TY - JOUR AU - Au-Yeung, Wilson AU - McDonald, Jason AU - Sayegh, Amanda TI - Australian Government Balance Sheet Management JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12302 PY - 2006 Y2 - June 2006 DO - 10.3386/w12302 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12302 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12302.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Wilson Au-Yeung Langton Crescent Canberra ACT 2600, Australia Australia E-Mail: ayw@treasury.gov.au Jason McDonald Australia E-Mail: jmcdonald@treasury.gov.au Amanda Sayegh Langton Crescent Canberra ACT 2600, Australia Australia E-Mail: azs@treasury.gov.au M1 - published as Wilson Au-Yeung, Jason McDonald, Amanda Sayegh. "Australian Government Balance Sheet Management," in Takatoshi Ito and Andrew K. Rose, editors, "Fiscal Policy and Management in East Asia" University of Chicago Press (2007) AB - Since almost eliminating net debt, the Australian Government%u2019s attention has turned to the financing of broader balance sheet liabilities, such as public sector superannuation. Australia will be developing a significant financial asset portfolio in the %u2018Future Fund%u2019 to smooth the financing of expenses through time. This raises the significant policy question of how best to manage the government balance sheet to reduce risk. This paper provides a framework for optimal balance sheet management. The major conclusions are that: %u2013 fiscal sustainability depends on both the expected path of future taxation and the risks around that path; %u2013 optimal balance sheet management requires knowledge of how risks affect the balance sheet (and therefore volatility in tax rates); and %u2013 the government%u2019s financial investment strategy should reduce the risk to government finances from macroeconomic shocks that permanently affect the budget. Based on this framework, we find that a Future Fund portfolio that included (amongst other potential investments) domestic nominal securities and equities of selected countries would reduce overall balance sheet risk. ER -