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NBER Papers on Program on the Development of the American Economy

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2021
w28870 Haelim Anderson
Kinda Cheryl Hachem
Simpson Zhang

Reallocating Liquidity to Resolve a Crisis: Evidence from the Panic of 1873
w28833 Nicola Bianchi
Michela Giorcelli

The Dynamics and Spillovers of Management Interventions: Evidence from the Training Within Industry Program
w28832 Daron Acemoglu
James A. Robinson

Culture, Institutions and Social Equilibria: A Framework
w28814 Edward L. Glaeser
What Can Developing Cities Today Learn From the Urban Past?
w28812 Ariell Zimran
Immigrant Distribution in the United States during the Age of Mass Migration
w28810 Howard Bodenhorn
Were Late-Nineteenth-Century, Small-Town Americans Life-Cycle Savers?
w28774 Stephen H. Haber
Naomi R. Lamoreaux

The Battle Over Patents: History and the Politics of Innovation
w28772 Benjamin Schoefer
Oren Ziv

Productivity, Place, and Plants
w28767 Kilian Huber
Are Bigger Banks Better? Firm-Level Evidence from Germany
w28766 Kilian Huber
Volker Lindenthal
Fabian Waldinger

Discrimination, Managers, and Firm Performance: Evidence from "Aryanizations" in Nazi Germany
w28733 David J. Deming
The Growing Importance of Decision-Making on the Job
w28726 Abhijit Banerjee
Arun G. Chandrasekhar
Suresh Dalpath
Esther Duflo
John Floretta
Matthew O. Jackson
Harini Kannan
Francine N. Loza
Anirudh Sankar
Anna Schrimpf
Maheshwor Shrestha

Selecting the Most Effective Nudge: Evidence from a Large-Scale Experiment on Immunization
w28665 Diana Moreira
Santiago Pérez

Civil Service Reform and Organizational Practices: Evidence from the Pendleton Act
w28633 Jeanne Lafortune
Ethan G. Lewis
José Pablo Martínez
José Tessada

Changing Returns to Scale in Manufacturing 1880-1930: The Rise of (Skilled) Labor?
w28627 David S. Jacks
Martin Stuermer

Dry Bulk Shipping and the Evolution of Maritime Transport Costs, 1850-2020
w28623 Paul Bouscasse
Emi Nakamura
Jón Steinsson

When Did Growth Begin? New Estimates of Productivity Growth in England from 1250 to 1870
w28616 Kris James Mitchener
Kirsten Wandschneider
Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke

The Smoot-Hawley Trade War
w28598 Kris James Mitchener
Christoph Trebesch

Sovereign Debt in the 21st Century: Looking Backward, Looking Forward
w28597 Jeremy Atack
Robert A. Margo
Paul Rhode

Industrialization and Urbanization in Nineteenth Century America
w28577 Hugh Rockoff
Oh, How the Mighty Have Fallen: The Bank Failures and Near Failures That Started America's Greatest Financial Panics
w28563 Brian Beach
Water Infrastructure and Health in U.S. Cities
w28476 David Cuberes
Klaus Desmet
Jordan Rappaport

Urban Growth Shadows
w28405 Howard Bodenhorn
Bad Men, Good Roads, Jim Crow, and the Economics of Southern Chain Gangs
w28385 Cecile Gaubert
Patrick M. Kline
Damián Vergara
Danny Yagan

Trends in U.S. Spatial Inequality: Concentrating Affluence and a Democratization of Poverty
w28356 Marco Del Angel
Caroline Fohlin
Marc D. Weidenmier

Do Global Pandemics Matter for Stock Prices? Lessons from the 1918 Spanish Flu
w28351 Allison Shertzer
Tate Twinam
Randall P. Walsh

Zoning and Segregation in Urban Economic History
w28335 Daniel P. Gross
Bhaven N. Sampat

The Economics of Crisis Innovation Policy: A Historical Perspective
2020
w28297 Sebastian Ottinger
Nico Voigtländer

History's Masters: The Effect of European Monarchs on State Performance
w28287 Edward L. Glaeser
Infrastructure and Urban Form
w28279 W. Bentley MacLeod
Miguel Urquiola

Why Does the U.S. Have the Best Research Universities? Incentives, Resources, and Virtuous Circles
w28268 Martha J. Bailey
Brenden D. Timpe
Shuqiao Sun

Prep School for Poor Kids: The Long-Run Impacts of Head Start on Human Capital and Economic Self-Sufficiency
w28255 Patrick Bayer
Peter Q. Blair
Kenneth Whaley

A National Study of School Spending and House Prices
w28251 Réka Juhász
Mara P. Squicciarini
Nico Voigtländer

Away from Home and Back: Coordinating (Remote) Workers in 1800 and 2020
w28246 Philipp Ager
Katherine Eriksson
Ezra Karger
Peter Nencka
Melissa A. Thomasson

School Closures During the 1918 Flu Pandemic
w28243 Eoin F. McGuirk
Nathan Nunn

Transhumant Pastoralism, Climate Change, and Conflict in Africa
w28224 Ted Fertik
Naomi R. Lamoreaux

World War I and the Restructuring of International Business
w28197 Òscar Jordà
Martin Kornejew
Moritz Schularick
Alan M. Taylor

Zombies at Large? Corporate Debt Overhang and the Macroeconomy
w28181 David S. Jacks
Krishna Pendakur
Hitoshi Shigeoka

Urban Mortality and the Repeal of Federal Prohibition
w28167 Michael Leeds
Hugh Rockoff

Jim Crow in the Saddle: The Expulsion of African American Jockeys from American Racing
w28152 Enrico Berkes
Olivier Deschenes
Ruben Gaetani
Jeffrey Lin
Christopher Severen

Lockdowns and Innovation: Evidence from the 1918 Flu Pandemic
w28148 César Ducruet
Réka Juhász
Dávid Krisztián Nagy
Claudia Steinwender

All Aboard: The Effects of Port Development
w28146 Price V. Fishback
Jessica LaVoice
Allison Shertzer
Randall Walsh

Race, Risk, and the Emergence of Federal Redlining
w28142 Douglas A. Irwin
Maksym G. Chepeliev

The Economic Consequences of Sir Robert Peel: A Quantitative Assessment of the Repeal of the Corn Laws
w28101 Trevon Logan
Lisa D. Cook
John Parman

The Antebellum Roots of Distinctively Black Names
w28078 Marcella Alsan
Katherine Eriksson
Gregory Niemesh

Understanding the Success of the Know-Nothing Party
w28076 Martin Fiszbein
Jeanne Lafortune
Ethan G. Lewis
José Tessada

New Technologies, Productivity, and Jobs: The (Heterogeneous) Effects of Electrification on US Manufacturing
w28061 James Feigenbaum
Daniel P. Gross

Automation and the Fate of Young Workers: Evidence from Telephone Operation in the Early 20th Century
w28059 Treb Allen
Dave Donaldson

Persistence and Path Dependence in the Spatial Economy
w28055 Joshua K. Hausman
Paul W. Rhode
Johannes F. Wieland

Farm Product Prices, Redistribution, and the Early U.S. Great Depression
w28033 Claudia Olivetti
M. Daniele Paserman
Laura Salisbury
E. Anna Weber

Who Married, (to) Whom, and Where? Trends in Marriage in the United States, 1850-1940
w27985 Germán Gutiérrez
Thomas Philippon

Some Facts about Dominant Firms
w27970 D. Mark Anderson
Kerwin Kofi Charles
Daniel I. Rees

The Federal Effort to Desegregate Southern Hospitals and the Black-White Infant Mortality Gap
w27968 Brandon Dupont
Joshua L. Rosenbloom

Wealth Mobility in the 1860s
w27938 Taylor Jaworski
Carl Kitchens
Sergey Nigai

Highways and Globalization
w27918 Sara Lowes
Ethnographic and Field Data in Historical Economics
w27912 Mark Carlson
Matthew S. Jaremski

Liquidity Requirements, Free-Riding, and the Implications for Financial Stability Evidence from the early 1900s
w27909 Daniel P. Gross
Bhaven N. Sampat

Organizing Crisis Innovation: Lessons from World War II
w27904 David S. Jacks
Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke
Alan M. Taylor

The Gravitational Constant?
w27893 Sara Lowes
Eduardo Montero

Concessions, Violence, and Indirect Rule: Evidence from the Congo Free State
w27851 Tania Babina
Asaf Bernstein
Filippo Mezzanotti

Crisis Innovation
w27850 W. Walker Hanlon
Stephan Heblich

History and Urban Economics
w27808 Martin Ravallion
On the Origins of the Idea of Ending Poverty
w27805 Vellore Arthi
John Parman

Disease, Downturns, and Wellbeing: Economic History and the Long-Run Impacts of COVID-19
w27798 Abhay Aneja
Guo Xu

The Costs of Employment Segregation: Evidence from the Federal Government under Woodrow Wilson
w27776 Samuel Bazzi
Martin Fiszbein
Mesay Gebresilasse

Rugged Individualism and Collective (In)action During the COVID-19 Pandemic
w27750 Eric C. Edwards
Martin Fiszbein
Gary D. Libecap

Colonial Origins, Property Rights, and the Organization of Agricultural Production: the US Midwest and Argentine Pampas Compared
w27744 Alexandr Kopytov
Nikolai Roussanov
Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel

Cheap Thrills: the Price of Leisure and the Global Decline in Work Hours
w27733 Qian Chen
Christoffer Koch
Padma Sharma
Gary Richardson

Payments Crises and Consequences
w27716 Taylor Jaworski
Ian Keay

Openness to Trade and the Spread of Industrialization: Evidence from Canada during the First Era of Globalization
w27706 Nathan Nunn
History as Evolution
w27703 Eric Hilt
Matthew S. Jaremski
Wendy Rahn

When Uncle Sam Introduced Main Street to Wall Street: Liberty Bonds and the Transformation of American Finance
w27689 Anna Aizer
Ryan Boone
Adriana Lleras-Muney
Jonathan Vogel

Discrimination and Racial Disparities in Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from WWII
w27673 Brian Beach
Karen Clay
Martin H. Saavedra

The 1918 Influenza Pandemic and its Lessons for COVID-19
w27668 Michael R. Haines
J. David Hacker
Matthew S. Jaremski

Early Fertility Decline in the United States: Tests of Alternative Hypotheses using New Complete-Count Census Microdata and Enhanced County-Level Data
w27656 Richard Hornbeck
Dust Bowl Migrants: Identifying an Archetype
w27614 Price V. Fishback
Rule of Law in Labor Relations, 1898-1940
w27586 Martin Ellison
Sang Seok Lee
Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke

The Ends of 30 Big Depressions
w27530 Carl T. Kitchens
Luke P. Rodgers

The Impact of the WWI Agricultural Boom and Bust on Female Opportunity Cost and Fertility
w27523 Anna Aizer
Shari Eli
Adriana Lleras-Muney

The Incentive Effects of Cash Transfers to the Poor
w27514 Adriana Lleras-Muney
Joseph Price
Dahai Yue

The Association Between Educational Attainment and Longevity using Individual Level Data from the 1940 Census
w27506 Yannay Spitzer
Gaspare Tortorici
Ariell Zimran

International Migration Responses to Natural Disasters: Evidence from Modern Europe's Deadliest Earthquake
w27503 Réka Juhász
Mara P. Squicciarini
Nico Voigtländer

Technology Adoption and Productivity Growth: Evidence from Industrialization in France
w27495 Howard Bodenhorn
Business in a Time of Spanish Influenza
w27480 Philipp Ager
James J. Feigenbaum
Casper Worm Hansen
Hui Ren Tan

How the Other Half Died: Immigration and Mortality in US Cities
w27479 Christian Dippel
Dustin Frye
Bryan Leonard

Property Rights without Transfer Rights: A Study of Indian Land Allotment
w27455 Diego A. Comin
Ana Danieli
Martí Mestieri

Income-driven Labor Market Polarization
w27446 Jennifer Bennett
Robert Kornfeld
Daniel Sichel
David Wasshausen

Measuring Infrastructure in BEA's National Economic Accounts
w27436 Jeremy Atack
Robert A. Margo
Paul Rhode

'Mechanization Takes Command': Inanimate Power and Labor Productivity in Late Nineteenth Century American Manufacturing
w27401 Barry Eichengreen ⓡ
Orkun Saka ⓡ
Cevat Giray Aksoy

The Political Scar of Epidemics
w27400 Naomi R. Lamoreaux
John Joseph Wallis

Economic Crisis, General Laws, and the Mid-Nineteenth-Century Transformation of American Political Economy
w27375 Daniel P. Gross
Bhaven N. Sampat

Inventing the Endless Frontier: The Effects of the World War II Research Effort on Post-war Innovation
w27372 Ran Abramitzky
Leah Platt Boustan
Dylan Connor

Leaving the Enclave: Historical Evidence on Immigrant Mobility from the Industrial Removal Office
w27333 W. Walker Hanlon
Casper Worm Hansen
Jake W. Kantor

Temperature, Disease, and Death in London: Analyzing Weekly Data for the Century from 1866-1965
w27291 Keith Meyers
Paul Rhode

Yield Performance of Corn under Heat Stress: A Comparison of Hybrid and Open-Pollinated Seeds during a Period of Technological Transformation, 1933-1955
w27268 William J. Collins
The Great Migration of Black Americans from the US South: A Guide and Interpretation
w27238 Paola Giuliano
Marco Tabellini

The Seeds of Ideology: Historical Immigration and Political Preferences in the United States
w27206 Julian M. Alston
Philip G. Pardey

Innovation, Growth and Structural Change in American Agriculture
w27161 James J. Feigenbaum
Soumyajit Mazumder
Cory B. Smith

When Coercive Economies Fail: The Political Economy of the US South After the Boll Weevil
w27156 Joseph Price
Christian vom Lehn
Riley Wilson

The Winners and Losers of Immigration: Evidence from Linked Historical Data
w27120 Karen Clay
Joshua A. Lewis
Edson R. Severnini
Xiao Wang

The Value of Health Insurance during a Crisis: Effects of Medicaid Implementation on Pandemic Influenza Mortality
w27119 Peter Zhixian Lin
Christopher M. Meissner

A Note on Long-Run Persistence of Public Health Outcomes in Pandemics
w27115 George J. Hall
Thomas J. Sargent

Debt and Taxes in Eight U.S. Wars and Two Insurrections
w27101 Karen Clay
Ethan J. Schmick
Werner Troesken

The Boll Weevil's Impact on Racial Income Gaps in the Early Twentieth Century
w27080 Petra Moser
Economics of Research and Innovation in Agriculture
w27075 Konrad B. Burchardi
Thomas Chaney
Tarek Alexander Hassan
Lisa Tarquinio
Stephen J. Terry

Immigration, Innovation, and Growth
w27073 Samuel Bazzi
Masyhur Hilmy
Benjamin Marx

Islam and the State: Religious Education in the Age of Mass Schooling
w27069 James J. Feigenbaum
Price V. Fishback
Keoka Grayson

Inequality and the Safety Net Throughout the Income Distribution, 1929-1940
w27067 Michael D. Bordo
Christopher M. Meissner

Original Sin and the Great Depression
w27009 Zachary A. Bethune
Anton Korinek

Covid-19 Infection Externalities: Trading Off Lives vs. Livelihoods
w26938 Price V. Fishback
Social Insurance and Public Assistance in the Twentieth-Century United States: 2019 Presidential Address for the Economic History Association
w26937 Price V. Fishback
Andrew Seltzer

The Rise of American Minimum Wages, 1912-1968
w26936 Andreas Ferrara
Price V. Fishback

Discrimination, Migration, and Economic Outcomes: Evidence from World War I
w26929 Amanda Guimbeau
Nidhiya Menon
Aldo Musacchio

The Brazilian Bombshell? The Long-Term Impact of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic the South American Way
w26926 Martha J. Bailey
John DiNardo
Bryan A. Stuart

The Economic Impact of a High National Minimum Wage: Evidence from the 1966 Fair Labor Standards Act
w26909 Claudia Goldin
Lawrence F. Katz

The Incubator of Human Capital: The NBER and the Rise of the Human Capital Paradigm
w26895 Hugh Rockoff
Off to a Good Start: The NBER and the Measurement of National Income
w26885 Michela Giorcelli
Petra Moser

Copyright and Creativity. Evidence from Italian Opera During the Napoleonic Age
w26865 Wolfgang Keller
Markus Lampe
Carol H. Shiue

International Transactions: Real Trade and Factor Flows between 1700 and 1870
w26859 Kris James Mitchener
Gary Richardson

Contagion of Fear
w26819 Lisa D. Cook
Maggie E.C. Jones
David Rosé
Trevon D. Logan

The Green Books and the Geography of Segregation in Public Accommodations
w26781 Carolyn Moehling
Melissa A. Thomasson

Votes For Women: An Economic Perspective on Women's Enfranchisement
w26770 Fabian Eckert
Andrés Gvirtz
Jack Liang
Michael Peters

A Method to Construct Geographical Crosswalks with an Application to US Counties since 1790
w26763 Ran Abramitzky
Hanna Halaburda

Were Jews in Interwar Poland More Educated?
w26754 Davide Cantoni
Noam Yuchtman

Historical Natural Experiments: Bridging Economics and Economic History
w26710 Christoffer Koch
Gary Richardson
Patrick Van Horn

Countercyclical Capital Buffers: A Cautionary Tale
w26709 Elizabeth U. Cascio
Na’ama Shenhav

A Century of the American Woman Voter: Sex Gaps in Political Participation, Preferences, and Partisanship Since Women's Enfranchisement
w26695 Pooyan Amir-Ahmadi
Gustavo S. Cortes
Marc D. Weidenmier

Regional Monetary Policies and the Great Depression
w26694 Raven Molloy
Christopher Smith
Abigail K. Wozniak

Changing Stability in U.S. Employment Relationships: A Tale of Two Tails
w26679 Jeffrey Clemens
Parker Rogers

Demand Shocks, Procurement Policies, and the Nature of Medical Innovation: Evidence from Wartime Prosthetic Device Patents
w26666 Òscar Jordà
Sanjay R. Singh
Alan M. Taylor

The Long-Run Effects of Monetary Policy
w26637 Efraim Benmelech
Nitish Kumar
Raghuram Rajan

The Decline of Secured Debt
w26632 Fabian Eckert
Teresa C. Fort
Peter K. Schott
Natalie J. Yang

Imputing Missing Values in the US Census Bureau's County Business Patterns
w26617 Claudia Goldin
Sari Pekkala Kerr
Claudia Olivetti

Why Firms Offer Paid Parental Leave: An Exploratory Study
w26603 Cailin R. Slattery
Owen M. Zidar

Evaluating State and Local Business Tax Incentives

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