TY - JOUR AU - Edwards, Sebastian TI - Does the Current Account Matter? JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 8275 PY - 2001 Y2 - May 2001 DO - 10.3386/w8275 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w8275 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w8275.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Sebastian Edwards UCLA Anderson Graduate School of Management 110 Westwood Plaza, Suite C508 Box 951481 Los Angeles, CA 90095-1481 Tel: 310/206-6797 Fax: 310/206-5825 E-Mail: sebastian.edwards@anderson.ucla.edu M1 - published as Sebastian Edwards. "Does the Current Account Matter?," in Sebastian Edwards and Jeffrey A. Frankel, editors, "Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets" University of Chicago Press (2002) AB - The purpose of this paper is to investigate in detail the behavior of the current account in emerging economies, and in particular its role if any in financial crises. Models of current account behavior are reviewed, and a dynamic model of current account sustainability is developed. The empirical analysis is based on a massive data set that covers over 120 countries during more than 25 years. Important controversies related to the current account including the extent to which current account deficits help predict currency crises are also analyzed. Throughout the paper I am interested in analyzing whether there is evidence supporting the idea that there are costs involved in running 'very large' deficits. Moreover, I investigate the nature of these potential costs, including whether they are particularly high in the presence of other type of imbalances. ER -