostrovsky
• w28092 November 2020 Aggregate and Distributional Impacts of LTV Policy: Evidence from China's Micro Data
  Kaiji Chen, Qing Wang, Tong Xu, and Tao Zha
• w28098 November 2020 Designing, not Checking, for Policy Robustness: An Example with Optimal Taxation
  Benjamin Lockwood, Afras Y. Sial, and Matthew C. Weinzierl
• w28099 November 2020 Social Position and Fairness Views
  Kristoffer B. Hvidberg, Claus Kreiner, and Stefanie Stantcheva
• w28100 November 2020 Search and Information Frictions on Global E-Commerce Platforms: Evidence from AliExpress
  Jie Bai, Maggie Chen, Jin Liu, and Daniel Yi Xu
• w28102 November 2020 Volatility Expectations and Returns
  Lars A. Lochstoer and Tyler Muir
• w28103 November 2020 Advice-Driven Demand and Systematic Price Fluctuations
  Itzhak Ben-David, Jiacui Li, Andrea Rossi, and Yang Song
• w28068 November 2020 Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Domestic Violence in Los Angeles
  Amalia R. Miller, Carmit Segal, and Melissa K. Spencer
• w28069 November 2020 Corporate Governance, Business Group Governance and Economic Development Traps
  Luis Dau, Randall Morck, and Bernard Yeung
• w28064 November 2020 Choices and Outcomes in Assignment Mechanisms: The Allocation of Deceased Donor Kidneys
  Nikhil Agarwal, Charles Hodgson, and Paulo Somaini
• w28056 November 2020 Intangible Value
  Andrea L. Eisfeldt, Edward Kim, and Dimitris Papanikolaou
• w28057 November 2020 Asymmetric Demand Response when Prices Increase and Decrease: The Case of Child Healthcare
  Toshiaki Iizuka and Hitoshi Shigeoka
• w28058 November 2020 COVID-19 Surgical Abortion Restriction Did Not Reduce Visits to Abortion Clinics
  Martin Andersen, Sylvia Bryan, and David Slusky
• w28060 November 2020 Productivity Shocks, Long-Term Contracts and Earnings Dynamics
  Neele Balke and Thibaut Lamadon
• w28059 November 2020 Persistence and Path Dependence in the Spatial Economy
  Treb Allen and Dave Donaldson
• w28065 November 2020 Stereotypes in Financial Literacy: Evidence from PISA
  Laura Bottazzi and Annamaria Lusardi
• w28066 November 2020 Forward Guidance and Durable Goods Demand
  Alisdair McKay and Johannes F. Wieland
• w28062 November 2020 How Would Medicare for All Affect Health System Capacity? Evidence from Medicare for Some
  Jeffrey Clemens, Joshua D. Gottlieb, and Jeffrey Hicks
• w28061 November 2020 Automation and the Fate of Young Workers: Evidence from Telephone Operation in the Early 20th Century
  James Feigenbaum and Daniel P. Gross
• w28063 November 2020 FinTech Adoption and Household Risk-Taking
  Claire Yurong Hong, Xiaomeng Lu, and Jun Pan
• w28067 November 2020 Economic Studies on the Opioid Crisis: A Review
  Johanna Catherine Maclean, Justine Mallatt, Christopher J. Ruhm, and Kosali Simon
• w28070 November 2020 Quality-adjusted Population Density
  J. Vernon Henderson, Adam Storeygard, and David N. Weil
• w28050 November 2020 Local Public Finance Dynamics and Hurricane Shocks
  Rhiannon Jerch, Matthew E. Kahn, and Gary C. Lin
• w28045 November 2020 A Generalizable and Accessible Approach to Machine Learning with Global Satellite Imagery
  Esther Rolf, Jonathan Proctor, Tamma Carleton, Ian Bolliger, Vaishaal Shankar, Miyabi Ishihara, Benjamin Recht, and Solomon Hsiang
• w28049 November 2020 Mothers’ Social Networks and Socioeconomic Gradients of Isolation
  Alison Andrew, Orazio Attanasio, Britta Augsburg, Jere Behrman, Monimalika Day, Pamela Jervis, Costas Meghir, and Angus Phimister
• w28046 November 2020 Comprehensive Approaches to Increasing Student Completion in Higher Education: A Survey of the Landscape
  Rachel Fulcher Dawson, Melissa S. Kearney, and James X. Sullivan
• w28047 November 2020 Dog Eat Dog: Measuring Network Effects Using a Digital Platform Merger
  Chiara Farronato, Jessica Fong, and Andrey Fradkin
• w28048 November 2020 The Geopolitics of International Trade in Southeast Asia
  Kerem Coşar and Benjamin D. Thomas
• w28051 November 2020 The Structure of Business Taxation in China
  Zhao Chen, Yuxuan He, Zhikuo Liu, Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato, and Daniel Yi Xu
• w28052 November 2020 Reputation and Earnings Dynamics
  Boyan Jovanovic and Julien Prat
• w28055 November 2020 Farm Product Prices, Redistribution, and the Early U.S. Great Depression
  Joshua K. Hausman, Paul W. Rhode, and Johannes F. Wieland
• w28053 November 2020 Brexit Uncertainty and its (Dis)Service Effects
  Saad Ahmad, Nuno Limão, Sarah Oliver, and Serge Shikher
• w28054 November 2020 Price Ceiling, Market Structure, and Payout Policies
  Mao Ye, Miles Zheng, and Xiongshi Li
• w28017 October 2020 Obsolescence of Capital and Investment Spikes
  Arthur Fishman and Boyan Jovanovic
• w28011 October 2020 Does Lasting Behavior Change Require Knowledge Change? Evidence From Savings Interventions For Young Adults
  Samantha Horn, Julian Jamison, Dean Karlan, and Jonathan Zinman
• w28020 October 2020 Is There Too Much Benchmarking in Asset Management?
  Anil K Kashyap, Natalia Kovrijnykh, Jian Li, and Anna Pavlova
• w28027 October 2020 Multi-Product Firms in Electricity Markets: Implications for Climate Policy
  Jesse F. Buchsbaum, Catherine Hausman, Johanna L. Mathieu, and Jing Peng
• w28029 October 2020 The Market Risk Premium for Unsecured Consumer Credit Risk
  Matthias Fleckenstein and Francis A. Longstaff
• w28028 October 2020 Retail Financial Innovation and Stock Market Dynamics: The Case of Target Date Funds
  Jonathan A. Parker, Antoinette Schoar, and Yang Sun
• w28018 October 2020 Hospital Allocation and Racial Disparities in Health Care
  Amitabh Chandra, Pragya Kakani, and Adam Sacarny
• w28015 October 2020 Bury the Gold Standard? A Quantitative Exploration
  Anthony M. Diercks, Jonathan Rawls, and Eric Sims
• w28016 October 2020 Adverse Selection Dynamics in Privately-Produced Safe Debt Markets
  Nathan Foley-Fisher, Gary B. Gorton, and Stéphane Verani
• w28014 October 2020 A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth
  Christiane Baumeister and Pierre Guérin
• w28008 October 2020 Measuring TFP: The Role of Profits, Adjustment Costs, and Capacity Utilization
  Diego A. Comin, Javier Quintana Gonzalez, Tom G. Schmitz, and Antonella Trigari
• w28033 October 2020 Who Married, (to) Whom, and Where? Trends in Marriage in the United States, 1850-1940
  Claudia Olivetti, M. Daniele Paserman, Laura Salisbury, and E. Anna Weber
• w28032 October 2020 Has the Paycheck Protection Program Succeeded?
  R. Glenn Hubbard and Michael R. Strain
• w28013 October 2020 Rural-Urban Migration and House Prices in China
  Carlos Garriga, Aaron Hedlund, Yang Tang, and Ping Wang
• w28012 October 2020 Nursing Home Quality, COVID-19 Deaths, and Excess Mortality
  Christopher J. Cronin and William N. Evans
• w28010 October 2020 The Persistence of Miscalibration
  Michael Boutros, Itzhak Ben-David, John R. Graham, Campbell R. Harvey, and John W. Payne
• w28031 October 2020 Economic Benefits of COVID-19 Screening Tests
  Andrew Atkeson, Michael C. Droste, Michael Mina, and James H. Stock
• w28030 October 2020 Private Equity and Growth
  Boyan Jovanovic, Sai Ma, and Peter L. Rousseau
• w28009 October 2020 Product Recalls and Firm Reputation
  Boyan Jovanovic
• w28019 October 2020 Idea Diffusion and Property Rights
  Boyan Jovanovic and Zhu Wang
• w28023 October 2020 Data Sharing and Market Power with Two-Sided Platforms
  Rishabh Kirpalani and Thomas Philippon
• w28021 October 2020 Fintech Borrowers: Lax-Screening or Cream-Skimming?
  Marco Di Maggio and Vincent Yao
• w28024 October 2020 Uncertainty and Growth Disasters
  Boyan Jovanovic and Sai Ma
• w28025 October 2020 Mandatory Retirement for Judges Improved Performance on U.S. State Supreme Courts
  Elliott Ash and W. Bentley MacLeod
• w28026 October 2020 Structural Breaks in an Endogenous Growth Model
  Timothy Cogley and Boyan Jovanovic
• w28034 October 2020 U.S. Robots and their Impacts in the Tropics: Evidence from Colombian Labor Markets
  Adriana D. Kugler, Maurice Kugler, Laura Ripani, and Rodimiro Rodrigo
• w28035 October 2020 Russian Holidays Predict Troll Activity 2015-2017
  Douglas Almond, Xinming Du, and Alana Vogel
• w28036 October 2020 Affective Polarization Did Not Increase During the Coronavirus Pandemic
  Levi Boxell, Jacob Conway, James N. Druckman, and Matthew Gentzkow
• w28037 October 2020 The Age Profile of Life-satisfaction After Age 65 in the U.S.
  Péter Hudomiet, Michael D. Hurd, and Susann Rohwedder
• w28038 October 2020 Who Benefits from Analyst “Top Picks”?
  Justin Birru, Sinan Gokkaya, Xi Liu, and René M. Stulz
• w28039 October 2020 Refinancing, Monetary Policy, and the Credit Cycle
  Gene Amromin, Neil Bhutta, and Benjamin J. Keys
• w28022 October 2020 Learning During the COVID-19 Pandemic: It Is Not Who You Teach, but How You Teach
  George Orlov, Douglas McKee, James Berry, Austin Boyle, Thomas DiCiccio, Tyler Ransom, Alex Rees-Jones, and Jörg Stoye
• w28040 October 2020 Promoting Parental Involvement in Schools: Evidence From Two Randomized Experiments
  Felipe Barrera-Osorio, Paul Gertler, Nozomi Nakajima, and Harry Patrinos
• w28041 October 2020 Employment Effects of the Earned Income Tax Credit: Taking the Long View
  Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach and Michael R. Strain
• w28042 October 2020 Making the Most of Limited Government Capacity: Theory and Experiment
  Sylvain Chassang, Lucia Del Carpio, and Samuel Kapon
• w28043 October 2020 Making Rallies Great Again: The Effects of Presidential Campaign Rallies on Voter Behavior, 2008-2016
  James M. Snyder Jr. and Hasin Yousaf
• w28044 October 2020 Political Polarization and Expected Economic Outcomes
  Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Michael Weber
• w27996 October 2020 Lead in Drinking Water and Birth Outcomes: A Tale of Two Water Treatment Plants
  Dhaval M. Dave and Muzhe Yang
• w27980 October 2020 Children and the Remaining Gender Gaps in the Labor Market
  Patricia Cortés and Jessica Pan
• w27975 October 2020 Milton Friedman and Exchange Rates in Developing Countries
  Sebastian Edwards
• w28006 October 2020 How Should Tax Progressivity Respond to Rising Income Inequality?
  Jonathan Heathcote, Kjetil Storesletten, and Giovanni L. Violante
• w28005 October 2020 The Slope of the Phillips Curve: Evidence from U.S. States
  Jonathon Hazell, Juan Herreño, Emi Nakamura, and Jón Steinsson
• w27978 October 2020 Valuing Rare Pediatric Drugs: An Economics Perspective
  Rena M. Conti, Jonathan Gruber, Daniel A. Ollendorf, and Peter J. Neumann
• w27979 October 2020 The Value of Social Status
  Alexander W. Butler, Bruce I. Carlin, Alan D. Crane, Boyang Liu, and James P. Weston
• w27981 October 2020 Agenda-Setter Power Dynamics: Learning in Multi-Issue Bargaining
  Renee Bowen, Ilwoo Hwang, and Stefan Krasa
• w27983 October 2020 Input-Output Networks and Misallocation
  Jing Hang, Pravin Krishna, and Heiwai Tang
• w27984 October 2020 Communication and Bargaining Breakdown: An Empirical Analysis
  Matthew Backus, Thomas Blake, Jett Pettus, and Steven Tadelis
• w27985 October 2020 Some Facts about Dominant Firms
  Germán Gutiérrez and Thomas Philippon
• w27986 October 2020 The Dynamic Impact of Exporting on Firm R&D Investment
  Florin G. Maican, Matilda Orth, Mark J. Roberts, and Van Anh Vuong
• w27987 October 2020 Reliance on Science by Inventors: Hybrid Extraction of In-text Patent-to-Article Citations
  Matt Marx and Aaron Fuegi
• w27988 October 2020 How do People Respond to Small Probability Events with Large, Negative Consequences?
  Martin S. Eichenbaum, Miguel Godinho de Matos, Francisco Lima, Sergio Rebelo, and Mathias Trabandt
• w27989 October 2020 Voting with their Sandals: Partisan Residential Sorting on Climate Change Risk
  Asaf Bernstein, Stephen B. Billings, Matthew Gustafson, and Ryan Lewis
• w27990 October 2020 The ESG-Innovation Disconnect: Evidence from Green Patenting
  Lauren Cohen, Umit G. Gurun, and Quoc H. Nguyen
• w27991 October 2020 Piecewise-Linear Approximations and Filtering for DSGE Models with Occasionally Binding Constraints
  S. Borağan Aruoba, Pablo Cuba-Borda, Kenji Higa-Flores, Frank Schorfheide, and Sergio Villalvazo
• w27992 October 2020 The Pandemic Economic Crisis, Precautionary Behavior, and Mobility Constraints: An Application of the Dynamic Disequilibrium Model with Randomness
  Joseph E. Stiglitz
• w27982 October 2020 When Externalities Collide: Influenza and Pollution
  Joshua S. Graff Zivin, Matthew J. Neidell, Nicholas J. Sanders, and Gregor Singer
• w27993 October 2020 How Likely Is It that Courts Will Select the US President? The Probability of Narrow, Reversible Election Results in the Electoral College versus a National Popular Vote
  Michael Geruso and Dean Spears
• w27994 October 2020 Granular Credit Risk
  Sigurd Galaasen, Rustam Jamilov, Ragnar Juelsrud, and Hélène Rey
• w27995 October 2020 Productivity Versus Motivation in Adolescent Human Capital Production: Evidence from a Structurally-Motivated Field Experiment
  Christopher Cotton, Brent R. Hickman, John A. List, Joseph Price, and Sutanuka Roy
• w27997 October 2020 An Executive Order Worth $100 Billion: The Impact of an Immigration Ban’s Announcement on Fortune 500 Firms’ Valuation
  Dany Bahar, Prithwiraj Choudhury, and Britta Glennon
• w27998 October 2020 Does Context Outweigh Individual Characteristics in Driving Voting Behavior? Evidence from Relocations within the U.S.
  Enrico Cantoni and Vincent Pons
• w27999 October 2020 The Long-Run Effects of the Affordable Care Act: A Pre-Committed Research Design Over the COVID-19 Recession and Recovery
  Jeffrey Clemens, Drew McNichols, and Joseph J. Sabia
• w28000 October 2020 Industrial Clusters, Networks and Resilience to the Covid-19 Shock in China
  Ruochen Dai, Dilip Mookherjee, Yingyue Quan, and Xiaobo Zhang
• w28001 October 2020 Searching for the Equity Premium
  Hang Bai and Lu Zhang
• w28002 October 2020 r Minus g
  Robert J. Barro
• w28003 October 2020 Impact of Consequence Information on Insurance Choice
  Anya Samek and Justin R. Sydnor
• w28004 October 2020 Macroeconomic Outcomes and COVID-19: A Progress Report
  Jesús Fernández-Villaverde and Charles I. Jones
• w27976 October 2020 Do Acquirer Announcement Returns Reflect Value Creation?
  Itzhak Ben-David, Utpal Bhattacharya, and Stacey E. Jacobsen
• w27977 October 2020 The Liquidity Sensitivity of Healthcare Consumption: Evidence from Social Security Payments
  Tal Gross, Timothy Layton, and Daniel Prinz
• w27974 October 2020 Socioeconomic Status and the Experience of Pain: An Example from Knees
  David M. Cutler, Ellen Meara, and Susan Stewart
• w28007 October 2020 Reconsidering Risk Aversion
  Daniel J. Benjamin, Mark Alan Fontana, and Miles S. Kimball
• w27972 October 2020 Civil Liberties in Times of Crisis
  Marcella Alsan, Luca Braghieri, Sarah Eichmeyer, Minjeong Joyce Kim, Stefanie Stantcheva, and David Y. Yang
• w27970 October 2020 The Federal Effort to Desegregate Southern Hospitals and the Black-White Infant Mortality Gap
  D. Mark Anderson, Kerwin Kofi Charles, and Daniel I. Rees
• w27968 October 2020 Wealth Mobility in the 1860s
  Brandon Dupont and Joshua L. Rosenbloom
• w27969 October 2020 Millionaires Speak: What Drives Their Personal Investment Decisions?
  Svetlana Bender, James J. Choi, Danielle Dyson, and Adriana Z. Robertson
• w27962 October 2020 Sparse Network Asymptotics for Logistic Regression
  Bryan S. Graham
• w27964 October 2020 How Did Depositors Respond to COVID-19?
  Ross Levine, Chen Lin, Mingzhu Tai, and Wensi Xie
• w27961 October 2020 Elections, Political Polarization, and Economic Uncertainty
  Scott R. Baker, Aniket Baksy, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, and Jonathan A. Rodden
• w27963 October 2020 The Economic Case for Protecting Biodiversity
  Geoffrey Heal
• w27965 October 2020 What Explains Temporal and Geographic Variation in the Early US Coronavirus Pandemic?
  Hunt Allcott, Levi Boxell, Jacob C. Conway, Billy A. Ferguson, Matthew Gentzkow, and Benny Goldman
• w27966 October 2020 Post COVID-19 Exit Strategies and Emerging Markets Economic Challenges
  Joshua Aizenman and Hiro Ito
• w27967 October 2020 Historical Data: Where to Find Them, How to Use Them
  Paola Giuliano and Andrea Matranga
• w27971 October 2020 An Analysis of the Performance of Target Date Funds
  John B. Shoven and Daniel B. Walton
• w27973 October 2020 Social Finance
  Theresa Kuchler and Johannes Stroebel
• w27946 October 2020 Estimating the Costs of Filing Tax Returns and the Potential Savings from Policies Aimed at Reducing These Costs
  Youssef Benzarti
• w27948 October 2020 Moneyball in Medicare: Heterogeneous Treatment Effects
  Edward C. Norton, Emily J. Lawton, and Jun Li
• w27949 October 2020 The Political Economics of Non-democracy
  Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin
• w27950 October 2020 How to Talk When a Machine is Listening: Corporate Disclosure in the Age of AI
  Sean Cao, Wei Jiang, Baozhong Yang, and Alan L. Zhang
• w27951 October 2020 Uncertainty, Wages, and the Business Cycle
  Matteo Cacciatore and Federico Ravenna
• w27952 October 2020 How Do CEOs Make Strategy?
  Mu-Jeung Yang, Michael Christensen, Nicholas Bloom, Raffaella Sadun, and Jan Rivkin
• w27953 October 2020 Externalities as Arbitrage
  Benjamin M. Hébert
• w27954 October 2020 Economic Adjustment during the Great Recession: The Role of Managerial Quality
  Gilbert Cette, Jimmy Lopez, Jacques Mairesse, and Giuseppe Nicoletti
• w27955 October 2020 Misallocation and Capital Market Integration: Evidence From India
  Natalie Bau and Adrien Matray
• w27956 October 2020 (S)Cars and the Great Recession
  Orazio Attanasio, Kieran P. Larkin, Morten O. Ravn, and Mario Padula
• w27957 October 2020 Offshoring and Inflation
  Diego A. Comin and Robert C. Johnson
• w27958 October 2020 Bottom-up Markup Fluctuations
  Ariel Burstein, Vasco M. Carvalho, and Basile Grassi
• w27959 October 2020 Liquidity and Volatility
  Itamar Drechsler, Alan Moreira, and Alexi Savov
• w27960 October 2020 Efficiency Wages, Unemployment, and Environmental Policy
  Garth Heutel and Xin Zhang
• w27947 October 2020 Overreaction and Working Memory
  Hassan Afrouzi, Spencer Yongwook Kwon, Augustin Landier, Yueran Ma, and David Thesmar
• w27910 October 2020 Firm Input Choice Under Trade Policy Uncertainty
  Kyle Handley, Nuno Limão, Rodney D. Ludema, and Zhi Yu
• w27911 October 2020 Covid-19 and the U.S. Safety Net
  Robert A. Moffitt and James P. Ziliak
• w27912 October 2020 Liquidity Requirements, Free-Riding, and the Implications for Financial Stability Evidence from the early 1900s
  Mark Carlson and Matthew S. Jaremski
• w27913 October 2020 Introducing CogX: A New Preschool Education Program Combining Parent and Child Interventions
  Roland G. Fryer Jr, Steven D. Levitt, John A. List, and Anya Samek
• w27914 October 2020 Designing an International Economic Order: A Research Agenda
  Renee Bowen and J. Lawrence Broz
• w27915 October 2020 Firm-Embedded Productivity and Cross-Country Income Differences
  Vanessa I. Alviarez, Javier Cravino, and Natalia Ramondo
• w27916 October 2020 Research Funding and Collaboration
  Benjamin Davies, Jason Gush, Shaun C. Hendy, and Adam B. Jaffe
• w27917 October 2020 The Micro Anatomy of Macro Consumption Adjustments
  Rafael Guntin, Pablo Ottonello, and Diego Perez
• w27918 October 2020 Ethnographic and Field Data in Historical Economics
  Sara Lowes
• w27919 October 2020 The Rise and Fall of Import Substitution
  Douglas A. Irwin
• w27920 October 2020 Anxiety or Pain? The Impact of Tariffs and Uncertainty on Chinese Firms in the Trade War
  Felipe Benguria, Jaerim Choi, Deborah L. Swenson, and Mingzhi Xu
• w27921 October 2020 Trends in US Income and Wealth Inequality: Revising After the Revisionists
  Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman
• w27922 October 2020 The Rise of Income and Wealth Inequality in America: Evidence from Distributional Macroeconomic Accounts
  Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman
• w27923 October 2020 Optimal Foreign Reserves and Central Bank Policy Under Financial Stress
  Luis Felipe Céspedes and Roberto Chang
• w27924 October 2020 Temporary Unemployment and Labor Market Dynamics During the COVID-19 Recession
  Jessica Gallant, Kory Kroft, Fabian Lange, and Matthew J. Notowidigdo
• w27925 October 2020 Human Capital Depreciation
  Michael Dinerstein, Rigissa Megalokonomou, and Constantine Yannelis
• w27926 October 2020 Dominant Currencies: How Firms Choose Currency Invoicing and Why it Matters
  Mary Amiti, Oleg Itskhoki, and Jozef Konings
• w27927 October 2020 Capital Flows in Risky Times: Risk-on/Risk-off and Emerging Market Tail Risk
  Anusha Chari, Karlye Dilts Stedman, and Christian Lundblad
• w27928 October 2020 City Limits: What do Local-Area Minimum Wages Do?
  Arindrajit Dube and Attila S. Lindner
• w27929 October 2020 De-globalization: Driven by Global Crises?
  Assaf Razin
• w27930 October 2020 Neglected No More: Housing Markets, Mortgage Lending, and Sea Level Rise
  Benjamin J. Keys and Philip Mulder
• w27931 October 2020 A q Theory of Internal Capital Markets
  Min Dai, Xavier Giroud, Wei Jiang, and Neng Wang
• w27932 October 2020 Did COVID-19 Market Disruptions Disrupt Food Security? Evidence from Households in Rural Liberia and Malawi
  Shilpa Aggarwal, Dahyeon Jeong, Naresh Kumar, David Sungho Park, Jonathan Robinson, and Alan Spearot
• w27933 October 2020 Teenage Driving, Mortality, and Risky Behaviors
  Jason U. Huh and Julian Reif
• w27935 October 2020 A Q-Theory of Banks
  Juliane Begenau, Saki Bigio, Jeremy Majerovitz, and Matias Vieyra
• w27936 October 2020 The Effects of the Affordable Care Act on the Near-Elderly: Evidence for Health Insurance Coverage and Labor Market Outcomes
  Mark Duggan, Gopi Shah Goda, and Gina Li
• w27937 October 2020 Powering Work from Home
  Steve Cicala
• w27938 October 2020 Highways and Globalization
  Taylor Jaworski, Carl Kitchens, and Sergey Nigai
• w27934 October 2020 Firm Dynamics and Trade
  George A. Alessandria, Costas Arkolakis, and Kim J. Ruhl
• w27939 October 2020 Corporate Taxation and the Distribution of Income
  James R. Hines Jr.
• w27940 October 2020 Who Benefits From the Child Tax Credit?
  Jacob Goldin and Katherine Michelmore
• w27941 October 2020 A Theory of Voluntary Testing and Self-isolation in an Ongoing Pandemic
  Thomas F. Hellmann and Veikko Thiele
• w27942 October 2020 Have Exchange-Listed Firms Become Less Important for the Economy?
  Frederik P. Schlingemann and René M. Stulz
• w27943 October 2020 Medical Research and Health Care Finance: Evidence from Academic Medical Centers
  Pierre Azoulay, Misty L. Heggeness, and Jennifer L. Kao
• w27944 October 2020 Temptation and Commitment: Understanding Hand-to-Mouth Behavior
  Orazio Attanasio, Agnes Kovacs, and Patrick Moran
• w27874 October 2020 Opening the Door: Migration and Self-Selection in a Restrictive Legal Immigration Regime
  Elizabeth U. Cascio and Ethan G. Lewis
• w27945 October 2020 Bank Liquidity Provision Across the Firm Size Distribution
  Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, Olivier Darmouni, Stephan Luck, and Matthew C. Plosser
• w27878 October 2020 A Toolkit for Solving Models with a Lower Bound on Interest Rates of Stochastic Duration
  Gauti B. Eggertsson, Sergey K. Egiev, Alessandro Lin, Josef Platzer, and Luca Riva
• w27903 October 2020 Emerging Markets Sovereign CDS Spreads During COVID-19: Economics versus Epidemiology News
  Timo Daehler, Joshua Aizenman, and Yothin Jinjarak
• w27882 October 2020 A Cost/Benefit Analysis of Clinical Trial Designs for COVID-19 Vaccine Candidates
  Donald A. Berry, Scott Berry, Peter Hale, Leah Isakov, Andrew W. Lo, Kien Wei Siah, and Chi Heem Wong
• w27881 October 2020 The Distribution of COVID-19 Related Risks
  Patrick Baylis, Pierre-Loup Beauregard, Marie Connolly, Nicole Fortin, David A. Green, Pablo Gutierrez Cubillos, Sam Gyetvay, Catherine Haeck, Timea Laura Molnar, Gaëlle Simard-Duplain, Henry E. Siu, Maria teNyenhuis, and Casey Warman
• w27883 October 2020 Renegotiation in Debt Chains
  Vincent Glode and Christian Opp
• w27884 October 2020 The Effects of Government Licensing on E-commerce: Evidence from Alibaba
  Ginger Zhe Jin, Zhentong Lu, Xiaolu Zhou, and Chunxiao Li
• w27879 October 2020 Using Satellite Imagery to Understand and Promote Sustainable Development
  Marshall Burke, Anne Driscoll, David Lobell, and Stefano Ermon
• w27900 October 2020 Deterrence Effects of Antifraud and Abuse Enforcement in Health Care
  David H. Howard and Ian McCarthy
• w27885 October 2020 State Investment in Higher Education: Effects on Human Capital Formation, Student Debt, and Long-term Financial Outcomes of Students
  Rajashri Chakrabarti, Nicole Gorton, and Michael F. Lovenheim
• w27886 October 2020 Unemployed With Jobs and Without Jobs
  Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak
• w27880 October 2020 Incentivizing Negative Emissions Through Carbon Shares
  Derek Lemoine
• w27887 October 2020 When Information is Not Enough: Evidence from a Centralized School Choice System
  Kehinde F. Ajayi, Willa H. Friedman, and Adrienne M. Lucas
• w27888 October 2020 Calculating DAF Payout and What We Learn When We Do It Correctly
  James Andreoni and Ray Madoff
• w27889 October 2020 Private Equity and COVID-19
  Paul A. Gompers, Steven N. Kaplan, and Vladimir Mukharlyamov
• w27890 October 2020 Rules vs. Discretion: Treatment of Mental Illness in U.S. Adolescents
  Emily Cuddy and Janet Currie
• w27891 October 2020 Face Masks, Public Policies and Slowing the Spread of COVID-19: Evidence from Canada
  Alexander Karaivanov, Shih En Lu, Hitoshi Shigeoka, Cong Chen, and Stephanie Pamplona
• w27893 October 2020 Concessions, Violence, and Indirect Rule: Evidence from the Congo Free State
  Sara Lowes and Eduardo Montero
• w27894 October 2020 Flexible Wages, Bargaining, and the Gender Gap
  Barbara Biasi and Heather Sarsons
• w27892 October 2020 The Global Factor Structure of Exchange Rates
  Sofonias Korsaye, Fabio Trojani, and Andrea Vedolin
• w27895 October 2020 Discovering Treatment Effectiveness via Median Treatment Effects—Applications to COVID-19 Clinical Trials
  John Mullahy
• w27896 October 2020 Measuring the Effects of Firm Uncertainty on Economic Activity: New Evidence from One Million Documents
  Kyle Handley and J. Frank Li
• w27897 October 2020 Digital Messaging to Improve College Enrollment and Success
  Christopher Avery, Benjamin L. Castleman, Michael Hurwitz, Bridget T. Long, and Lindsay C. Page
• w27898 October 2020 Monetary Policy Cooperation/Coordination and Global Financial Crises in Historical Perspective
  Michael D. Bordo
• w27899 October 2020 Wealth Transfers and Net Wealth at Death: Evidence from the Italian Inheritance Tax Records 1995–2016
  Paolo Acciari and Salvatore Morelli
• w27901 October 2020 Global Financial Cycle and Liquidity Management
  Olivier Jeanne and Damiano Sandri
• w27902 October 2020 Public Policy and Participation in Political Interest Groups: An Analysis of Minimum Wages, Labor Unions, and Effective Advocacy
  Jeffrey Clemens and Michael R. Strain
• w27904 October 2020 The Gravitational Constant?
  David S. Jacks, Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke, and Alan M. Taylor
• w27905 October 2020 New-Keynesian Trade: Understanding the Employment and Welfare Effects of Trade Shocks
  Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, Mauricio Ulate, and José P. Vásquez
• w27906 October 2020 A Helicopter Tour of Some Underlying Issues In Empirical Industrial Organization
  Ariel Pakes
• w27907 October 2020 Flight to Safety: How Economic Downturns Affect Talent Flows to Startups
  Shai Bernstein, Richard R. Townsend, and Ting Xu
• w27908 October 2020 Who Should Work from Home during a Pandemic? The Wage-Infection Trade-off
  Sangmin Aum, Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee, and Yongseok Shin
• w27909 October 2020 Organizing Crisis Innovation: Lessons from World War II
  Daniel P. Gross and Bhaven N. Sampat
• w27877 September 2020 COVID-19 and SME Failures
  Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan, Veronika Penciakova, and Nick Sander
• w27851 September 2020 Crisis Innovation
  Tania Babina, Asaf Bernstein, and Filippo Mezzanotti
• w27853 September 2020 What Is CEO Overconfidence? Evidence from Executive Assessments
  Steven N. Kaplan, Morten Sorensen, and Anastasia A. Zakolyukina
• w27873 September 2020 The International Propagation of Economic Downturns Through Multinational Companies: The Real Economy Channel
  Jan Bena, Serdar Dinc, and Isil Erel
• w27849 September 2020 Fifty Shades of QE: Comparing Findings of Central Bankers and Academics
  Brian Fabo, Martina Jančoková, Elisabeth Kempf, and Ľuboš Pástor
• w27863 September 2020 A Calculation of the Social Returns to Innovation
  Benjamin F. Jones and Lawrence H. Summers
• w27847 September 2020 The Economics of Currency Risk
  Tarek Alexander Hassan and Tony Zhang
• w27848 September 2020 A Satellite Account for Health in the United States
  David M. Cutler, Kaushik Ghosh, Kassandra Messer, Trivellore Raghunathan, Allison B. Rosen, and Susan T. Stewart
• w27850 September 2020 History and Urban Economics
  W. Walker Hanlon and Stephan Heblich
• w27852 September 2020 Institutional Change and Institutional Persistence
  Daron Acemoglu, Georgy Egorov, and Konstantin Sonin
• w27857 September 2020 Worker Empowerment and Subjective Evaluation: On Building an Effective Conflict Culture
  W. Bentley MacLeod, Victoria Valle Lara, and Christian Zehnder
• w27854 September 2020 War, Socialism and the Rise of Fascism: An Empirical Exploration
  Daron Acemoglu, Giuseppe De Feo, Giacomo De Luca, and Gianluca Russo
• w27855 September 2020 A Counterfactual Economic Analysis of Covid-19 Using a Threshold Augmented Multi-Country Model
  Alexander Chudik, Kamiar Mohaddes, M. Hashem Pesaran, Mehdi Raissi, and Alessandro Rebucci
• w27856 September 2020 Why Does the Fed Move Markets so Much? A Model of Monetary Policy and Time-Varying Risk Aversion
  Carolin Pflueger and Gianluca Rinaldi
• w27858 September 2020 The Aggregate Demand for Bank Capital
  Milton Harris, Christian Opp, and Marcus Opp
• w27859 September 2020 A Return Based Measure of Firm Quality
  Ravi Jagannathan and Yang Zhang
• w27860 September 2020 Behavioral Biases are Temporally Stable
  Victor Stango and Jonathan Zinman
• w27861 September 2020 Stock-bond Return Correlation, Bond Risk Premium Fundamental, and Fiscal-monetary Policy Regime
  Erica X.N. Li, Tao Zha, Ji Zhang, and Hao Zhou
• w27862 September 2020 Tapping into Talent: Coupling Education and Innovation Policies for Economic Growth
  Ufuk Akcigit, Jeremy G. Pearce, and Marta Prato
• w27864 September 2020 Cross-Sectional Uncertainty and the Business Cycle: Evidence from 40 Years of Options Data
  Ian Dew-Becker and Stefano Giglio
• w27865 September 2020 COVID-19 Changed Tastes for Safety-Net Programs
  Alex Rees-Jones, John D'Attoma, Amedeo Piolatto, and Luca Salvadori
• w27866 September 2020 The Wisdom of the Robinhood Crowd
  Ivo Welch
• w27867 September 2020 Firm-Level Risk Exposures and Stock Returns in the Wake of COVID-19
  Steven J. Davis, Stephen Hansen, and Cristhian Seminario-Amez
• w27868 September 2020 Health Insurance Menu Design for Large Employers
  Kate Ho and Robin S. Lee
• w27875 September 2020 Nudging Timely Wage Reporting: Field Experimental Evidence from the United States Social Supplementary Income Program
  C. Yiwei Zhang, Jeffrey Hemmeter, Judd B. Kessler, Robert D. Metcalfe, and Robert Weathers
• w27870 September 2020 Long-run Returns to Impact Investing in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies
  Shawn Cole, Martin Melecky, Florian Mölders, and Tristan Reed
• w27876 September 2020 Modeling the Consumption Response to the CARES Act
  Christopher D. Carroll, Edmund Crawley, Jiri Slacalek, and Matthew N. White
• w27598 September 2020 Patent Quality: Towards a Systematic Framework for Analysis and Measurement
  Kyle W. Higham, Gaétan de Rassenfosse, and Adam B. Jaffe
• w27869 September 2020 Is the Selfish Life-Cycle Model More Applicable in Japan and, If So, Why? A Literature Survey
  Charles Yuji Horioka
• w27872 September 2020 A Theory of Foreign Exchange Interventions
  Sebastián Fanelli and Ludwig Straub
• w27871 September 2020 Impediments to the Schumpeterian Process in the Replacement of Large Firms
  Mara Faccio and John J. McConnell
• w27845 September 2020 Non-Random Exposure to Exogenous Shocks: Theory and Applications
  Kirill Borusyak and Peter Hull
• w27843 September 2020 Man vs. Machine Learning: The Term Structure of Earnings Expectations and Conditional Biases
  Jules H. van Binsbergen, Xiao Han, and Alejandro Lopez-Lira
• w27844 September 2020 Uncertainty, Long-Run, and Monetary Policy Risks in a Two-Country Macro Model
  Kimberly A. Berg and Nelson C. Mark
• w27837 September 2020 On the Equilibrium Properties of Network Models with Heterogeneous Agents
  Treb Allen, Costas Arkolakis, and Xiangliang Li
• w27836 September 2020 Average Inflation Targeting and Household Expectations
  Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Edward S. Knotek II, and Raphael Schoenle
• w27835 September 2020 Inequality of Opportunity for Income in Denmark and the United States: A Comparison Based on Administrative Data
  Pablo Mitnik, Anne-Line Helsø, and Victoria L. Bryant
• w27831 September 2020 On Public Spending and Economic Unions
  Fernando Broner, Alberto Martin, and Jaume Ventura
• w27834 September 2020 Marginal Effects of Merit Aid for Low-Income Students
  Joshua Angrist, David Autor, and Amanda Pallais
• w27829 September 2020 Pandemics, Vaccines and an Earnings Damage Function
  Harrison Hong, Jeffrey D. Kubik, Neng Wang, Xiao Xu, and Jinqiang Yang
• w27828 September 2020 Fencing Off Silicon Valley: Cross-Border Venture Capital and Technology Spillovers
  Ufuk Akcigit, Sina T. Ates, Josh Lerner, Richard R. Townsend, and Yulia Zhestkova
• w27827 September 2020 Expanding the Measurement of Culture with a Sample of Two Billion Humans
  Nick Obradovich, Ömer Özak, Ignacio Martín, Ignacio Ortuño-Ortín, Edmond Awad, Manuel Cebrián, Rubén Cuevas, Klaus Desmet, Iyad Rahwan, and Ángel Cuevas
• w27825 September 2020 Dissertators with Distantly Related Foci Face Divergent Near-Term Outcomes
  Kevin M. Kniffin, Andrew S. Hanks, Xuechao Qian, Bo Wang, and Bruce A. Weinberg
• w27824 September 2020 Venture Capitalists and COVID-19
  Paul Gompers, Will Gornall, Steven N. Kaplan, and Ilya A. Strebulaev
• w27826 September 2020 Optimal Financial Transaction Taxes
  Eduardo Dávila
• w27823 September 2020 The Persistence of Socio-Emotional Skills: Life Cycle and Intergenerational Evidence
  Orazio Attanasio, Áureo de Paula, and Alessandro Toppeta
• w27842 September 2020 Choice in Insurance Markets: A Pigouvian Approach to Social Insurance Design
  Nathaniel Hendren, Camille Landais, and Johannes Spinnewijn
• w27841 September 2020 Pandemics Through the Lens of Occupations
  Anand Chopra, Michael B. Devereux, and Amartya Lahiri
• w27840 September 2020 Globalization and Pandemics
  Pol Antràs, Stephen J. Redding, and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg
• w27839 September 2020 Measuring Property Rights Institutions
  Simeon Djankov, Edward L. Glaeser, Valeria Perotti, and Andrei Shleifer
• w27833 September 2020 The Effects of COVID-19 on U.S. Small Businesses: Evidence from Owners, Managers, and Employees
  Georgij Alekseev, Safaa Amer, Manasa Gopal, Theresa Kuchler, JW Schneider, Johannes Stroebel, and Nils C. Wernerfelt
• w27832 September 2020 Gangs, Labor Mobility and Development
  Nikita Melnikov, Carlos Schmidt-Padilla, and Maria Micaela Sviatschi
• w27846 September 2020 Crimes Against Morality: Unintended Consequences of Criminalizing Sex Work
  Lisa Cameron, Jennifer Seager, and Manisha Shah
• w27838 September 2020 Child Skill Production: Accounting for Parental and Market-Based Time and Goods Investments
  Elizabeth M. Caucutt, Lance Lochner, Joseph Mullins, and Youngmin Park
• w27830 September 2020 The Intergenerational Effects of the Vietnam Draft on Risky Behaviors
  Monica Deza and Alvaro Mezza
• w27821 September 2020 Trade and Geography
  Stephen J. Redding
• w27822 September 2020 Abstentions and Social Networks in Congress
  Marco Battaglini, Valerio Leone Sciabolazza, and Eleonora Patacchini
• w27819 September 2020 Monetary Policy Surprises and Exchange Rate Behavior
  Refet S. Gürkaynak, A. Hakan Kara, Burçin Kısacıkoğlu, and Sang Seok Lee
• w27820 September 2020 Economic Agents as Imperfect Problem Solvers
  Cosmin L. Ilut and Rosen Valchev
• w27816 September 2020 My Taxes are Too Darn High: Tax Protests as Revealed Preferences for Taxation
  Brad C. Nathan, Ricardo Perez-Truglia, and Alejandro Zentner
• w27817 September 2020 Do Black and Indigenous Communities Receive their Fair Share of Vaccines Under the 2018 CDC Guidelines?
  Parag A. Pathak, Harald Schmidt, Adam Solomon, Edwin Song, Tayfun Sönmez, and M. Utku Ünver
• w27818 September 2020 On the Origins of Gender-Biased Behavior: The Role of Explicit and Implicit Stereotypes
  Eliana Avitzour, Adi Choen, Daphna Joel, and Victor Lavy
• w27814 September 2020 Unemployment Disrupts Sleep
  David G. Blanchflower and Alex Bryson
• w27813 September 2020 The Contagion Externality of a Superspreading Event: The Sturgis Motorcycle Rally and COVID-19
  Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Drew McNichols, and Joseph J. Sabia
• w27811 September 2020 What Explains the Gap in Welfare Use among Immigrants and Natives?
  Xiaoning Huang, Neeraj Kaushal, and Julia Shu-Huah Wang
• w27809 September 2020 The Fed Takes on Corporate Credit Risk: An Analysis of the Efficacy of the SMCCF
  Simon Gilchrist, Bin Wei, Vivian Z. Yue, and Egon Zakrajšek
• w27810 September 2020 Token-Based Platform Finance
  Lin William Cong, Ye Li, and Neng Wang
• w27808 September 2020 On the Origins of the Idea of Ending Poverty
  Martin Ravallion
• w27806 September 2020 Measuring the Cost of Living in Mexico and the US
  David O. Argente, Chang-Tai Hsieh, and Munseob Lee
• w27805 September 2020 Disease, Downturns, and Wellbeing: Economic History and the Long-Run Impacts of COVID-19
  Vellore Arthi and John Parman
• w27804 September 2020 Is the Rise in Illicit Opioids Affecting Labor Supply and Disability Claiming Rates?
  Sujeong Park and David Powell
• w27812 September 2020 Child Development in the Early Years: Parental Investment and the Changing Dynamics of Different Dimensions
  Orazio Attanasio, Raquel Bernal, Michele Giannola, and Milagros Nores
• w27803 September 2020 Linguistic Metrics for Patent Disclosure: Evidence from University Versus Corporate Patents
  Nancy Kong, Uwe Dulleck, Adam B. Jaffe, Shupeng Sun, and Sowmya Vajjala
• w27802 September 2020 On the Use of Outcome Tests for Detecting Bias in Decision Making
  Ivan A. Canay, Magne Mogstad, and Jack Mountjoy
• w27801 September 2020 Coasean Approaches to Ending Overfishing: Bigeye Tuna Conservation in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean
  Daniel Ovando, Gary D. Libecap, Katherine D. Millage, and Lennon Thomas
• w27799 September 2020 Large Learning Gains in Pockets of Extreme Poverty: Experimental Evidence from Guinea Bissau
  Ila Fazzio, Alex Eble, Robin L. Lumsdaine, Peter Boone, Baboucarr Bouy, Pei-Tseng Jenny Hsieh, Chitra Jayanty, Simon Johnson, and Ana Filipa Silva
• w27800 September 2020 Communication and the Beliefs of Economic Agents
  Bernardo Candia, Olivier Coibion, and Yuriy Gorodnichenko
• w27807 September 2020 Reservation Wages and Workers’ Valuation of Job Flexibility: Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment
  Kuan-Ming Chen, Claire Ding, John A. List, and Magne Mogstad
• w27815 September 2020 Liquidity Transformation and Fragility in the US Banking Sector
  Qi Chen, Itay Goldstein, Zeqiong Huang, and Rahul Vashishtha
• w27797 September 2020 Correcting for Misclassified Binary Regressors Using Instrumental Variables
  Steven J. Haider and Melvin Stephens Jr.
• w27798 September 2020 The Costs of Employment Segregation: Evidence from the Federal Government under Wilson
  Abhay Aneja and Guo Xu
• w27796 September 2020 The Social Safety Net in the Wake of COVID-19
  Marianne Bitler, Hilary W. Hoynes, and Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach
• w27795 September 2020 Growing Like China: Firm Performance and Global Production Line Position
  Davin Chor, Kalina Manova, and Zhihong Yu
• w27793 September 2020 An Optimal Test for Strategic Interaction in Social and Economic Network Formation between Heterogeneous Agents
  Andrin Pelican and Bryan S. Graham
• w27792 September 2020 Who's In and Who's Out under Workplace COVID Symptom Screening?
  Krista J. Ruffini, Aaron Sojourner, and Abigail K. Wozniak
• w27791 September 2020 Who are the Essential and Frontline Workers?
  Francine D. Blau, Josefine Koebe, and Pamela A. Meyerhofer
• w27790 September 2020 Clean Air as an Experience Good in Urban China
  Matthew E. Kahn, Weizeng Sun, and Siqi Zheng
• w27789 September 2020 Does Gender Matter for Promotion in Science? Evidence from Physicists in France
  Jacques Mairesse, Michele Pezzoni, and Fabiana Visentin
• w27794 September 2020 The Great Lockdown and the Big Stimulus: Tracing the Pandemic Possibility Frontier for the U.S.
  Greg Kaplan, Benjamin Moll, and Giovanni L. Violante
• w27787 September 2020 Declining Business Dynamism among Our Best Opportunities: The Role of the Burden of Knowledge
  Thomas Astebro, Serguey Braguinsky, and Yuheng Ding
• w27788 September 2020 Paid Leave Pays Off: The Effects of Paid Family Leave on Firm Performance
  Benjamin Bennett, Isil Erel, Léa H. Stern, and Zexi Wang
• w27783 September 2020 Does Increasing Access to Formal Credit Reduce Payday Borrowing?
  Sarah Miller and Cindy K. Soo
• w27784 September 2020 What Explains the COVID-19 Stock Market?
  Josue Cox, Daniel L. Greenwald, and Sydney C. Ludvigson
• w27777 September 2020 Tracing the Linkages Between Scientific Research and Energy Innovations: A Comparison of Clean and Dirty Technologies
  Robert K. Perrons, Adam B. Jaffe, and Trinh Le
• w27781 September 2020 Using Taxes to Meet an Emission Target
  Robert I. Harris and William A. Pizer
• w27782 September 2020 Shale Shocked: Cash Windfalls and Household Debt Repayment
  J. Anthony Cookson, Erik P. Gilje, and Rawley Z. Heimer
• w27776 September 2020 Rugged Individualism and Collective (In)action During the COVID-19 Pandemic
  Samuel Bazzi, Martin Fiszbein, and Mesay Gebresilasse
• w27771 September 2020 How to Estimate a VAR after March 2020
  Michele Lenza and Giorgio E. Primiceri
• w27772 September 2020 Winners and Losers from Sovereign Debt Inflows
  Fernando Broner, Alberto Martin, Lorenzo Pandolfi, and Tomas Williams
• w27775 September 2020 Perinatal Health among 1 Million Chinese-Americans
  Douglas Almond and Yi Cheng
• w27778 September 2020 Immigration and Entrepreneurship in the United States
  Pierre Azoulay, Benjamin Jones, J. Daniel Kim, and Javier Miranda
• w27779 September 2020 Affirmative Action and Pre-College Human Capital
  Mitra Akhtari, Natalie Bau, and Jean-William P. Laliberté
• w27774 September 2020 The Fractured-Land Hypothesis
  Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, Mark Koyama, Youhong Lin, and Tuan-Hwee Sng
• w27786 September 2020 Manufacturing Risk-free Government Debt
  Zhengyang Jiang, Hanno Lustig, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and Mindy Z. Xiaolan
• w27773 September 2020 The Long-Term Distributional and Welfare Effects of Covid-19 School Closures
  Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln, Dirk Krueger, Alexander Ludwig, and Irina Popova
• w27764 September 2020 The Impact of Migration Controls on Urban Fiscal Policies and the Intergenerational Transmission of Human Capital in China
  Holger Sieg, Chamna Yoon, and Jipeng Zhang
• w27766 September 2020 Economic Aspects of the Energy Transition
  Geoffrey Heal
• w27770 September 2020 Clearing the Bar: Improving Tax Compliance for Small Firms through Target Setting
  Yazan Al-Karablieh, Evangelos Koumanakos, and Stefanie Stantcheva
• w27769 September 2020 Board Dynamics over the Startup Life Cycle
  Michael Ewens and Nadya Malenko
• w27768 September 2020 Effective Demand Failures and the Limits of Monetary Stabilization Policy
  Michael Woodford
• w27765 September 2020 Unpaired Kidney Exchange: Overcoming Double Coincidence of Wants without Money
  Mohammad Akbarpour, Julien Combe, Yinghua He, Victor Hiller, Robert Shimer, and Olivier Tercieux
• w27780 September 2020 Test Sensitivity for Infection versus Infectiousness of SARS-CoV-2
  Joshua S. Gans
• w27785 September 2020 The Social Determinants of Choice Quality: Evidence from Health Insurance in the Netherlands
  Benjamin R. Handel, Jonathan T. Kolstad, Thomas Minten, and Johannes Spinnewijn
• w27767 September 2020 To Stay or to Migrate? When Becker Meets Harris-Todaro
  Pei-Ju Liao, Ping Wang, Yin-Chi Wang, and Chong Kee Yip
• w27759 August 2020 Is the Cure Worse than the Disease? County-Level Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States
  Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes, Neeraj Kaushal, and Ashley N. Muchow
• w27746 August 2020 International Evidence on Shock-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through
  Kristin Forbes, Ida Hjortsoe, and Tsvetelina Nenova
• w27747 August 2020 Doubling Down on Debt: Limited Liability as a Financial Friction
  Jesse Perla, Carolin Pflueger, and Michal Szkup
• w27753 August 2020 Stable Income, Stable Family
  Isaac Swensen ⓡ, Jason M. Lindo ⓡ, and Krishna Regmi
• w27752 August 2020 Business Incomes at the Top
  Wojciech Kopczuk and Eric Zwick
• w27742 August 2020 Optimal Management of a Pandemic in the Short Run and the Long Run
  Andrew B. Abel and Stavros Panageas
• w27741 August 2020 Pandemic Control in ECON-EPI Networks
  Marina Azzimonti, Alessandra Fogli, Fabrizio Perri, and Mark Ponder
• w27740 August 2020 Financial Returns to Household Inventory Management
  Scott R. Baker, Stephanie G. Johnson, and Lorenz Kueng
• w27736 August 2020 Hiring as Exploration
  Danielle Li, Lindsey R. Raymond, and Peter Bergman
• w27755 August 2020 Monopsony in Movers: The Elasticity of Labor Supply to Firm Wage Policies
  Ihsaan Bassier, Arindrajit Dube, and Suresh Naidu
• w27735 August 2020 Moonshots, Investment Booms, and Selection Bias in the Transmission of Cultural Traits
  David Hirshleifer and Joshua Plotkin
• w27750 August 2020 Colonial Origins, Property Rights, and the Organization of Agricultural Production: the US Midwest and Argentine Pampas Compared
  Eric C. Edwards, Martin Fiszbein, and Gary D. Libecap
• w27749 August 2020 Remote Work and the Heterogeneous Impact of COVID-19 on Employment and Health
  Manuela Angelucci, Marco Angrisani, Daniel M. Bennett, Arie Kapteyn, and Simone G. Schaner
• w27761 August 2020 Racial Disparities in Motor Vehicle Searches Cannot Be Justified by Efficiency
  Benjamin Feigenberg and Conrad Miller
• w27745 August 2020 Social Finance: Cultural Evolution, Transmission Bias and Market Dynamics
  Erol Akcay and David Hirshleifer
• w27744 August 2020 Cheap Thrills: the Price of Leisure and the Global Decline in Work Hours
  Alexandr Kopytov, Nikolai Roussanov, and Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel
• w27757 August 2020 Modern Infectious Diseases: Macroeconomic Impacts and Policy Responses
  David E. Bloom, Michael Kuhn, and Klaus Prettner
• w27758 August 2020 Jacks of All Trades and Masters of One: Declining Search Frictions and Unequal Growth
  Paolo Martellini and Guido Menzio
• w27754 August 2020 Centrino and the Restructuring of WI-FI Supply
  Roberto Fontana and Shane Greenstein
• w27734 August 2020 Who Profits From Amateurism? Rent-Sharing in Modern College Sports
  Craig Garthwaite, Jordan Keener, Matthew J. Notowidigdo, and Nicole F. Ozminkowski
• w27743 August 2020 Does Vote Trading Improve Welfare?
  Alessandra Casella and Antonin Macé
• w27739 August 2020 Global Business and Financial Cycles: A Tale of Two Capital Account Regimes
  Julien Acalin and Alessandro Rebucci
• w27763 August 2020 Monetary Stimulus Amidst the Infrastructure Investment Spree: Evidence from China's Loan-Level Data
  Kaiji Chen, Haoyu Gao, Patrick C. Higgins, Daniel F. Waggoner, and Tao Zha
• w27756 August 2020 An Instrumental Variable Approach to Dynamic Models
  Steven T. Berry and Giovanni Compiani
• w27738 August 2020 Using a Satisficing Model of Experimenter Decision-Making to Guide Finite-Sample Inference for Compromised Experiments
  Ganesh Karapakula and James J. Heckman
• w27733 August 2020 Payments Crises and Consequences
  Qian Chen, Christoffer Koch, Padma Sharma, and Gary Richardson
• w27737 August 2020 Intergenerational Effects of Early-Life Advantage: Lessons from a Primate Study
  Amanda M. Dettmer, James J. Heckman, Juan Pantano, Victor Ronda, and Stephen J. Suomi
• w27751 August 2020 Investor Tax Credits and Entrepreneurship: Evidence from U.S. States
  Matthew R. Denes, Sabrina T. Howell, Filippo Mezzanotti, Xinxin Wang, and Ting Xu
• w27762 August 2020 Are All Managed Care Plans Created Equal? Evidence from Random Plan Assignment in Medicaid
  Michael Geruso, Timothy J. Layton, and Jacob Wallace
• w27760 August 2020 What Can Economics Say About Alzheimer's Disease?
  Amitabh Chandra, Courtney Coile, and Corina Mommaerts
• w27748 August 2020 Limitations on the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Forward Guidance in the Context of the COVID-19 Pandemic
  Andrew T. Levin and Arunima Sinha
• w27729 August 2020 Income and Poverty in the COVID-19 Pandemic
  Jeehoon Han, Bruce D. Meyer, and James X. Sullivan
• w27723 August 2020 Data-intensive Innovation and the State: Evidence from AI Firms in China
  Martin Beraja, David Y. Yang, and Noam Yuchtman
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  Ricardo Lagos
• w27722 August 2020 When Tariffs Disturb Global Supply Chains
  Gene M. Grossman and Elhanan Helpman
• w27721 August 2020 Interbank Networks in the Shadows of the Federal Reserve Act
  Haelim Anderson, Selman Erol, and Guillermo Ordoñez
• w27716 August 2020 Openness to Trade and the Spread of Industrialization: Evidence from Canada during the First Era of Globalization
  Taylor Jaworski and Ian Keay
• w27728 August 2020 Heterogeneous Effects Of Health Insurance On Birth Related Outcomes: Unpacking Compositional Vs. Direct Changes
  Jie Ma and Kosali I. Simon
• w27717 August 2020 The EITC and Maternal Time Use: More Time Working and Less Time with Kids?
  Jacob Bastian and Lance Lochner
• w27725 August 2020 Gender and Culture
  Paola Giuliano
• w27715 August 2020 Estimating DSGE Models: Recent Advances and Future Challenges
  Jesús Fernández-Villaverde and Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana
• w27709 August 2020 Permanent Income Shocks, Target Wealth, and the Wealth Gap
  Tullio Jappelli and Luigi Pistaferri
• w27714 August 2020 Have Income-Based Achievement Gaps Widened or Narrowed?
  Shirin A. Hashim, Thomas J. Kane, Thomas Kelley-Kemple, Mary E. Laski, and Douglas O. Staiger
• w27720 August 2020 Now Unions Increase Job Satisfaction and Well-being
  David G. Blanchflower and Alex Bryson
• w27713 August 2020 Judge Peer Effects in the Courthouse
  Ozkan Eren and Naci H. Mocan
• w27712 August 2020 Monetary Policy and Asset Price Overshooting: A Rationale for the Wall/Main Street Disconnect
  Ricardo J. Caballero and Alp Simsek
• w27719 August 2020 Four Stylized Facts about COVID-19
  Andrew Atkeson, Karen Kopecky, and Tao Zha
• w27732 August 2020 Repurchase Options in the Market for Lemons
  Saki Bigio and Liyan Shi
• w27708 August 2020 The Baker Hypothesis
  Anusha Chari, Peter Blair Henry, and Hector Reyes
• w27718 August 2020 The Economic Impact of Migrants from Hurricane Maria
  Giovanni Peri, Derek Rury, and Justin C. Wiltshire
• w27711 August 2020 What Good Are Treatment Effects without Treatment? Mental Health and the Reluctance to Use Talk Therapy
  Christopher J. Cronin, Matthew P. Forsstrom, and Nicholas W. Papageorge
• w27731 August 2020 The Stable Transformation Path
  Francisco J. Buera, Joseph P. Kaboski, Martí Mestieri, and Daniel G. O'Connor
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  Anna Maria Mayda, Francesc Ortega, Giovanni Peri, Kevin Y. Shih, and Chad Sparber
• w27710 August 2020 Exit vs. Voice
  Eleonora Broccardo, Oliver D. Hart, and Luigi Zingales
• w27727 August 2020 Dynamic Trade-offs and Labor Supply Under the CARES Act
  Corina Boar and Simon Mongey
• w27726 August 2020 Increasing Hours Worked: Moonlighting Responses to a Large Tax Reform
  Alisa Tazhitdinova
• w27703 August 2020 When Uncle Sam Introduced Main Street to Wall Street: Liberty Bonds and the Transformation of American Finance
  Eric Hilt, Matthew S. Jaremski, and Wendy Rahn
• w27701 August 2020 Bank Syndicates and Liquidity Provision
  Joao A. C. Santos and S. Vish Viswanathan
• w27695 August 2020 Government Advertising in Market-Based Public Programs: Evidence from the Health Insurance Marketplace
  Naoki Aizawa and You Suk Kim
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  Veronica Minaya, Brendan Moore, and Judith Scott-Clayton
• w27691 August 2020 Low Interest Rates, Policy, and the Predictive Content of the Yield Curve
  Michael D. Bordo and Joseph G. Haubrich
• w27692 August 2020 Union Membership Peaks in Midlife
  David G. Blanchflower and Alex Bryson
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  Shumiao Ouyang, Jiaheng Yu, and Ravi Jagannathan
• w27689 August 2020 Discrimination and Racial Disparities in Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from WWII
  Anna Aizer, Ryan Boone, Adriana Lleras-Muney, and Jonathan Vogel
• w27700 August 2020 Intermediation and Competition in Search Markets: An Empirical Case Study
  Tobias Salz
• w27699 August 2020 Understanding Tax Policy: How Do People Reason?
  Stefanie Stantcheva
• w27697 August 2020 Peak China Housing
  Kenneth S. Rogoff and Yuanchen Yang
• w27698 August 2020 The International Aspects of Macroprudential Policy
  Kristin J. Forbes
• w27696 August 2020 Decoding India's Low Covid-19 Case Fatality rate
  Minu Philip, Debraj Ray, and S. Subramanian
• w27693 August 2020 How Did U.S. Consumers Use Their Stimulus Payments?
  Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Michael Weber
• w27687 August 2020 The Macroeconomic Effects of Macroprudential Policy: Evidence from a Narrative Approach
  Diego Rojas, Carlos A. Vegh, and Guillermo Vuletin
• w27688 August 2020 What Determines School Segregation? The Crucial Role of Neighborhood Factors
  Gregorio S. Caetano and Hugh Macartney
• w27706 August 2020 History as Evolution
  Nathan Nunn
• w27707 August 2020 Measuring Customer Churn and Interconnectedness
  Scott R. Baker, Brian Baugh, and Marco C. Sammon
• w27705 August 2020 The Tax Elasticity of Capital Gains and Revenue-Maximizing Rates
  Ole Agersnap and Owen M. Zidar
• w27704 August 2020 Nonparametric Identification of Differentiated Products Demand Using Micro Data
  Steven T. Berry and Philip A. Haile
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  George-Marios Angeletos and Chen Lian
• w27685 August 2020 Behavioral Welfare Economics and Risk Preferences: A Bayesian Approach
  Xiaoxue Sherry Gao, Glenn W. Harrison, and Rusty Tchernis
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  Robert A. Moffitt and Sisi Zhang
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  Michael D. Carr, Robert A. Moffitt, and Emily E. Wiemers
• w27673 August 2020 The 1918 Influenza Pandemic and its Lessons for COVID-19
  Brian Beach, Karen Clay, and Martin H. Saavedra
• w27671 August 2020 A Quantitative Theory of the Credit Score
  Satyajit Chatterjee, Dean Corbae, Kyle P. Dempsey, and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull
• w27670 August 2020 The Average and Heterogeneous Effects of Transportation Investments: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa 1960-2010
  Remi Jedwab and Adam Storeygard
• w27678 August 2020 Data and Policy Decisions: Experimental Evidence from Pakistan
  Michael Callen, Saad Gulzar, Syed Ali Hasanain, Muhammad Yasir Khan, and Arman B. Rezaee
• w27668 August 2020 Early Fertility Decline in the United States: Tests of Alternative Hypotheses using New Complete-Count Census Microdata and Enhanced County-Level Data
  Michael R. Haines, J. David Hacker, and Matthew S. Jaremski
• w27679 August 2020 Social Learning along International Migrant Networks
  Yuan Tian, Maria Esther Caballero, and Brian K. Kovak
• w27683 August 2020 A History of Pricing Pollution (Or, Why Pigouvian Taxes are not Necessarily Pigouvian)
  H. Spencer Banzhaf
• w27667 August 2020 COVID-19 and Crime: Effects of Stay-at-Home Orders on Domestic Violence
  Lindsey Rose Bullinger, Jillian B. Carr, and Analisa Packham
• w27682 August 2020 Dollar Safety and the Global Financial Cycle
  Zhengyang Jiang, Arvind Krishnamurthy, and Hanno Lustig
• w27681 August 2020 Autonomy and Specificity in Agricultural Technology Adoption: Evidence from Mexico
  Carolina Corral, Xavier Giné, Aprajit Mahajan, and Enrique Seira
• w27680 August 2020 Improving Management through Worker Evaluations: Evidence from Auto Manufacturing
  Jing Cai and Shing-Yi Wang
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  Cormac O'Dea and David Sturrock
• w27686 August 2020 Patenting Inventions or Inventing Patents? Strategic Use of Continuations at the USPTO
  Cesare Righi and Timothy Simcoe
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  John Y. Campbell, Nuno Clara, and João F. Cocco
• w27675 August 2020 The Return to Capital in Capital-Scarce Countries
  Anusha Chari and Jennifer S. Rhee
• w27684 August 2020 Generalizable and Robust TV Advertising Effects
  Bradley Shapiro, Günter J. Hitsch, and Anna Tuchman
• w27669 August 2020 Medium-Term Money Neutrality and the Effective Lower Bound
  Gauti B. Eggertsson and Marc Giannoni
• w27664 August 2020 Reconciling Trends in U.S. Male Earnings Volatility: Results from a Four Data Set Project
  Robert A. Moffitt
• w27654 August 2020 To What Extent Are Tariffs Offset By Exchange Rates?
  Olivier Jeanne and Jeongwon Son
• w27663 August 2020 The Missing Inflation Puzzle: The Role of the Wage-Price Pass-Through
  Sebastian Heise, Fatih Karahan, and Ayşegül Şahin
• w27644 August 2020 Quid Pro Quo, Knowledge Spillover, and Industrial Quality Upgrading: Evidence from the Chinese Auto Industry
  Jie Bai, Panle Jia Barwick, Shengmao Cao, and Shanjun Li
• w27640 August 2020 Welfare Analysis Meets Causal Inference
  Amy Finkelstein and Nathaniel Hendren
• w27635 August 2020 Behavioral Corporate Finance: The Life Cycle of a CEO Career
  Marius Guenzel and Ulrike Malmendier
• w27658 August 2020 Taking It to the Limit: Effects of Increased Student Loan Availability on Attainment, Earnings, and Financial Well-Being
  Sandra E. Black, Jeffrey T. Denning, Lisa J. Dettling, Sarena Goodman, and Lesley J. Turner
• w27659 August 2020 Does FinTech Substitute for Banks? Evidence from the Paycheck Protection Program
  Isil Erel and Jack Liebersohn
• w27657 August 2020 Staggered Price Indexation
  Martín Uribe
• w27656 August 2020 Dust Bowl Migrants: Identifying an Archetype
  Richard Hornbeck
• w27636 August 2020 Filling a Niche? The Maize Productivity Impacts of Adaptive Breeding by a Local Seed Company in Kenya
  Samuel S. Bird, Michael R. Carter, Travis J. Lybbert, Mary Mathenge, Timothy Njagi, and Emilia Tjernström
• w27655 August 2020 Book-to-Market, Mispricing, and the Cross-Section of Corporate Bond Returns
  Söhnke M. Bartram, Mark Grinblatt, and Yoshio Nozawa
• w27653 August 2020 Data Privacy and Temptation
  Zhuang Liu, Michael Sockin, and Wei Xiong
• w27649 August 2020 Latent Estimation of Piracy Quality and its Effect on Revenues and Distribution: The Case of Motion Pictures
  Anthony Koschmann and Yi Qian
• w27650 August 2020 Learning from Deregulation: The Asymmetric Impact of Lockdown and Reopening on Risky Behavior During COVID-19
  Edward L. Glaeser, Ginger Zhe Jin, Benjamin T. Leyden, and Michael Luca
• w27651 August 2020 Who Voted for Trump? Populism and Social Capital
  Paola Giuliano and Romain Wacziarg
• w27634 August 2020 Design Choices for Central Bank Digital Currency: Policy and Technical Considerations
  Sarah Allen, Srđjan Čapkun, Ittay Eyal, Giulia Fanti, Bryan A. Ford, James Grimmelmann, Ari Juels, Kari Kostiainen, Sarah Meiklejohn, Andrew Miller, Eswar Prasad, Karl Wüst, and Fan Zhang
• w27648 August 2020 How Global is Your Mutual Fund? International Diversification from Multinationals
  Irem Demirci, Miguel A. Ferreira, Pedro Matos, and Clemens Sialm
• w27666 August 2020 The $100 Million Nudge: Increasing Tax Compliance of Businesses and the Self-Employed using a Natural Field Experiment
  Justin E. Holz, John A. List, Alejandro Zentner, Marvin Cardoza, and Joaquin Zentner
• w27665 August 2020 Valuation of Long-Term Property Rights under Political Uncertainty
  Zhiguo He, Maggie Rong Hu, Zhenping Wang, and Vincent Yao
• w27652 August 2020 Trade Flows and Fiscal Multipliers
  Matteo Cacciatore and Nora Traum
• w27647 August 2020 Domestic Price Dollarization in Emerging Economies
  Andres Drenik and Diego Perez
• w27662 August 2020 Informational Barriers to Market Access: Experimental Evidence from Liberian Firms
  Jonas Hjort, Vinayak Iyer, and Golvine de Rochambeau
• w27576 August 2020 The Effect of Fiscal Stimulus: Evidence from COVID-19
  Miguel Garza Casado, Britta Glennon, Julia Lane, David McQuown, Daniel Rich, and Bruce A. Weinberg
• w27637 August 2020 Norwegian and US Policies Alleviate Business Vulnerability Due to the Covid-19 Shock Equally Well
  Annette Alstadsæter, Julie Brun Bjørkheim, Wojciech Kopczuk, and Andreas Økland
• w27643 August 2020 Frictional Sorting
  Wenquan Liang, Ran Song, and Christopher Timmins
• w27641 August 2020 Two Tales of Debt
  Amir Kermani and Yueran Ma
• w27642 August 2020 Asset Specificity of Non-Financial Firms
  Amir Kermani and Yueran Ma
• w27639 August 2020 Interest Rate Uncertainty and Sovereign Default Risk
  Alok Johri, Shahed Khan, and César Sosa-Padilla
• w27638 August 2020 Molecular Genetics, Risk Aversion, Return Perceptions, and Stock Market Participation
  Richard Sias, Laura Starks, and Harry J. Turtle
• w27661 August 2020 The Effect of Mentoring on School Attendance and Academic Outcomes: A Randomized Evaluation of the Check & Connect Program
  Jonathan Guryan, Sandra Christenson, Ashley Cureton, Ijun Lai, Jens Ludwig, Catherine Schwarz, Emma Shirey, and Mary Clair Turner
• w27660 August 2020 This Time It's Different: The Role of Women's Employment in a Pandemic Recession
  Titan Alon, Matthias Doepke, Jane Olmstead-Rumsey, and Michèle Tertilt
• w27646 August 2020 The Pass-Through of Uncertainty Shocks to Households
  Marco Di Maggio, Amir Kermani, Rodney Ramcharan, Vincent Yao, and Edison Yu
• w27645 August 2020 College Majors
  Arpita Patnaik, Matthew J. Wiswall, and Basit Zafar
• w27632 July 2020 The Economic Consequences of R̂ = 1: Towards a Workable Behavioural Epidemiological Model of Pandemics
  Joshua S. Gans
• w27630 July 2020 Self-Harming Trade Policy? Protectionism and Production Networks
  Alessandro Barattieri and Matteo Cacciatore
• w27628 July 2020 Window Dressing in the Public Sector: A Case Study of China’s Compulsory Education Promotion Program
  Hanming Fang, Chang Liu, and Li-An Zhou
• w27629 July 2020 Small Business Survival Capabilities and Policy Effectiveness: Evidence from Oakland
  Robert P. Bartlett III and Adair Morse
• w27626 July 2020 Do State Earned Income Tax Credits Increase Participation in the Federal EITC?
  David Neumark and Katherine E. Williams
• w27627 July 2020 Understanding the German Criticism of the Target System and the Role of Central Bank capital
  Roberto Perotti
• w27611 July 2020 Twenty Year Economic Impacts of Deworming
  Joan Hamory, Edward Miguel, Michael W. Walker, Michael Kremer, and Sarah J. Baird
• w27618 July 2020 Family Spillovers in Field of Study
  Gordon B. Dahl, Dan-Olof Rooth, and Anders Stenberg
• w27612 July 2020 Collaborating During Coronavirus: The Impact of COVID-19 on the Nature of Work
  Evan DeFilippis, Stephen Michael Impink, Madison Singell, Jeffrey T. Polzer, and Raffaella Sadun
• w27607 July 2020 Regulatory Arbitrage in Teacher Hiring and Retention: Evidence from Massachusetts Charter Schools
  Jesse M. Bruhn, Scott A. Imberman, and Marcus A. Winters
• w27606 July 2020 Challenges of Change: An Experiment Promoting Women to Managerial Roles in the Bangladeshi Garment Sector
  Rocco Macchiavello, Andreas Menzel, Atonu Rabbani, and Christopher Woodruff
• w27601 July 2020 The Risk of Being a Fallen Angel and the Corporate Dash for Cash in the Midst of COVID
  Viral V. Acharya and Sascha Steffen
• w27603 July 2020 Co-Benefits and Regulatory Impact Analysis: Theory and Evidence from Federal Air Quality Regulations
  Joseph E. Aldy, Matthew Kotchen, Mary F. Evans, Meredith Fowlie, Arik Levinson, and Karen Palmer
• w27600 July 2020 Randomization in the Tropics Revisited: a Theme and Eleven Variations
  Angus Deaton
• w27615 July 2020 A Quantity-Driven Theory of Term Premia and Exchange Rates
  Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein, and Adi Sunderam
• w27608 July 2020 Nursing Home Staff Networks and COVID-19
  M. Keith Chen, Judith A. Chevalier, and Elisa F. Long
• w27599 July 2020 Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits
  Tamma A. Carleton, Amir Jina, Michael T. Delgado, Michael Greenstone, Trevor Houser, Solomon M. Hsiang, Andrew Hultgren, Robert E. Kopp, Kelly E. McCusker, Ishan B. Nath, James Rising, Ashwin Rode, Hee Kwon Seo, Arvid Viaene, Jiacan Yuan, and Alice Tianbo Zhang
• w27613 July 2020 Measuring the labor market at the onset of the COVID-19 crisis
  Alexander W. Bartik, Marianne Bertrand, Feng Lin, Jesse Rothstein, and Matt Unrath
• w27631 July 2020 Persuasion on Networks
  Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin
• w27614 July 2020 Rule of Law in Labor Relations, 1898-1940
  Price V. Fishback
• w27625 July 2020 The Macroeconomic Consequences of Infrastructure Investment
  Valerie A. Ramey
• w27605 July 2020 Skilled Human Capital and High-Growth Entrepreneurship: Evidence from Inventor Inflows
  Benjamin Balsmeier, Lee Fleming, Matt Marx, and Seungryul Ryan Shin
• w27624 July 2020 Information Frictions and Access to the Paycheck Protection Program
  Christopher Neilson, John Eric Humphries, and Gabriel Ulyssea
• w27623 July 2020 The Targeting and Impact of Paycheck Protection Program Loans to Small Businesses
  Alexander W. Bartik, Zoe B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, Christopher T. Stanton, and Adi Sunderam
• w27604 July 2020 COVID-19 Prevention and Air Pollution in the Absence of a Lockdown
  Hung-Hao Chang, Chad Meyerhoefer, and Feng-An Yang
• w27622 July 2020 Efficient Redistribution
  Corina Boar and Virgiliu Midrigan
• w27610 July 2020 A Dynamic Theory of Lending Standards
  Michael J. Fishman, Jonathan A. Parker, and Ludwig Straub
• w27619 July 2020 Local Access to Mental Healthcare and Crime
  Monica Deza, Johanna Catherine Maclean, and Keisha T. Solomon
• w27602 July 2020 Designing Disability Insurance Reforms: Tightening Eligibility Rules or Reducing Benefits
  Andreas Haller, Stefan Staubli, and Josef Zweimüller
• w27621 July 2020 Effects of State COVID-19 Closure Policy on NON-COVID-19 Health Care Utilization
  Engy Ziedan, Kosali I. Simon, and Coady Wing
• w27616 July 2020 The Impact of Social Security on Pension Claiming and Retirement: Active vs. Passive Decisions
  Rafael Lalive, Arvind Magesan, and Stefan Staubli
• w27620 July 2020 Immigration and Violent Crime: Evidence from the Colombia-Venezuela Border
  Brian G. Knight and Ana Tribin
• w27617 July 2020 Initial Impacts of the Pandemic on Consumer Behavior: Evidence from Linked Income, Spending, and Savings Data
  Natalie Bachas, Peter Ganong, Pascal J. Noel, Joseph S. Vavra, Arlene Wong, Diana Farrell, and Fiona E. Greig
• w27609 July 2020 At What Level Should One Cluster Standard Errors in Paired Experiments, and in Stratified Experiments with Small Strata?
  Clément de Chaisemartin and Jaime Ramirez-Cuellar
• w27633 July 2020 The Drug Crisis and the Living Arrangements of Children
  Kasey Buckles, William N. Evans, and Ethan M.J. Lieber
• w27589 July 2020 Does the Commodity Super Cycle Matter?
  Andrés Fernández, Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé, and Martín Uribe
• w27594 July 2020 RCTs to Scale: Comprehensive Evidence from Two Nudge Units
  Stefano DellaVigna and Elizabeth Linos
• w27587 July 2020 International Friends and Enemies
  Benny Kleinman, Ernest Liu, and Stephen J. Redding
• w27579 July 2020 Investing in Ex Ante Regulation: Evidence from Pharmaceutical Patent Examination
  Michael D. Frakes and Melissa F. Wasserman
• w27586 July 2020 The Ends of 30 Big Depressions
  Martin Ellison, Sang Seok Lee, and Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke
• w27582 July 2020 Using Tax Data to Better Capture Top Incomes in Official UK Income Inequality Statistics
  Dominic Webber, Richard P. Tonkin, and Martin Shine
• w27574 July 2020 Do Unemployment Insurance Benefits Improve Match Quality? Evidence from Recent U.S. Recessions
  Ammar Farooq, Adriana D. Kugler, and Umberto Muratori
• w27596 July 2020 "Quick Response" Economic Stimulus: The Effect of Small-Value Digital Coupons on Spending
  Jianwei Xing, Eric Zou, Zhentao Yin, Yong Wang, and Zhenhua Li
• w27573 July 2020 Out of Sight No More? The Effect of Fee Disclosures on 401(k) Investment Allocations
  Mathias Kronlund, Veronika K. Pool, Clemens Sialm, and Irina Stefanescu
• w27583 July 2020 Social Protection Amidst Social Upheaval: Examining the Impact of a Multi-Faceted Program for Ultra-Poor Households in Yemen
  Lasse Brune, Dean Karlan, Sikandra Kurdi, and Christopher R. Udry
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  Mark L. Egan, Shan Ge, and Johnny Tang
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  Jesse Davis, Adair Morse, and Xinxin Wang
• w27590 July 2020 Learning Epidemiology by Doing: The Empirical Implications of a Spatial-SIR Model with Behavioral Responses
  Alberto Bisin and Andrea Moro
• w27592 July 2020 Racial and Ethnic Disparities in COVID-19: Evidence from Six Large Cities
  Joseph A. Benitez, Charles J. Courtemanche, and Aaron Yelowitz
• w27585 July 2020 Why Do Borrowers Default on Mortgages? A New Method For Causal Attribution
  Peter Ganong and Pascal J. Noel
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  Jacob Goldin, Tatiana Homonoff, Richard W. Patterson, and William L. Skimmyhorn
• w27584 July 2020 How Do Prescription Drug Monitoring Programs Reduce Opioid Prescribing? The Role of Hassle Costs versus Information
  Abby E. Alpert, Sarah E. Dykstra, and Mireille Jacobson
• w27580 July 2020 Heterogeneous Paths of Industrialization
  Federico Huneeus and Richard Rogerson
• w27581 July 2020 Age Discrimination across the Business Cycle
  Gordon B. Dahl and Matthew M. Knepper
• w27595 July 2020 Bargaining over Taxes and Entitlements
  Marina Azzimonti, Gabriel P. Mihalache, and Laura Karpuska
• w27572 July 2020 Experienced Segregation
  Susan Athey, Billy A. Ferguson, Matthew Gentzkow, and Tobias Schmidt
• w27593 July 2020 Does Joining the S&P 500 Index Hurt Firms?
  Benjamin Bennett, René M. Stulz, and Zexi Wang
• w27597 July 2020 Assessing the Age Specificity of Infection Fatality Rates for COVID-19: Systematic Review, Meta-analysis, & Public Policy Implications
  Andrew T. Levin, William P. Hanage, Nana Owusu-Boaitey, Kensington B. Cochran, Seamus P. Walsh, and Gideon Meyerowitz-Katz
• w27588 July 2020 The Role of Assets In Place: Loss of Market Exclusivity and Investment
  Matthew J. Higgins, Mathias J. Kronlund, Ji Min Park, and Joshua Pollet
• w27578 July 2020 Mortality Effects and Choice Across Private Health Insurance Plans
  Jason Abaluck, Mauricio M. Caceres Bravo, Peter Hull, and Amanda Starc
• w27571 July 2020 Understanding the Revenue Potential of Tax Compliance Investment
  Natasha Sarin and Lawrence H. Summers
• w27559 July 2020 Financial Fragility in the COVID-19 Crisis: The Case of Investment Funds in Corporate Bond Markets
  Antonio Falato, Itay Goldstein, and Ali Hortaçsu
• w27563 July 2020 Insurance Design and Pharmaceutical Innovation
  Leila Agha, Soomi Kim, and Danielle Li
• w27549 July 2020 Inequality and the Coronavirus: Socioeconomic Covariates of Behavioral Responses and Viral Outcomes Across US Counties
  Caitlin S. Brown and Martin Ravallion
• w27551 July 2020 Mutual Fund Performance and Flows During the COVID-19 Crisis
  Lubos Pastor and M. Blair Vorsatz
• w27544 July 2020 The Opioid Epidemic Was Not Caused by Economic Distress But by Factors that Could be More Rapidly Addressed
  Janet Currie and Hannes Schwandt
• w27540 July 2020 Strategic Interactions in U.S. Monetary and Fiscal Policies
  Xiaoshan Chen, Eric M. Leeper, and Campbell B. Leith
• w27541 July 2020 Financing Outdoor Recreation
  H. Spencer Banzhaf and V. Kerry Smith
• w27542 July 2020 How Hurricanes Sweep Up Housing Markets: Evidence from Florida
  Joshua S. Graff Zivin, Yanjun Liao, and Yann Panassie
• w27543 July 2020 Teacher-to-Classroom Assignment and Student Achievement
  Bryan S. Graham, Geert Ridder, Petra M. Thiemann, and Gema Zamarro
• w27539 July 2020 The Impact of State Tobacco Control Spending on High School Student Vaping
  John A. Tauras, Megan C. Diaz, Barbara Schillo, and Donna Vallone
• w27538 July 2020 How Do Restrictions on High-Skilled Immigration Affect Offshoring? Evidence from the H-1B Program
  Britta Glennon
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  Jonathan Gruber, Ohto Kanninen, and Terhi Ravaska
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  John A. List
• w27537 July 2020 Kicking the Can Down the Road: Government Interventions in the European Banking Sector
  Viral V. Acharya, Lea Borchert, Maximilian Jager, and Sascha Steffen
• w27552 July 2020 Wealth, Race, and Consumption Smoothing of Typical Income Shocks
  Peter Ganong, Damon Jones, Pascal J. Noel, Fiona E. Greig, Diana Farrell, and Chris Wheat
• w27533 July 2020 Concentration Screens for Horizontal Mergers
  Volker Nocke and Michael D. Whinston
• w27532 July 2020 Adaptive Control of COVID-19 Outbreaks in India: Local, Gradual, and Trigger-based Exit Paths from Lockdown
  Anup Malani, Satej Soman, Sam Asher, Paul Novosad, Clement Imbert, Vaidehi Tandel, Anish Agarwal, Abdullah Alomar, Arnab Sarker, Devavrat Shah, Dennis Shen, Jonathan Gruber, Stuti Sachdeva, David Kaiser, and Luis M.A. Bettencourt
• w27536 July 2020 Dynamic Oligopoly and Price Stickiness
  Olivier Wang and Iván Werning
• w27568 July 2020 Occupational Licensing and Labor Market Fluidity
  Morris M. Kleiner and Ming Xu
• w27558 July 2020 China’s Foreign Trade and Investment, 1800-1950
  Wolfgang Keller and Carol H. Shiue
• w27554 July 2020 Should the Randomistas (Continue to) Rule?
  Martin Ravallion
• w27548 July 2020 Hard and Soft Skills in Vocational Training: Experimental Evidence from Colombia
  Felipe Barrera-Osorio, Adriana D. Kugler, and Mikko I. Silliman
• w27565 July 2020 Firms, Failures, and Fluctuations: The Macroeconomics of Supply Chain Disruptions
  Daron Acemoglu and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi
• w27545 July 2020 Heterogeneous Effects of State Enterprise Zone Programs in the Shorter Run and Longer Run
  David Neumark and Timothy Young
• w27562 July 2020 Unintended Consequences of Lockdowns: COVID-19 and the Shadow Pandemic
  Saravana Ravindran and Manisha Shah
• w27561 July 2020 A Brief Introduction to Human Capital Measures
  Gang Liu and Barbara M. Fraumeni
• w27569 July 2020 Enforcing Payment for Water and Sanitation Services in Nairobi’s Slums
  Aidan Coville, Sebastian Galiani, Paul Gertler, and Susumu Yoshida
• w27567 July 2020 The Dynamics of the Smoking Wage Penalty
  Michael E. Darden, Julie L. Hotchkiss, and M. Melinda Pitts
• w27566 July 2020 Projecting Unemployment Durations: A Factor-Flows Simulation Approach With Application to the COVID-19 Recession
  Gabriel Chodorow-Reich and John Coglianese
• w27557 July 2020 A Graphical Lasso Approach to Estimating Network Connections: The Case of U.S. Lawmakers
  Marco Battaglini, Forrest W. Crawford, Eleonora Patacchini, and Sida Peng
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  Victor Couture, Jonathan I. Dingel, Allison E. Green, Jessie Handbury, and Kevin R. Williams
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  John Beshears, James J. Choi, Christopher Clayton, Christopher Harris, David Laibson, and Brigitte C. Madrian
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  Alexander W. Bartik, Zoe B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, and Christopher T. Stanton
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  John Gibson and Garth Heutel
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  Elira Kuka and Na'ama Shenhav
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  Martin Goetz, Luc Laeven, and Ross Levine
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  David Blanchett, Michael S. Finke, and Jonathan Reuter
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  Craig Garthwaite, Christopher Ody, and Amanda Starc
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  Kory Kroft, René Leal Vizcaíno, Matthew J. Notowidigdo, and Ting Wang
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  Jeremy Atack, Robert A. Margo, and Paul Rhode
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  Austan Goolsbee and Chad Syverson
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  Zhuan Pei, David S. Lee, David Card, and Andrea Weber
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  William R. Kerr and Frédéric Robert-Nicoud
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  Hung-Hao Chang and Chad Meyerhoefer
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  Mario J. Crucini, Mototsugu Shintani, and Takayuki Tsuruga
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  Wei Cheng, Patrick Carlin, Joanna Carroll, Sumedha Gupta, Felipe Lozano Rojas, Laura Montenovo, Thuy D. Nguyen, Ian M. Schmutte, Olga Scrivner, Kosali I. Simon, Coady Wing, and Bruce Weinberg
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  Seema Jayachandran
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  Robert J. Gordon and Hassan Sayed
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  Marshall Burke, Anne Driscoll, Jenny Xue, Sam Heft-Neal, Jennifer Burney, and Michael Wara
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  Aniruddh Mohan, Nicholas Z. Muller, Akshay Thyagarajan, Randall V. Martin, Melanie S. Hammer, and Aaron van Donkelaar
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  Leonardo Bursztyn, Aakaash Rao, Christopher P. Roth, and David H. Yanagizawa-Drott
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  John McLaren
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  Michael Luca and Oren Reshef
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  Ralph S. J. Koijen, Robert J. Richmond, and Motohiro Yogo
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  C. Justin Cook and Manisha Shah
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  Richard V. Burkhauser, Nicolas Hérault, Stephen P. Jenkins, and Roger Wilkins
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  Bryan T. Kelly, Semyon Malamud, and Lasse H. Pedersen
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  Jordi Galí
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  Ajay K. Agrawal, Joshua S. Gans, and Scott Stern
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  Laura Alfaro, Oscar Becerra, and Marcela Eslava
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  Alberto Cavallo
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  Farid Farrokhi and Heitor S. Pellegrina
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  Richard Blundell, Margherita Borella, Jeanne Commault, and Mariacristina De Nardi
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  Sarah Moshary, Bradley T. Shapiro, and Jihong Song
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  Jonathan Heathcote, Fabrizio Perri, and Giovanni L. Violante
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  Anna Aizer, Shari Eli, Adriana Lleras-Muney, and Keyoung Lee
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  Erik Brynjolfsson, John J. Horton, Adam Ozimek, Daniel Rock, Garima Sharma, and Hong-Yi TuYe
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  Toman Barsbai, Victoria Licuanan, Andreas Steinmayr, Erwin Tiongson, and Dean Yang
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  Itay Goldstein, Alexandr Kopytov, Lin Shen, and Haotian Xiang
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  James J. Heckman, Bei Liu, Mai Lu, and Jin Zhou
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  Mohammad Akbarpour, Cody Cook, Aude Marzuoli, Simon Mongey, Abhishek Nagaraj, Matteo Saccarola, Pietro Tebaldi, Shoshana Vasserman, and Hanbin Yang
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  Glenn Ellison
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  Joseph S. Shapiro
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  Jonathan S. Hartley and Urban Jermann
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  Casey B. Mulligan
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  Maryam Farboodi, Gregor Jarosch, and Robert Shimer
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  Sari Pekkala Kerr and William R. Kerr
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  Peter Arcidiacono, Josh Kinsler, and Tyler Ransom
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  Steve Bond, Arshia Hashemi, Greg Kaplan, and Piotr Zoch
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  Mark Garmaise, Yaron Levi, and Hanno Lustig
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  David G. Blanchflower
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  Corina Boar
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  Robert L. Clark and Beth M. Ritter
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  Daniel R. LaFave, Evan D. Peet, and Duncan Thomas
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  Mark L. Egan, Alexander MacKay, and Hanbin Yang
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