TY - JOUR AU - Agrawal, Ajay K AU - Gans, Joshua S AU - Goldfarb, Avi TI - Economic Policy for Artificial Intelligence JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 24690 PY - 2018 Y2 - June 2018 DO - 10.3386/w24690 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w24690 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w24690.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Ajay K. Agrawal Rotman School of Management University of Toronto 105 St. George Street Toronto, ON M5S 3E6 CANADA Tel: 416/946-0203 Fax: 416/978-5433 E-Mail: ajay.agrawal@rotman.utoronto.ca Joshua S. Gans Rotman School of Management University of Toronto 105 St. George Street Toronto ON M5S 3E6 CANADA Tel: 416/978-3243 E-Mail: joshua.gans@rotman.utoronto.ca Avi Goldfarb Rotman School of Management University of Toronto 105 St. George Street Toronto, ON M5S 3E6 CANADA Tel: 416/946-8604 Fax: 416/978-5433 E-Mail: agoldfarb@rotman.utoronto.ca M1 - published as Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, Avi Goldfarb. "Economic Policy for Artificial Intelligence," in Josh Lerner and Scott Stern, editors, "Innovation Policy and the Economy, Volume 19" University of Chicago Press (2019) M3 - presented at "Innovation Policy and the Economy 2018", April 17, 2018 AB - Recent progress in artificial intelligence (AI) – a general purpose technology affecting many industries - has been focused on advances in machine learning, which we recast as a quality-adjusted drop in the price of prediction. How will this sharp drop in price impact society? Policy will influence the impact on two key dimensions: diffusion and consequences. First, in addition to subsidies and IP policy that will influence the diffusion of AI in ways similar to their effect on other technologies, three policy categories - privacy, trade, and liability - may be uniquely salient in their influence on the diffusion patterns of AI. Second, labor and antitrust policies will influence the consequences of AI in terms of employment, inequality, and competition. ER -