TY - JOUR AU - Clemens, Jeffrey AU - Gottlieb, Joshua D TI - In the Shadow of a Giant: Medicare's Influence on Private Physician Payments JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 19503 PY - 2013 Y2 - October 2013 DO - 10.3386/w19503 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w19503 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w19503.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Jeffrey Clemens Department of Economics University of California, San Diego 9500 Gilman Drive #0508 La Jolla, CA 92093 Tel: 858/534-5713 E-Mail: jeffclemens@ucsd.edu Joshua D. Gottlieb University of Chicago Harris School of Public Policy 1307 E. 60th St. Chicago, IL 60637 E-Mail: jgottlieb@uchicago.edu AB - We demonstrate Medicare's influence on private insurers' payments for physicians' services. Using a large administrative change in payments for surgical versus medical care, we find that private prices follow Medicare's lead. A $1 change in Medicare's fees moved private prices by $1.16. A second set of Medicare payment changes, which generated area-specific reimbursement shocks, had a similar effect on private sector prices. Medicare's influence is strongest in areas with concentrated insurers, small physician groups, and competitive physician markets. The public sector's influences on system-wide resource allocation and costs extend well beyond the share of health expenditures it finances directly. ER -