TY - JOUR AU - Deming, David J AU - Lovenheim, Michael AU - Patterson, Richard W TI - The Competitive Effects of Online Education JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 22749 PY - 2016 Y2 - October 2016 DO - 10.3386/w22749 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w22749 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w22749.pdf N1 - Author contact info: David J. Deming Harvard Kennedy School Malcolm Wiener Center for Social Policy 79 JFK St Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617/496-4702 E-Mail: david_deming@harvard.edu Michael F. Lovenheim Department of Policy Analysis and Management ILR School, and Department of Economics Cornell University 264 Ives Hall Ithaca, NY 14853 Tel: 607/255-0705 Fax: 607/255-4071 E-Mail: mfl55@cornell.edu Richard W. Patterson United States Military Academy B107 Lincoln Hall West Point, NY 10996 E-Mail: richard.patterson@westpoint.edu M1 - published as David J. Deming, Michael Lovenheim, Richard Patterson. "The Competitive Effects of Online Education," in Caroline M. Hoxby and Kevin Stange, editors, "Productivity in Higher Education" University of Chicago Press (2019) M2 - featured in NBER digest on 2017-01-09 AB - We study the impact of online degree programs on the market for U.S. higher education. Online degree programs increase the competitiveness of local education markets by providing additional options in areas that previously only had a small number of brick-and-mortar schools. We show that local postsecondary institutions in less competitive markets experienced relative enrollment declines following a regulatory change in 2006 that increased the market entry and enrollment of online institutions. Impacts on enrollment were concentrated among private non-selective institutions, which are likely to be the closest competitors to online degree programs. We also find increases in per-student instructional spending among public institutions. Our results suggest that by increasing competitive pressure on local schools, online education can be an important driver of innovation and productivity in U.S. higher education. ER -