TY - JOUR AU - Lewis, Randall AU - Rao, Justin M AU - Reiley, David H TI - Measuring the Effects of Advertising: The Digital Frontier JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 19520 PY - 2013 Y2 - October 2013 DO - 10.3386/w19520 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w19520 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w19520.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Randall A. Lewis 235 Fair Oaks Ave Apt B Mountain View, CA 94040 Tel: 312-RA-LEWIS E-Mail: randallalewis@gmail.com Justin Rao 99/4630 One Microsoft Way Redmond, WA 98052 E-Mail: justinmrao@outlook.com David H. Reiley Jr. Pandora Media, Inc. 2101 Webster St. Oakland, CA 94612 Tel: 510-516-3266 E-Mail: david@davidreiley.com M1 - published as Randall Lewis, Justin M. Rao, David H. Reiley. "Measuring the Effects of Advertising: The Digital Frontier," in Avi Goldfarb, Shane M. Greenstein, and Catherine E. Tucker, editors, "Economic Analysis of the Digital Economy" University of Chicago Press (2015) M3 - presented at "The Economics of Digitization: An Agenda", June 6-7, 2013 AB - Online advertising offers unprecedented opportunities for measurement. A host of new metrics, clicks being the leading example, have become widespread in advertising science. New data and experimentation platforms open the door for firms and researchers to measure true causal effects of advertising on a variety of consumer behaviors, such as purchases. We dissect the new metrics and methods currently used by industry researchers, attacking the question, "How hard is it to reliably measure advertising effectiveness?" We outline the questions that we think can be answered by current data and methods, those that we believe will be in play within five years, and those that we believe could not be answered with arbitrarily large and detailed data. We pay close attention to the advances in computational advertising that are not only increasing the impact of advertising, but also usefully shifting the focus from "who to hit" to "what do I get." ER -