NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
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NBER Papers on Health Care Program

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2021
w28873 David M. Cutler
Edward L. Glaeser

When Innovation Goes Wrong: Technological Regress and the Opioid Epidemic
w28866 Rena M. Conti
Brigham Frandsen
Michael L. Powell
James B. Rebitzer

Common Agent or Double Agent? Pharmacy Benefit Managers in the Prescription Drug Market
w28864 Barton Hamilton
Andrés Hincapié
Emma C. Kalish
Nicholas W. Papageorge

Innovation and Health Disparities During an Epidemic: The Case of HIV
w28862 Adriana Corredor-Waldron
Janet Currie

Tackling the Substance Abuse Crisis: The Role of Access to Treatment Facilities
w28859 Haizhen Lin
Ian M. McCarthy
Michael R. Richards

Owning the Agent: Hospital Influence on Physician Behaviors
w28852 Manasi Deshpande
Lee Lockwood

Beyond Health: Non-Health Risk and the Value of Disability Insurance
w28835 Judith A. Chevalier
Jason L. Schwartz
Yihua Su
Kevin R. Williams

Distributional Impacts of Retail Vaccine Availability
w28817 Seth Richards-Shubik
Mark S. Roberts
Julie M. Donohue

Measuring Quality Effects in Equilibrium
w28813 Joanna Aleksandra Kopinska
Vincenzo Atella
Jay Bhattacharya
Grant Miller

The Changing Relationship between Bodyweight and Longevity in High- and Low-Income Countries
w28809 Anna Werbeck
Ansgar Wübker
Nicolas R. Ziebarth

Cream Skimming by Health Care Providers and Inequality in Health Care Access: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment
w28804 Dhaval M. Dave
Joseph J. Sabia
Samuel Safford

Statewide Reopening During Mass Vaccination: Evidence on Mobility, Public Health and Economic Activity from Texas
w28779 Victoria R. Marone
Adrienne Sabety

Should There Be Vertical Choice in Health Insurance Markets?
w28762 Betsy Q. Cliff
Sarah Miller
Jeffrey T. Kullgren
John Z. Ayanian
Richard Hirth

Adverse Selection in Medicaid: Evidence from Discontinuous Program Rules
w28755 Craig Garthwaite
Rebecca Sachs
Ariel Dora Stern

Which Markets (Don't) Drive Pharmaceutical Innovation? Evidence From U.S. Medicaid Expansions
w28753 Charles J. Courtemanche
Anh H. Le
Aaron Yelowitz
Ron Zimmer

School Reopenings, Mobility, and COVID-19 Spread: Evidence from Texas
w28741 M. Kate Bundorf
Jill DeMatteis
Grant Miller
Maria Polyakova
Jialu L. Streeter
Jonathan Wivagg

Risk Perceptions and Protective Behaviors: Evidence from COVID-19 Pandemic
w28734 Jason Abaluck
Laura H Kwong
Ashley Styczynski
Ashraful Haque
Md. Alamgir Kabir
Ellen Bates-Jefferys
Emily Crawford
Jade Benjamin-Chung
Salim Benhachmi
Shabib Raihan
Shadman Rahman
Neeti Zaman
Peter J. Winch
Md. Maqsud Hossain
Hasan Mahmud Reza
Stephen P. Luby
Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak

Normalizing Community Mask-Wearing: A Cluster Randomized Trial in Bangladesh
w28726 Abhijit Banerjee
Arun G. Chandrasekhar
Suresh Dalpath
Esther Duflo
John Floretta
Matthew O. Jackson
Harini Kannan
Francine N. Loza
Anirudh Sankar
Anna Schrimpf
Maheshwor Shrestha

Selecting the Most Effective Nudge: Evidence from a Large-Scale Experiment on Immunization
w28709 Cyrus Aghamolla
Pinar Karaca-Mandic
Xuelin Li
Richard T. Thakor

Merchants of Death: The Effect of Credit Supply Shocks on Hospital Outcomes
w28670 Jeffrey Clemens
Benedic N. Ippolito
Stan Veuger

Medicaid and Fiscal Federalism During the COVID-19 Pandemic
w28648 Amanda E. Kowalski
Mammograms and Mortality: How Has the Evidence Evolved?
w28647 D. Mark Anderson
Daniel I. Rees

The Public Health Effects of Legalizing Marijuana
w28645 Dena Bravata
Jonathan H. Cantor
Neeraj Sood
Christopher M. Whaley

Back to School: The Effect of School Visits During COVID-19 on COVID-19 Transmission
w28630 Adrianna L. McIntyre
Mark Shepard
Myles Wagner

Can Automatic Retention Improve Health Insurance Market Outcomes?
w28629 Alexander Chudik
M. Hashem Pesaran
Alessandro Rebucci

COVID-19 Time-varying Reproduction Numbers Worldwide: An Empirical Analysis of Mandatory and Voluntary Social Distancing
w28628 Chi Heem Wong
Dexin Li
Nina Wang
Jonathan Gruber
Rena M. Conti
Andrew W. Lo

Estimating the Financial Impact of Gene Therapy in the U.S.
w28601 Maddalena Ferranna
JP Sevilla
David E. Bloom

Addressing the COVID-19 Pandemic: Comparing Alternative Value Frameworks
w28593 Marcella Alsan
Sarah Eichmeyer

Persuasion in Medicine: Messaging to Increase Vaccine Demand
w28587 Jeffrey E. Harris
The Repeated Setbacks of HIV Vaccine Development Laid the Groundwork for SARS-CoV-2 Vaccines
w28576 Michael Geruso
Michael R. Richards

Trading Spaces: Medicare's Regulatory Spillovers on Treatment Setting for Non-Medicare Patients
w28560 A. James O'Malley
Thomas A. Bubolz
Jonathan S. Skinner

The Diffusion of Health Care Fraud: A Network Analysis
w28541 Jaymee Sheng
Anup Malani
Ashish Goel
Purushotham Botla

Does Mobility Explain Why Slums Were Hit Harder by COVID-19 in Mumbai, India?
w28529 Colleen Carey
Sharing the Burden of Subsidization: Evidence on Pass-Through from a Subsidy Revision in Medicare Part D
w28519 Nikhil Agarwal
Andrew Komo
Chetan A. Patel
Parag A. Pathak
M. Utku Ünver

The Trade-off Between Prioritization and Vaccination Speed Depends on Mitigation Measures
w28460 Richard G. Frank
Mahnum Shahzad
William B. Feldman
Aaron S. Kesselheim

Biosimilar Competition: Early Learning
w28500 Itai Ashlagi
Alvin E. Roth

Kidney Exchange: An Operations Perspective
w28492 Amrita Ahuja
Susan Athey
Arthur Baker
Eric Budish
Juan Camilo Castillo
Rachel Glennerster
Scott Duke Kominers
Michael Kremer
Jean Nahrae Lee
Canice Prendergast
Christopher M. Snyder
Alex Tabarrok
Brandon Joel Tan
Witold Więcek

Preparing for a Pandemic: Accelerating Vaccine Availability
w28474 Atul Gupta
Sabrina T. Howell
Constantine Yannelis
Abhinav Gupta

Does Private Equity Investment in Healthcare Benefit Patients? Evidence from Nursing Homes
w28457 Hui Ding
Mark Duggan
Amanda Starc

Getting the Price Right? The Impact of Competitive Bidding in the Medicare Program
w28454 David J. Harding
Lisa Sanbonmatsu
Greg J. Duncan
Lisa A. Gennetian
Lawrence F. Katz
Ronald C. Kessler
Jeffrey R. Kling
Matthew Sciandra
Jens Ludwig

Evaluating Contradictory Experimental and Non-Experimental Estimates of Neighborhood Effects on Economic Outcomes for Adults
w28410 Dhaval M. Dave
Drew McNichols
Joseph J. Sabia

Political Violence, Risk Aversion, and Non-Localized Disease Spread: Evidence from the U.S. Capitol Riot
w28446 Charles F. Manski
Vaccination Planning under Uncertainty, with Application to Covid-19
w28439 Amitabh Chandra
Evan Flack
Ziad Obermeyer

The Health Costs of Cost-Sharing
w28430 Long Hong
Corina Mommaerts

Time Aggregation in Health Insurance Deductibles
w28429 Mark Braverman
Sylvain Chassang

Data-Driven Incentive Alignment in Capitation Schemes
w28419 Adam A. Leive
Christopher J. Ruhm

Education Gradients in Mortality Trends by Gender and Race
w28379 Thomas Jungbauer
Sean Nicholson
June Pan
Michael Waldman

The Organization of Innovation: Property Rights and the Outsourcing Decision
w28374 Hummy Song
Ryan M. McKenna
Angela T. Chen
Guy David
Aaron Smith-McLallen

The Impact of the Non-essential Business Closure Policy on Covid-19 Infection Rates
w28358 Christopher J. Ruhm
Living and Dying in America: An Essay on Deaths of Despair and the Future of Capitalism
w28355 Efraim Benmelech
Janice C. Eberly
Joshua L. Krieger
Dimitris Papanikolaou

Private and Social Returns to R&D: Drug Development and Demographics
w28349 Maya M. Durvasula
Lisa Larrimore Ouellette
Heidi L. Williams

Private and Public Investments in Biomedical Research
w28334 Petra Persson
Xinyao Qiu
Maya Rossin-Slater

Family Spillover Effects of Marginal Diagnoses: The Case of ADHD
w28333 Claudio Lucarelli
Sean Nicholson
Nicholas Tilipman

Price Indices and the Value of Innovation with Heterogenous Patients
w28331 Zarek C. Brot-Goldberg
Timothy Layton
Boris Vabson
Adelina Yanyue Wang

The Behavioral Foundations of Default Effects: Theory and Evidence from Medicare Part D
w28330 Caitlin Carroll
David M. Cutler
Anupam Jena

How do Physicians Respond to Malpractice Allegations? Evidence from Florida Emergency Departments
w28329 Gopi Shah Goda
Jialu Liu Streeter

Wealth Trajectories Across Key Milestones: Longitudinal Evidence from Life-Course Transitions
w28322 Karen Eggleston ⓡ
Yong Suk Lee ⓡ
Toshiaki Iizuka

Robots and Labor in the Service Sector: Evidence from Nursing Homes
2020
w28307 Phillip B. Levine
Robin McKnight

Exposure to a School Shooting and Subsequent Well-Being
w28305 David M. Cutler
Leemore Dafny
David C. Grabowski
Steven Lee
Christopher Ody

Vertical Integration of Healthcare Providers Increases Self-Referrals and Can Reduce Downstream Competition: The Case of Hospital-Owned Skilled Nursing Facilities
w28266 Dan Zeltzer
Liran Einav
Avichai Chasid
Ran D. Balicer

Supply-Side Variation in the Use of Emergency Departments
w28256 Michael D. Frakes
Jonathan Gruber
Timothy Justicz

Public and Private Options in Practice: The Military Health System
w28245 Itzik Fadlon
Frederik Plesner Lyngse
Torben Heien Nielsen

Early Career, Life-Cycle Choices, and Gender
w28240 Joshua D. Gottlieb
Avi Zenilman

When Workers Travel: Nursing Supply During COVID-19 Surges
w28234 Michael Bailey
Drew M. Johnston
Martin Koenen
Theresa Kuchler
Dominic Russel
Johannes Stroebel

Social Networks Shape Beliefs and Behavior: Evidence from Social Distancing During the COVID-19 Pandemic
w28193 Adriana Lleras-Muney
Flavien E. Moreau

A Unified Model of Cohort Mortality for Economic Analysis
w28192 Benjamin J. McMichael
Sara Markowitz

Toward a Uniform Classification of Nurse Practitioner Scope of Practice Laws
w28179 Leila Agha
Keith Marzilli Ericson
Xiaoxi Zhao

The Impact of Organizational Boundaries on Healthcare Coordination and Utilization
w28172 Timothy F. Harris
Aaron Yelowitz
Charles J. Courtemanche

Did COVID-19 Change Life Insurance Offerings?
w28166 Claire E. Boone
Pablo A. Celhay
Paul Gertler
Tadeja Gracner
Josefina Rodriguez

How Spillovers from Appointment Reminders Improve Health Clinic Efficiency
w28164 Patrick Button
Eva Dils
Benjamin Harrell
Luca Fumarco
David Schwegman

Gender Identity, Race, and Ethnicity Discrimination in Access to Mental Health Care: Preliminary Evidence from a Multi-Wave Audit Field Experiment
w28162 Dan Zeltzer
Liran Einav
Amy Finkelstein
Tzvi Shir
Salomon M. Stemmer
Ran D. Balicer

Why is End-of-Life Spending So High? Evidence from Cancer Patients
w28155 Claudio Lucarelli
Molly Frean
Aliza S. Gordon
Lynn M. Hua
Mark Pauly

How Does Cost-Sharing Impact Spending Growth and Cost-Effective Treatments? Evidence from Deductibles
w28139 Sumedha Gupta
Kosali I. Simon
Coady Wing

Mandated and Voluntary Social Distancing During The COVID-19 Epidemic: A Review
w28135 Andrew Perrault
Marie Charpignon
Jonathan Gruber
Milind Tambe
Maimuna Majumder

Designing Efficient Contact Tracing Through Risk-Based Quarantining
w28132 Jeffrey E. Harris
Geospatial Analysis of the September 2020 Coronavirus Outbreak at the University of Wisconsin - Madison: Did a Cluster of Local Bars Play a Critical Role?
w28131 Jonathan H. Cantor
Neeraj Sood
Dena Bravata
Megan Pera
Christopher M. Whaley

The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Policy Response on Health Care Utilization: Evidence from County-level Medical Claims and Cellphone data
w28127 Viral V. Acharya
Timothy Johnson
Suresh Sundaresan
Steven Zheng

The Value of a Cure: An Asset Pricing Perspective
w28120 Cornelia Ilin
Sébastien E. Annan-Phan
Xiao Hui Tai
Shikhar Mehra
Solomon M. Hsiang
Joshua E. Blumenstock

Public Mobility Data Enables COVID-19 Forecasting and Management at Local and Global Scales
w28116 Kamila Cygan-Rehm
Krzysztof Karbownik

The Effects of Incentivizing Early Prenatal Care on Infant Health
w28112 Barry Eichengreen ⓡ
Cevat Giray Aksoy ⓡ
Orkun Saka

Revenge of the Experts: Will Covid-19 Renew or Diminish Public Trust in Science?
w28095 John F. Helliwell
David Gyarmati
Craig Joyce
Heather Orpana

Building an Epidemiology of Happiness
w28071 Lauren Cohen
Umit Gurun
Danielle Li

Internal Deadlines, Drug Approvals, and Safety Problems
w28067 Johanna Catherine Maclean
Justine Mallatt
Christopher J. Ruhm
Kosali Simon

Economic Studies on the Opioid Crisis: A Review
w28064 Nikhil Agarwal
Charles Hodgson
Paulo Somaini

Choices and Outcomes in Assignment Mechanisms: The Allocation of Deceased Donor Kidneys
w28062 Jeffrey Clemens
Joshua D. Gottlieb
Jeffrey Hicks

How Would Medicare for All Affect Health System Capacity? Evidence from Medicare for Some
w28058 Martin Andersen
Sylvia Bryan
David Slusky

COVID-19 Surgical Abortion Restriction Did Not Reduce Visits to Abortion Clinics
w28057 Toshiaki Iizuka
Hitoshi Shigeoka

Asymmetric Demand Response when Prices Increase and Decrease: The Case of Child Healthcare
w28039 Gene Amromin
Neil Bhutta
Benjamin J. Keys

Refinancing, Monetary Policy, and the Credit Cycle
w28031 Andrew Atkeson
Michael C. Droste
Michael Mina
James H. Stock

Economic Benefits of COVID-19 Screening Tests
w28018 Amitabh Chandra
Pragya Kakani
Adam Sacarny

Hospital Allocation and Racial Disparities in Health Care
w28012 Christopher J. Cronin
William N. Evans

Nursing Home Quality, COVID-19 Deaths, and Excess Mortality
w28003 Anya Samek
Justin R. Sydnor

Impact of Consequence Information on Insurance Choice
w27999 Jeffrey Clemens
Drew McNichols
Joseph J. Sabia

The Long-Run Effects of the Affordable Care Act: A Pre-Committed Research Design Over the COVID-19 Recession and Recovery
w27996 Dhaval M. Dave
Muzhe Yang

Lead in Drinking Water and Birth Outcomes: A Tale of Two Water Treatment Plants
w27982 Joshua S. Graff Zivin
Matthew J. Neidell
Nicholas J. Sanders
Gregor Singer

When Externalities Collide: Influenza and Pollution
w27978 Rena M. Conti
Jonathan Gruber
Daniel A. Ollendorf
Peter J. Neumann

Valuing Rare Pediatric Drugs: An Economics Perspective
w27977 Tal Gross
Timothy Layton
Daniel Prinz

The Liquidity Sensitivity of Healthcare Consumption: Evidence from Social Security Payments
w27974 David M. Cutler
Ellen Meara
Susan Stewart

Socioeconomic Status and the Experience of Pain: An Example from Knees
w27970 D. Mark Anderson
Kerwin Kofi Charles
Daniel I. Rees

The Federal Effort to Desegregate Southern Hospitals and the Black-White Infant Mortality Gap
w27948 Edward C. Norton
Emily J. Lawton
Jun Li

Moneyball in Medicare: Heterogeneous Treatment Effects
w27943 Pierre Azoulay
Misty L. Heggeness
Jennifer L. Kao

Medical Research and Health Care Finance: Evidence from Academic Medical Centers
w27936 Mark Duggan
Gopi Shah Goda
Gina Li

The Effects of the Affordable Care Act on the Near-Elderly: Evidence for Health Insurance Coverage and Labor Market Outcomes
w27933 Jason U. Huh
Julian Reif

Teenage Driving, Mortality, and Risky Behaviors
w27900 David H. Howard
Ian McCarthy

Deterrence Effects of Antifraud and Abuse Enforcement in Health Care
w27895 John Mullahy
Discovering Treatment Effectiveness via Median Treatment Effects--Applications to COVID-19 Clinical Trials
w27891 Alexander Karaivanov
Shih En Lu
Hitoshi Shigeoka
Cong Chen
Stephanie Pamplona

Face Masks, Public Policies and Slowing the Spread of COVID-19: Evidence from Canada
w27890 Emily Cuddy
Janet Currie

Rules vs. Discretion: Treatment of Mental Illness in U.S. Adolescents
w27882 Donald A. Berry
Scott Berry
Peter Hale
Leah Isakov
Andrew W. Lo
Kien Wei Siah
Chi Heem Wong

A Cost/Benefit Analysis of Clinical Trial Designs for COVID-19 Vaccine Candidates
w27868 Kate Ho
Robin S. Lee

Health Insurance Menu Design for Large Employers
w27865 Alex Rees-Jones
John D'Attoma
Amedeo Piolatto
Luca Salvadori

COVID-19 Changed Tastes for Safety-Net Programs
w27848 David M. Cutler
Kaushik Ghosh
Kassandra Messer
Trivellore Raghunathan
Allison B. Rosen
Susan T. Stewart

A Satellite Account for Health in the United States
w27845 Kirill Borusyak
Peter Hull

Non-Random Exposure to Exogenous Shocks: Theory and Applications
w27813 Dhaval M. Dave
Andrew I. Friedson
Drew McNichols
Joseph J. Sabia

The Contagion Externality of a Superspreading Event: The Sturgis Motorcycle Rally and COVID-19
w27794 Greg Kaplan
Benjamin Moll
Giovanni L. Violante

The Great Lockdown and the Big Stimulus: Tracing the Pandemic Possibility Frontier for the U.S.
w27785 Benjamin R. Handel
Jonathan T. Kolstad
Thomas Minten
Johannes Spinnewijn

The Social Determinants of Choice Quality: Evidence from Health Insurance in the Netherlands
w27762 Michael Geruso
Timothy J. Layton
Jacob Wallace

Are All Managed Care Plans Created Equal? Evidence from Random Plan Assignment in Medicaid
w27760 Amitabh Chandra
Courtney Coile
Corina Mommaerts

What Can Economics Say About Alzheimer's Disease?
w27759 Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes
Neeraj Kaushal
Ashley N. Muchow

Is the Cure Worse than the Disease? County-Level Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States
w27757 David E. Bloom
Michael Kuhn
Klaus Prettner

Modern Infectious Diseases: Macroeconomic Impacts and Policy Responses
w27742 Andrew B. Abel
Stavros Panageas

Social Distancing, Vaccination and the Paradoxical Optimality of an Endemic Equilibrium
w27719 Andrew Atkeson
Karen Kopecky
Tao Zha

Four Stylized Facts about COVID-19
w27695 Naoki Aizawa
You Suk Kim

Public and Private Provision of Information in Market-Based Public Programs: Evidence from Advertising in Health Insurance Marketplaces
w27640 Amy Finkelstein
Nathaniel Hendren

Welfare Analysis Meets Causal Inference
w27621 Engy Ziedan
Kosali I. Simon
Coady Wing

Effects of State COVID-19 Closure Policy on NON-COVID-19 Health Care Utilization
w27619 Monica Deza
Johanna Catherine Maclean
Keisha T. Solomon

Local Access to Mental Healthcare and Crime
w27608 M. Keith Chen
Judith A. Chevalier
Elisa F. Long

Nursing Home Staff Networks and COVID-19
w27600 Angus Deaton
Randomization in the Tropics Revisited: a Theme and Eleven Variations
w27597 Andrew T. Levin
William P. Hanage
Nana Owusu-Boaitey
Kensington B. Cochran
Seamus P. Walsh
Gideon Meyerowitz-Katz

Assessing the Age Specificity of Infection Fatality Rates for COVID-19: Systematic Review, Meta-analysis, & Public Policy Implications
w27594 Stefano DellaVigna
Elizabeth Linos

RCTs to Scale: Comprehensive Evidence from Two Nudge Units
w27592 Joseph A. Benitez
Charles J. Courtemanche
Aaron Yelowitz

Racial and Ethnic Disparities in COVID-19: Evidence from Six Large Cities
w27584 Abby E. Alpert
Sarah E. Dykstra
Mireille Jacobson

How Do Prescription Drug Monitoring Programs Reduce Opioid Prescribing? The Role of Hassle Costs versus Information
w27579 Michael D. Frakes
Melissa F. Wasserman

Investing in Ex Ante Regulation: Evidence from Pharmaceutical Patent Examination
w27578 Jason Abaluck
Mauricio M. Caceres Bravo
Peter Hull
Amanda Starc

Mortality Effects and Choice Across Private Health Insurance Plans
w27563 Leila Agha
Soomi Kim
Danielle Li

Insurance Design and Pharmaceutical Innovation
w27553 Joseph P. Newhouse
An Ounce of Prevention
w27544 Janet Currie
Hannes Schwandt

The Opioid Epidemic Was Not Caused by Economic Distress But by Factors that Could be More Rapidly Addressed
w27532 Anup Malani
Satej Soman
Sam Asher
Paul Novosad
Clement Imbert
Vaidehi Tandel
Anish Agarwal
Abdullah Alomar
Arnab Sarker
Devavrat Shah
Dennis Shen
Jonathan Gruber
Stuti Sachdeva
David Kaiser
Luis M.A. Bettencourt

Adaptive Control of COVID-19 Outbreaks in India: Local, Gradual, and Trigger-based Exit Paths from Lockdown
w27531 Christopher J. Cronin
William N. Evans

Private Precaution and Public Restrictions: What Drives Social Distancing and Industry Foot Traffic in the COVID-19 Era?
w27528 Karl M. Aspelund
Michael C. Droste
James H. Stock
Christopher D. Walker

Identification and Estimation of Undetected COVID-19 Cases Using Testing Data from Iceland
w27522 Dhaval M. Dave
Andrew I. Friedson
Kyutaro Matsuzawa
Drew McNichols
Connor Redpath
Joseph J. Sabia

Risk Aversion, Offsetting Community Effects, and COVID-19: Evidence from an Indoor Political Rally
w27520 Sumedha Gupta
Thuy D. Nguyen
Patricia R. Freeman
Kosali I. Simon

Competitive Effects of Federal and State Opioid Restrictions: Evidence from the Controlled Substance Laws
w27519 Edward L. Glaeser
Caitlin Gorback
Stephen J. Redding

How Much does COVID-19 Increase with Mobility? Evidence from New York and Four Other U.S. Cities
w27512 Adam Leive
Christopher J. Ruhm

Has Mortality Risen Disproportionately for the Least Educated?
w27505 Tatyana Deryugina
Jonathan Gruber
Adrienne Sabety

Natural Disasters and Elective Medical Services: How Big is the Bounce-Back?
w27490 Toren L. Fronsdal
Jay Bhattacharya
Suzanne Tamang

Variation in Health Care Prices Across Public and Private Payers
w27478 Naoki Aizawa
Soojin Kim
Serena Rhee

Labor Market Screening and Social Insurance Program Design for the Disabled
w27467 Jason Abaluck
Leila Agha
David C. Chan Jr
Daniel Singer
Diana Zhu

Fixing Misallocation with Guidelines: Awareness vs. Adherence
w27458 Joseph J. Doyle Jr.
Physician Characteristics and Patient Survival: Evidence from Physician Availability
w27457 Ned Augenblick
Jonathan T. Kolstad
Ziad Obermeyer
Ao Wang

Group Testing in a Pandemic: The Role of Frequent Testing, Correlated Risk, and Machine Learning
w27440 Craig Garthwaite
Christopher Ody
Amanda Starc

Endogenous Quality Investments in the U.S. Hospital Market
w27426 Jeffrey Clemens
Stan Veuger

Implications of the Covid-19 Pandemic for State Government Tax Revenues
w27419 Wei Cheng
Patrick Carlin
Joanna Carroll
Sumedha Gupta
Felipe Lozano Rojas
Laura Montenovo
Thuy D. Nguyen
Ian M. Schmutte
Olga Scrivner
Kosali I. Simon
Coady Wing
Bruce Weinberg

Back to Business and (Re)employing Workers? Labor Market Activity During State COVID-19 Reopenings
w27408 Dhaval M. Dave
Andrew I. Friedson
Kyutaro Matsuzawa
Joseph J. Sabia
Samuel Safford

Black Lives Matter Protests and Risk Avoidance: The Case of Civil Unrest During a Pandemic
w27391 Christopher R. Knittel
Bora Ozaltun

What Does and Does Not Correlate with COVID-19 Death Rates
w27374 Mohammad Akbarpour
Cody Cook
Aude Marzuoli
Simon Mongey
Abhishek Nagaraj
Matteo Saccarola
Pietro Tebaldi
Shoshana Vasserman
Hanbin Yang

Socioeconomic Network Heterogeneity and Pandemic Policy Response
w27357 Tatyana Deryugina
Nolan H. Miller
David Molitor
Julian Reif

Geographic and Socioeconomic Heterogeneity in the Benefits of Reducing Air Pollution in the United States
w27356 James J. Heckman
Bei Liu
Mai Lu
Jin Zhou

Treatment Effects and the Measurement of Skills in a Prototypical Home Visiting Program
w27348 Richard Blundell
Margherita Borella
Jeanne Commault
Mariacristina De Nardi

Why Does Consumption Fluctuate in Old Age and How Should the Government Insure It?
w27340 Robert E. Hall
Charles I. Jones
Peter J. Klenow

Trading Off Consumption and COVID-19 Deaths
w27326 Mireille Jacobson
Maria Kogelnik
Heather Royer

Holiday, Just One Day Out of Life: Birth Timing and Post-natal Outcomes
w27322 Dhaval M. Dave
Andrew I. Friedson
Kyutaro Matsuzawa
Drew McNichols
Joseph J. Sabia

Are the Effects of Adoption and Termination of Shelter-in-Place Orders Symmetric? Evidence from a Natural Experiment
w27306 Benjamin W. Cowan
Zhuang Hao

Medicaid Expansion and the Mental Health of College Students
w27293 Charles F. Manski
Aleksey Tetenov

Statistical Decision Properties of Imprecise Trials Assessing COVID-19 Drugs
w27289 Michael Barnett
Greg Buchak
Constantine Yannelis

Epidemic Responses Under Uncertainty
w27282 Debraj Ray
S. Subramanian

India's Lockdown: An Interim Report
w27280 Sumedha Gupta
Laura Montenovo
Thuy D. Nguyen
Felipe Lozano Rojas
Ian M. Schmutte
Kosali I. Simon
Bruce A. Weinberg
Coady Wing

Effects of Social Distancing Policy on Labor Market Outcomes
w27274 Thomas G. Wollmann
How to Get Away with Merger: Stealth Consolidation and Its Real Effects on US Healthcare
w27270 Michael L. Barnett
Andrew Olenski
Adam Sacarny

Common Practice: Spillovers from Medicare on Private Health Care
w27265 Andrew Caplin
Daniel J. Martin

Framing, Information, and Welfare
w27245 Jesper Akesson
Sam Ashworth-Hayes
Robert Hahn
Robert D. Metcalfe
Itzhak Rasooly

Fatalism, Beliefs, and Behaviors During the COVID-19 Pandemic
w27240 Jason M. Lindo
Isaac D. Swensen
Glen R. Waddell

Persistent Effects of Violent Media Content
w27235 Thuy D. Nguyen
Sumedha Gupta
Martin Andersen
Ana Bento
Kosali I. Simon
Coady Wing

Impacts of State Reopening Policy on Human Mobility
w27229 Dhaval M. Dave
Andrew I. Friedson
Kyutaro Matsuzawa
Joseph J. Sabia
Samuel Safford

Were Urban Cowboys Enough to Control COVID-19? Local Shelter-in-Place Orders and Coronavirus Case Growth
w27226 Charles F. Manski
Bounding the Predictive Values of COVID-19 Antibody Tests
w27223 Liran Einav
Amy Finkelstein
Yunan Ji
Neale Mahoney

Voluntary Regulation: Evidence from Medicare Payment Reform
w27220 David O. Argente
Chang-Tai Hsieh
Munseob Lee

The Cost of Privacy: Welfare Effects of the Disclosure of COVID-19 Cases
w27212 Jonathan T. Vu
Benjamin K. Kaplan
Shomesh Chaudhuri
Monique K. Mansoura
Andrew W. Lo

Financing Vaccines for Global Health Security
w27211 Ying Fan
A. Yeşim Orhun
Dana Turjeman

Heterogeneous Actions, Beliefs, Constraints and Risk Tolerance During the COVID-19 Pandemic
w27200 Caitlin S. Brown
Martin Ravallion
Dominique van de Walle

Can the World's Poor Protect Themselves from the New Coronavirus?
w27176 Andrew W. Lo
Kien Wei Siah
Chi Heem Wong

Estimating Probabilities of Success of Vaccine and Other Anti-Infective Therapeutic Development Programs
w27175 Shomesh Chaudhuri
Andrew W. Lo
Danying Xiao
Qingyang Xu

Bayesian Adaptive Clinical Trials for Anti-Infective Therapeutics during Epidemic Outbreaks
w27172 Martin Gaynor
Nirav Mehta
Seth Richards-Shubik

Optimal Contracting with Altruistic Agents: A Structural Model of Medicare Payments for Dialysis Drugs
w27166 Jeffrey E. Harris
Reopening Under COVID-19: What to Watch For
w27157 Matthew W. Ridley
Gautam Rao
Frank Schilbach
Vikram H. Patel

Poverty, Depression, and Anxiety: Causal Evidence and Mechanisms
w27138 Martin Andersen
Johanna Catherine Maclean
Michael F. Pesko
Kosali I. Simon

Paid sick-leave and physical mobility: Evidence from the United States during a pandemic
w27132 Laura Montenovo
Xuan Jiang
Felipe Lozano Rojas
Ian M. Schmutte
Kosali I. Simon
Bruce A. Weinberg
Coady Wing

Determinants of Disparities in Covid-19 Job Losses
w27128 Jesús Fernández-Villaverde
Charles I. Jones

Estimating and Simulating a SIRD Model of COVID-19 for Many Countries, States, and Cities
w27126 John Cawley
Alex M. Susskind
Barton Willage

Does Information Disclosure Improve Consumer Knowledge? Evidence from a Randomized Experiment of Restaurant Menu Calorie Labels
w27120 Karen Clay
Joshua A. Lewis
Edson R. Severnini
Xiao Wang

The Value of Health Insurance during a Crisis: Effects of Medicaid Implementation on Pandemic Influenza Mortality
w27098 Shooshan Danagoulian
Daniel S. Grossman
David Slusky

Office Visits Preventing Emergency Room Visits: Evidence From the Flint Water Switch
w27093 David Dranove
Craig Garthwaite
Manuel I. Hermosilla

Expected Profits and The Scientific Novelty of Innovation
w27091 Dhaval M. Dave
Andrew I. Friedson
Kyutaro Matsuzawa
Joseph J. Sabia

When Do Shelter-in-Place Orders Fight COVID-19 Best? Policy Heterogeneity Across States and Adoption Time
w27079 Shilpa Aggarwal
Rebecca Dizon-Ross
Ariel D. Zucker

Incentivizing Behavioral Change: The Role of Time Preferences
w27063 Adriano A. Rampini
Sequential Lifting of COVID-19 Interventions with Population Heterogeneity
w27039 Alexander Chudik
M. Hashem Pesaran
Alessandro Rebucci

Voluntary and Mandatory Social Distancing: Evidence on COVID-19 Exposure Rates from Chinese Provinces and Selected Countries
w27038 Jonathan Gruber
Benjamin R. Handel
Samuel H. Kina
Jonathan T. Kolstad

Managing Intelligence: Skilled Experts and AI in Markets for Complex Products
w27029 Beth Ann Griffin
Megan S. Schuler
Elizabeth A. Stuart
Stephen Patrick
Elizabeth McNeer
Rosanna Smart
David Powell
Bradley Stein
Terry Schell
Rosalie Liccardo Pacula

Variation in Performance of Commonly Used Statistical Methods for Estimating Effectiveness of State-Level Opioid Policies on Opioid-Related Mortality
w27028 Ali Hortaçsu
Jiarui Liu
Timothy Schwieg

Estimating the Fraction of Unreported Infections in Epidemics with a Known Epicenter: an Application to COVID-19
w27027 Sumedha Gupta
Thuy D. Nguyen
Felipe Lozano Rojas
Shyam Raman
Byungkyu Lee
Ana Bento
Kosali I. Simon
Coady Wing

Tracking Public and Private Responses to the COVID-19 Epidemic: Evidence from State and Local Government Actions
w27023 Charles F. Manski
Francesca Molinari

Estimating the COVID-19 Infection Rate: Anatomy of an Inference Problem
w27009 Zachary A. Bethune
Anton Korinek

Covid-19 Infection Externalities: Trading Off Lives vs. Livelihoods
w27005 Eric Barrette
Gautam Gowrisankaran
Robert Town

Countervailing Market Power and Hospital Competition
w27000 Hunt Allcott
Charlie Rafkin

Optimal Regulation of E-cigarettes: Theory and Evidence
w26994 Howard Kunreuther
Mark Pauly

Do People Have a Bias for Low-Deductible Insurance?
w26992 Andrew I. Friedson
Drew McNichols
Joseph J. Sabia
Dhaval Dave

Did California's Shelter-in-Place Order Work? Early Coronavirus-Related Public Health Effects
w26990 Theresa Kuchler
Dominic Russel
Johannes Stroebel

The Geographic Spread of COVID-19 Correlates with the Structure of Social Networks as Measured by Facebook
w26977 Dhaval M. Dave
Daniel L. Dench
Donald S. Kenkel
Alan D. Mathios
Hua Wang

News that Takes Your Breath Away: Risk Perceptions During an Outbreak of Vaping-related Lung Injuries
w26976 Marika Cabral
Marcus Dillender

The Impact of Benefit Generosity on Workers' Compensation Claims: Evidence and Implications
w26951 Parag A. Pathak
Tayfun Sönmez
M. Utku Unver
M. Bumin Yenmez

Leaving No Ethical Value Behind: Triage Protocol Design for Pandemic Rationing
w26946 Hunt Allcott
Levi Boxell
Jacob C. Conway
Matthew Gentzkow
Michael Thaler
David Y. Yang

Polarization and Public Health: Partisan Differences in Social Distancing during the Coronavirus Pandemic
w26917 Jeffrey E. Harris
The Coronavirus Epidemic Curve is Already Flattening in New York City
w26906 Hanming Fang
Long Wang
Yang Yang

Human Mobility Restrictions and the Spread of the Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China
w26901 David W. Berger
Kyle F. Herkenhoff
Simon Mongey

An SEIR Infectious Disease Model with Testing and Conditional Quarantine
w26896 Sara Markowitz
E. Kathleen Adams

The Effects of State Scope of Practice Laws on the Labor Supply of Advanced Practice Registered Nurses
w26880 Jorge Luis García
James J. Heckman

Early Childhood Education and Life-cycle Health
w26879 John Bailey Jones
Mariacristina De Nardi
Eric French
Rory McGee
Rachel Rodgers

Medical Spending, Bequests, and Asset Dynamics Around the Time of Death
w26871 Adam Sacarny
Katherine Baicker
Amy Finkelstein

Out of the Woodwork: Enrollment Spillovers in the Oregon Health Insurance Experiment
w26870 Juan Pablo Atal
Hanming Fang
Martin Karlsson
Nicolas R. Ziebarth

Long-Term Health Insurance: Theory Meets Evidence
w26862 Jonathan Gruber
Benjamin D. Sommers

Fiscal Federalism and the Budget Impacts of the Affordable Care Act's Medicaid Expansion
w26849 Jason Abaluck
Giovanni Compiani

A Method to Estimate Discrete Choice Models that is Robust to Consumer Search
w26846 Pragya Kakani
Michael Chernew
Amitabh Chandra

Rebates in the Pharmaceutical Industry: Evidence from Medicines Sold in Retail Pharmacies in the U.S.
w26842 Seth Pollak
Barbara L. Wolfe

How Developmental Neuroscience Can Help Address the Problem of Child Poverty
w26836 Robert Kaestner
Cuiping Schiman
Jason M. Ward

Education and Health Over the Life Cycle
w26832 Johanna Catherine Maclean
Stefan Pichler
Nicolas R. Ziebarth

Mandated Sick Pay: Coverage, Utilization, and Welfare Effects
w26751 Colleen Carey
Ethan M.J. Lieber
Sarah Miller

Drug Firms' Payments and Physicians' Prescribing Behavior in Medicare Part D
w26749 Engy Ziedan
Robert Kaestner

Effect of Prescription Opioids and Prescription Opioid Control Policies on Infant Health
w26736 Thomas G. McGuire
Anna L. Zink
Sherri Rose

Simplifying and Improving the Performance of Risk Adjustment Systems
w26735 Emilia Simeonova
Niels Skipper
Peter R. Thingholm

Physician Health Management Skills and Patient Outcomes
w26715 Janet Currie
Henrik Kleven
Esmée Zwiers

Technology and Big Data Are Changing Economics: Mining Text to Track Methods
w26697 Hung-Hao Chang
Chad Meyerhoefer

Do Elections Make You Sick?
w26691 George Wehby
Robert Kaestner
Wei Lyu
Dhaval M. Dave

Effects of the Minimum Wage on Child Health
w26690 Yi Chen
Hanming Fang

The State of Mental Health Among the Elderly Chinese
w26679 Jeffrey Clemens
Parker Rogers

Demand Shocks, Procurement Policies, and the Nature of Medical Innovation: Evidence from Wartime Prosthetic Device Patents
w26662 Sarah Miller
Laura R. Wherry
Diana Greene Foster

The Economic Consequences of Being Denied an Abortion
w26618 Janet Currie
David Slusky

Does the Marginal Hospitalization Save Lives? The Case of Respiratory Admissions for the Elderly

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