TY - JOUR AU - Beraja, Martin AU - Yang, David Y AU - Yuchtman, Noam TI - Data-intensive Innovation and the State: Evidence from AI Firms in China JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 27723 PY - 2020 Y2 - August 2020 DO - 10.3386/w27723 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w27723 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w27723.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Martin Beraja Department of Economics, E52-504 MIT 77 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02139 Tel: 617/258-6022 E-Mail: martinberaja@gmail.com David Y. Yang Department of Economics Harvard University Littauer Center M-31 Cambridge, MA 02138 E-Mail: davidyang@fas.harvard.edu Noam Yuchtman London School of Economics Houghton St. London WC2A 2AE United Kingdom Tel: 44 (0)20 7955 1262 E-Mail: n.yuchtman@lse.ac.uk M3 - presented at "SI 2020 Income Distribution and Macroeconomics ", July 15-16, 2020 AB - Artificial intelligence (AI) innovation is data-intensive. States have historically collected large amounts of data, which is now being used by AI firms. Gathering comprehensive information on firms and government procurement contracts in China’s facial recognition AI industry, we first study how government data shapes AI innovation. We find evidence of a precise mechanism: because data is sharable across uses, economies of scope arise. Firms awarded public security AI contracts providing access to more government data produce more software for both government and commercial purposes. In a directed technical change model incorporating this mechanism, we then study the trade-offs presented by states’ AI procurement and data provision policies. Surveillance states’ demand for AI may incidentally promote growth, but distort innovation, crowd-out resources, and infringe on civil liberties. Government data provision may be justified when economies of scope are strong and citizens’ privacy concerns are limited. ER -