TY - JOUR AU - Blonigen, Bruce A AU - Piger, Jeremy TI - Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 16704 PY - 2011 Y2 - January 2011 DO - 10.3386/w16704 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w16704 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w16704.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Bruce Blonigen Department of Economics 1285 University of Oregon Eugene, OR 97403-1285 Tel: 541/346-4680 Fax: 541/346-1243 E-Mail: bruceb@uoregon.edu Jeremy Piger Depart. of Economics University of Oregon Eugene, OR 97403-1285 E-Mail: jpiger@uoregon.edu M1 - published as Rachael E. Goodhue, Carlo Russo. "Modeling Processor Market Power and the Incidence of Agricultural Policy: A Nonparametric Approach," in Joshua S. Graff Zivin and Jeffrey M. Perloff, editors, "The Intended and Unintended Effects of U.S. Agricultural and Biotechnology Policies" University of Chicago Press (2012) AB - Empirical studies of bilateral foreign direct investment (FDI) activity show substantial differences in specifications with little agreement on the set of covariates that are (or should be) included. We use Bayesian statistical techniques that allow one to select from a large set of candidates those variables most likely to be determinants of FDI activity. The variables with consistently high inclusion probabilities are traditional gravity variables, cultural distance factors, parent-country per capita GDP, relative labor endowments, and regional trade agreements. Variables with little support for inclusion are multilateral trade openness, host country business costs, host-country infrastructure (including credit markets), and host-country institutions. Of particular note, our results suggest that many covariates found significant by previous studies are not robust. ER -