TY - JOUR AU - Gordon, Roger H AU - Li, Wei TI - Provincial and Local Governments in China: Fiscal Institutions and Government Behavior JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 16694 PY - 2011 Y2 - January 2011 DO - 10.3386/w16694 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w16694 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w16694.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Roger H. Gordon Department of Economics 0508 University of California, San Diego 9500 Gilman Drive, Dept. 0508 La Jolla, CA 92093 Tel: 858/534-4828 Fax: 858/534-7040 E-Mail: rogordon@ucsd.edu Wei Li 1 East Chang An Avenue Oriental Plaza, Tower E1/10F CKGSB Beijing, China 100738 China Tel: +86-10-85188858 E-Mail: wli@ckgsb.edu.cn M1 - published as Roger H. Gordon, Wei Li. "Provincial and Local Governments in China: Fiscal Institutions and Government Behavior," in Joseph P. H. Fan and Randall Morck, editors, "Capitalizing China" University of Chicago Press (2013) M3 - presented at "Capitalizing China Conference", December 15-16, 2009 AB - What are the incentives faced by local officials in China? Without democratic institutions, there is no mechanism for local residents to exercise "voice". Given the hukou registration system, local residents have little opportunity to threaten "exit" if they are unhappy with local taxes and spending. This paper explores an alternative source of incentives, starting from the premise that local officials aim to maximize the jurisdiction's fiscal residual (profits), equal to local tax revenue minus expenditures on public services. In a Tiebout setting with mobile households, this objective should lead to efficient provision. What happens, though, if firms and economic activity but not people are mobile? The paper examines the incentives faced by local Chinese officials in this context, and argues that the forecasted behavior helps to explain both the successes and the problems arising from local government activity in China. ER -