% WARNING: This file may contain UTF-8 (unicode) characters. % While non-8-bit characters are officially unsupported in BibTeX, you % can use them with the biber backend of biblatex % usepackage[backend=biber]{biblatex} @techreport{NBERw19567, title = "Bayesian Variable Selection for Nowcasting Economic Time Series", author = "Scott, Steven L and Varian, Hal R", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "19567", year = "2013", month = "October", doi = {10.3386/w19567}, URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w19567", abstract = {We consider the problem of short-term time series forecasting (nowcasting) when there are more possible predictors than observations. Our approach combines three Bayesian techniques: Kalman filtering, spike-and-slab regression, and model averaging. We illustrate this approach using search engine query data as predictors for consumer sentiment and gun sales.}, }