TY  - JOUR
AU  - Hurd, Michael
AU  - McFadden, Daniel
AU  - Merrill, Angela
TI  - Predictors of Mortality Among the Elderly
JF  - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series
VL  - No. 7440
PY  - 1999
Y2  - December 1999
DO  - 10.3386/w7440
UR  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7440
L1  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7440.pdf
N1  - Author contact info:
Michael D. Hurd
RAND Corporation
1776 Main Street
Santa Monica, CA 90407
Tel: 310/451-6945
Fax: 310/451-6923
E-Mail: mhurd@rand.org

Daniel L. McFadden
University of California, Berkeley
Department of Economics
508-1 Evans Hall #3880
Berkeley, CA 94720-3880
Tel: (510) 643-8428
Fax: (510) 642-0638
E-Mail: mcfadden@econ.berkeley.edu

Angela Merrill
M1  - published as Michael D. Hurd, Daniel McFadden, Angela Merrill. "Predictors of Mortality among the Elderly," in David A. Wise, editor, "Themes in the Economics of Aging" University of Chicago Press (2001)

AB  - The objective of this paper is to find the quantitative importance of some predictors of mortality among the population aged 70 or over.  The predictors are socio-economic indicators (income, wealth and education), thirteen health indicators including a history of heart attack or cancer, and subjective probabilities of survival.  The estimation is based on mortality between waves 1 and 2 of the Asset and Health Dynamics among the Oldest-Old study.  We find that the relationship between socio-economic indicators and mortality declines with age 13 health indicators are strong predictors of mortality and that the subjective survival probabilities predict mortality even after controlling for socio-economic indicators and the health conditions.
ER  -