Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise

Charles F. Manski

NBER Working Paper No. 23418
Issued in May 2017

---- Acknowledgments ----

This research was supported in part by National Science Foundation grant SES-1129475. I am grateful for comments on earlier drafts from Nicholas Bloom, Martin Eichenbaum, Pamela Giustinelli, Lawrence Hazelrigg, Jonathan Parker, Wilbert van der Klaauw, and Joachim Winter. The views expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research.

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