TY - JOUR AU - Lybbert, Travis J AU - Wydick, Bruce TI - Hope as Aspirations, Agency, and Pathways: Poverty Dynamics and Microfinance in Oaxaca, Mexico JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 22661 PY - 2016 Y2 - September 2016 DO - 10.3386/w22661 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w22661 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w22661.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Travis Lybbert Agricultural and Resources Economics University of California, Davis 1 Shields Avenue Davis, CA 95616 E-Mail: tlybbert@ucdavis.edu Bruce Wydick Department of Economics University of San Francisco San Francisco, CA 94117 E-Mail: wydick@usfca.edu M1 - published as Travis J. Lybbert, Bruce Wydick. "Hope as Aspirations, Agency, and Pathways: Poverty Dynamics and Microfinance in Oaxaca, Mexico," in Christopher B. Barrett, Michael R. Carter, and Jean-Paul Chavas, editors, "The Economics of Poverty Traps" University of Chicago Press (2019) M3 - presented at "The Economics of Asset Accumulation and Poverty Traps", June 28-29, 2016 AB - Work in positive psychology decomposes hope into aspirations, agency, and pathways. Operating in the context of an economic model developed with this framework, we review the literature on hope from philosophy, theology, psychology, and its relationship to emerging work on aspirations in development economics. We then present one-month follow-up results from an experimental study based on a hope intervention in Oaxaca, Mexico among 601 indigenous women with access to microfinance loans. Our early experimental results suggest that the intervention raised aspirations approximately a quarter of a standard deviation, significantly raised a hope index among the treated subjects, and had positive but statistically insignificant results on enterprise revenues and profits. ER -