TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ito, Takatoshi
AU  - Isard, Peter
AU  - Symansky, Steven
TI  - Economic Growth and Real Exchange Rate: An Overview of the Balassa-Samuelson Hypothesis in Asia
JF  - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series
VL  - No. 5979
PY  - 1997
Y2  - March 1997
DO  - 10.3386/w5979
UR  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5979
L1  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5979.pdf
N1  - Author contact info:
Takatoshi Ito
Columbia University
School of International and Public Affairs
Room 927 IAB (MC 3333)
420 West 118th Street
New York, NY 10027
Tel: 212-854-6401
Fax: 212-749-1497
E-Mail: ti2164@columbia.edu

Peter Isard

Steven Symansky
M1  - published as Takatoshi Ito, Peter Isard, Steven Symansky. "Economic Growth and Real Exchange Rate: An Overview of the Balassa-Samuelson Hypothesis in Asia ," in Takatoshi Ito and Anne O. Krueger, editors, "Changes in Exchange Rates in Rapidly Developing Countries: Theory, Practice, and Policy Issues" University of Chicago Press (1999)

AB  - The paper tests the Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis (rapid economic growth is accompanied by real exchange rate appreciation because of differential productivity growth between tradable and nontradable sectors) using data of the APEC economies.  Japan, Korea, Taiwan and, to a lesser extent, Hong Kong and Singapore, were proved to follow the Balassa-Samuelson path.  These countries follow a similar industrialization pattern, increasing the weight of high value-added exports.  Although Hong Kong and Singapore grew fast, their real exchange rates appreciated only moderately.  High productivity growth in service sectors might have been the reason for this.  Other fast-growing ASEAN countries, such as Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia did not experience real appreciation.  Closer examinations of various components of the Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis revealed that key assumptions are not uniformly supported:  There is no uniform pattern for the movement of nontradable prices relative to tradable prices; and tradable prices (measured by common currency) do not show the international arbitrage.
ER  -