TY - JOUR AU - Guerrieri, Luca AU - Iacoviello, Matteo AU - Minetti, Raoul TI - Banks, Sovereign Debt and the International Transmission of Business Cycles JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 18303 PY - 2012 Y2 - August 2012 DO - 10.3386/w18303 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w18303 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w18303.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Luca Guerrieri The Federal Reserve Board Mail Stop 20 20th and C Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20551 E-Mail: luca.guerrieri@frb.gov Matteo Iacoviello Federal Reserve Board Mail Stop 20 20th and C st NW Washington DC 20551 E-Mail: matteo.iacoviello@frb.gov Raoul Minetti Michigan State University E-Mail: minetti@msu.edu M1 - published as Luca Guerrieri, Matteo Iacoviello, Raoul Minetti. "Banks, Sovereign Debt, and the International Transmission of Business Cycles," in Francesco Giavazzi and Kenneth D. West, organizers, "NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2012" University of Chicago Press (2013) M3 - presented at "ISOM", June 15-16, 2012 AB - This paper studies the international propagation of sovereign debt default. We posit a two-country economy where capital constrained banks grant loans to firms and invest in bonds issued by the domestic and the foreign government. The model economy is calibrated to data from Europe, with the two countries representing the Periphery (Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain) and the Core, respectively. Large contractionary shocks in the Periphery trigger sovereign default. We find sizable spillover effects of default from Periphery to the Core through a drop in the volume of credit extended by the banking sector. ER -