New This Week Archive
NBER Working Papers released in the past, by week.
Weekly papers released by December 30, 2013
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The Perils of Peer Effects
Joshua Angrist #19774 (CH ED)
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Unintended Consequences of LOLR Facilities: The Case of Illiquid Leverage
Viral V. Acharya and Bruce Tuckman #19773 (CF IFM ME)
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The Causal Effect of Unemployment Duration on Wages: Evidence from Unemployment Insurance Extensions
Johannes F. Schmieder, Till M. von Wachter, and Stefan Bender #19772 (LS PE)
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Wedges, Wages, and Productivity under the Affordable Care Act
Casey B. Mulligan and Trevor S. Gallen #19771 (EFG LS PE)
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Wedges, Labor Market Behavior, and Health Insurance Coverage under the Affordable Care Act
Trevor S. Gallen and Casey B. Mulligan #19770 (HE PE)
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Does Secular Education Impact Religiosity, Electoral Participation and the Propensity to Vote for Islamic Parties? Evidence from an Education Reform in a Muslim Country
Resul Cesur and Naci H. Mocan #19769 (CH HE LE)
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Does Religion Affect Economic Growth and Happiness? Evidence from Ramadan
Filipe R. Campante and David H. Yanagizawa-Drott #19768 (DEV EFG POL)
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Technological Learning and Labor Market Dynamics
Martin Gervais, Nir Jaimovich, Henry E. Siu, and Yaniv Yedid-Levi #19767 (EFG)
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Market-based Lobbying: Evidence from Advertising Spending in Italy
Stefano DellaVigna, Ruben Durante, Brian Knight, and Eliana La Ferrara #19766 (IO LE LS PE POL)
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All-Units Discounts: Experimental Evidence from the Vending Industry
Christopher T. Conlon and Julie Holland Mortimer #19709 (IO)
Weekly papers released by December 23, 2013
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Awareness Reduces Racial Bias
Devin G. Pope, Joseph Price, and Justin Wolfers #19765 (LS PE)
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Dynamic Commercialization Strategies for Disruptive Technologies: Evidence from the Speech Recognition Industry
Matt Marx, Joshua S. Gans, and David H. Hsu #19764 (PR)
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Buy, Keep or Sell: Economic Growth and the Market for Ideas
Ufuk Akcigit, Murat Alp Celik, and Jeremy Greenwood #19763 (EFG IO PR)
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Returns to Skills around the World: Evidence from PIAAC
Eric A. Hanushek, Guido Schwerdt, Simon Wiederhold, and Ludger Woessmann #19762 (ED LS PE)
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The Effect of U.S. Health Insurance Expansions on Medical Innovation
Jeffrey Clemens #19761 (HC HE PE PR)
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Employer Contribution and Premium Growth in Health Insurance
Yiyan Liu and Ginger Zhe Jin #19760 (IO)
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The Tradability of Services: Geographic Concentration and Trade Costs
Antoine Gervais and J. Bradford Jensen #19759 (ITI)
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O.M.W. Sprague (the Man who âWrote the Bookâ on Financial Crises) and the Founding of the Federal Reserve
Hugh Rockoff #19758 (DAE)
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Simulating the Elimination of the U.S. Corporate Income Tax
Hans Fehr, Sabine Jokisch, Ashwin Kambhampati, and Laurence J. Kotlikoff #19757 (CF)
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Mitigating Long-run Health Effects of Drought: Evidence from South Africa
Taryn Dinkelman #19756 (CH DEV HE)
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The Nature and Incidence of Software Piracy: Evidence from Windows
Susan Athey and Scott Stern #19755 (IO PR)
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Per-capita Income as a Determinant of International Trade and Environmental Policies
James R. Markusen #19754 (EEE ITI)
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The Roles of Assimilation and Ethnic Enclave Residence in Immigrant Smoking
Johanna Catherine Maclean, Douglas Webber, and Jody L. Sindelar #19753 (HE)
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Revenue Tariff Reform
James E. Anderson and J. Peter Neary #19752 (ITI)
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Export or Merge? Proximity vs. Concentration in Product Space
Marc-Andreas Muendler #19751 (IO ITI)
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Culture and Institutions
Alberto Alesina and Paola Giuliano #19750 (POL)
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The Output and Welfare Effects of Fiscal Shocks over the Business Cycle
Eric Sims and Jonathan Wolff #19749 (EFG ME)
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Was This Time Different? Fiscal Policy in Commodity Republics
Luis Felipe Céspedes and Andrés Velasco #19748 (IFM)
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Is Bitcoin a Real Currency?
David Yermack #19747 (LE ME)
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Democracy, Redistribution and Inequality
Daron Acemoglu, Suresh Naidu, Pascual Restrepo, and James A. Robinson #19746 (POL)
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A World of Cities: The Causes and Consequences of Urbanization in Poorer Countries
Edward L. Glaeser #19745 (DEV)
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Mortgages and Monetary Policy
Carlos Garriga, Finn E. Kydland, and Roman Sustek #19744 (EFG)
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Flip the Switch: The Spatial Impact of the Rural Electrification Administration 1935-1940
Carl Kitchens and Price Fishback #19743 (DAE)
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Endogenous Stratification in Randomized Experiments
Alberto Abadie, Matthew M. Chingos, and Martin R. West #19742 (CH DEV ED HE LS PE TWP)
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The Effects of Paid Family Leave in California on Labor Market Outcomes
Charles L. Baum and Christopher J. Ruhm #19741 (CH LS PE)
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Business Literacy and Development: Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial in Rural Mexico
Gabriela Calderon, Jesse M. Cunha, and Giacomo De Giorgi #19740 (DEV ED)
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China's Growth, Stability, and Use of International Reserves
Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak, and Nancy P. Marion #19739 (IFM)
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Risk and Return in Village Economies
Krislert Samphantharak and Robert Townsend #19738 (AP DEV PR)
Weekly papers released by December 16, 2013
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Private Politics and Public Regulation
Georgy Egorov and Bård Harstad #19737 (POL)
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The Economic Cost of Global Fuel Subsidies
Lucas W. Davis #19736 (EEE)
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The Impacts of Expanding Access to High-Quality Preschool Education
Elizabeth U. Cascio and Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach #19735 (CH ED LS PE)
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Endogenous Property Rights
Daniel Diermeier, Georgy Egorov, and Konstantin Sonin #19734 (POL)
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Economic Transition and Private-Sector Labor Demand: Evidence from Urban China
Lakshmi Iyer, Xin Meng, Nancy Qian, and Xiaoxue Zhao #19733 (DEV LS)
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Time is Money: Life Cycle Rational Inertia and Delegation of Investment Management
Hugh H. Kim, Raimond Maurer, and Olivia S. Mitchell #19732 (AG LS)
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Bid Takers or Market Makers? The Effect of Auctioneers on Auction Outcomes
Nicola Lacetera, Bradley J. Larsen, Devin G. Pope, and Justin R. Sydnor #19731 (IO LS PR)
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Does the Use of Worker Flows Improve the Analysis of Establishment Turnover? Evidence from German Administrative Data
Tanja Hethey-Maier and Johannes F. Schmieder #19730 (LS PR)
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The Economics of Energy Security
Gilbert E. Metcalf #19729 (EEE)
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Have Financial Markets Become More Informative?
Jennie Bai, Thomas Philippon, and Alexi Savov #19728 (AP CF EFG ME)
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Employee Spinouts, Social Networks, and Family Firms
James E. Rauch #19727 (PR)
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The Effect of Patient Cost Sharing on Utilization, Health, and Risk Protection
Hitoshi Shigeoka #19726 (HC)
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Feeling the Heat: Temperature, Physiology & the Wealth of Nations
Geoffrey Heal and Jisung Park #19725 (EEE LS)
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The Social Security Windfall Elimination and Government Pension Offset Provisions for Public Employees in the Health and Retirement Study
Alan L. Gustman, Thomas L. Steinmeier, and Nahid Tabatabai #19724 (AG LS PE)
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Can Non-Interest Rate Policies Stabilize Housing Markets? Evidence from a Panel of 57 Economies
Kenneth N. Kuttner and Ilhyock Shim #19723 (ME)
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Managing the Family Firm: Evidence from CEOs at Work
Oriana Bandiera, Andrea Prat, and Raffaella Sadun #19722 (CF DEV LS PR)
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Estimating Habit Formation in Voting
Thomas Fujiwara, Kyle C. Meng, and Tom Vogl #19721 (PE POL)
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Calculating Disease-Based Medical Care Expenditure Indexes for Medicare Beneficiaries: A Comparison of Method and Data Choices
Anne E. Hall and Tina Highfill #19720 (AG HC PR)
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Going into the Affordable Care Act: Measuring the Size, Structure and Performance of the Individual and Small Group Markets for Health Insurance
Pinar Karaca-Mandic, Jean M. Abraham, Kosali Simon, and Roger Feldman #19719 (HC HE)
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Exchange rate dynamics revisited
Jorge Braga de Macedo and Urho Lempinen #19718 (IFM)
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Take the Short Route: How to Repay and Restructure Sovereign Debt with Multiple Maturities
Mark Aguiar and Manuel Amador #19717 (xEFG IFM)
Weekly papers released by December 9, 2013
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The Importance of Financial Resources for Student Loan Repayment
Lance Lochner, Todd Stinebrickner, and Utku Suleymanoglu #19716 (ED LS)
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Capital Reallocation and Aggregate Productivity
Russell W. Cooper and Immo Schott #19715 (EFG)
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Fluctuations in Uncertainty
Nicholas Bloom #19714 (AP CF EFG IFM ITI ME POL PR)
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The Lightbulb Paradox: Evidence from Two Randomized Experiments
Hunt Allcott and Dmitry Taubinsky #19713 (EEE PE)
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Real-Time Forecasting with a Mixed-Frequency VAR
Frank Schorfheide and Dongho Song #19712 (EFG ME)
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Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy with Endogenous Collateral Constraints
AloÃsio Araújo, Susan Schommer, and Michael Woodford #19711 (EFG ME)
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Colonial New Jersey's Paper Money Regime, 1709-1775: A Forensic Accounting Reconstruction of the Data
Farley Grubb #19710 (DAE)
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Financial Dependence and Innovation: The Case of Public versus Private Firms
Viral V. Acharya and Zhaoxia Xu #19708 (CF PR)
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Bank Capital and Dividend Externalities
Viral V. Acharya, Hanh Le, and Hyun Song Shin #19707 (CF)
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Are Commodity Futures Prices Barometers of the Global Economy?
Conghui Hu and Wei Xiong #19706 (AP IFM)
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Parameter Learning in General Equilibrium:
The Asset Pricing Implications
Pierre Collin-Dufresne, Michael Johannes, and Lars A. Lochstoer #19705 (AP EFG)
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Optimal Time-Consistent Macroprudential Policy
Javier Bianchi and Enrique G. Mendoza #19704 (AP EFG IFM ME)
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An Experimental Approach to Merger Evaluation
Christopher T. Conlon and Julie Holland Mortimer #19703 (IO)
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After the Drought: The Impact of Microinsurance on Consumption Smoothing and Asset Protection
Sarah A. Janzen and Michael R. Carter #19702 (DEV)
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The Value of Connections in Turbulent Times: Evidence from the United States
Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, Amir Kermani, James Kwak, and Todd Mitton #19701 (CF POL)
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Is This Time Different? The Slowdown in Healthcare Spending
Amitabh Chandra, Jonathan Holmes, and Jonathan Skinner #19700 (AG HC HE PR)
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Accounting for Income Changes over the Great Recession (2007-2010) Relative to Previous Recessions: The Importance of Taxes and Transfers
Jeff Larrimore, Richard V. Burkhauser, and Philip Armour #19699 (LS PE)
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Advancing the Empirical Research on Lobbying
John M. de Figueiredo and Brian Kelleher Richter #19698 (LE PE POL)
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Internal Geography, International Trade, and Regional Specialization
A. Kerem Co.Åar and Pablo D. Fajgelbaum #19697 (ITI)
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Follow the Money: Methods for Identifying Consumption and Investment Responses to a Liquidity Shock
Dean Karlan, Adam Osman, and Jonathan Zinman #19696 (DEV LE LS)
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Salience Theory of Judicial Decisions
Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, and Andrei Shleifer #19695 (LE)
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Does Knowledge Accumulation Increase the Returns to Collaboration?
Ajay Agrawal, Avi Goldfarb, and Florenta Teodoridis #19694 (PR)
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Assessing DSGE Model Nonlinearities
S. BoraÄan Aruoba, Luigi Bocola, and Frank Schorfheide #19693 (EFG ME)
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Using the New Products Margin to Predict the Industry-Level Impact of Trade Reform
Timothy J. Kehoe, Jack M. Rossbach, and Kim J. Ruhl #19692 (EFG ITI)
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Business Groups in the United States: A Revised History of Corporate Ownership, Pyramids and Regulation, 1930-1950
Eugene Kandel, Konstantin Kosenko, Randall Morck, and Yishay Yafeh #19691 (CF)
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School, what is it good for? Useful Human Capital and the History of Public Education in Central Europe
Tomas Cvrcek and Miroslav Zajicek #19690 (DAE ED)
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Comparative Advantage and Optimal Trade Policy
Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson, Jonathan Vogel, and Ivan Werning #19689 (ITI)
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Corporate Cash Holding in Asia
Charles Y. Horioka and Akiko Terada-Hagiwara #19688 (CF DEV)
Weekly papers released by December 2, 2013
Weekly papers released by November 25, 2013
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Quantifying International Production Sharing at the Bilateral and Sector Level
Zhi Wang, Shang-Jin Wei, and Kunfu Zhu #19677 (ITI)
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Sovereign Debt Markets in Turbulent Times: Creditor Discrimination and Crowding-Out Effects
Fernando Broner, Aitor Erce, Alberto Martin, and Jaume Ventura #19676 ( EFG)
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Ideology and Online News
Matthew Gentzkow and Jesse M. Shapiro #19675 (IO)
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Learning by Doing in a Multi-Product Manufacturing Environment: Product Variety, Customizations, and Overlapping Product Generations
Carolyn D. Egelman, Dennis Epple, Linda Argote, and Erica R.H. Fuchs #19674 (PR)
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Reinventing the Wheel: The Economic Benefits of Wheeled Transportation in Early British Colonial West Africa
Isaías N. Chaves, Stanley L. Engerman, and James A. Robinson #19673 (DAE)
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Unemployment Insurance and Disability Insurance in the Great Recession
Andreas I. Mueller, Jesse Rothstein, and Till M. von Wachter #19672 (AG)
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Are Capital Controls Prudential? An Empirical Investigation
Andrés Fernández, Alessandro Rebucci, and Martín Uribe #19671 (EFG IFM)
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Why Do Hedgers Trade So Much?
Ing-Haw Cheng and Wei Xiong #19670 (AP CF)
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Liquidity and Governance
Kerry Back, Tao Li, and Alexander Ljungqvist #19669 (CF)
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Distributional Effects of Macroeconomic Policy Choices in Emerging Market Economies
Eswar S. Prasad #19668 (IFM)
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Idea Flows, Economic Growth, and Trade
Fernando E. Alvarez, Francisco J. Buera, and Robert E. Lucas, Jr. #19667 (EFG ITI)
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On the Generalizability of Experimental Results in Economics:
With A Response To Camerer
Omar Al-Ubaydli and John A. List #19666 (EEE)
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Toward an Understanding of why Suggestions Work in Charitable Fundraising: Theory and Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment
James T. Edwards and John A. List #19665 (EEE PE)
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Standard-Essential Patents
Josh Lerner and Jean Tirole #19664 (PR)
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Better Luck Next Time: Learning Through Retaking
Verónica Frisancho, Kala Krishna, Sergey Lychagin, and Cemile Yavas #19663 (DEV ED LS)
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China: An Institutional View of an Unusual Macroeconomy
David Dollar and Benjamin F. Jones #19662 (DEV EFG POL PR)
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Human Capital and Fertility in Chinese Clans Before Modern Growth
Carol H. Shiue #19661 (EFG)
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Testing the Theory of Multitasking: Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment in Chinese Factories
Fuhai Hong, Tanjim Hossain, John A. List, and Migiwa Tanaka #19660 (LS)
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People, Places and Public Policy: Some Simple Welfare Economics of Local Economic Development Programs
Patrick Kline and Enrico Moretti #19659 (LS PE PR)
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Skilled Immigration and the Employment Structures of U.S. Firms
Sari Pekkala Kerr, William R. Kerr, and William F. Lincoln #19658 (AG ITI LS PR)
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Heterogeneous Technology Diffusion and Ricardian Trade Patterns
William R. Kerr #19657 (DEV EFG ITI LS PR)
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Price and Quality Dispersion in an Offshoring Market: Evidence from Semiconductor Production Services
David Byrne, Brian K. Kovak, and Ryan Michaels #19637 (ITI PR)
Weekly papers released by November 18, 2013
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Fostering and Measuring Skills: Interventions That Improve Character and Cognition
James J. Heckman and Tim Kautz #19656 (CH ED)
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Asia Chartbook: Crises, Credit and Debt, 1835-2013
Carmen M. Reinhart #19655 (IFM ME)
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Making Nutritional Information Digestible: Effects of a Receipt-Based Intervention on Restaurant Purchases
Kelly Bedard and Peter J. Kuhn #19654 (HE LS PE)
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Collaboration, Stars, and the Changing Organization of Science: Evidence from Evolutionary Biology
Ajay Agrawal, John McHale, and Alexander Oettl #19653 (PR)
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Crowding Out Redefined: The Role of Reserve Accumulation
Carmen M. Reinhart and Takeshi Tashiro #19652 (IFM ME)
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Volatility and Pass-through
David Berger and Joseph S. Vavra #19651 (EFG IFM ME)
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Distilling the Macroeconomic News Flow
Alessandro Beber, Michael W. Brandt, and Maurizio Luisi #19650 (AP)
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Dishonesty and Selection into Public Service
Rema Hanna and Shing-Yi Wang #19649 (DEV)
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The Economics of China: Successes and Challenges
Shenggen Fan, Ravi Kanbur, Shang-Jin Wei, and Xiaobo Zhang #19648 (DEV)
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Patent Value and Citations: Creative Destruction or Strategic Disruption?
David S. Abrams, Ufuk Akcigit, and Jillian Popadak #19647 (EFG IO LE PR)
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Targeting ultra-poor households in Honduras and Peru
Dean Karlan and Bram Thuysbaert #19646 (DEV LS)
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Reducing Moral Hazard in Employment Relationships: Experimental Evidence on Managerial Control and Performance Pay
C. Kirabo Jackson and Henry S. Schneider #19645 ( LS PE)
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Can Negotiating a Uniform Carbon Price Help to Internalize the Global Warming Externality?
Martin Weitzman #19644 (EEE)
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The Cost of Capital for Alternative Investments
Jakub W. Jurek and Erik Stafford #19643 (AP)
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The Financialization of Commodity Markets
Ing-Haw Cheng and Wei Xiong #19642 (AP EEE IFM ME)
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Ricardian Productivity Differences and the Gains from Trade
Andrei A. Levchenko and Jing Zhang #19641 (IFM ITI)
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Recall and Unemployment
Shigeru Fujita and Giuseppe Moscarini #19640 (EFG)
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Enrollment in Medicare Advantage Plans in Miami-Dade County: Evidence of Status Quo Bias?
Anna D. Sinaiko, Christopher C. Afendulis, and Richard G. Frank #19639 (AG HC)
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Macroeconomic Determinants of Retirement Timing
Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Jae Song, and Dmitriy Stolyarov #19638 (AG EFG ME)
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Unintended Consequences of Transportation Carbon Policies: Land-Use, Emissions, and Innovation
Stephen P. Holland, Jonathan E. Hughes, Christopher R. Knittel, and Nathan C. Parker #19636 (EEE)
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The Effects of the Saving and Banking Glut on the U.S. Economy
Alejandro Justiniano, Giorgio Primiceri, and Andrea Tambalotti #19635 (EFG IFM ME)
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Understanding Media Markets in the Digital Age: Economics and Methodology
Brett Danaher, Samita Dhanasobhon, Michael D. Smith, and Rahul Telang #19634 (IO)
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Financing as a Supply Chain: The Capital Structure of Banks and Borrowers
William Gornall and Ilya A. Strebulaev #19633 (AP CF)
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Multiple Dimensions of Private Information in Life Insurance Markets
Xi Wu and Li Gan #19629 (AG HE)
Weekly papers relesed by November 11, 2013
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Surprising Similarities: Recent Monetary Regimes of Small Economies
Andrew K. Rose #19632 (IFM)
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When Ideas Trump Interests: Preferences, World Views, and Policy Innovations
Dani Rodrik #19631 (DEV ITI POL)
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Wait-and-See: Investment Options under Policy Uncertainty
Nancy L. Stokey #19630 (EFG)
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The Agricultural Productivity Gap
Douglas Gollin, David Lagakos, and Michael E. Waugh #19628 (EFG)
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The Consequences of Teenage Childbearing Before Roe v Wade
Kevin Lang and Russell Weinstein #19627 (LS)
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Enforcement and Immigrant Location Choice
Tara Watson #19626 (HE LE LS PE)
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Betting on Secession: Quantifying Political Events Surrounding Slavery and the Civil War
Charles W. Calomiris and Jonathan Pritchett #19625 (AP DAE POL)
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The Evolving Geography of Chinaâs Industrial Production: Implications for Pollution Dynamics and Urban Quality of Life
Siqi Zheng, Cong Sun, Ye Qi, and Matthew E. Kahn #19624 (EEE IO ITI POL)
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The Term Structure of Currency Carry Trade Risk Premia
Hanno Lustig, Andreas Stathopoulos, and Adrien Verdelhan #19623 (AP EFG IFM)
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Moral Hazard and Economies of Scope in Physician Ownership of Complementary Medical Services
Brian K. Chen, Paul J. Gertler, and Chuh-Yuh Yang #19622 (HC HE IO LS)
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The Impact of Headquarter and Subsidiary Locations on Multinationalsâ Effective Tax Rates
Kevin S. Markle and Douglas A. Shackelford #19621 (PE)
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Pollution Control Effort at Chinaâs River Borders: When Does Free Riding Cease?
Matthew E. Kahn, Pei Li, and Daxuan Zhao #19620 (EEE PE POL)
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Moral Hazard, Informed Trading, and Stock Prices
Pierre Collin-Dufresne and Vyacheslav Fos #19619 (AP CF)
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Financial Obstacles and Inter-Regional Flow of Funds
Benjamin Moll, Robert M. Townsend, and Victor Zhorin #19618 (DEV)
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Dynamic Financial Constraints: Distinguishing Mechanism Design from Exogenously Incomplete Regimes
Alexander Karaivanov and Robert M. Townsend #19617 (DEV)
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Moving out of Agriculture: Structural Change in Vietnam
Brian McCaig and Nina Pavcnik #19616 (DEV ITI)
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Confucianism and Preferences: Evidence from Lab Experiments in Taiwan and China
Elaine M. Liu, Juanjuan Meng, and Joseph Tao-yi Wang #19615 (DEV)
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Why ask Why? Forward Causal Inference and Reverse Causal Questions
Andrew Gelman and Guido Imbens #19614 (DEV LS)
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Pass-through of Emissions Costs in Electricity Markets
Natalia Fabra and Mar Reguant #19613 (EEE IO)
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Valuing Private Equity
Morten Sorensen, Neng Wang, and Jinqiang Yang #19612 (AP CF)
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Option Prices in a Model with Stochastic Disaster Risk
Sang Byung Seo and Jessica A. Wachter #19611 (AP)
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Mothers, Friends and Gender Identity
Claudia Olivetti, Eleonora Patacchini, and Yves Zenou #19610 (LS)
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Are Closely-Held Firms Tax Shelters?
Annette Alstadsæter, Wojciech Kopczuk, and Kjetil Telle #19609 (CF PE)
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Russiaâs Fiscal Gap
Eugene Goryunov, Maria Kazakova, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Arseny Mamedov, Kristina Nesterova, Vladimir Nazarov, Elena Grishina, Pavel Trunin, and Alexey Shpenev #19608 (PE)
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Credit Constraints and the Racial Gap in Post-Secondary Education in South Africa
David Lam, Cally Ardington, Nicola Branson, and Murray Leibbrandt #19607 (vDEV ED)
Weekly papers relesed by November 4, 2013
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Collateral Valuation and Borrower Financial Constraints: Evidence from the Residential Real Estate Market
Sumit Agarwal, Itzhak Ben-David, and Vincent Yao #19606 (AP CF LE LS POL)
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Amidst Poverty and Prejudice: Black and Irish Civil War Veterans
Hoyt Bleakley, Louis Cain, and Joseph Ferrie #19605 (DAE)
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The Home Front: Rent Control and the Rapid Wartime Increase in Home Ownership
Daniel K. Fetter #19604 (DAE)
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Malaria and Early African Development: Evidence from the Sickle Cell Trait
Emilio Depetris-Chauvin and David N. Weil #19603 (DEV EFG HE)
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Perverse Consequences of Well Intentioned Regulation: Evidence from India's Child Labor Ban
Prashant Bharadwaj, Leah K. Lakdawala, and Nicholas Li #19602 (CH DEV)
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Experimentation in Federal Systems
Steven Callander and BÃ¥rd Harstad #19601 (POL)
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Amerisclerosis? The Puzzle of Rising U.S. Unemployment Persistence
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Dmitri Koustas #19600 (EFG LS ME)
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Is There A Case for a "Second Demographic Transition"? Three Distinctive Features of the Post-1960 U.S. Fertility Decline
Martha J. Bailey, Melanie E. Guldi, and Brad J. Hershbein #19599 (CH DAE DEV LS)
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Is The Phillips Curve Alive and Well After All? Inflation Expectations and the Missing Disinflation
Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko #19598 (EFG ME)
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Women's Education: Harbinger of Another Spring? Evidence from a Natural Experiment in Turkey
Mehmet Alper Dinçer, Neeraj Kaushal, and Michael Grossman #19597 (CH DEV ED HE)
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Why Has Japan's Massive Government Debt Not Wreaked Havoc (Yet)?
Charles Y. Horioka, Takaaki Nomoto, and Akiko Terada-Hagiwara #19596 (IFM PE)
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What Is the Case for Paid Maternity Leave?
Gordon B. Dahl, Katrine V. Løken, Magne Mogstad, and Kari Vea Salvanes #19595 (CH LS PE)
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Risky Investments with Limited Commitment
Thomas F. Cooley, Ramon Marimon, and Vincenzo Quadrini #19594 (CF)
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The Impact of Biomedical Knowledge Accumulation on Mortality: A Bibliometric Analysis of Cancer Data
Frank R. Lichtenberg #19593 (AG DAE EFG HC PE PR)
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Effects of Physician-Directed Pharmaceutical Promotion on Prescription Behaviors: Longitudinal Evidence
Anusua Datta and Dhaval M. Dave #19592 ( HC HE)
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Can Simple Informational Nudges Increase Employee Participation in a 401(k) Plan?
Robert L. Clark, Jennifer A. Maki, and Melinda Sandler Morrill #19591 (AG LS)
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The Joint Cross Section of Stocks and Options
Byeong-Je An, Andrew Ang, Turan G. Bali, and Nusret Cakici #19590 (AP)
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Is the Consumer Expenditure Survey Representative by Income?
John Sabelhaus, David Johnson, Stephen Ash, David Swanson, Thesia Garner, John Greenlees, and Steve Henderson #19589 (EFG)
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The Optimal Currency Area in a Liquidity Trap
David Cook and Michael B. Devereux #19588 (IFM)
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Failing the Test? The Flexible U.S. Job Market in the Great Recession
Richard B. Freeman #19587 (LS)
Weekly papers relesed by October 28, 2013
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Drive More Effective Data-Based Innovations:
Enhancing the Utility of Secure Databases
Yi Qian and Hui Xie #19586 (PR)
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Does Expansionary Monetary Policy Cause Asset Price Booms; Some Historical and Empirical Evidence
Michael D. Bordo and John Landon-Lane #19585 DAE ME)
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What Explains House Price Booms?: History and Empirical Evidence.
Michael D. Bordo and John Landon-Lane #19584 (DAE ME)
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How Family Status and Social Security Claiming Options Shape Optimal Life Cycle Portfolios
Andreas Hubener, Raimond Maurer, and Olivia S. Mitchell #19583 (AG LS)
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Constructing a PCE-Weighted Consumer Price Index
Caitlin Blair #19582 ( EFG LS PE TWP)
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The Medium-Term Impacts of High-Achieving Charter Schools on Non-Test Score Outcomes
Will Dobbie and Roland G. Fryer, Jr #19581 (CH ED LS)
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The Mother of All Sudden Stops: Capital Flows and Reversals in Europe, 1919-32
Olivier Accominotti and Barry Eichengreen #19580 (DAE IFM)
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Consumption and Cash-Flow Taxes in an International Setting
Alan J. Auerbach and Michael P. Devereux #19579 (PE)
-
What Do We Learn from the Weather? The New Climate-Economy Literature
Melissa Dell, Benjamin F. Jones, and Benjamin A. Olken #19578 (EEE EFG)
-
The Continental Dollar: How the American Revolution was Financed with Paper MoneyâInitial Design and Ideal Performance
Farley Grubb #19577 (DAE)
-
Small High Schools and Student Achievement: Lottery-Based Evidence from New York City
Atila AbdulkadiroÄlu, Weiwei Hu, and Parag A. Pathak #19576 (ED LS PE)
-
Globalization, Democracy and Development
Jorge Braga de Macedo, Luis Brites Pereira, Joaquim Oliveira Martins, and João Tovar Jalles #19575 (IFM)
-
Who Pays for Public Employee Health Costs?
Jeffrey Clemens and David M. Cutler #19574 (AG ED HC LS PE)
-
Blockholders and Corporate Governance
Alex Edmans #19573 (CF LE)
-
The Redistributive Effects of Financial Deregulation
Anton Korinek and Jonathan Kreamer #19572 (CF EFG IFM)
-
What Do We Know About Short and Long Term Effects of Early Life Exposure to Pollution?
Janet Currie, Joshua S. Graff Zivin, Jamie Mullins, and Matthew J. Neidell #19571 (CH EEE HE LS PE)
-
Home Bias and Local Contagion: Evidence from Funds of Hedge Funds
Clemens Sialm, Zheng Sun, and Lu Zheng #19570 (AP)
-
Defined Contribution Pension Plans: Sticky or Discerning Money?
Clemens Sialm, Laura Starks, and Hanjiang Zhang #19569 (AG AP CF PE)
-
Shadow Insurance
Ralph S.J. Koijen and Motohiro Yogo #19568 (AP CF PE)
-
Bayesian Variable Selection for Nowcasting Economic Time Series
Steven L. Scott and Hal R. Varian #19567 (PR)
-
The Effects of Retiree Health Insurance Plan Characteristics on Retireesâ Choice and Employersâ Costs
Robert Clark, Melinda Morrill, and David Vanderweide #19566 (HE LS PE)
-
To Hold Out or Not to Hold Out
Frank Schorfheide and Kenneth I. Wolpin #19565 (DEV ED EFG HE LS ME PE)
-
Market Thickness and the Impact of Unemployment on Housing Market Outcomes
Li Gan and Qinghua Zhang #19564 (AP)
-
The Role of Retiree Health Insurance in the Early Retirement of Public Sector Employees
John B. Shoven and Sita Slavov #19563 (AG)
-
Evaluation of the College Possible Program: Results from a Randomized Controlled Trial
Christopher Avery #19562 (ED)
-
Patterns of Convergence and Divergence in the Euro Area
Ãngel Estrada, Jordi GalÃ, and David López-Salido #19561 (EFG IFM ME)
-
Contracting Over the Disclosure of Scientific Knowledge: Intellectual Property and Academic Publication
Joshua S. Gans, Fiona E. Murray, and Scott Stern #19560 (PR)
Weekly papers relesed by October 21, 2013
-
Macro Fiscal Policy in Economic Unions: States as Agents
Gerald Carlino and Robert P. Inman #19559 (PE POL)
-
The Effect of Safety Net Programs on Food Insecurity
Lucie Schmidt, Lara Shore-Sheppard, and Tara Watson #19558 (CH HE LS PE)
-
The Value of Corporate Culture
Luigi Guiso, Paola Sapienza, and Luigi Zingales #19557 (CF)
-
Mining Surplus: Modeling James A. Schmitz's Link Between Competition and Productivity
Jeremy Greenwood and David Weiss #19556 (EFG)
-
Antidumping and the Death of Trade
Tibor Besedeš and Thomas J. Prusa #19555 (ITI)
-
The Origins of Early Childhood Anthropometric Persistence
Daniel L. Millimet and Rusty Tchernis #19554 (CH HE)
-
Uncertainty, Redistribution, and the Labor Market
Casey B. Mulligan #19553 (EFG LS)
-
The Missing Manual: Using National Student Clearinghouse Data to Track Postsecondary Outcomes
Susan M. Dynarski, Steven W. Hemelt, and Joshua M. Hyman #19552 (CH ED LS)
-
Do Measures of Financial Constraints Measure Financial Constraints?
Joan Farre-Mensa and Alexander Ljungqvist #19551 (CF)
-
Predatory Lending and the Subprime Crisis
Sumit Agarwal, Gene Amromin, Itzhak Ben-David, Souphala Chomsisengphet, and Douglas D. Evanoff #19550 (LE)
-
What Are We Not Doing When We're Online
Scott Wallsten #19549 (PR)
-
Linkages across Sovereign Debt Markets
Cristina Arellano and Yan Bai #19548 (EFG IFM)
-
The Impact of Medicaid on Labor Force and Program Participation: Evidence from the Oregon Health Insurance Experiment
Katherine Baicker, Amy Finkelstein, Jae Song, and Sarah Taubman #19547 (HC LS)
-
Affirmative Action: One Size Does Not Fit All
Kala Krishna and Alexander Tarasov #19546 (ED)
-
Rational Inattention and Energy Efficiency
James M. Sallee #19545 (EEE)
-
A Comparison of Micro and Macro Expenditure Measures Across Countries Using Differing Survey Methods
Garry Barrett, Peter Levell, and Kevin Milligan #19544 (EFG PE)
-
Asking Households About Expenditures: What Have We Learned?
Thomas F. Crossley and Joachim K. Winter #19543 (PE)
-
Strategic Parenting, Birth Order and School Performance
V. Joseph Hotz and Juan Pantano #19542 (CH ED)
-
How Much Would You Pay to Resolve Long-Run Risk?
Larry G. Epstein, Emmanuel Farhi, and Tomasz Strzalecki #19541 (AP EFG IFM)
-
The Development of Opacity in U.S. Banking
Gary Gorton #19540 (CF DAE ME)
-
Measuring the Accuracy of Survey Responses using Administrative Register Data: Evidence from Denmark
Claus Thustrup Kreiner, David Dreyer Lassen, and Søren Leth-Petersen #19539 (LS)
-
Credit History: The Changing Nature of Scientific Credit
Joshua S. Gans and Fiona Murray #19538 (PR)
-
Money as a Unit of Account
Matthias Doepke and Martin Schneider #19537 (EFG IFM ME)
-
The Potential use of In-home Scanner Technology for Budget Surveys
Andrew Leicester #19536 (PE TWP)
-
The Intergenerational Transmission of Automobile Brand Preferences: Empirical Evidence and Implications for Firm Strategy
Soren T. Anderson, Ryan Kellogg, Ashley Langer, and James M. Sallee #19535 (IO)
-
Risk-Taking Behavior in the Wake of Natural Disasters
Lisa Cameron and Manisha Shah #19534 (DEV EEE)
-
Waste of Effort? International Environmental Agreements
Derek Kellenberg and Arik Levinson #19533 (EEE ITI)
-
Corporate Demand for Insurance: New Evidence from the U.S. Terrorism and Property Markets
Erwann Michel-Kerjan, Paul Raschky, and Howard Kunreuther #19532 (PE)
-
High Frequency Traders: Taking Advantage of Speed
Yacine Aït-Sahalia and Mehmet Saglam #19531 (AP)
-
Food Price Spikes, Price Insulation and Poverty
Kym Anderson, Maros Ivanic, and Will Martin #19530 (ITI)
-
Incentives, Selection, and Teacher Performance: Evidence from IMPACT
Thomas Dee and James Wyckoff #19529 (ED)
-
Unemployment Benefits and Unemployment in the Great Recession: The Role of Macro Effects
Marcus Hagedorn, Fatih Karahan, Iourii Manovskii, and Kurt Mitman #19499 (EFG)
Weekly papers relesed by October 14, 2013
-
Conforming and Non-conforming Peer Effects in Vaccination Decisions
Elizabeth Bodine-Baron, Sarah Nowak, Raffaello Varadavas, and Neeraj Sood #19528 (HC HE)
-
How Product Standardization Affects Choice: Evidence from the Massachusetts Health Insurance Exchange
Keith M Marzilli Ericson and Amanda Starc #19527 (HC HE IO PE)
-
Information Lost (Apologies to Milton)
Catherine L. Mann #19526 (IO PR)
-
Digitization and the Contract Labor Market: A Research Agenda
Ajay Agrawal, John Horton, Nicola Lacetera, and Elizabeth Lyons #19525 (PR)
-
Retiree Health Insurance for Public School Employees: Does it Affect Retirement?
Maria D. Fitzpatrick #19524 (AG ED HC LS PE)
-
Time Variation in Asset Price Responses to Macro Announcements
Linda S. Goldberg and Christian Grisse #19523 (AP IFM ME)
-
Pharmaceutical Followers
Peter Arcidiacono, Paul B. Ellickson, Peter Landry, and David B. Ridley #19522 (HE IO)
-
Copyright and the Profitability of Authorship: Evidence from Payments to Writers in the Romantic Period
Megan MacGarvie and Petra Moser #19521 (PR DAE)
-
Measuring the Effects of Advertising: The Digital Frontier
Randall Lewis, Justin M. Rao, and David H. Reiley #19520 (IO)
-
Searching for Physical and Digital Media: The Evolution of Platforms for Finding Books
Michael R. Baye, Babur De los Santos, and Matthijs R. Wildenbeest #19519 (IO PR)
-
Intellectual Returnees as Drivers of Indigenous Innovation: Evidence from the Chinese Photovoltaic Industry
Siping Luo, Mary E. Lovely, and David Popp #19518 (EEE PR)
-
The Interaction of Spending Policies, Asset Allocation Strategies, and Investment Performance at University Endowment Funds
Keith Brown and Cristian Tiu #19517 (AP ED PE)
-
Crisis and Commitment: Inflation Credibility and the Vulnerability to Sovereign Debt Crises
Mark Aguiar, Manuel Amador, Emmanuel Farhi, and Gita Gopinath #19516 (EFG IFM ME)
-
Do People Overreact? Evidence from the Housing Market After the Wenchuan Earthquake
Guoying Deng, Li Gan, and Manuel A. Hernandez #19515 (AG)
-
Predatory Short Selling
Markus K. Brunnermeier and Martin Oehmke #19514 (AP CF)
-
Matching and Sorting in a Global Economy
Gene M. Grossman, Elhanan Helpman, and Philipp Kircher #19513 (ITI)
-
Development, Structure, and Transformation: Some Evidence on Comparative Economic Growth
Gordon C. McCord and Jeffrey D. Sachs #19512 (DEV)
-
How Does Retiree Health Insurance Influence Public Sector Employee Saving?
Robert Clark and Olivia S. Mitchell #19511 (AG HE LS PE)
-
Upstream Product Market Regulations, ICT, R&D and Productivity
Gilbert Cette, Jimmy Lopez, and Jacques Mairesse #19488 (PR)
Weekly papers released by October 7, 2013
-
Dynamic Salience with Intermittent Billing: Evidence from Smart Electricity Meters
Ben Gilbert and Joshua S. Graff Zivin #19510 (EEE)
-
The Performance of U.S. Wind and Solar Generating Units
Richard Schmalensee #19509 (EEE IO)
-
The Size of the LGBT Population and the Magnitude of Anti-Gay Sentiment are Substantially Underestimated
Katherine B. Coffman, Lucas C. Coffman, and Keith M. Marzilli Ericson #19508 (HC LS PE POL)
-
Digital Dark Matter and the Economic Contribution of Apache
Shane Greenstein and Frank Nagle #19507 (PR)
-
Sovereigns versus Banks: Credit, Crises, and Consequences
Òscar Jordà, Moritz HP. Schularick, and Alan M. Taylor #19506 (DAE EFG IFM)
-
Childhood Health and Sibling Outcomes: The Shared Burden and Benefit of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic
John Parman #19505 (DAE)
-
How Much Do Official Price Indexes Tell Us about Inflation?
Jessie Handbury, Tsutomu Watanabe, and David E. Weinstein #19504 (EFG ME)
-
Bargaining in the Shadow of a Giant: Medicare's Influence on Private Payment Systems
Jeffrey Clemens and Joshua D. Gottlieb #19503 (AG HE PE HC)
-
Corporate Liquidity Management: A Conceptual Framework and Survey
Heitor Almeida, Murillo Campello, Igor Cunha, and Michael S. Weisbach #19502 (CF)
-
Addressing Global Environmental Externalities: Transaction Costs Considerations
Gary D. Libecap #19501 (DAE EEE PE POL)
-
A Sharper Ratio: A General Measure for Correctly Ranking Non-Normal Investment Risks
Kent Smetters and Xingtan Zhang #19500 (AP)
-
Left, Right, Left: Income, Learning and Political Dynamics
John Morrow and Michael Carter #19498 (DEV POL)
-
Banking Globalization, Transmission, and Monetary Policy Autonomy
Linda S. Goldberg #19497 (IFM ME)
-
Who Is in Control? The Determinants of Patient Adherence with Medication Therapy
Sergei Koulayev, Niels Skipper, and Emilia Simeonova #19496 (HC HE)
-
Migration to the US and Marital Mobility
Rebekka Christopoulou and Dean R. Lillard #19495 (LS)
-
Transportation Choices and the Value of Statistical Life
Gianmarco León and Edward Miguel #19494 (DEV EEE HE)
-
Fifty Years of Family Planning: New Evidence on the Long-Run Effects of Increasing Access to Contraception
Martha J. Bailey #19493 (CH DAE HC HE LS)
-
Labor Market Frictions, Firm Growth, and International Trade
Pablo D. Fajgelbaum #19492 (ITI)
-
Earnings Adjustment Frictions: Evidence from the Social Security Earnings Test
Alexander M. Gelber, Damon Jones, and Daniel W. Sacks #19491 (AG EFG LS ME PE)
-
Identifying the Health Production Function: The Case of Hospitals
John A. Romley and Neeraj Sood #19490 (HC HE IO)
-
The Retraction Penalty: Catastrophe and Consequence in Scientific Teams
Ginger Zhe Jin, Benjamin Jones, Susan Feng Lu, and Brian Uzzi #19489 (LS PR)
-
The Regulation of Prescription Drug Competition and Market Responses: Patterns in Prices and Sales Following Loss of Exclusivity
Murray L. Aitken, Ernst R. Berndt, Barry Bosworth, Iain M. Cockburn, Richard Frank, Michael Kleinrock, and Bradley T. Shapiro #19487 (AG HC HE PE PR)
-
The Aggregate Effect of School Choice: Evidence from a Two-stage Experiment in India
Karthik Muralidharan and Venkatesh Sundararaman #19441 (CH DEV ED IO LS PE)
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