New This Week Archive

NBER Working Papers released in the past, by week.

Weekly papers released by December 26, 2016

• Transparency, Reproducibility, and the Credibility of Economics Research
  Garret S. Christensen and Edward Miguel #22989 (   DEV   LS   TWP)
  
• Child Age and Gender Differences in Food Security in a Low-Income Inner-City Population
  Robert A. Moffitt and David C. Ribar #22988 (   CH   HE)
  
• Procrastination in the Workplace: Evidence from the U.S. Patent Office
  Michael D. Frakes and Melissa F. Wasserman #22987 (   LE   LS   PR)
  
• How Does Technological Change Affect Quality-Adjusted Prices in Health Care? Systematic Evidence from Thousands of Innovations
  Kristopher J. Hult, Sonia Jaffe, and Tomas J. Philipson #22986 (   HE   PR)
  
• Cross-Sectional Patterns of Mortgage Debt during the Housing Boom: Evidence and Implications
  Christopher L. Foote, Lara Loewenstein, and Paul S. Willen #22985 (   EFG)
  
• A Structural Analysis of the Effects of the Great Recession on Retirement and Working Longer by Members of Two-Earner Households
  Alan L. Gustman, Thomas L. Steinmeier, and Nahid Tabatabai #22984 (   AG   LS   PE)
  
• Fuel Consumption and Gasoline Prices: The Role of Assortative Matching between Households and Automobiles
  H. Spencer Banzhaf and Taha Kasim #22983 (   EEE)
  
• Asset Managers: Institutional Performance and Smart Betas
  Joseph Gerakos, Juhani T. Linnainmaa, and Adair Morse #22982 (   AP)
  
• A Passage to America: University Funding and International Students
  John Bound, Breno Braga, Gaurav Khanna, and Sarah Turner #22981 (   ED   LS)
  
• Blind Tigers and Red-Tape Cocktails: Liquor Control and Homicide in Late-Nineteenth-Century South Carolina
  Howard Bodenhorn #22980 (   DAE   LE)
  
• Stepping on a Rake: Replication and Diagnosis
  John H. Cochrane #22979 (   AP   EFG   ME)
  
• Discrete Adjustment to a Changing Environment: Experimental Evidence
  Mel Win Khaw, Luminita Stevens, and Michael Woodford #22978 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Who Benefits Most from SNAP? A Study of Food Security and Food Spending
  Partha Deb and Christian A. Gregory #22977 (   PE)
  
• Classification Trees for Heterogeneous Moment-Based Models
  Sam Asher, Denis Nekipelov, Paul Novosad, and Stephen P. Ryan #22976 (   DEV   IO   LS)
  
• Populism and the Return of the “Paranoid Style”: Some Evidence and a Simple Model of Demand for Incompetence as Insurance against Elite Betrayal
  Rafael Di Tella and Julio J. Rotemberg #22975 (   POL   EFG)
  
• A Portrait of Trade in Value Added over Four Decades
  Robert C. Johnson and Guillermo Noguera #22974 (   IFM   ITI)
  
• Depression for Economists
  Jonathan de Quidt and Johannes Haushofer #22973 (   DEV   HE)
  
• Beliefs about Gender
  Pedro Bordalo, Katherine B. Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli, and Andrei Shleifer #22972 (   LS)
  
• Adjustment to Small, Large, and Sunspot Shocks in Open Economies With Stock Collateral Constraints
  Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé and Martín Uribe #22971 (   EFG   IFM)
  
• The Hidden Resources of Women Working Longer: Evidence from Linked Survey-Administrative Data
  C. Adam Bee and Joshua Mitchell #22970 (   AG   LS   PE)
  
• The Response of Consumer Spending to Changes in Gasoline Prices
  Michael Gelman, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Shachar Kariv, Dmitri Koustas, Matthew D. Shapiro, Dan Silverman, and Steven Tadelis #22969 (   EEE   EFG   ME   PR)
  
• The Political Economy of Weak Treaties
  Marco Battaglini and BÃ¥rd Harstad #22968 (   POL)
  
• Where Do Students Go when For-Profit Colleges Lose Federal Aid?
  Stephanie R. Cellini, Rajeev Darolia, and Lesley J. Turner #22967 (   ED   LS   PE)
  
• Public Sector Personnel Economics: Wages, Promotions, and the Competence-Control Trade-off
  Charles M. Cameron, John M. de Figueiredo, and David E. Lewis #22966 (   LE   LS   PE)
  
• Disaggregating the Matching Function
  Peter A. Diamond and AyÅŸegül Åžahin #22965 (   EFG   LS)
  
• An Energy-centric Theory of Agglomeration
  Juan Moreno-Cruz and M. Scott Taylor #22964 (   EEE)
  
• Empowering Mothers and Enhancing Early Childhood Investment: Effect on Adults Outcomes and Children Cognitive and Non-Cognitive Skills
  Victor Lavy, Giulia Lotti, and Zizhong Yan #22963 (   CH   DEV   ED   LS)
  
• Industrial Productivity in a Hotter World: The Aggregate Implications of Heterogeneous Firm Investment in Air Conditioning
  Joshua Graff Zivin and Matthew E. Kahn #22962 (   EEE   PE   PR)
  
• Knowing When to Ask: The Cost of Leaning In
  Christine L. Exley, Muriel Niederle, and Lise Vesterlund #22961 (   LS)
  
• The Economic Structure of International Trade-in-Services Agreements
  Robert W. Staiger and Alan O. Sykes #22960 (   ITI)
  
• Box Office Buzz: Does Social Media Data Steal the Show from Model Uncertainty When Forecasting for Hollywood?
  Steven Lehrer and Tian Xie #22959 (   TWP)
  
• Regional Distribution and Dynamics of Human Capital in China 1985-2014: Education, Urbanization, and Aging of the Population
  Haizheng Li, Junzi He, Qinyi Liu, Barbara M. Fraumeni, and Xiang Zheng #22906 (   DEV   ED)
  

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Weekly papers released by December 19, 2016

• Learning, Confidence, and Business Cycles
  Cosmin L. Ilut and Hikaru Saijo #22958 (   AP   EFG   ME)
  
• Estimating market power Evidence from the US Brewing Industry
  Jan De Loecker and Paul T. Scott #22957 (   IO   PR)
  
• Energy Efficiency Standards Are More Regressive Than Energy Taxes: Theory and Evidence
  Arik Levinson #22956 (   EEE   PE)
  
• Agricultural Fires and Infant Health
  Marcos A. Rangel and Tom Vogl #22955 (   CH   DEV   EEE   HC   HE)
  
• A Behavioral New Keynesian Model
  Xavier Gabaix #22954 (   EFG   ME)
  
• How Destructive is Innovation?
  Daniel Garcia-Macia, Chang-Tai Hsieh, and Peter J. Klenow #22953 (   EFG   PR)
  
• Some Simple Economics of the Blockchain
  Christian Catalini and Joshua S. Gans #22952 (   IO   PR)
  
• Interfirm Relationships and Business Performance
  Jing Cai and Adam Szeidl #22951 (   DEV   PR)
  
• Targeting Policies: Multiple Testing and Distributional Treatment Effects
  Steven F. Lehrer, R. Vincent Pohl, and Kyungchul Song #22950 (   LS   TWP)
  
• Leveling the Playing Field: How Campaign Advertising Can Help Non-Dominant Parties
  Horacio A. Larreguy, John Marshall, and James M. Snyder, Jr. #22949 (   POL)
  
• Understanding Inflation in India
  Laurence Ball, Anusha Chari, and Prachi Mishra #22948 (   DEV   EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• Growth Policy, Agglomeration, and (the Lack of) Competition
  Wyatt J. Brooks, Joseph P. Kaboski, and Yao Amber Li #22947 (   DEV   EFG   IO   PR)
  
• How Large Are the Gains from Economic Integration? Theory and Evidence from U.S. Agriculture, 1880-1997
  Arnaud Costinot and Dave Donaldson #22946 (   ITI)
  
• Distributional National Accounts: Methods and Estimates for the United States
  Thomas Piketty, Emmanuel Saez, and Gabriel Zucman #22945 (   PE)
  
• Globalization and Wage Inequality
  Elhanan Helpman #22944 (   ITI)
  
• Dominant Currency Paradigm
  Camila Casas, Federico J. Díez, Gita Gopinath, and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas #22943 (   EFG   IFM   ITI   ME)
  
• Older Peoples’ Willingness to Delay Social Security Claiming
  Raimond Maurer and Olivia S. Mitchell #22942 (   AG   LS   PE)
  
• Business Cycles, Investment Shocks, and the "Barro-King" Curse
  Guido Ascari, Louis Phaneuf, and Eric Sims #22941 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Sanitation, Disease Externalities, and Anemia: Evidence From Nepal
  Diane Coffey, Michael Geruso, and Dean Spears #22940 (   CH   DEV   HE   PE)
  
• Asymmetric Effects of Non-Pecuniary Signals on Search and Purchase Behavior for Energy-Efficient Durable Goods
  J. Scott Holladay, Jacob LaRiviere, David M. Novgorodsky, and Michael Price #22939 (   EEE   IO   PE)
  
• Improving the Measurement of Earnings Dynamics
  Moira Daly, Dmytro Hryshko, and Iourii Manovskii #22938 (   EFG   LS)
  
• A Tale of Two Tails: Commuting and the Fuel Price Response in Driving
  Kenneth Gillingham and Anders Munk-Nielsen #22937 (   EEE)
  
• Commitment vs. Flexibility with Costly Verification
  Marina Halac and Pierre Yared #22936 (   EFG   IO   POL)
  
• Recent Flattening in the Higher Education Wage Premium: Polarization, Skill Downgrading, or Both?
  Robert G. Valletta #22935 (   ED   LS)
  
• Meet the Oligarchs: Business Legitimacy, State Capacity and Taxation
  Rafael Di Tella, Juan Dubra, and Alejandro Luis Lagomarsino #22934 (   POL)
  
• Projections and Uncertainties About Climate Change in an Era of Minimal Climate Policies
  William D. Nordhaus #22933 (   EEE   PE)
  

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Weekly papers released by December 12, 2016

• Elections, Ideology, and Turnover in the U.S. Federal Government
  Alexander Bolton, John M. de Figueiredo, and David E. Lewis #22932 (   LE   LS   PE)
  
• From Proof of Concept to Scalable Policies: Challenges and Solutions, with an Application
  Abhijit Banerjee, Rukmini Banerji, James Berry, Esther Duflo, Harini Kannan, Shobhini Mukherji, Marc Shotland, and Michael Walton #22931 (   CH   DEV   ED)
  
• FDI and Inequality in Vietnam: An Approach with Census Data
  John McLaren and Myunghwan Yoo #22930 (   ITI)
  
• Locked in by Leverage: Job Search during the Housing Crisis
  Jennifer Brown and David A. Matsa #22929 (   CF   LS)
  
• Books or Laptops? The Cost-Effectiveness of Shifting from Printed to Digital Delivery of Educational Content
  Rosangela Bando, Francisco Gallego, Paul Gertler, and Dario Romero #22928 (   CH   DEV   ED   PE)
  
• Educational Homogamy and Assortative Mating Have Not Increased
  Rania Gihleb and Kevin Lang #22927 (   LS)
  
• High-Skilled Migration and Agglomeration
  Sari Pekkala Kerr, William Kerr, Çaǧlar Özden, and Christopher Parsons #22926 (   LS   PR)
  
• Are Fuel Economy Standards Regressive?
  Lucas W. Davis and Christopher R. Knittel #22925 (   EEE   IO   PE)
  
• Why Does Capital No Longer Flow More to the Industries with the Best Growth Opportunities?
  Dong Lee, Han Shin, and René M. Stulz #22924 (   CF)
  
• Disrupting Education? Experimental Evidence on Technology-Aided Instruction in India
  Karthik Muralidharan, Abhijeet Singh, and Alejandro J. Ganimian #22923 (   DEV   ED   LS   PE   PR)
  
• Automated Economic Reasoning with Quantifier Elimination
  Casey B. Mulligan #22922 (   IO   PE   TWP)
  
• Coal Smoke and the Costs of the Industrial Revolution
  W. Walker Hanlon #22921 (   DAE)
  
• Labor Supply Elasticities: Overcoming Nonclassical Measurement Error Using More Accurate Hours Data
  Garry Barrett and Daniel S. Hamermesh #22920 (   LS)
  
• A Poor Means Test? Econometric Targeting in Africa
  Caitlin Brown, Martin Ravallion, and Dominique van de Walle #22919 (   DEV)
  
• Disappearing Routine Jobs: Who, How, and Why?
  Guido Matias Cortes, Nir Jaimovich, and Henry E. Siu #22918 (   EFG   LS)
  
• Improving the Quality of Choices in Health Insurance Markets
  Jason Abaluck and Jonathan Gruber #22917 (   AG   HC)
  
• The Demand for Bad Policy when Voters Underappreciate Equilibrium Effects
  Ernesto Dal Bó, Pedro Dal Bó, and Erik Eyster #22916 (   POL)
  
• Evidence on the Relationship between Recruiting and Starting Wage
  R. Jason Faberman and Guido Menzio #22915 (   EFG)
  
• Fracking, Drilling, and Asset Pricing: Estimating the Economic Benefits of the Shale Revolution
  Erik Gilje, Robert Ready, and Nikolai Roussanov #22914 (   AP)
  
• The New Lifecycle of Women’s Employment: Disappearing Humps, Sagging Middles, Expanding Tops
  Claudia Goldin and Joshua Mitchell #22913 (   DAE   LS)
  
• Drug Shortages, Pricing, and Regulatory Activity
  Christopher Stomberg #22912 (   HC   HE)
  
• Corrective Policy and Goodhart's Law: The Case of Carbon Emissions from Automobiles
  Mathias Reynaert and James M. Sallee #22911 (   EEE   IO   PE)
  
• The Fading American Dream: Trends in Absolute Income Mobility Since 1940
  Raj Chetty, David Grusky, Maximilian Hell, Nathaniel Hendren, Robert Manduca, and Jimmy Narang #22910 (   CH   DAE   EFG   LS   PE)
  
• Bombs and Babies: US Navy Bombing Activity and Infant Health in Vieques, Puerto Rico
  Gustavo J. Bobonis, Mark Stabile, and Leonardo Tovar #22909 (   CH   DEV)
  
• Optimal Taxation and R&D Policies
  Ufuk Akcigit, Douglas Hanley, and Stefanie Stantcheva #22908 (   PE   PR)
  
• The Effects of Computers on Children’s Social Development and School Participation: Evidence from a Randomized Control Experiment
  Robert W. Fairlie and Ariel Kalil #22907 (   ED)
  
• Habits and Leverage
  Tano Santos and Pietro Veronesi #22905 (   AP   EFG)
  
• Estimating the Productivity of Community Colleges in Paving the Road to Four-Year Success
  Scott E. Carrell and Michal Kurlaender #22904 (   ED   LS   PE)
  
• Stimulating Housing Markets
  David Berger, Nicholas Turner, and Eric Zwick #22903 (   CF   ME   PE)
  
• Economic Transformation in Africa from the Bottom Up: Evidence from Tanzania
  Xinshen Diao, Josaphat Kweka, and Margaret McMillan #22889 (   DEV   PR)
  

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Weekly papers released by December 5, 2016

• The Great Recession and Charitable Giving
  Jonathan Meer, David H. Miller, and Elisa Wulfsberg #22902 (   PE)
  
• Price Regulation, Price Discrimination, and Equality of Opportunity in Higher Education: Evidence from Texas
  Rodney Andrews and Kevin Stange #22901 (   ED   LS)
  
• Making the One Percent: The Role of Elite Universities and Elite Peers
  Seth D. Zimmerman #22900 (   ED   LS)
  
• The Long-Run Effects of Childhood Insurance Coverage: Medicaid Implementation, Adult Health, and Labor Market Outcomes
  Andrew Goodman-Bacon #22899 (   CH   DAE   HE)
  
• The Effect of Early Education on Social Preferences
  Alexander W. Cappelen, John A. List, Anya Samek, and Bertil Tungodden #22898 (   CH   ED   LS)
  
• Investment-less Growth: An Empirical Investigation
  Germán Gutiérrez and Thomas Philippon #22897 (   AP   CF   EFG   ME)
  
• Purchasing Power Disparity before 1914
  Peter H. Lindert #22896 (   DAE)
  
• Charging Ahead: Prepaid Electricity Metering in South Africa
  B. Kelsey Jack and Grant Smith #22895 (   DEV   EEE   PE)
  
• The History of the Cross Section of Stock Returns
  Juhani T. Linnainmaa and Michael R. Roberts #22894 (   AP)
  
• Activism, Strategic Trading, and Liquidity
  Kerry Back, Pierre Collin-Dufresne, Vyacheslav Fos, Tao Li, and Alexander Ljungqvist #22893 (   AP   CF)
  
• Bounds on Treatment Effects in Regression Discontinuity Designs under Manipulation of the Running Variable, with an Application to Unemployment Insurance in Brazil
  François Gerard, Miikka Rokkanen, and Christoph Rothe #22892 (   LS   PE   TWP)
  
• Relationship Lending and the Great Depression: Measurement and New Implications
  Jon Cohen, Kinda Cheryl Hachem, and Gary Richardson #22891 (   CF   DAE   EFG   ME)
  
• Climate Risks and Market Efficiency
  Harrison Hong, Frank Weikai Li, and Jiangmin Xu #22890 (   AP)
  
• Accounting for Business Income in Measuring Top Income Shares: Integrated Accrual Approach Using Individual and Firm Data from Norway
  Annette Alstadsæter, Martin Jacob, Wojciech Kopczuk, and Kjetil Telle #22888 (   PE)
  
• Health, Human Capital and Domestic Violence
  Nicholas W. Papageorge, Gwyn C. Pauley, Mardge Cohen, Tracey E. Wilson, Barton H. Hamilton, and Robert A. Pollak #22887 (   HC   HE   LS)
  
• The Behavioralist as Policy Designer: The Need to Test Multiple Treatments to Meet Multiple Targets
  Robert Hahn, Robert D. Metcalfe, David Novgorodsky, and Michael K. Price #22886 (   EEE   PE)
  
• Population Growth and Carbon Emissions
  Gregory Casey and Oded Galor #22885 (   EEE)
  
• Heuristic Perceptions of the Income Tax: Evidence and Implications for Debiasing
  Alex Rees-Jones and Dmitry Taubinsky #22884 (   AG   LE   LS   PE)
  
• Portfolio Choices, Firm Shocks and Uninsurable Wage Risk
  Andreas Fagereng, Luigi Guiso, and Luigi Pistaferri #22883 (   EFG   LS)
  
• Identifying the Benefits from Home Ownership: A Swedish Experiment
  Paolo Sodini, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, Roine Vestman, and Ulf von Lilienfeld-Toal #22882 (   AP   CF   EFG   LS   PE   POL)
  
• Performance Information and Personnel Decisions in the Public Sector: The Case of School Principals
  Julie Berry Cullen, Eric A. Hanushek, Gregory Phelan, and Steven G. Rivkin #22881 (   CH   ED   LS   PE)
  
• Labor Market Outcomes and Postsecondary Accountability: Are Imperfect Metrics Better than None?
  Veronica Minaya and Judith Scott-Clayton #22880 (   ED)
  
• Foreign Competition and Domestic Innovation: Evidence from U.S. Patents
  David Autor, David Dorn, Gordon H. Hanson, Pian Shu, and Gary Pisano #22879 (   ITI   PR)
  
• Accelerator or Brake? Cash for Clunkers, Household Liquidity, and Aggregate Demand
  Daniel Green, Brian T. Melzer, Jonathan A. Parker, and Arcenis Rojas #22878 (   AP   CF   EFG   ME   PE)
  
• Do Female Executives Make a Difference? The Impact of Female Leadership on Gender Gaps and Firm Performance
  Luca Flabbi, Mario Macis, Andrea Moro, and Fabiano Schivardi #22877 (   LS)
  
• Insurers' Response to Selection Risk: Evidence from Medicare Enrollment Reforms
  Francesco Decarolis and Andrea Guglielmo #22876 (   HC   HE   IO   PE)
  
• The Impact of Increased Cost-sharing on Utilization of Low Value Services: Evidence from the State of Oregon
  Jonathan Gruber, Johanna Catherine Maclean, Bill J. Wright, Eric S. Wilkinson, and Kevin Volpp #22875 (   HC   HE)
  
• Cross-Border Prudential Policy Spillovers: How Much? How Important? Evidence from the International Banking Research Network
  Claudia M. Buch and Linda Goldberg #22874 (   IFM   ME)
  
• Does Health IT Adoption Lead to Better Information or Worse Incentives?
  Gautam Gowrisankaran, Keith A. Joiner, and Jianjing Lin #22873 (   HC   IO)
  

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Weekly papers released by November 28, 2016

• The Interest Rate Effect on Private Saving: Alternative Perspectives
  Joshua Aizenman, Yin-Wong Cheung, and Hiro Ito #22872 (   IFM)
  
• Sustaining Impacts When Transfers End: Women Leaders, Aspirations, and Investment in Children
  Karen Macours and Renos Vakis #22871 (   CH   DEV      HE)
  
• Ambiguity and the Tradeoff Theory of Capital Structure
  Yehuda Izhakian, David Yermack, and Jaime F. Zender #22870 (   CF)
  
• The Surprising Instability of Export Specializations
  Diego Daruich, William Easterly, and Ariell Reshef #22869 (   DEV)
  
• Macroprudential Policy: Promise and Challenges
  Enrique G. Mendoza #22868 (   IFM)
  
• It's Not the Thought that Counts: A Field Experiment on Gift Exchange and Giving at a Public University
  Catherine C. Eckel, David H. Herberich, and Jonathan Meer #22867 (   PE)
  
• Is The Monetarist Arithmetic Unpleasant?
  Martín Uribe #22866 (   EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• Japan’s Ultimately Unaccursed Natural Resources-Financed Industrialization
  Randall Morck and Masao Nakamura #22865 (   CF)
  
• The Welfare Cost of Uncertainty in Policy Outcomes
  Edward Schlee and V. Kerry Smith #22864 (   EEE)
  
• Is it the "How" or the "When" that Matters in Fiscal Adjustments?
  Alberto Alesina, Gualtiero Azzalini, Carlo Favero, Francesco Giavazzi, and Armando Miano #22863 (   IFM)
  
• Distributional Effects of Air Pollution from Electric Vehicle Adoption
  Stephen P. Holland, Erin T. Mansur, Nicholas Z. Muller, and Andrew J. Yates #22862 (   EEE)
  
• Geographical Distribution of Emergency Department Closures and Consequences on Heart Attack Patients
  Yu-Chu Shen and Renee Y. Hsia #22861 (   AG   HC)
  
• Transforming Cities: Does Urbanization Promote Democratic Change?
  Edward L. Glaeser and Bryce Millett Steinberg #22860 (   PE   POL)
  
• Fear of Fracking? The Impact of the Shale Gas Exploration on House Prices in Britain
  Steve Gibbons, Stephan Heblich, Esther Lho, and Christopher Timmins #22859 (   EEE)
  
• Do Good Reports Mean Higher Prices? The Impact of Hospital Compare Ratings on Cardiac Pricing
  Avi Dor, William Encinosa, and Kathleen Carey #22858 (   HC   HE)
  
• Is the American Public Corporation in Trouble?
  Kathleen Kahle and René M. Stulz #22857 (   CF)
  
• A Shadow Rate New Keynesian Model
  Jing Cynthia Wu and Ji Zhang #22856 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Laws, Educational Outcomes, and Returns to Schooling: Evidence from the Full Count 1940 Census
  Karen Clay, Jeff Lingwall, and Melvin Stephens, Jr. #22855 (   DAE   ED   LS)
  
• From “Made in China” to “Innovated in China”: Necessity, Prospect, and Challenges
  Shang-Jin Wei, Zhuan Xie, and Xiaobo Zhang #22854 (   DEV)
  
• Leaving Big Money on the Table: Arbitrage Opportunities in Delaying Social Security
  Gila Bronshtein, Jason Scott, John B. Shoven, and Sita N. Slavov #22853 (   AG   PE)
  
• Immigrants and Firms' Outcomes: Evidence from France
  Cristina Mitaritonna, Gianluca Orefice, and Giovanni Peri #22852 (   ITI   LS   PR   CH)
  

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Weekly papers released by November 21, 2016

• Prepayment Risk and Expected MBS Returns
  Peter Diep, Andrea L. Eisfeldt, and Scott Richardson #22851 (   AP   CF   EFG)
  
• Firms and Labor Market Inequality: Evidence and Some Theory
  David Card, Ana Rute Cardoso, Jörg Heining, and Patrick Kline #22850 (   EFG   LS   PE   PR)
  
• Trade Liberalization and Mortality: Evidence from U.S. Counties
  Justin R. Pierce and Peter K. Schott #22849 (   HE   ITI   LS)
  
• Extending Industry Specialization through Cross-Border Acquisitions
  Laurent Frésard, Ulrich Hege, and Gordon Phillips #22848 (   CF   IO)
  
• Take the Short Route: Equilibrium Default and Debt Maturity
  Mark Aguiar, Manuel Amador, Hugo Hopenhayn, and Iván Werning #22847 (   EFG   IFM)
  
• The Impact of Consumer Credit Access on Employment, Earnings and Entrepreneurship
  Kyle Herkenhoff, Gordon Phillips, and Ethan Cohen-Cole #22846 (   CF   LS)
  
• Does The Samaritan's Dilemma Matter? Evidence From U.S. Agriculture
  Tatyana Deryugina and Barrett Kirwan #22845 (   EEE   PE)
  
• Pegxit Pressure: Evidence from the Classical Gold Standard
  Kris James Mitchener and Gonçalo Pina #22844 (   DAE   IFM)
  
• An Analysis of the Labor Market for Uber’s Driver-Partners in the United States
  Jonathan V. Hall and Alan B. Krueger #22843 (   LS)
  
• Multilateral Trade Bargaining and Dominant Strategies
  Kyle Bagwell and Robert W. Staiger #22842 (   ITI)
  
• Shifting College Majors in Response to Advanced Placement Exam Scores
  Christopher Avery, Oded Gurantz, Michael Hurwitz, and Jonathan Smith #22841 (   ED)
  
• The Impact of Emerging Market Competition on Innovation and Business Strategy
  Lorenz Kueng, Nicholas Li, and Mu-Jeung Yang #22840 (   CF   EFG   PR)
  
• Macro Risks and the Term Structure of Interest Rates
  Geert Bekaert, Eric Engstrom, and Andrey Ermolov #22839 (   AP)
  
• Pseudo-wealth and Consumption Fluctuations
  Martin Guzman and Joseph E. Stiglitz #22838 (   EFG   IFM)
  
• The Theory of Credit and Macro-economic Stability
  Joseph E. Stiglitz #22837 (   EFG)
  

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Weekly papers released by November 14, 2016

• The Competitive Effects of Information Sharing
  John Asker, Chaim Fershtman, Jihye Jeon, and Ariel Pakes #22836 (   IO)
  
• The Evolution of Health Insurer Costs in Massachusetts, 2010-12
  Kate Ho, Ariel Pakes, and Mark Shepard #22835 (   HE   IO   PR)
  
• The Economic Contribution of Unauthorized Workers: An Industry Analysis
  Ryan Edwards and Francesc Ortega #22834 (   LS)
  
• World Shocks, World Prices, and Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation
  Andrés Fernández, Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé, and Martín Uribe #22833 (   EFG   IFM)
  
• Screening in Contract Design: Evidence from the ACA Health Insurance Exchanges
  Michael Geruso, Timothy J. Layton, and Daniel Prinz #22832 (   AG   HC   HE   PE)
  
• Monetary Policy and the Stock Market: Time-Series Evidence
  Andreas Neuhierl and Michael Weber #22831 (   AP   EFG   ME)
  
• An Economic Analysis of U.S Airline Fuel Economy Dynamics from 1991 to 2015
  Matthew E. Kahn and Jerry Nickelsburg #22830 (   EEE   IO)
  
• Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)
  Itzhak Ben-David, Francesco Franzoni, and Rabih Moussawi #22829 (   AP   CF)
  
• Corporate Deleveraging
  Harry DeAngelo, Andrei S. Gonçalves, and René M. Stulz #22828 (   CF)
  
• Inflation Dynamics During the Financial Crisis
  Simon Gilchrist, Raphael Schoenle, Jae Sim, and Egon ZakrajÅ¡ek #22827 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Hospital Competition, Quality, and Expenditures in the U.S. Medicare Population
  Carrie Colla, Julie Bynum, Andrea Austin, and Jonathan Skinner #22826 (   HC   HE   IO)
  
• Putting the Cycle Back into Business Cycle Analysis
  Paul Beaudry, Dana Galizia, and Franck Portier #22825 (   EFG)
  
• Time-Inconsistent Charitable Giving
  James Andreoni and Marta Serra-Garcia #22824 (   PE)
  
• The Optimal Distribution of Population across Cities
  David Albouy, Kristian Behrens, Frédéric Robert-Nicoud, and Nathan Seegert #22823 (   PE   POL)
  
• Heterogeneity and Persistence in Returns to Wealth
  Andreas Fagereng, Luigi Guiso, Davide Malacrino, and Luigi Pistaferri #22822 (   EFG)
  
• Durable Coalitions and Communication: Public versus Private Negotiations
  David P. Baron, Renee Bowen, and Salvatore Nunnari #22821 (   PE   POL)
  
• Puzzles in the Forex Tokyo “Fixing”: Order Imbalances and Biased Pricing by Banks
  Takatoshi Ito and Masahiro Yamada #22820 (   IFM)
  
• International Borrowing Cycles: A New Historical Database
  Graciela L. Kaminsky #22819 (   IFM)
  
• Technical Aspects of Correspondence Studies
  Joanna Lahey and Ryan Beasley #22818 (   AG   DEV   ED   LE   LS   PE   POL   TWP)
  
• Gender, Marriage, and Life Expectancy
  Margherita Borella, Mariacristina De Nardi, and Fang Yang #22817 (   AG   PE)
  
• Housing Demand, Cost-of-Living Inequality, and the Affordability Crisis
  David Albouy, Gabriel Ehrlich, and Yingyi Liu #22816 (   EFG   LS)
  
• The Affordable Care Act as Retiree Health Insurance: Implications for Retirement and Social Security Claiming
  Alan L. Gustman, Thomas L. Steinmeier, and Nahid Tabatabai #22815 (   AG   HE   LS   PE)
  
• Past Performance and Procurement Outcomes
  Francesco Decarolis, Giancarlo Spagnolo, and Riccardo Pacini #22814 (   HC   IO   PE)
  
• On a World Climate Assembly and the Social Cost of Carbon
  Martin Weitzman #22813 (   EEE)
  
• International Transmissions of Monetary Shocks: Between a Trilemma and a Dilemma
  Xuehui Han and Shang-Jin Wei #22812 (   IFM)
  
• Complementarity without Superadditivity
  Steven Berry, Philip Haile, Mark Israel, and Michael Katz #22811 (   IO)
  
• Political Borders and Bank Lending in Post-Crisis America
  Matthieu Chavaz and Andrew K. Rose #22806 (   IFM   POL)
  
• Leverage Dynamics without Commitment
  Peter DeMarzo and Zhiguo He #22799 (   AP   CF)
  
• Divergent Paths: Structural Change, Economic Rank, and the Evolution of Black-White Earnings Differences, 1940-2014
  Patrick Bayer and Kerwin Kofi Charles #22797 (   DAE   ED   LE   LS   PE   PR)
  

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Weekly papers released by November 7, 2016

• Analyzing the Influence of Occupational Licensing Duration on Labor Market Outcomes
  Suyoun Han and Morris M. Kleiner #22810 (   IO   LE   LS)
  
• Misallocation, Establishment Size, and Productivity
  Pedro Bento and Diego Restuccia #22809 (   DEV   EFG   PR)
  
• How Information Affects Support for Education Spending: Evidence from Survey Experiments in Germany and the United States
  Martin R. West, Ludger Woessmann, Philipp Lergetporer, and Katharina Werner #22808 (   ED   PE   POL)
  
• The Social Cost of Carbon Revisited
  Robert S. Pindyck #22807 (   EEE   PE)
  
• The Compositional Effect of Rigorous Teacher Evaluation on Workforce Quality
  Julie Berry Cullen, Cory Koedel, and Eric Parsons #22805 (   ED   LS   PE)
  
• Trade, Pollution and Mortality in China
  Matilde Bombardini and Bingjing Li #22804 (   DEV   EEE   HE   ITI)
  
• E-governance, Accountability, and Leakage in Public Programs: Experimental Evidence from a Financial Management Reform in India
  Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo, Clement Imbert, Santhosh Mathew, and Rohini Pande #22803 (   DEV)
  
• Intertemporal Substitution in Health Care Demand: Evidence from the RAND Health Insurance Experiment
  Haizhen Lin and Daniel W. Sacks #22802 (   HC   HE)
  
• The Long Shadow of a Fiscal Expansion
  Chong-En Bai, Chang-Tai Hsieh, and Zheng Michael Song #22801 (   EFG   IFM)
  
• Should Central Banks Care About Fiscal Rules?
  Eric M. Leeper #22800 (   EFG)
  
• Taxing the Rich More: Preliminary Evidence from the 2013 Tax Increase
  Emmanuel Saez #22798 (   PE)
  
• The Mortality and Medical Costs of Air Pollution: Evidence from Changes in Wind Direction
  Tatyana Deryugina, Garth Heutel, Nolan H. Miller, David Molitor, and Julian Reif #22796 (   EEE   HE)
  
• Applying Asset Pricing Theory to Calibrate the Price of Climate Risk
  Kent D. Daniel, Robert B. Litterman, and Gernot Wagner #22795 (   AP   EEE   POL)
  
• Public Debt as Private Liquidity: Optimal Policy
  George-Marios Angeletos, Fabrice Collard, and Harris Dellas #22794 (   EFG   ME   PE)
  
• Commodities for the Long Run
  Ari Levine, Yao Hua Ooi, and Matthew Richardson #22793 (   AP)
  
• The Effect of E-Cigarette Minimum Legal Sale Age Laws on Traditional Cigarette Use and Birth Outcomes among Pregnant Teenagers
  Michael F. Pesko and Janet M. Currie #22792 (   CH   HE)
  
• Upward Mobility and Discrimination: The Case of Asian Americans
  Nathaniel Hilger #22748 (   LS)
  

---

Weekly papers released by October 31, 2016

• Balancing, Regression, Difference-In-Differences and Synthetic Control Methods: A Synthesis
  Nikolay Doudchenko and Guido W. Imbens #22791 (   LS)
  
• Currency Manipulation
  Tarek A. Hassan, Thomas M. Mertens, and Tony Zhang #22790 (   AP   EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• A Real Estate Boom with Chinese Characteristics
  Edward Glaeser, Wei Huang, Yueran Ma, and Andrei Shleifer #22789 (   AP   CF   EFG   IFM)
  
• Crime and Durable Goods
  Sebastian Galiani, Laura Jaitman, and Federico Weinschelbaum #22788 (   DEV)
  
• Fighting Crises
  Gary Gorton and Guillermo Ordoñez #22787 (   AP   EFG   ME)
  
• Discrimination as a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy: Evidence from French Grocery Stores
  Dylan Glover, Amanda Pallais, and William Pariente #22786 (   LS)
  
• Forward Guidance without Common Knowledge
  George-Marios Angeletos and Chen Lian #22785 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Log-linear Approximation versus an Exact Solution at the ZLB in the New Keynesian Model
  Gauti B. Eggertsson and Sanjay R. Singh #22784 (   ME)
  
• Innovation Network
  Daron Acemoglu, Ufuk Akcigit, and William Kerr #22783 (   EFG   IO   PR)
  
• Trends in Cumulative Marginal Tax Rates Facing Low-Income Families, 1997-2007
  Gizem Kosar and Robert A. Moffitt #22782 (   LS   PE)
  
• Regression Kink Design: Theory and Practice
  David Card, David S. Lee, Zhuan Pei, and Andrea Weber #22781 (   LS   PE)
  
• Competitive Effects of Scope of Practice Restrictions: Public Health or Public Harm?
  Sara Markowitz, E. Kathleen Adams, Mary Jane Lewitt, PhD,CNM, and Anne Dunlop, MD #22780 (   CH   HC   HE   LE   LS)
  
• Knowledge Elites and Modernization: Evidence from Revolutionary France
  Mara P. Squicciarini and Nico Voigtländer #22779 (   DAE   POL)
  
• Business Income and Business Taxation in the United States Since the 1950s
  Conor Clarke and Wojciech Kopczuk #22778 (   PE)
  
• Elite Identity and Political Accountability: A Tale of Ten Islands
  Jean-Paul Carvalho and Christian Dippel #22777 (   DAE   DEV   LE   POL)
  
• Racial and Gender Discrimination in Transportation Network Companies
  Yanbo Ge, Christopher R. Knittel, Don MacKenzie, and Stephen Zoepf #22776 (   IO   LS   PE)
  
• Factions in Nondemocracies: Theory and Evidence from the Chinese Communist Party
  Patrick Francois, Francesco Trebbi, and Kairong Xiao #22775 (   POL)
  
• Securities Lending as Wholesale Funding: Evidence from the U.S. Life Insurance Industry
  Nathan Foley-Fisher, Borghan Narajabad, and Stephane Verani #22774 (   AP   CF)
  
• Multidimensional Private Information, Market Structure and Insurance Markets
  Hanming Fang and Zenan Wu #22773 (   IO   PE)
  
• Collective Choice in Dynamic Public Good Provision
  T. Renee Bowen, George Georgiadis, and Nicolas S. Lambert #22772 (   IO   ITI   PE   POL   PR)
  
• Vertical Information Restraints: Pro- and Anti-Competitive Impacts of Minimum Advertised Price Restrictions
  John Asker and Heski Bar-Isaac #22771 (   IO)
  
• Is Uncle Sam Inducing the Elderly to Retire?
  Alan J. Auerbach, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Darryl R. Koehler, and Manni Yu #22770 (   PE)
  
• Evaluating Economy-Wide Benefit Cost Analyses
  V. Kerry Smith and Min Qiang Zhao #22769 (   EEE)
  
• Patent Disclosures and Standard-Setting
  Josh Lerner, Haris Tabakovic, and Jean Tirole #22768 (   PR)
  
• Effects of Adult Health Interventions at Scale on Children's Schooling: Evidence from Antiretroviral Therapy in Zambia
  Adrienne M. Lucas, Margaret Chidothe, and Nicholas L. Wilson #22767 (   CH   ED   HE)
  

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Weekly papers released by October 24, 2016

• The Causes and Consequences of Increased Female Education and Labor Force Participation in Developing Countries
  Rachel Heath and Seema Jayachandran #22766 (   DEV   ED   LS)
  
• Inattention and Switching Costs as Sources of Inertia in Medicare Part D
  Florian Heiss, Daniel McFadden, Joachim Winter, Amelie Wuppermann, and Bo Zhou #22765 (   AG   HC   HE)
  
• Mobile Phones, Civic Engagement, and School Performance in Pakistan
  Minahil Asim and Thomas Dee #22764 (   DEV   ED)
  
• Fiscal Risk and the Portfolio of Government Programs
  Samuel G. Hanson, David S. Scharfstein, and Adi Sunderam #22763 (   AP   CF   PE)
  
• Do Recessions Accelerate Routine-Biased Technological Change? Evidence from Vacancy Postings
  Brad Hershbein and Lisa B. Kahn #22762 (   EFG   LS   PR)
  
• Achieving Price Stability by Manipulating the Central Bank’s Payment on Reserves
  Robert E. Hall and Ricardo Reis #22761 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Local Government and Old-Age Support in the New Deal
  Daniel K. Fetter #22760 (   DAE)
  
• The Effects of Income Mobility and Tax Persistence on Income Redistribution and Inequality
  Marina Agranov and Thomas R. Palfrey #22759 (   PE   POL)
  
• International Financial Adjustment in a Canonical Open Economy Growth Model
  Richard H. Clarida and Ildikó Magyari #22758 (   IFM)
  
• The Determinants of Quality Specialization
  Jonathan I. Dingel #22757 (   ITI)
  
• Endogenous Network Formation in Congress
  Nathan Canen and Francesco Trebbi #22756 (   POL)
  
• A New Financial Order in Asia: Will a RMB bloc emerge?
  Takatoshi Ito #22755 (   IFM)
  
• Can Online Delivery Increase Access to Education?
  Joshua Goodman, Julia Melkers, and Amanda Pallais #22754 (   ED   LS   PR)
  
• The Effect of Air Pollution on Investor Behavior: Evidence from the S&P 500
  Anthony Heyes, Matthew Neidell, and Soodeh Saberian #22753 (   EEE   HE   LS)
  
• Notes on the Economics of Energy Storage
  Geoffrey Heal #22752 (   EEE   PE)
  
• A Model of Fickle Capital Flows and Retrenchment: Global Liquidity Creation and Reach for Safety and Yield
  Ricardo J. Caballero and Alp Simsek #22751 (   AP   CF   EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• Evidence for the Effects of Mergers on Market Power and Efficiency
  Bruce A. Blonigen and Justin R. Pierce #22750 (   IO   ITI   PR)
  
• The Competitive Effects of Online Education
  David J. Deming, Michael Lovenheim, and Richard W. Patterson #22749 (   ED)
  
• Silver Points, Silver Flows, and the Measure of Chinese Financial Integration
  David S. Jacks, Se Yan, and Liuyan Zhao #22747 (   DAE   IFM)
  
• Mainstreaming an Effective Intervention: Evidence from Randomized Evaluations of “Teaching at the Right Level” in India
  Abhijit Banerjee, Rukmini Banerji, James Berry, Esther Duflo, Harini Kannan, Shobhini Mukherji, Marc Shotland, and Michael Walton #22746 (   CH   DEV   ED)
  

---

Weekly papers released by October 17, 2016

• When Discounts Raise Costs: The Effect of Copay Coupons on Generic Utilization
  Leemore Dafny, Christopher Ody, and Matthew Schmitt #22745 (   HC   IO   PE)
  
• Ideological Segregation among Online Collaborators: Evidence from Wikipedians
  Shane Greenstein, Yuan Gu, and Feng Zhu #22744 (   IO   PR)
  
• Macrofinancial History and the New Business Cycle Facts
  Ã’scar Jordà, Moritz Schularick, and Alan M. Taylor #22743 (   AP   DAE   EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• Minimum Payments and Debt Paydown in Consumer Credit Cards
  Benjamin J. Keys and Jialan Wang #22742 (   PE)
  
• Current Account Deficits During Heightened Risk: Menacing or Mitigating?
  Kristin Forbes, Ida Hjortsoe, and Tsvetelina Nenova #22741 (   IFM   ME)
  
• An Index of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty
  Steven J. Davis #22740 (   EFG   PE   POL)
  
• Influencing Connected Legislators
  Marco Battaglini and Eleonora Patacchini #22739 (   POL)
  
• Changes in Marriage and Divorce as Drivers of Employment and Retirement of Older Women
  Claudia Olivetti and Dana E. Rotz #22738 (   AG   LS)
  
• Balance Sheet Effects on Monetary and Financial Spillovers: The East Asian Crisis Plus 20
  Joshua Aizenman, Menzie D. Chinn, and Hiro Ito #22737 (   IFM)
  
• Market Potential and Global Growth over the Long Twentieth Century
  David S. Jacks and Dennis Novy #22736 (   DAE   ITI)
  
• Necessity as the Mother of Invention: Monetary Policy after the Crisis
  Alan S. Blinder, Michael Ehrmann, Jakob de Haan, and David-Jan Jansen #22735 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Money or Grit? Determinants of MisMatch by Race and Gender
  Russell Cooper and Huacong Liu #22734 (   ED   EFG)
  
• A Distribution-Neutral Perspective On Tax Expenditure Limitations
  Louis Kaplow #22733 (   PE)
  
• Estimating the Heterogeneous Welfare Effects of Choice Architecture: An Application to the Medicare Prescription Drug Insurance Market
  Jonathan D. Ketcham, Nicolai V. Kuminoff, and Christopher A. Powers #22732 (   AG   HC   HE)
  
• Will the Paris Accord Accelerate Climate Change?
  Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Andrey Polbin, and Andrey Zubarev #22731 (   EEE   LS   PE)
  
• Accounting for Price Endogeneity in Airline Itinerary Choice Models: An Application to Continental U.S. Markets
  Virginie Lurkin, Laurie A. Garrow, Matthew J. Higgins, Jeffrey P. Newman, and Michael Schyns #22730 (   IO)
  
• Global Talent Flows
  Sari Pekkala Kerr, William Kerr, Çaǧlar Özden, and Christopher Parsons #22715 (   DEV   LS   PR)
  

---

Weekly papers released by October 10, 2016

• Measuring Liquidity Mismatch in the Banking Sector
  Arvind Krishnamurthy, Jennie Bai, and Charles-Henri Weymuller #22729 (   AP   CF   ME)
  
• What Makes a Price Fair? An Experimental Analysis of Market Experience and Endogenous Fairness Views
  Holger Herz and Dmitry Taubinsky #22728 (   IO   LS)
  
• Global Firms
  Andrew B. Bernard, J. Bradford Jensen, Stephen J. Redding, and Peter K. Schott #22727 (   ITI)
  
• Late-in-Life Risks and the Under-Insurance Puzzle
  John Ameriks, Joseph Briggs, Andrew Caplin, Matthew D. Shapiro, and Christopher Tonetti #22726 (   AG   HE      EFG   ME   PR)
  
• Learning and Earning: An Approximation to College Value Added in Two Dimensions
  Evan Riehl, Juan E. Saavedra, and Miguel Urquiola #22725 (   ED)
  
• Why Not Taxation and Representation? A Note on the American Revolution
  Sebastian Galiani and Gustavo Torrens #22724 (   DEV)
  
• Do Rare Events Explain CDX Tranche Spreads?
  Sang Byung Seo and Jessica A. Wachter #22723 (   AP   EFG)
  
• Choosing Between an Estate Tax and a Basis Carryover Regime: Evidence from 2010
  Robert Gordon, David Joulfaian, and James M. Poterba #22722 (   PE)
  
• Childhood Housing and Adult Earnings: A Between-Siblings Analysis of Housing Vouchers and Public Housing
  Fredrik Andersson, John C. Haltiwanger, Mark J. Kutzbach, Giordano E. Palloni, Henry O. Pollakowski, and Daniel H. Weinberg #22721 (   CH   LS)
  
• A Ricardian-Demand Explanation for Changing Pharmaceutical R&D Productivity
  Mark Pauly and Kyle Myers #22720 (   HC   HE   IO   PR)
  
• Education Quality and Teaching Practices
  Marina Bassi, Costas Meghir, and Ana Reynoso #22719 (   CH   DEV   ED   LS)
  
• Behavioral Welfare Economics and FDA Tobacco Regulations
  Philip DeCicca, Donald S. Kenkel, Feng Liu, and Hua Wang #22718 (   HE)
  
• Putting the Pension Back in 401(k) Plans: Optimal versus Default Longevity Income Annuities
  Vanya Horneff, Raimond Maurer, and Olivia S. Mitchell #22717 (   AG   PE)
  
• Bidding Dynamics in Auctions
  Hugo Hopenhayn and Maryam Saeedi #22716 (   IO)
  
• Poverty Traps and the Social Protection Paradox
  Munenobu Ikegami, Michael R. Carter, Christopher B. Barrett, and Sarah A. Janzen #22714 (   DEV)
  
• Performance Standards in Need-Based Student Aid
  Judith Scott-Clayton and Lauren Schudde #22713 (   ED   PE)
  
• Tort Reform and Innovation
  Alberto Galasso and Hong Luo #22712 (   LE   PR)
  
• Bad Credit, No Problem? Credit and Labor Market Consequences of Bad Credit Reports
  Will Dobbie, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Neale Mahoney, and Jae Song #22711 (   CF   LS   PE)
  
• Incomplete Disclosure: Evidence of Signaling and Countersignaling
  Benjamin B. Bederson, Ginger Zhe Jin, Phillip Leslie, Alexander J. Quinn, and Ben Zou #22710 (   IO)
  
• Why Don’t Commercial Health Plans Use Prospective Payment?
  Laurence Baker, M. Kate Bundorf, Aileen Devlin, and Daniel P. Kessler #22709 (   HC   HE)
  
• The Stock Market and Bank Risk-Taking
  Antonio Falato and David Scharfstein #22689 (   CF)
  

---

Weekly papers released by October 3, 2016

• Valuing Alternative Work Arrangements
  Alexandre Mas and Amanda Pallais #22708 (   LS)
  
• Standing on the Shoulders of Giants: The Effect of Passive Investors on Activism
  Ian R. Appel, Todd A. Gormley, and Donald B. Keim #22707 (   CF)
  
• Quantitative Trade Models: Developments and Challenges
  Timothy J. Kehoe, Pau S. Pujolas, and Jack Rossbach #22706 (   EFG   ITI)
  
• The Politics of FDI Expropriation
  Marina Azzimonti #22705 (   IFM   POL)
  
• Deconstructing Household Wealth Trends in the United States, 1983 - 2013
  Edward N. Wolff #22704 (   LS   PR)
  
• Reputation Cycles
  Boyan Jovanovic and Julien Prat #22703 (   EFG   PR)
  
• Subsidy Policies and Insurance Demand
  Jing Cai, Alain de Janvry, and Elisabeth Sadoulet #22702 (   DEV)
  
• Securing Property Rights
  Edward L. Glaeser, Giacomo A.M. Ponzetto, and Andrei Shleifer #22701 (   LE   POL)
  
• What is the Added Value of Preschool? Long-term Impacts and Interactions with a Health Intervention
  Maya Rossin-Slater and Miriam Wüst #22700 (   CH   HE   PE)
  
• House Valuations and Economic Growth: Some International Evidence
  Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak, and Huanhuan Zheng #22699 (   IFM)
  
• Teaching, Teachers Pensions and Retirement across Recent Cohorts of College Graduate Women
  Maria D. Fitzpatrick #22698 (   AG   LS)
  
• Impediments to Financial Trade: Theory and Applications
  Nicolae Gârleanu, Stavros Panageas, and Jianfeng Yu #22697 (   AP)
  
• Loan Product Steering in Mortgage Markets
  Sumit Agarwal, Gene Amromin, Itzhak Ben-David, and Douglas D. Evanoff #22696 (   CF)
  
• Credit Expansion and Neglected Crash Risk
  Matthew Baron and Wei Xiong #22695 (   AP   CF   IFM   ME)
  
• Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises: A Quantitative Analysis
  Luigi Bocola and Alessandro Dovis #22694 (   EFG   IFM)
  
• The Evolution of U.S. Monetary Policy: 2000 - 2007
  Michael T. Belongia and Peter N. Ireland #22693 (   ME)
  
• Stealing Deposits: Deposit Insurance, Risk-Taking and the Removal of Market Discipline in Early 20th Century Banks
  Charles W. Calomiris and Matthew S. Jaremski #22692 (   CF   DAE)
  
• The Formation of Consumer Brand Preferences
  Bart J. Bronnenberg and Jean-Pierre H. Dubé #22691 (   IO)
  
• Economic Conditions and Mortality: Evidence from 200 Years of Data
  David M. Cutler, Wei Huang, and Adriana Lleras-Muney #22690 (   AG   HE   LS   PE)
  
• The Impact of Medical Marijuana Laws on the Labor Supply and Health of Older Adults: Evidence from the Health and Retirement Study
  Lauren Hersch Nicholas and Johanna Catherine Maclean #22688 (   HE)
  
• The Impact of Intergenerational Transfers on Household Wealth Inequality in Japan and the United States
  Yoko Niimi and Charles Yuji Horioka #22687 (   AG      EFG   PE)
  
• Borrowing Requirements, Credit Access, and Adverse Selection: Evidence from Kenya
  William Jack, Michael Kremer, Joost de Laat, and Tavneet Suri #22686 (   DEV)
  
• Intellectual Property Rights Protection, Ownership, and Innovation: Evidence from China
  Lily Fang, Josh Lerner, and Chaopeng Wu #22685 (   CF)
  
• Do Savings Increase in Response to Salient Information about Retirement and Expected Pensions?
  Mathias Dolls, Philipp Doerrenberg, Andreas Peichl, and Holger Stichnoth #22684 (   AG   LS   PE)
  
• Hope as Aspirations, Agency, and Pathways: Poverty Dynamics and Microfinance in Oaxaca, Mexico
  Travis J. Lybbert and Bruce Wydick #22661 (   DEV)
  
• Do Grandparents and Great-Grandparents Matter? Multigenerational Mobility in the US, 1910-2013
  Joseph Ferrie, Catherine Massey, and Jonathan Rothbaum #22635 (   DAE   ED   LS)
  

---

Weekly papers released by September 26, 2016

• Occupational Choice in Early Industrializing Societies: Experimental Evidence on the Income and Health Effects of Industrial and Entrepreneurial Work
  Christopher Blattman and Stefan Dercon #22683 (   DEV)
  
• Child Poverty, the Great Recession, and the Social Safety Net in the United States
  Marianne Bitler, Hilary Hoynes, and Elira Kuka #22682 (   CH   LS   PE)
  
• Measuring Effects of SNAP on Obesity at the Intensive Margin
  Lorenzo N. Almada and Rusty Tchernis #22681 (   CH   HE)
  
• Understanding why black women are not working longer
  Joanna Lahey #22680 (   AG   DAE   LS   PE)
  
• Parental Resources and College Attendance: Evidence from Lottery Wins
  George Bulman, Robert Fairlie, Sarena Goodman, and Adam Isen #22679 (   ED)
  
• Why Do Estimates of the EMU Effect On Trade Vary so Much?
  Andrew K. Rose #22678 (   IFM)
  
• Aggregate Recruiting Intensity
  Alessandro Gavazza, Simon Mongey, and Giovanni L. Violante #22677 (   EFG)
  
• Globalization, Inequality and Welfare
  Pol Antràs, Alonso de Gortari, and Oleg Itskhoki #22676 (   EFG   ITI   PE)
  
• Quality Predictability and the Welfare Benefits from New Products: Evidence from the Digitization of Recorded Music
  Luis Aguiar and Joel Waldfogel #22675 (   IO   LE   PR)
  
• Taking Stock of the Evidence on Micro-Financial Interventions
  Francisco J. Buera, Joseph P. Kaboski, and Yongseok Shin #22674 (   DEV   EFG)
  
• Incentives and Ethics in the Economics of Body Parts
  Nicola Lacetera #22673 (   HE      PE)
  
• Mismatch Unemployment and the Geography of Job Search
  Ioana Marinescu and Roland Rathelot #22672 (   EFG   LS)
  
• Applying Behavioral Economics to Public Policy in Canada
  Robert French and Philip Oreopoulos #22671 (   CH   LS   PE)
  
• Can Cash Transfers Help Households Escape an Inter-Generational Poverty Trap?
  M. Caridad Araujo, Mariano Bosch, and Norbert Schady #22670 (   DEV)
  
• Is American Pet Health Care (Also) Uniquely Inefficient?
  Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, and Atul Gupta #22669 (   AG   HC   PE)
  
• Public School Quality Valuation Over the Business Cycle
  Stuart Gabriel, Owen Hearey, Matthew E. Kahn, and Ryan K. Vaughn #22668 (   CH   ED)
  
• The Rise and Nature of Alternative Work Arrangements in the United States, 1995-2015
  Lawrence F. Katz and Alan B. Krueger #22667 (   LS)
  
• A Doctor Will See You Now: Physician-Patient Relationships and Clinical Decisions
  Erin Johnson, M. Marit Rehavi, David C. Chan, Jr, and Daniela Carusi #22666 (   HC)
  
• The Consequences of Long Term Unemployment: Evidence from Matched Employer-Employee Data
  Katharine G. Abraham, John C. Haltiwanger, Kristin Sandusky, and James Spletzer #22665 (   EFG   LS)
  
• A Simpler Theory of Optimal Capital Taxation
  Emmanuel Saez and Stefanie Stantcheva #22664 (   PE)
  
• Accounting for Business Cycles
  Pedro Brinca, V. V. Chari, Patrick J. Kehoe, and Ellen McGrattan #22663 (   EFG   IFM   LS   ME)
  
• Surplus-Debt Regressions
  Eric M. Leeper and Bing Li #22662 (   EFG)
  
• Pay Now or Pay Later?: The Economics within the Private Equity Partnership
  Victoria Ivashina and Josh Lerner #22660 (   CF)
  
• To the New World and Back Again: Return Migrants in the Age of Mass Migration
  Ran Abramitzky, Leah Platt Boustan, and Katherine Eriksson #22659 (   DAE   LS)
  

---

Weekly papers released by September 19, 2016

• Zoning and the Economic Geography of Cities
  Allison Shertzer, Tate Twinam, and Randall P. Walsh #22658 (   EEE   PE)
  
• Coping with Change: International Differences in the Returns to Skills
  Eric A. Hanushek, Guido Schwerdt, Simon Wiederhold, and Ludger Woessmann #22657 (   CH   DEV   ED   EFG   LS   PE)
  
• The Labor Market Consequences of Refugee Supply Shocks
  George J. Borjas and Joan Monras #22656 (   LS)
  
• Quantitative Spatial Economics
  Stephen J. Redding and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg #22655 (   ITI)
  
• Underemployment in the Early Careers of College Graduates Following the Great Recession
  Jaison R. Abel and Richard Deitz #22654 (      LS)
  
• Long-Range Growth: Economic Development in the Global Network of Air Links
  Filipe Campante and David Yanagizawa-Drott #22653 (   DEV   EFG   ITI   POL)
  
• Two Centuries of Finance and Growth in the United States, 1790-1980
  Howard Bodenhorn #22652 (   DAE)
  
• National Income Accounting When Firms Insure Managers: Understanding Firm Size and Compensation Inequality.
  Barney Hartman-Glaser, Hanno Lustig, and Mindy X. Zhang #22651 (   AP   CF   EFG)
  
• China Pro-Growth Monetary Policy and Its Asymmetric Transmission
  Kaiji Chen, Patrick Higgins, Daniel F. Waggoner, and Tao Zha #22650 (   EFG   IFM   ME   POL)
  
• Product Switching and the Business Cycle
  Andrew B. Bernard and Toshihiro Okubo #22649 (   EFG   IO   ITI   PR)
  
• Incarceration, Recidivism and Employment
  Manudeep Bhuller, Gordon B. Dahl, Katrine V. Løken, and Magne Mogstad #22648 (   LE   LS   PE)
  
• Better, Faster, Stronger: Global Innovation and Trade Liberalization
  Federica Coelli, Andreas Moxnes, and Karen Helene Ulltveit-Moe #22647 (   ITI)
  
• Nonlinear Tax Incidence and Optimal Taxation in General Equilibrium
  Dominik Sachs, Aleh Tsyvinski, and Nicolas Werquin #22646 (   EFG   PE)
  
• International Banking and Cross-border Effects of Regulation: Lessons from the United States
  Jose Berrospide, Ricardo Correa, Linda Goldberg, and Friederike Niepmann #22645 (   IFM   ME)
  
• Preferences for Equality in Environmental Outcomes
  Maureen Cropper, Alan Krupnick, and William Raich #22644 (   EEE)
  
• Credible Ecological Inference for Personalized Medicine: Formalizing Clinical Judgment
  Charles F. Manski #22643 (   HC   TWP)
  
• Deriving Risk Adjustment Payment Weights to Maximize Efficiency of Health Insurance Markets
  Timothy J. Layton, Thomas G. McGuire, and Richard C. van Kleef #22642 (   HC   HE)
  
• Title IX and the Spatial Content of Female Employment—Out of the Lab and into the Labor Market
  Michael Baker and Kirsten Cornelson #22641 (   ED   LS)
  
• The Role of Information and Cash Transfers on Early Childhood Development: Evidence from Nepal
  Michael Levere, Gayatri Acharya, and Prashant Bharadwaj #22640 (   CH   DEV)
  
• Monetary Policy for a Bubbly World
  Vladimir Asriyan, Luca Fornaro, Alberto Martin, and Jaume Ventura #22639 (   EFG   ME)
  
• How Quantitative Easing Works: Evidence on the Refinancing Channel
  Marco Di Maggio, Amir Kermani, and Christopher Palmer #22638 (   AP   CF   EFG   ME   PE)
  
• Importing Political Polarization? The Electoral Consequences of Rising Trade Exposure
  David Autor, David Dorn, Gordon Hanson, and Kaveh Majlesi #22637 (   ITI   LS   POL)
  
• Trade and the Environment: New Methods, Measurements, and Results
  Jevan Cherniwchan, Brian R. Copeland, and M. Scott Taylor #22636 (   EEE   ITI)
  
• Incentive Fees and Competition in Pension Funds: Evidence from a Regulatory Experiment
  Assaf Hamdani, Eugene Kandel, Yevgeny Mugerman, and Yishay Yafeh #22634 (   AG   AP   LE)
  
• Research and Impacts of Digital Financial Services
  Dean Karlan, Jake Kendall, Rebecca Mann, Rohini Pande, Tavneet Suri, and Jonathan Zinman #22633 (   DEV   LE)
  
• How You Pay Affects How You Do: Financial Aid Type and Student Performance in College
  Peter Cappelli and Shinjae Won #22604 (   ED   LS)
  

---

Weekly papers released by September 12, 2016

• Efficiency-Morality Trade-Offs in Repugnant Transactions: A Choice Experiment
  Julio J. Elias, Nicola Lacetera, and Mario Macis #22632 (   HE   LE   PE)
  
• Technological Leadership (de)Concentration: Causes in ICTE
  Yasin Ozcan and Shane Greenstein #22631 (   IO   PR)
  
• Student Coaching: How Far Can Technology Go?
  Philip Oreopoulos and Uros Petronijevic #22630 (   CH   ED   LS)
  
• Thrivers and Divers: Using Non-Academic Measures to Predict College Success and Failure
  Graham Beattie, Jean-William P. Laliberté, and Philip Oreopoulos #22629 (   CH   ED   LS)
  
• Heterogeneous Impact Dynamics of a Rural Business Development Program in Nicaragua
  Michael R. Carter, Emilia Tjernström, and Patricia Toledo #22628 (   DEV)
  
• Using Big Data to Estimate Consumer Surplus: The Case of Uber
  Peter Cohen, Robert Hahn, Jonathan Hall, Steven Levitt, and Robert Metcalfe #22627 (   IO   LS   PE)
  
• Heterogeneous Wealth Dynamics: On the Roles of Risk and Ability
  Paulo Santos and Christopher B. Barrett #22626 (   DEV)
  
• The Importance of Unemployment Insurance as an Automatic Stabilizer
  Marco Di Maggio and Amir Kermani #22625 (   EFG   LS   PE)
  
• Agro-Ecosystem Productivity and the Dynamic Response to Shocks
  Jean-Paul Chavas #22624 (   PR)
  
• High-Skilled Immigration and the Rise of STEM Occupations in U.S. Employment
  Gordon H. Hanson and Matthew J. Slaughter #22623 (   ITI   LS)
  
• Is The Mediterranean The New Rio Grande? US And EU Immigration Pressures In The Long Run
  Gordon Hanson and Craig McIntosh #22622 (   DEV   ITI   LS)
  
• A Framework for Eliciting, Incorporating, and Disciplining Identification Beliefs in Linear Models
  Francis DiTraglia and Camilo García-Jimeno #22621 (   DEV   HC   LS   PE   POL)
  
• Financial Risk Protection from Social Health Insurance
  Kayleigh Barnes, Arnab Mukherji, Patrick Mullen, and Neeraj Sood #22620 (   DEV   HC   HE   PE)
  
• Mobile Collateral versus Immobile Collateral
  Gary Gorton and Tyler Muir #22619 (   AP   CF   DAE   EFG   ME)
  
• Real Interest Rates, Imbalances and the Curse of Regional Safe Asset Providers at the Zero Lower Bound
  Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and Hélène Rey #22618 (   AP   EFG   IFM)
  
• The Perils of Top-down State Building: Evidence from Colombia's False Positives
  Daron Acemoglu, Leopoldo Fergusson, James A. Robinson, Dario Romero, and Juan F. Vargas #22617 (   POL)
  
• Designing Online Marketplaces: Trust and Reputation Mechanisms
  Michael Luca #22616 (   IO   LE   LS   PR)
  
• Real-Time Forecast Evaluation of DSGE Models with Stochastic Volatility
  Francis X. Diebold, Frank Schorfheide, and Minchul Shin #22615 (   AP   EFG   IFM)
  
• Debt Constraints and Employment
  Patrick Kehoe, Elena Pastorino, and Virgiliu Midrigan #22614 (   AP   EFG   IFM   LS   ME)
  
• Nominal Rigidities in Debt and Product Markets
  Carlos Garriga, Finn E. Kydland, and Roman Å ustek #22613 (   ME)
  
• Firm Age and Size and the Financial Management of Infrequent Shocks
  Benjamin L. Collier, Andrew F. Haughwout, Howard C. Kunreuther, Erwann O. Michel-Kerjan, and Michael A. Stewart #22612 (   PE)
  

---

Weekly papers released by September 5, 2016

• Emotional Judges and Unlucky Juveniles
  Ozkan Eren and Naci Mocan #22611 (   CH   HE   LE   LS)
  
• Substance Abuse Treatment Centers and Local Crime
  Samuel R. Bondurant, Jason M. Lindo, and Isaac D. Swensen #22610 (   HC   HE   PE)
  
• The Welfare Cost of Retirement Uncertainty
  Frank N. Caliendo, Maria Casanova, Aspen Gorry, and Sita Slavov #22609 (   AG)
  
• Informal Labor and the Efficiency Cost of Social Programs: Evidence from the Brazilian Unemployment Insurance Program
  François Gerard and Gustavo Gonzaga #22608 (   PE)
  
• Women Working Longer: Facts and Some Explanations
  Claudia Goldin and Lawrence F. Katz #22607 (   DAE   LS)
  
• Older Women’s Labor Market Attachment, Retirement Planning, and Household Debt
  Annamaria Lusardi and Olivia S. Mitchell #22606 (   AG   LS   PE)
  
• Can Myopic Loss Aversion Explain the Equity Premium Puzzle? Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment with Professional Traders
  Francis Larson, John A. List, and Robert D. Metcalfe #22605 (   AP)
  
• Labour Market Regulations and Capital Intensity
  Gilbert Cette, Jimmy Lopez, and Jacques Mairesse #22603 (   PR)
  
• Certified Random: A New Order for Co-Authorship
  Debraj Ray and Arthur Robson #22602 (   DEV   HC   IO   LS   ME   PE   POL   PR)
  
• Migration as a Test of the Happiness Set Point Hypothesis: Evidence from Immigration to Canada
  John F. Helliwell, Aneta Bonikowska, and Hugh Shiplett #22601 (   DEV   LS   PE   POL)
  
• Hospital Network Competition and Adverse Selection: Evidence from the Massachusetts Health Insurance Exchange
  Mark Shepard #22600 (   HC   IO   PE)
  
• Optimal Monetary Policy in a Collateralized Economy
  Gary Gorton and Ping He #22599 (   AP   CF   EFG   ME)
  
• Strategic Patient Discharge: The Case of Long-Term Care Hospitals
  Paul J. Eliason, Paul L. E. Grieco, Ryan C. McDevitt, and James W. Roberts #22598 (   HC   HE   IO)
  
• Executive Lawyers: Gatekeepers or Strategic Officers?
  Adair Morse, Wei Wang, and Serena Wu #22597 (   CF   LE)
  
• Seeding the S-Curve? The Role of Early Adopters in Diffusion
  Christian Catalini and Catherine Tucker #22596 (   PR)
  
• Understanding and Misunderstanding Randomized Controlled Trials
  Angus Deaton and Nancy Cartwright #22595 (   AG   DEV   HC   HE   LS)
  
• Financial Safety Nets
  Julien Bengui, Javier Bianchi, and Louphou Coulibaly #22594 (   CF   EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• Misreporting Trade: Tariff Evasion, Corruption, and Auditing Standards
  Derek Kellenberg and Arik Levinson #22593 (   ITI)
  
• Sovereign Debt Portfolios, Bond Risks, and the Credibility of Monetary Policy
  Wenxin Du, Carolin E. Pflueger, and Jesse Schreger #22592 (   AP   IFM)
  
• Migration Responses to Conflict: Evidence from the Border of the American Civil War
  Shari Eli, Laura Salisbury, and Allison Shertzer #22591 (   DAE   DEV   LS)
  
• The U.S. Economy in WWII as a Model for Coping with Climate Change
  Hugh Rockoff #22590 (   DAE)
  
• The Efficiency of Race-Neutral Alternatives to Race-Based Affirmative Action: Evidence from Chicago's Exam Schools
  Glenn Ellison and Parag A. Pathak #22589 (   ED   LE   LS   PE)
  
• Electoral reciprocity in programmatic redistribution: Experimental Evidence
  Sebastian Galiani, Nadya Hajj, Pablo Ibarraran, Nandita Krishnaswamy, and Patrick J. McEwan #22588 (   DEV)
  
• How Do Venture Capitalists Make Decisions?
  Paul Gompers, William Gornall, Steven N. Kaplan, and Ilya A. Strebulaev #22587 (   CF)
  
• Love, Money, and Parental Goods: Does Parental Matchmaking Matter?
  Fali Huang, Ginger Zhe Jin, and Lixin Colin Xu #22586 (   IO)
  
• Social Experiments in the Labor Market
  Jesse Rothstein and Till von Wachter #22585 (   LS   PE)
  
• Buying Reputation as a Signal of Quality: Evidence from an Online Marketplace
  Lingfang (Ivy) Li, Steven Tadelis, and Xiaolan Zhou #22584 (   IO)
  
• A Lesson from the Great Depression that the Fed Might have Learned: A Comparison of the 1932 Open Market Purchases with Quantitative Easing
  Michael Bordo and Arunima Sinha #22581 (   DAE   ME)
  

---

Weekly papers released by August 29, 2016

• Estimating the Value of Public Insurance Using Complementary Private Insurance
  Marika Cabral and Mark R. Cullen #22583 (   AG   HC   HE   LS   PE)
  
• Direct-to-Consumer Advertising and Online Search
  Matthew Chesnes and Ginger Zhe Jin #22582 (   IO)
  
• The Lifecycle of the 47%
  Don Fullerton and Nirupama S. Rao #22580 (   PE)
  
• The Derivation of Discount Rates with an Augmented Measure of Income.
  Nicholas Z. Muller #22579 (   EEE)
  
• Do Minimum Wage Increases Influence Worker Health?
  Brady P. Horn, Joanna Catherine Maclean, and Michael R. Strain #22578 (   HE   LS)
  
• Relative Tax Rates, Proximity and Cigarette Tax Noncompliance: Evidence from a National Sample of Littered Cigarette Packs
  Shu Wang, David Merriman, and Frank J. Chaloupka #22577 (   HE   PE)
  
• The Complexity of Liquidity: The Extraordinary Case of Sovereign Bonds
  Jacob Boudoukh, Jordan Brooks, Matthew Richardson, and Zhikai Xu #22576 (   AP   IFM)
  
• Identifying and Estimating Neighborhood Effects
  Bryan S. Graham #22575 (   LS   PE   TWP)
  
• Financial Aid, Debt Management, and Socioeconomic Outcomes: Post-College Effects of Merit-Based Aid
  Judith Scott-Clayton and Basit Zafar #22574 (   ED   LS)
  
• From Science to Technology: The Value of Knowledge From Different Energy Research Institutions
  David Popp #22573 (   EEE   PR)
  
• Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation: Evidence From a Markov-Switching cay
  Francesco Bianchi, Martin Lettau, and Sydney C. Ludvigson #22572 (   AP   EFG   ME)
  
• A Time to Make Laws and a Time to Fundraise? On the Relation between Salaries and Time Use for State Politicians
  Mitchell Hoffman and Elizabeth Lyons #22571 (   LE   LS   PE   POL   PR)
  
• The Political Economy of Debt and Entitlements
  Laurent Bouton, Alessandro Lizzeri, and Nicola Persico #22570 (   POL)
  
• Imputation in U.S. Manufacturing Data and Its Implications for Productivity Dispersion
  T. Kirk White, Jerome P. Reiter, and Amil Petrin #22569 (   IO   PR)
  
• Legal Access to Alcohol and Criminality
  Benjamin Hansen and Glen R. Waddell #22568 (   HE   PE)
  
• Israel and the 1990-2015 Global Developments: Riding with the Global Flows and Weathering the Storms
  Assaf Razin and Steven Rosefielde #22567 (   IFM)
  
• Predicting Experimental Results: Who Knows What?
  Stefano DellaVigna and Devin Pope #22566 (   DEV   ED   HC   LS   PE   PR)
  
• Exclusion Bias in the Estimation of Peer Effects
  Bet Caeyers and Marcel Fafchamps #22565 (   DEV   ED)
  
• The Effects of Unemployment Insurance Benefits: New Evidence and Interpretation
  Johannes F. Schmieder and Till von Wachter #22564 (   IFM   LS   PE)
  
• The Effect of Unconventional Fiscal Policy on Consumption Expenditure
  Francesco D’Acunto, Daniel Hoang, and Michael Weber #22563 (   AP   CF   IFM   ME   PE)
  
• Healthy-Time Measures of Health Outcomes and Healthcare Quality
  Marguerite Burns and John Mullahy #22562 (   HC   HE)
  
• The Effects of the Early Retirement Age on Retirement Decisions
  Dayanand S. Manoli and Andrea Weber #22561 (   AG   PE)
  
• Africa’s Prospects for Enjoying a Demographic Dividend
  David E. Bloom, Michael Kuhn, and Klaus Prettner #22560 (   DEV)
  
• Match or Mismatch? Automatic Admissions and College Preferences of Low- and High-Income Students
  Jane Arnold Lincove and Kalena E. Cortes #22559 (   CH   ED   LS)
  
• Do Low Levels of Blood Lead Reduce Children's Future Test Scores?
  Anna Aizer, Janet Currie, Peter Simon, and Patrick Vivier #22558 (   CH   ED   EEE   HE   LS   PE)
  
• The Economic Consequences of the 1953 London Debt Agreement
  Gregori Galofré-Vilà, Martin McKee, Christopher M. Meissner, and David Stuckler #22557 (   DAE   IFM   ME)
  
• Social Capital, Trust and Well-being in the Evaluation of Wealth
  Kirk Hamilton, John F. Helliwell, and Michael Woolcock #22556 (   AP   DEV   PE)
  
• The Outlook for U.S. Labor-Quality Growth
  Canyon Bosler, Mary C. Daly, John G. Fernald, and Bart Hobijn #22555 (   EFG   LS   PR)
  
• Smoke Gets in Your Eyes: Medical Marijuana Laws and Tobacco Use
  Anna Choi, Dhaval Dave, and Joseph J. Sabia #22554 (   HC   HE   LE)
  
• Who Should Own and Control Urban Water Systems? Historical Evidence from England and Wales
  Brian Beach, Werner Troesken, and Nicola Tynan #22553 (   DAE   HE   PE)
  
• What Goes on Under the Hood? How Engineers Innovate in the Automotive Supply Chain
  Susan Helper and Jennifer Kuan #22552 (   PR)
  

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Weekly papers released by August 22, 2016

• How Rigged Are Stock Markets?: Evidence From Microsecond Timestamps
  Robert P. Bartlett, III and Justin McCrary #22551 (   AP   CF      LE)
  
• Technology and Production Fragmentation: Domestic versus Foreign Sourcing
  Teresa C. Fort #22550 (   ITI)
  
• Born with a Silver Spoon? Danish Evidence on Wealth Inequality in Childhood
  Simon Halphen Boserup, Wojciech Kopczuk, and Claus Thustrup Kreiner #22549 (   CH   LS   PE)
  
• Does Organizational Form Drive Competition? Evidence from Coffee Retailing
  Brian Adams, Joshua Gans, Richard Hayes, and Ryan Lampe #22548 (   IO   PR)
  
• Measuring Institutional Investors’ Skill from Their Investments in Private Equity
  Daniel R. Cavagnaro, Berk A. Sensoy, Yingdi Wang, and Michael S. Weisbach #22547 (   AP   CF)
  
• Heterogeneous Frictional Costs Across Industries in Cross-border Mergers and Acquisitions
  Bruce A. Blonigen and Donghyun Lee #22546 (   ITI)
  
• Attention Variation and Welfare: Theory and Evidence from a Tax Salience Experiment
  Dmitry Taubinsky and Alex Rees-Jones #22545 (   PE)
  
• Geographic Diversification and Banks’ Funding Costs
  Ross Levine, Chen Lin, and Wensi Xie #22544 (   CF)
  
• Human Capital Investments and Expectations about Career and Family
  Matthew Wiswall and Basit Zafar #22543 (   ED   LS)
  
• Are Publicly Insured Children Less Likely to be Admitted to Hospital than the Privately Insured (and Does it Matter)?
  Diane Alexander and Janet Currie #22542 (   CH   HC   HE)
  
• Long-Term Orientation and Educational Performance
  David Figlio, Paola Giuliano, Umut Özek, and Paola Sapienza #22541 (   CH   ED   LS   POL)
  
• Employment Effects of the ACA Medicaid Expansions
  Pauline Leung and Alexandre Mas #22540 (   LS   PE)
  
• Estimating Currency Misalignment Using the Penn Effect: It’s Not as Simple As It Looks
  Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie Chinn, and Xin Nong #22539 (   IFM)
  
• The More We Die, The More We Sell? A Simple Test of the Home-Market Effect
  Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson, Margaret Kyle, and Heidi Williams #22538 (   IFM   ITI)
  
• The Impact of Removing Tax Preferences for U.S. Oil and Natural Gas Production: Measuring Tax Subsidies by an Equivalent Price Impact Approach
  Gilbert E. Metcalf #22537 (   EEE   PE)
  
• Estimating Path Dependence in Energy Transitions
  Kyle C. Meng #22536 (   DAE   EEE   EFG   PE)
  
• From Chronic Inflation to Chronic Deflation: Focusing on Expectations and Liquidity Disarray Since WWII
  Guillermo A. Calvo #22535 (   IFM   ME)
  
• The Persistent Power of Behavioral Change: Long-Run Impacts of Temporary Savings Subsidies for the Poor
  Simone Schaner #22534 (   DEV)
  
• The I Theory of Money
  Markus K. Brunnermeier and Yuliy Sannikov #22533 (   AP   CF   EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• Trophy Hunting vs. Manufacturing Energy: The Price-Responsiveness of Shale Gas
  Richard G. Newell, Brian C. Prest, and Ashley Vissing #22532 (   EEE   IO)
  
• Early Effects of the 2010 Affordable Care Act Medicaid Expansions on Federal Disability Program Participation
  Pinka Chatterji and Yue Li #22531 (   HE)
  
• The Pros and Cons of Sick Pay Schemes: Testing for Contagious Presenteeism and Noncontagious Absenteeism Behavior
  Stefan Pichler and Nicolas R. Ziebarth #22530 (   AG   HC   HE      LS   PE)
  
• Price of Long-Run Temperature Shifts in Capital Markets
  Ravi Bansal, Dana Kiku, and Marcelo Ochoa #22529 (   AP   EEE   EFG)
  
• Unintended Consequences of Rewards for Student Attendance: Results from a Field Experiment in Indian Classrooms
  Sujata Visaria, Rajeev Dehejia, Melody M. Chao, and Anirban Mukhopadhyay #22528 (   CH   DEV   ED)
  
• Risk Preferences and The Macro Announcement Premium
  Hengjie Ai and Ravi Bansal #22527 (   AP   EFG   ME)
  
• How Do Voters Matter? Evidence from US Congressional Redistricting
  Daniel B. Jones and Randall Walsh #22526 (   LE   PE   POL)
  
• What Would it Take to Reduce US Greenhouse Gas Emissions 80% by 2050?
  Geoffrey Heal #22525 (   EEE)
  
• Collective Intertemporal Choice: the Possibility of Time Consistency
  Antony Millner and Geoffrey Heal #22524 (   EEE   PE   POL)
  
• Immunization and Moral Hazard: The HPV Vaccine and Uptake of Cancer Screening
  Ali Moghtaderi and Avi Dor #22523 (   HE)
  
• Can Natural Gas Save Lives? Evidence from the Deployment of a Fuel Delivery System in a Developing Country
  Resul Cesur, Erdal Tekin, and Aydogan Ulker #22522 (   DEV   EEE   HE)
  
• The Rise in Life Expectancy, Health Trends among the Elderly, and the Demand for Care - A Selected Literature Review
  Bjorn Lindgren #22521 (   HE)
  
• Cash Flow Duration and the Term Structure of Equity Returns
  Michael Weber #22520 (   AP)
  
• Marketplace Plan Payment Options for Dealing with High-Cost Enrollees
  Timothy J. Layton and Thomas G. McGuire #22519 (   HC   HE)
  
• The Marginal Propensity to Consume Over the Business Cycle
  Tal Gross, Matthew J. Notowidigdo, and Jialan Wang #22518 (   LE)
  
• Family Descent as a Signal of Managerial Quality: Evidence from Mutual Funds
  Oleg Chuprinin and Denis Sosyura #22517 (   LS)
  
• Assessing Point Forecast Accuracy by Stochastic Error Distance
  Francis X. Diebold and Minchul Shin #22516 (   AP   EFG)
  
• Do Hospital-Owned Skilled Nursing Facilities Provide Better Post-Acute Care Quality?
  Momotazur Rahman, Edward C. Norton, and David C. Grabowski #22515 (   AG   HC   HE)
  
• The Opportunity Costs of Entrepreneurs in International Trade
  Timothy J. Kehoe, Pau S. Pujolas, and Kim J. Ruhl #22514 (   EFG   ITI)
  
• Life-Cycle Consumption Patterns at Older Ages in the US and the UK: Can Medical Expenditures Explain the Difference?
  James Banks, Richard Blundell, Peter Levell, and James P. Smith #22513 (   AG)
  
• Augmenting the Human Capital Earnings Equation with Measures of Where People Work
  Erling Barth, James Davis, and Richard B. Freeman #22512 (   LS)
  
• The Effects of School Desegregation on Mixed-Race Births
  Nora Gordon and Sarah Reber #22480 (   ED)
  

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Weekly papers released by August 15, 2016

• The Effects of Pre-Trial Detention on Conviction, Future Crime, and Employment: Evidence from Randomly Assigned Judges
  Will Dobbie, Jacob Goldin, and Crystal Yang #22511 (   LE   LS   PE)
  
• Infrequent but Long-Lived Zero-Bound Episodes and the Optimal Rate of Inflation
  Marc Dordal-i-Carreras, Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Johannes Wieland #22510 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Optimal Domestic (and External) Sovereign Default
  Pablo D'Erasmo and Enrique G. Mendoza #22509 (   IFM)
  
• Opening the Black Box of the Matching Function: the Power of Words
  Ioana Marinescu and Ronald Wolthoff #22508 (   LS)
  
• The Consequences of Spatially Differentiated Water Pollution Regulation in China
  Zhao Chen, Matthew E. Kahn, Yu Liu, and Zhi Wang #22507 (   EEE   PE)
  
• On What States Do Prices Depend? Answers From Ecuador
  Craig Benedict, Mario J. Crucini, and Anthony Landry #22506 (   IFM   ME)
  
• The Elusive Costs of Inflation: Price Dispersion during the U.S. Great Inflation
  Emi Nakamura, Jón Steinsson, Patrick Sun, and Daniel Villar #22505 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Taking the Measure of a Fatal Drug Epidemic
  Christopher J. Ruhm #22504 (   HC   HE   PE)
  
• Designing Nonlinear Price Schedules for Urban Water Utilities to Balance Revenue and Conservation Goals
  Frank A. Wolak #22503 (   EEE   IO)
  
• Charter Schools and Labor Market Outcomes
  Will S. Dobbie and Roland G. Fryer, Jr #22502 (   CH   ED   LS   PE)
  
• The Economic Impact of Universities: Evidence from Across the Globe
  Anna Valero and John Van Reenen #22501 (   ED   LS)
  
• Venture Capital Data: Opportunities and Challenges
  Steven N. Kaplan and Josh Lerner #22500 (   CF   PR)
  

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Weekly papers released by August 8, 2016

• Analyzing the Impact of the World’s Largest Public Works Project on Crime
  Satadru Das and Naci Mocan #22499 (   HE   LE   LS   PE)
  
• Union Army Veterans, All Grown Up
  Dora L. Costa, Heather DeSomer, Eric Hanss, Christopher Roudiez, Sven E. Wilson, and Noelle Yetter #22497 (   AG   DAE   LS)
  
• Wage Flexibility and Employment Fluctuations: Evidence from the Housing Sector
  Jörn-Steffen Pischke #22496 (   EFG   LS)
  
• Does Rosie Like Riveting? Male and Female Occupational Choices
  Grace Lordan and Jörn-Steffen Pischke #22495 (   LS)
  
• Level versus Variability Trade-offs in Wind and Solar Generation Investments: The Case of California
  Frank A. Wolak #22494 (   EEE   IO)
  
• Do Private Equity Funds Manipulate Reported Returns?
  Gregory W. Brown, Oleg R. Gredil, and Steven N. Kaplan #22493 (   CF)
  
• Why Does Idiosyncratic Risk Increase with Market Risk?
  Söhnke M. Bartram, Gregory Brown, and René M. Stulz #22492 (   AP)
  
• The Morale Effects of Pay Inequality
  Emily Breza, Supreet Kaur, and Yogita Shamdasani #22491 (   DEV   LS)
  
• Paralyzed by Fear: Rigid and Discrete Pricing under Demand Uncertainty
  Cosmin L. Ilut, Rosen Valchev, and Nicolas Vincent #22490 (   EFG   IO   ME)
  
• Understanding the Gains from Wage Flexibility: The Exchange Rate Connection
  Jordi Galí and Tommaso Monacelli #22489 (   EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• Gender Differences in Cooperative Environments? Evidence from the U.S. Congress
  Stefano Gagliarducci and M. Daniele Paserman #22488 (   LS   POL)
  
• Heads or Tails: The Impact of a Coin Toss on Major Life Decisions and Subsequent Happiness
  Steven D. Levitt #22487 (   LE   LS   PE)
  
• Peer Information and Risk-taking under Competitive and Non-competitive Pay Schemes
  Philip Brookins, Jennifer Brown, and Dmitry Ryvkin #22486 (   IO)
  
• Macro-Finance
  John H. Cochrane #22485 (   AP   EFG)
  
• Grounded by Gravity: A Well-Behaved Trade Model with Industry-Level Economies of Scale
  Konstantin Kucheryavyy, Gary Lyn, and Andrés Rodríguez-Clare #22484 (   ITI)
  
• Start-up Nation? Slave Wealth and Entrepreneurship in Civil War Maryland
  Felipe González, Guillermo Marshall, and Suresh Naidu #22483 (   DAE)
  
• The Deregularization of Land Titles
  Sebastian Galiani and Ernesto Schargrodsky #22482 (   DEV)
  
• Is Optimal Capital-Control Policy Countercyclical In Open-Economy Models With Collateral Constraints?
  Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé and Martín Uribe #22481 (   EFG   IFM)
  
• A Unified Approach to Estimating Demand and Welfare
  Stephen J. Redding and David E. Weinstein #22479 (   ITI)
  
• The Evolution of Physician Practice Styles: Evidence from Cardiologist Migration
  David Molitor #22478 (   HC   HE)
  
• Analyst Promotions within Credit Rating Agencies: Accuracy or Bias?
  Darren J. Kisgen, Matthew Osborn, and Jonathan Reuter #22477 (   CF)
  
• The FinTech Opportunity
  Thomas Philippon #22476 (   AP   CF   EFG)
  

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Weekly papers released by August 1, 2016

• International Evidence on Long Run Money Demand
  Luca Benati, Robert E. Lucas, Jr., Juan Pablo Nicolini, and Warren Weber #22475 (   EFG   ME)
  
• The Gap within the Gap: Using Longitudinal Data to Understand Income Differences in Student Achievement
  Katherine Michelmore and Susan Dynarski #22474 (   CH   ED)
  
• Depreciation of Business R&D Capital
  Wendy C.Y. Li and Bronwyn H. Hall #22473 (   EFG   IO   PR)
  
• Dynamic Effects of Teacher Turnover on the Quality of Instruction
  Eric A. Hanushek, Steven G. Rivkin, and Jeffrey C. Schiman #22472 (   CH   ED   LS   PE)
  
• Tobacco Regulation and Cost-Benefit Analysis: How Should We Value Foregone Consumer Surplus?
  Helen Levy, Edward C. Norton, and Jeffrey A. Smith #22471 (   HC   HE)
  
• Cognitive Performance and Labor Market Outcomes
  Dajun Lin, Randall Lutter, and Christopher J. Ruhm #22470 (   LS   PE)
  
• Does “Ban the Box” Help or Hurt Low-Skilled Workers? Statistical Discrimination and Employment Outcomes When Criminal Histories are Hidden
  Jennifer L. Doleac and Benjamin Hansen #22469 (   LS)
  
• External and Internal Validity of a Geographic Quasi-Experiment Embedded in Cluster-Randomized Experiment
  Sebastian Galiani, Patrick J. McEwan, and Brian Quistorff #22468 (   DEV)
  
• Buffering Volatility: A Study on the Limits of Germany’s Energy Revolution
  Hans-Werner Sinn #22467 (   PE)
  
• The Holders and Issuers of International Portfolio Securities
  Vahagn Galstyan, Philip R. Lane, Caroline Mehigan, and Rogelio Mercado #22466 (   IFM)
  
• The Scandinavian Fantasy: The Sources of Intergenerational Mobility in Denmark and the U.S.
  Rasmus Landersø and James J. Heckman #22465 (   CH   ED   HC   HE   POL)
  
• Does Disease Cause Vaccination? Disease Outbreaks and Vaccination Response
  Emily Oster #22464 (   CH   HC   HE)
  
• Banking the Unbanked? Evidence From Three Countries
  Pascaline Dupas, Dean Karlan, Jonathan Robinson, and Diego Ubfal #22463 (   DEV   LE   LS)
  
• Popular Acceptance of Inequality due to Brute Luck and Support for Classical Benefit-Based Taxation
  Matthew Weinzierl #22462 (   PE)
  
• Taking Orders and Taking Notes: Dealer Information Sharing in Treasury Markets
  Nina Boyarchenko, David O. Lucca, and Laura Veldkamp #22461 (   AP   EFG)
  
• Trends and Cycles in Small Open Economies: Making The Case For A General Equilibrium Approach
  Kan Chen and Mario Crucini #22460 (   EFG   IFM)
  
• Economic Conditions and Children's Mental Health
  Ezra Golberstein, Gilbert Gonzales, and Ellen Meara #22459 (   CH   HC   HE)
  
• On the Distribution of the Welfare Losses of Large Recessions
  Dirk Krueger, Kurt Mitman, and Fabrizio Perri #22458 (   EFG   LS   ME   PE)
  
• Efficiency of Flexible Budgetary Institutions
  T. Renee Bowen, Ying Chen, Hülya K. Eraslan, and Jan Zápal #22457 (   PE   POL)
  
• The Effect of Occupational Licensing on Consumer Welfare: Early Midwifery Laws and Maternal Mortality
  D. Mark Anderson, Ryan Brown, Kerwin Kofi Charles, and Daniel I. Rees #22456 (   CH   HE   LS)
  
• Measuring Time Preferences
  Jonathan D. Cohen, Keith Marzilli Ericson, David Laibson, and John Myles White #22455 (   AG   PE)
  

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Weekly papers released by July 25, 2016

• Bridging the Gap: Do Fast Reacting Fossil Technologies Facilitate Renewable Energy Diffusion?
  Elena Verdolini, Francesco Vona, and David Popp #22454 (   EEE)
  
• Education, Participation, and the Revival of U.S. Economic Growth
  Dale W. Jorgenson, Mun S. Ho, and Jon D. Samuels #22453 (   EFG)
  
• The Effect of Population Aging on Economic Growth, the Labor Force and Productivity
  Nicole Maestas, Kathleen J. Mullen, and David Powell #22452 (   AG   EFG   LS   PE   PR)
  
• Heterogeneity and Unemployment Dynamics
  Hie Joo Ahn and James D. Hamilton #22451 (   EFG   LS   ME)
  
• New Evidence on Trust and Well-being
  John F. Helliwell, Haifang Huang, and Shun Wang #22450 (   HC   PE   POL)
  
• External Validity in a Stochastic World
  Mark Rosenzweig and Christopher Udry #22449 (   DEV)
  
• Bringing Real Market Participants' Real Preferences into the Lab: An Experiment that Changed the Course Allocation Mechanism at Wharton
  Eric Budish and Judd B. Kessler #22448 (   IO)
  
• The General Equilibrium Impacts of Unemployment Insurance: Evidence from a Large Online Job Board
  Ioana Marinescu #22447 (   LS   PE)
  
• Experimenting with Entrepreneurship: The Effect of Job-Protected Leave
  Joshua D. Gottlieb, Richard R. Townsend, and Ting Xu #22446 (   CF   LS   PE   PR)
  
• How Japan and the US Can Reduce the Stress of Aging
  Claudia Goldin #22445 (   AG   DAE   LS)
  
• Fire-Sale Externalities
  Eduardo Dávila and Anton Korinek #22444 (   AP   CF   EFG   IFM)
  
• Do Government Audits Reduce Corruption? Estimating the Impacts of Exposing Corrupt Politicians
  Eric Avis, Claudio Ferraz, and Frederico Finan #22443 (   DEV   PE   POL)
  
• Estimating the Technology of Children's Skill Formation
  Francesco Agostinelli and Matthew Wiswall #22442 (   CH)
  
• Identification of Dynamic Latent Factor Models: The Implications of Re-Normalization in a Model of Child Development
  Francesco Agostinelli and Matthew Wiswall #22441 (   CH)
  
• Demand Heterogeneity in Insurance Markets: Implications for Equity and Efficiency
  Michael Geruso #22440 (   AG   HC   HE   PE)
  
• Estimation of a Roy/Search/Compensating Differential Model of the Labor Market
  Christopher Taber and Rune Vejlin #22439 (   LS)
  
• Time Discounting and Economic Decision-making Among the Elderly
  David Huffman, Raimond Maurer, and Olivia S. Mitchell #22438 (   AG)
  
• Production Function Estimation with Measurement Error in Inputs
  Allan Collard-Wexler and Jan De Loecker #22437 (   IO   ITI   PR)
  
• The Labor Market Effects of Credit Market Information
  Marieke Bos, Emily Breza, and Andres Liberman #22436 (   CF   LS)
  
• CEO Personality and Firm Policies
  Ian D. Gow, Steven N. Kaplan, David F. Larcker, and Anastasia A. Zakolyukina #22435 (   CF   LS)
  
• The Measurement of Student Ability in Modern Assessment Systems
  Brian Jacob and Jesse Rothstein #22434 (   ED   LS)
  
• Product Mix and Firm Productivity Responses to Trade Competition
  Thierry Mayer, Marc J. Melitz, and Gianmarco I.P. Ottaviano #22433 (   ITI   PR)
  
• Weathering the Great Recession: Variation in Employment Responses by Establishments and Countries
  Erling Barth, James Davis, Richard B. Freeman, and Sari Pekkala Kerr #22432 (   EFG   LS)
  
• Monetary Policy with 100 Percent Reserve Banking: An Exploration
  Edward C. Prescott and Ryan Wessel #22431 (   ME)
  
• Disentangling the Contemporaneous and Dynamic Effects of Human and Health Capital on Wages over the Life Cycle
  Donna B. Gilleskie, Euna Han, and Edward C. Norton #22430 (   HC   HE)
  
• The Inner Workings of the Patient Centered Medical Home Model
  Guy David, Philip A. Saynisch, and Aaron Smith-McLallen #22429 (   HC   HE)
  
• Taking the Leap: The Determinants of Entrepreneurs Hiring their First Employee
  Robert W. Fairlie and Javier Miranda #22428 (   PR)
  
• First Cabin Fares from New York to the British Isles, 1826-1914
  Brandon Dupont, Drew Keeling, and Thomas Weiss #22426 (   DAE)
  

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Weekly papers released by July 18, 2016

• The Empirical Economics of Online Attention
  Andre Boik, Shane Greenstein, and Jeffrey Prince #22427 (   IO   PR)
  
• Estimating Local Fiscal Multipliers
  Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato and Philippe Wingender #22425 (   EFG   PE)
  
• Distributional Effects of Means Testing Social Security: Income Versus Wealth
  Alan Gustman, Thomas Steinmeier, and Nahid Tabatabai #22424 (   AG   LS   PE)
  
• Measuring Polarization in High-Dimensional Data: Method and Application to Congressional Speech
  Matthew Gentzkow, Jesse M. Shapiro, and Matt Taddy #22423 (   POL)
  
• RBC Methodology and the Development of Aggregate Economic Theory
  Edward C. Prescott #22422 (   EFG)
  
• Finders, Keepers?
  Niko Jaakkola, Daniel Spiro, and Arthur A. van Benthem #22421 (   EEE   POL)
  
• Can Paying Firms Quicker Affect Aggregate Employment?
  Jean-Noel Barrot and Ramana Nanda #22420 (   CF   LS   PE   PR)
  
• Disability Benefit Generosity and Labor Force Withdrawal
  Kathleen Mullen and Stefan Staubli #22419 (   AG   HE   LS   PE)
  
• The New Keynesian Transmission Mechanism: A Heterogenous-Agent Perspective
  Tobias Broer, Niels-Jakob H. Hansen, Per Krusell, and Erik Öberg #22418 (   ME)
  
• Bride Price and Female Education
  Nava Ashraf, Natalie Bau, Nathan Nunn, and Alessandra Voena #22417 (   ED   PE)
  
• Long-Run Risk is the Worst-Case Scenario
  Rhys Bidder and Ian Dew-Becker #22416 (   AP   EFG)
  
• QE in the future: the central bank’s balance sheet in a fiscal crisis
  Ricardo Reis #22415 (   ME)
  
• Buyout Activity: The Impact of Aggregate Discount Rates
  Valentin Haddad, Erik Loualiche, and Matthew Plosser #22414 (   AP   CF)
  
• A Forward Looking Ricardian Approach: Do Land Markets Capitalize Climate Change Forecasts?
  Christopher Severen, Christopher Costello, and Olivier Deschenes #22413 (   EEE)
  
• The Impact of Pre-marital Sex Ratios on Household Saving in Two Asian Countries: The Competitive Saving Motive Revisited
  Charles Yuji Horioka and Akiko Terada-Hagiwara #22412 (   DEV   EFG)
  
• Potential Unemployment Insurance Duration and Labor Supply: The Individual and Market-Level Response to a Benefit Cut
  Andrew C. Johnston and Alexandre Mas #22411 (   EFG   LS   PE)
  
• The Fed and Lehman Brothers: Introduction and Summary
  Laurence Ball #22410 (   ME)
  
• Curse of Anonymity or Tyranny of Distance? The Impacts of Job-Search Support in Urban Ethiopia
  Girum Abebe, Stefano Caria, Marcel Fafchamps, Paolo Falco, Simon Franklin, and Simon Quinn #22409 (   DEV   LS)
  
• Optimal Tax Administration
  Michael Keen and Joel Slemrod #22408 (   PE)
  
• CEO Pay and the rise of Relative Performance Contracts: A Question of Governance?
  Brian Bell and John Van Reenen #22407 (   CF   LS)
  
• The Political Economy of Public Debt: A Laboratory Study
  Marco Battaglini, Salvatore Nunnari, and Thomas R. Palfrey #22406 (   POL)
  
• Do tax Incentives for Research Increase Firm Innovation? An RD Design for R&D
  Antoine Dechezleprêtre, Elias Einiö, Ralf Martin, Kieu-Trang Nguyen, and John Van Reenen #22405 (   PR)
  
• Persistent Social Networks: Civil War Veterans who Fought Together Co-Locate in Later Life
  Dora L. Costa, Matthew E. Kahn, Christopher Roudiez, and Sven Wilson #22397 (   AG   DAE   HE)
  
• No Pain, No Gain: The Effects of Exports on Effort, Injury, and Illness
  David Hummels, Jakob Munch, and Chong Xiang #22365 (   HE   ITI   LS)
  

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Weekly papers released by July 11, 2016

• The Liquidity Cost of Private Equity Investments: Evidence from Secondary Market Transactions
  Taylor D. Nadauld, Berk A. Sensoy, Keith Vorkink, and Michael S. Weisbach #22404 (   AP   CF)
  
• Do Disaster Experience and Knowledge Affect Insurance Take-up Decisions?
  Jing Cai and Changcheng Song #22403 (   DEV)
  
• Forecasting China's Economic Growth and Inflation
  Patrick Higgins, Tao Zha, and Karen Zhong #22402 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Hit or Miss? Test Taking Behavior in Multiple Choice Exams
  Åž. Pelin Akyol, James Key, and Kala Krishna #22401 (   ED)
  
• What Do Performance Appraisals Do?
  Peter Cappelli and Martin Conyon #22400 (   LS)
  
• An Empirical Analysis of Racial Differences in Police Use of Force
  Roland G. Fryer, Jr #22399 (   LE   LS   POL)
  
• Simplifying Teaching: A Field Experiment with Online "Off-the-Shelf" Lessons
  C. Kirabo Jackson and Alexey Makarin #22398 (   CH   ED   LS   PE   PR)
  
• Redistribution of Local Demand Shocks through Firms' Internal Networks
  Xavier Giroud and Holger M. Mueller #22396 (   CF   EFG   LS)
  
• Nation Building Through Foreign Intervention: Evidence from Discontinuities in Military Strategies
  Melissa Dell and Pablo Querubin #22395 (   DAE   DEV   POL)
  
• The Effects of Aggregate and Gender-Specific Labor Demand Shocks on Child Health
  Marianne Page, Jessamyn Schaller, and David Simon #22394 (   CH   LS)
  
• The Effect of Vietnam-Era Conscription and Genetic Potential for Educational Attainment on Schooling Outcomes
  Lauren L. Schmitz and Dalton Conley #22393 (   CH   ED   HE)
  
• The Gift of Moving: Intergenerational Consequences of a Mobility Shock
  Emi Nakamura, Jósef Sigurdsson, and Jón Steinsson #22392 (   DEV   EFG   LS)
  
• Liquidity Transformation in Asset Management: Evidence from the Cash Holdings of Mutual Funds
  Sergey Chernenko and Adi Sunderam #22391 (   AP   CF)
  
• What Can We Learn from Charter School Lotteries?
  Julia Chabrier, Sarah Cohodes, and Philip Oreopoulos #22390 (   CH   ED   LS)
  
• Dynamic Effects of Co-Ethnic Networks on Immigrants' Economic Success
  Michele Battisti, Giovanni Peri, and Agnese Romiti #22389 (   LS)
  
• Currency Wars, Coordination, and Capital Controls
  Olivier Blanchard #22388 (   EFG   IFM)
  
• A Test of Adverse Selection in the Market for Experienced Workers
  Kevin Lang and Russell Weinstein #22387 (   LS)
  
• The Causes of Peer Effects in Production: Evidence from a Series of Field Experiments
  John J. Horton and Richard J. Zeckhauser #22386 (   IO   LS   PR)
  
• Immigrant Entrepreneurship
  Sari Pekkala Kerr and William R. Kerr #22385 (   LS   PR)
  
• The Common Origin of Uncertainty Shocks
  Nicholas Kozeniauskas, Anna Orlik, and Laura Veldkamp #22384 (   AP   EFG   ME)
  
• The Effects of Mentor Quality, Exposure, and Type on Junior Officer Retention in the United States Army
  Susan Payne Carter, Whitney Dudley, David S. Lyle, and John Z. Smith #22383 (   LS)
  
• Does Mass Deworming Affect Child Nutrition? Meta-analysis, Cost-Effectiveness, and Statistical Power
  Kevin Croke, Joan Hamory Hicks, Eric Hsu, Michael Kremer, and Edward Miguel #22382 (   DEV)
  
• Cultural Assimilation during the Age of Mass Migration
  Ran Abramitzky, Leah Platt Boustan, and Katherine Eriksson #22381 (   DAE)
  

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Weekly papers released by July 4, 2016

• Monetary Versus Macroprudential Policies: Causal Impacts of Interest Rates and Credit Controls in the Era of the UK Radcliffe Report
  David Aikman, Oliver Bush, and Alan M. Taylor #22380 (   DAE   ME)
  
• Prices versus Quantities with Policy Updating
  William A. Pizer and Brian Prest #22379 (   EEE)
  
• Cash for Carbon: A Randomized Controlled Trial of Payments for Ecosystem Services to Reduce Deforestation
  Seema Jayachandran, Joost de Laat, Eric F. Lambin, and Charlotte Y. Stanton #22378 (   DEV   EEE)
  
• Bond Finance, Bank Credit, and Aggregate Fluctuations in an Open Economy
  Roberto Chang, Andrés Fernández, and Adam Gulan #22377 (   IFM)
  
• Taxing Wealth: Evidence from Switzerland
  Marius Brülhart, Jonathan Gruber, Matthias Krapf, and Kurt Schmidheiny #22376 (   AG   PE)
  
• Dynamic Demand Estimation in Auction Markets
  Matthew Backus and Gregory Lewis #22375 (   IO)
  
• The Permanent Effects of Fiscal Consolidations
  Antonio Fatás and Lawrence H. Summers #22374 (   EFG)
  

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Weekly papers released by June 27, 2016

• Effects of the Minimum Wage on Infant Health
  George Wehby, Dhaval Dave, and Robert Kaestner #22373 (   CH   HC   HE   LE   LS   PE)
  
• Producing Humanities PhDs among BAs at Doctoral Institutions
  Todd R. Jones and Ronald G. Ehrenberg #22372 (   ED)
  
• Moneyball in Medicare
  Edward C. Norton, Jun Li, Anup Das, and Lena M. Chen #22371 (   HC   HE)
  
• The Analytics of the Greek Crisis
  Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Thomas Philippon, and Dimitri Vayanos #22370 (   EFG   IFM   ITI   ME)
  
• Bunching at The Kink: Implications for Spending Responses to Health Insurance Contracts
  Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, and Paul Schrimpf #22369 (   AG   HC   HE   IO   LS   PE)
  
• Estimating Cross-Industry Cross-Country Interaction Models Using Benchmark Industry Characteristics
  Antonio Ciccone and Elias Papaioannou #22368 (   CF   EFG   IFM   ITI   POL   TWP)
  
• Willingness to Pay for Clean Air: Evidence from Air Purifier Markets in China
  Koichiro Ito and Shuang Zhang #22367 (   DEV   EEE   IO)
  
• What Do Measures of Real-time Corporate Sales Tell Us about Earnings Surprises and Post-Announcement Returns?
  Kenneth Froot, Namho Kang, Gideon Ozik, and Ronnie Sadka #22366 (   CF)
  
• Term Structure of Uncertainty in the Macroeconomy
  Jaroslav Borovička and Lars Peter Hansen #22364 (   AP   EFG)
  
• Doing More When You're Running LATE: Applying Marginal Treatment Effect Methods to Examine Treatment Effect Heterogeneity in Experiments
  Amanda E. Kowalski #22363 (   AG   HC   HE   LS   PE   TWP)
  
• Global Service Efficiency and the Role of Special and Differential Based Negotiation
  Daqing Yao and John Whalley #22362 (   ITI   PR)
  

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Weekly papers released by June 20, 2016

• Are State and Time Dependent Models Really Different?
  Fernando E. Alvarez, Francesco Lippi, and Juan Passadore #22361 (   IFM   ME)
  
• Do Credit Card Companies Screen for Behavioral Biases?
  Hong Ru and Antoinette Schoar #22360 (   CF)
  
• Optimal Automatic Stabilizers
  Alisdair McKay and Ricardo Reis #22359 (   EFG   ME   PE)
  
• New Innovations in Payments
  Marc Rysman and Scott Schuh #22358 (   PR)
  
• Consumption Network Effects
  Giacomo De Giorgi, Anders Frederiksen, and Luigi Pistaferri #22357 (   EFG   LS)
  
• The Staying Power of Staggered Wage and Price Setting Models in Macroeconomics
  John B. Taylor #22356 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Equity is Cheap for Large Financial Institutions: The International Evidence
  Priyank Gandhi, Hanno Lustig, and Alberto Plazzi #22355 (   AP   CF)
  
• Housing and Macroeconomics
  Monika Piazzesi and Martin Schneider #22354 (   AP   CF   EFG   ME)
  
• Insurance and the High Prices of Pharmaceuticals
  David Besanko, David Dranove, and Craig Garthwaite #22353 (   HC   HE   IO   PE)
  
• The Over Time Impacts Of Smoke Free Air Ordinances In Texas
  Silda Nikaj, Joshua J. Miller, and John Tauras #22352 (   HE)
  
• The Unintended Consequences of the Zero Lower Bound Policy
  Marco Di Maggio and Marcin Kacperczyk #22351 (   AP   CF   ME)
  
• Does Emigration Delay Political Change? Evidence from Italy during the Great Recession
  Massimo Anelli and Giovanni Peri #22350 (   LS   POL)
  
• Bias in Official Fiscal Forecasts: Can Private Forecasts Help?
  Jeffrey A. Frankel and Jesse Schreger #22349 (   IFM)
  
• The Impact of Late-Career Job Loss and Genotype on Body Mass Index
  Lauren L. Schmitz and Dalton Conley #22348 (   AG   HE   LS)
  
• The Long Run Impacts of Merit Aid: Evidence from California’s Cal Grant
  Eric Bettinger, Oded Gurantz, Laura Kawano, and Bruce Sacerdote #22347 (   CH   ED   LS   PE)
  
• Adoption of New Information and Communications Technologies in the Workplace Today
  Timothy Bresnahan and Pai-Ling Yin #22346 (   PR)
  
• High Frequency Evidence on the Demand for Gasoline
  Laurence Levin, Matthew S. Lewis, and Frank A. Wolak #22345 (   EEE   IO)
  
• A New Approach to an Age-Old Problem: Solving Externalities by Incenting Workers Directly
  Greer K. Gosnell, John A. List, and Robert Metcalfe #22316 (   EEE   PE)
  

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Weekly papers released by June 13, 2016

• Labor Supply Effects of Occupational Regulation: Evidence from the Nurse Licensure Compact
  Christina DePasquale and Kevin Stange #22344 (   HC   LS   PE)
  
• Macro, Money and Finance: A Continuous Time Approach
  Markus K. Brunnermeier and Yuliy Sannikov #22343 (   AP   CF   IFM   ME)
  
• The Effects of Wage Contracts on Workplace Misbehaviors: Evidence from a Call Center Natural Field Experiment
  Jeffrey A. Flory, Andreas Leibbrandt, and John A. List #22342 (   LS)
  
• Unemployment Fluctuations, Match Quality, and the Wage Cyclicality of New Hires
  Mark Gertler, Christopher Huckfeldt, and Antonella Trigari #22341 (   EFG   LS   ME)
  
• The Political Economy of Public Sector Absence: Experimental Evidence from Pakistan
  Michael Callen, Saad Gulzar, Syed Ali Hasanain, and Yasir Khan #22340 (   DEV   POL)
  
• Capabilities and Skills
  James J. Heckman and Chase O. Corbin #22339 (   CH   ED)
  
• Strategic Formulary Design in Medicare Part D Plans
  Kurt Lavetti and Kosali Simon #22338 (   AG   HC   HE)
  
• Peer Quality and the Academic Benefits to Attending Better Schools
  Mark Hoekstra, Pierre Mouganie, and Yaojing Wang #22337 (   ED)
  
• Does Partisan Conflict Deter FDI Inflows to the US?
  Marina Azzimonti #22336 (   IFM   POL)
  
• Sovereign Risk and Bank Lending: Evidence from 1999 Turkish Earthquake
  Yusuf Soner Baskaya and Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan #22335 (   IFM)
  
• Emergence of Asia: Reforms, Corporate Savings, and Global Imbalances
  Jingting Fan and Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan #22334 (   IFM)
  
• Difficulty to Reach Respondents and Nonresponse Bias: Evidence from Large Government Surveys
  Ori Heffetz and Daniel B. Reeves #22333 (   AG   LS)
  
• The Value of Trading Relationships in Turbulent Times
  Marco Di Maggio, Amir Kermani, and Zhaogang Song #22332 (   AP)
  
• Inflation at the Household Level
  Greg Kaplan and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl #22331 (   EFG   LS   ME)
  
• Debt Crises: For Whom the Bell Tolls
  Harold Cole, Daniel Neuhann, and Guillermo Ordoñez #22330 (   AP   EFG   IFM   ME   PE)
  
• Migration and Redistribution: Why the Federal Governance of an Economic Union Matters
  Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka #22329 (   IFM)
  
• The Effect of Pollution on Worker Productivity: Evidence from Call-Center Workers in China
  Tom Chang, Joshua Graff Zivin, Tal Gross, and Matthew Neidell #22328 (   EEE   HC   HE   LS)
  
• Management as a Technology?
  Nicholas Bloom, Raffaella Sadun, and John Van Reenen #22327 (   CF   DEV   EFG   IO   LS   PR)
  
• Individual Migration and Household Incomes
  Julia Garlick, Murray Leibbrandt, and James Levinsohn #22326 (   DEV)
  
• College Attrition and the Dynamics of Information Revelation
  Peter Arcidiacono, Esteban Aucejo, Arnaud Maurel, and Tyler Ransom #22325 (   ED   LS)
  
• Financing Durable Assets
  Adriano A. Rampini #22324 (   CF   DEV   EFG   LE   PR)
  
• Tuskegee and the Health of Black Men
  Marcella Alsan and Marianne Wanamaker #22323 (   CH   DAE)
  
• The Incidental Fertility Effects of School Condom Distribution Programs
  Kasey S. Buckles and Daniel M. Hungerman #22322 (   CH   HE)
  
• The Political Economy of Underfunded Municipal Pension Plans
  Jeffrey Brinkman, Daniele Coen-Pirani, and Holger Sieg #22321 (   AG   PE)
  
• Keeping College Options Open: A Field Experiment to Help All High School Seniors Through the College Application Process
  Philip Oreopoulos and Reuben Ford #22320 (   CH   ED   LS)
  
• Macroeconomics and Household Heterogeneity
  Dirk Krueger, Kurt Mitman, and Fabrizio Perri #22319 (   EFG   LS   ME   PE   POL)
  
• Claims-Shifting: The Problem of Parallel Reimbursement Regimes
  Olesya Fomenko and Jonathan Gruber #22318 (   AG   HC   HE   PE)
  
• Adult Mortality Five Years after a Natural Disaster: Evidence from the Indian Ocean Tsunami
  Jessica Y. Ho, Elizabeth Frankenberg, Cecep Sumantri, and Duncan Thomas #22317 (   AG   DEV   HC)
  
• Does Legalization Reduce Black Market Activity? Evidence from a Global Ivory Experiment and Elephant Poaching Data
  Solomon Hsiang and Nitin Sekar #22314 (   DEV   EEE   ITI   LE   PE)
  
• The Effect of Cigarette Prices on Cigarette Sales: Exploring Heterogeneity in Price Elasticities at High and Low Prices
  John A. Tauras, Michael F. Pesko, Jidong Huang, Frank J. Chaloupka, and Matthew C. Farrelly #22251 (   HE)
  

---

Weekly papers released by June 6, 2016

• International Trade and Job Polarization: Evidence at the Worker-Level
  Wolfgang Keller and Hâle Utar #22315 (   ITI   LS   PR)
  
• Empirical Evidence on Conditional Pricing Practices
  Bogdan Genchev and Julie Holland Mortimer #22313 (   IO)
  
• Can War Foster Cooperation?
  Michal Bauer, Christopher Blattman, Julie Chytilová, Joseph Henrich, Edward Miguel, and Tamar Mitts #22312 (   DEV   PE   POL)
  
• Are Supply Shocks Contractionary at the ZLB? Evidence from Utilization-Adjusted TFP Data
  Julio Garín, Robert Lester, and Eric Sims #22311 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Macroeconomics, Aging and Growth
  Ronald Lee #22310 (   AG)
  
• Marriage Market Equilibrium
  Robert A. Pollak #22309 (   CH   LS)
  
• Price Elasticities of Pharmaceuticals in a Value-Based-Formulary Setting
  Kai Yeung, Anirban Basu, Ryan N. Hansen, and Sean D. Sullivan #22308 (   HC   HE)
  
• The Spillovers, Interactions, and (Un)Intended Consequences of Monetary and Regulatory Policies
  Kristin Forbes, Dennis Reinhardt, and Tomasz Wieladek #22307 (   IFM   ME)
  
• Understanding the Improvement in Disability Free Life Expectancy In the U.S. Elderly Population
  Michael Chernew, David M. Cutler, Kaushik Ghosh, and Mary Beth Landrum #22306 (   AG   HC   HE)
  
• The Upside-down Economics of Regulated and Otherwise Rigid Prices
  Casey B. Mulligan and Kevin K. Tsui #22305 (   IO   PE)
  
• Unsticking the Flypaper Effect Using Distortionary Taxation
  Carlos A. Vegh and Guillermo Vuletin #22304 (   IFM)
  
• Environmental Taxation
  Roberton C. Williams III #22303 (   EEE   PE)
  
• Returns to Consumer Search: Evidence from eBay
  Thomas Blake, Chris Nosko, and Steven Tadelis #22302 (   IO   PR)
  
• Inter Vivos Transfers of Ownership in Family Firms
  James R. Hines Jr., Niklas Potrafke, Marina Riem, and Christoph Schinke #22301 (   PE   PR)
  
• Tourism and Economic Development: Evidence from Mexico's Coastline
  Benjamin Faber and Cecile Gaubert #22300 (   DEV   ITI)
  
• A Contagious Malady? Open Economy Dimensions of Secular Stagnation
  Gauti B. Eggertsson, Neil R. Mehrotra, Sanjay R. Singh, and Lawrence H. Summers #22299 (   EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• Reverse Speculative Attacks
  Manuel Amador, Javier Bianchi, Luigi Bocola, and Fabrizio Perri #22298 (   EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• Incomplete Information in Macroeconomics: Accommodating Frictions in Coordination
  George-Marios Angeletos and Chen Lian #22297 (   AP   EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• The Influence of Geography and Measurement in Estimating Cigarette Price Responsiveness
  Michael F. Pesko, John A. Tauras, Jidong Huang, and Frank J. Chaloupka, IV #22296 (   HE)
  

---

Weekly papers released by May 30, 2016

• A Model of the International Monetary System
  Emmanuel Farhi and Matteo Maggiori #22295 (   AP   CF   EFG   IFM   ITI   ME   PE)
  
• Carbon Emissions and Business Cycles
  Hashmat Khan, Christopher R. Knittel, Konstantinos Metaxoglou, and Maya Papineau #22294 (   EEE   EFG   PR)
  
• Household Risk Management
  Adriano A. Rampini and S. Viswanathan #22293 (   CF   EFG   HE)
  
• Experimental Evidence on the Demand for and Costs of Rural Electrification
  Kenneth Lee, Edward Miguel, and Catherine Wolfram #22292 (   DEV   EEE   IO   PE)
  
• Returns to Education: The Causal Effects of Education on Earnings, Health and Smoking
  James J. Heckman, John Eric Humphries, and Gregory Veramendi #22291 (   CH   ED   HE)
  
• Height and Cognition at Work: Labor Market Productivity in a Low Income Setting
  Daniel LaFave and Duncan Thomas #22290 (   DEV   LS)
  
• The Economics of "Radiator Springs:" Industry Dynamics, Sunk Costs, and Spatial Demand Shifts
  Jeffrey R. Campbell and Thomas Hubbard #22289 (   EFG   IO)
  
• The Economic Consequences of Hospital Admissions
  Carlos Dobkin, Amy Finkelstein, Raymond Kluender, and Matthew J. Notowidigdo #22288 (   HC   PE)
  
• Gainfully Employed? Assessing the Employment and Earnings of For-Profit College Students Using Administrative Data
  Stephanie Riegg Cellini and Nicholas Turner #22287 (   ED   LS)
  
• Curbing Shocks to Corporate Liquidity: The Role of Trade Credit
  Niklas Amberg, Tor Jacobson, Erik von Schedvin, and Robert Townsend #22286 (   CF)
  
• Quantitative Easing and Financial Stability
  Michael Woodford #22285 (   ME)
  
• Durability, Deadline, and Election Effects in Bargaining
  Alp Simsek and Muhamet Yildiz #22284 (      POL)
  
• Does Easing Monetary Policy Increase Financial Instability?
  Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi and Alessandro Rebucci #22283 (   IFM   ME)
  
• Multiple Equilibria in Open Economy Models with Collateral Constraints: Overborrowing Revisited
  Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé and Martín Uribe #22264 (   IFM)
  

---

Weekly papers released by May 23, 2016

• Adoption with Social Learning and Network Externalities
  Marcel Fafchamps, Mans Soderbom, and Monique vanden Boogaart #22282 (   DEV   PR)
  
• Energy Prices, Pass-Through, and Incidence in U.S. Manufacturing
  Sharat Ganapati, Joseph S. Shapiro, and Reed Walker #22281 (   EEE   IO   ITI   PE   PR)
  
• Interpreting Recent Quasi-Experimental Evidence on the Effects of Unemployment Benefit Extensions
  Marcus Hagedorn, Iourii Manovskii, and Kurt Mitman #22280 (   EFG   LS)
  
• Allocative and Remitted Wages: New Facts and Challenges for Keynesian Models
  Susanto Basu and Christopher L. House #22279 (   EFG   LS   ME)
  
• Do Field Experiments on Labor and Housing Markets Overstate Discrimination? Re-examination of the Evidence
  David Neumark and Judith Rich #22278 (   LS)
  
• Private Provision of Social Insurance: Drug-specific Price Elasticities and Cost Sharing in Medicare Part D
  Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, and Maria Polyakova #22277 (   AG   HC   IO   PE)
  
• Volatility and the Gains from Trade
  Treb Allen and David Atkin #22276 (   DEV   ITI)
  
• Is the Macroeconomy Locally Unstable and Why Should We Care?
  Paul Beaudry, Dana Galizia, and Franck Portier #22275 (   EFG)
  
• How Credit Constraints Impact Job Finding Rates, Sorting & Aggregate Output
  Kyle Herkenhoff, Gordon Phillips, and Ethan Cohen-Cole #22274 (   CF   LS   PR)
  
• How Does Hedge Fund Activism Reshape Corporate Innovation?
  Alon Brav, Wei Jiang, Song Ma, and Xuan Tian #22273 (   CF   PR)
  
• The Fiscal Cost of Hurricanes: Disaster Aid Versus Social Insurance
  Tatyana Deryugina #22272 (   EEE   PE)
  
• A Model of Safe Asset Determination
  Zhiguo He, Arvind Krishnamurthy, and Konstantin Milbradt #22271 (   AP   CF   EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• The Costs of Sovereign Default: Evidence from Argentina
  Benjamin Hébert and Jesse Schreger #22270 (   AP   EFG   IFM)
  
• Unemployment and Environmental Regulation in General Equilibrium
  Marc A. C. Hafstead and Roberton C. Williams III #22269 (   EEE   PE)
  
• East Asian Economies and Financial Globalization In the Post-Crisis World
  Joshua Aizenman and Hiro Ito #22268 (   IFM)
  
• Family Disadvantage and the Gender Gap in Behavioral and Educational Outcomes
  David Autor, David Figlio, Krzysztof Karbownik, Jeffrey Roth, and Melanie Wasserman #22267 (   CH   LS)
  
• Diagnostic Expectations and Credit Cycles
  Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, and Andrei Shleifer #22266 (   AP   CF   EFG)
  
• The Impact of Health Insurance on Preventive Care and Health Behaviors: Evidence from the 2014 ACA Medicaid Expansions
  Kosali Simon, Aparna Soni, and John Cawley #22265 (   HC   HE)
  
• Inequality Before Birth: The Developmental Consequences of Environmental Toxicants
  Claudia Persico, David Figlio, and Jeffrey Roth #22263 (   CH   ED   EEE   LS)
  
• Cross-Generational Differences in Educational Outcomes in the Second Great Wave of Immigration
  Umut Özek and David N. Figlio #22262 (   CH   ED   LS)
  
• Price Regulation and Environmental Externalities: Evidence from Methane Leaks
  Catherine Hausman and Lucija Muehlenbachs #22261 (   EEE)
  
• Recruiting and Supporting Low-Income, High-Achieving Students at Flagship Universities
  Rodney J. Andrews, Scott A. Imberman, and Michael F. Lovenheim #22260 (   ED   LS   PE)
  
• The Great Escape? A Quantitative Evaluation of the Fed’s Liquidity Facilities
  Marco Del Negro, Gauti Eggertsson, Andrea Ferrero, and Nobuhiro Kiyotaki #22259 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Social Networks and Housing Markets
  Michael Bailey, Ruiqing Cao, Theresa Kuchler, and Johannes Stroebel #22258 (   AP   CF   EFG   ME   PE)
  
• Reference-Dependent Job Search: Evidence from Hungary
  Stefano DellaVigna, Attila Lindner, Balázs Reizer, and Johannes F. Schmieder #22257 (   LS   PE   PR)
  
• Who Bears the Cost of Recessions? The Role of House Prices and Household Debt
  Atif Mian and Amir Sufi #22256 (   AP   CF   EFG   ME)
  
• The Political Agenda Effect and State Centralization
  Daron Acemoglu, James A. Robinson, and Ragnar Torvik #22250 (   POL)
  
• Why Do Children Take Care of Their Elderly Parents? Are the Japanese Any Different?
  Charles Yuji Horioka, Emin Gahramanov, Aziz Hayat, and Xueli Tang #22245 (   AG   HE)
  

---

Weekly papers released by May 16, 2016

• Using a Free Permit Rule to Forecast the Marginal Abatement Cost of Proposed Climate Policy
  Kyle C. Meng #22255 (   EEE   PE)
  
• Ownership and the Price of Residential Electricity: Evidence from the United States, 1935-1940
  Carl T. Kitchens and Taylor Jaworski #22254 (   DAE)
  
• Theory and Measurement: Emergence, Consolidation and Erosion of a Consensus
  Jeff E. Biddle and Daniel S. Hamermesh #22253 (   LS)
  
• The Race Between Machine and Man: Implications of Technology for Growth, Factor Shares and Employment
  Daron Acemoglu and Pascual Restrepo #22252 (   EFG)
  
• What is the Marginal Benefit of Payment-Induced Family Care?
  Norma B. Coe, Jing Guo, R. Tamara Konetzka, and Courtney Harold Van Houtven #22249 (   AG   HC   HE   PE)
  
• Gender Based Occupational Segregation and Sex Differences in Sensory, Motor and Spatial Aptitudes
  Michael Baker and Kirsten Cornelson #22248 (   LS)
  
• The Granular Nature of Large Institutional Investors
  Itzhak Ben-David, Francesco Franzoni, Rabih Moussawi, and John Sedunov #22247 (   AP   CF)
  
• Which Social Cost of Carbon? A Theoretical Perspective
  Matthew J. Kotchen #22246 (   EEE   PE)
  
• Low-quality Patents in the Eye of the Beholder: Evidence from Multiple Examiners
  Gaétan de Rassenfosse, Adam B. Jaffe, and Elizabeth Webster #22244 (   LE   PR)
  
• Bernanke's No-arbitrage Argument Revisited: Can Open Market Operations in Real Assets Eliminate the Liquidity Trap?
  Gauti B. Eggertsson and Kevin Proulx #22243 (   ME)
  
• Designing Policies to Make Cars Greener: A Review of the Literature
  Soren T. Anderson and James M. Sallee #22242 (   EEE)
  
• The Division of Labor in Teams: A Conceptual Framework and Application to Collaborations in Science
  Carolin Haeussler and Henry Sauermann #22241 (   PR)
  
• Collective Action in an Asymmetric World
  Cuicui Chen and Richard J. Zeckhauser #22240 (   EEE   PE)
  

---

Weekly papers released by May 9, 2016

• The Great Recession in the Shadow of the Great Depression: A Review Essay on “Hall of Mirrors: The Great Depression, The Great Recession and the Uses and Misuses Of History”
  Lee E. Ohanian #22239 (   EFG)
  
• Digital Currencies, Decentralized Ledgers, and the Future of Central Banking
  Max Raskin and David Yermack #22238 (   ME)
  
• Technology and Education: Computers, Software, and the Internet
  George Bulman and Robert W. Fairlie #22237 (   ED)
  
• Global Production with Export Platforms
  Felix Tintelnot #22236 (   IO   ITI)
  
• Impacts and Determinants of Health Levels in Low-Income Countries
  Pascaline Dupas and Edward Miguel #22235 (   CH   DEV   HE)
  
• Moral Costs and Rational Choice: Theory and Experimental Evidence
  James C. Cox, John A. List, Michael Price, Vjollca Sadiraj, and Anya Samek #22234 (   PE)
  
• Maternal Education, Parental Investment and Non-Cognitive Skills in Rural China
  Jessica Leight and Elaine M. Liu #22233 (   CH   DEV   ED   LS)
  
• Non-durable Consumption and Housing Net Worth in the Great Recession: Evidence from Easily Accessible Data
  Greg Kaplan, Kurt Mitman, and Giovanni L. Violante #22232 (   EFG   LS   ME)
  
• Democracy for Polarized Committees: The Tale of Blotto's Lieutenants
  Alessandra Casella, Jean Francois Laslier, and Antonin Macé #22231 (   POL)
  
• Macroeconomics of Persistent Slumps
  Robert E. Hall #22230 (   EFG   LS)
  
• Family Ruptures, Stress, and the Mental Health of the Next Generation
  Petra Persson and Maya Rossin-Slater #22229 (   CH   HE   LS)
  
• Pricing Assets in an Economy with Two Types of People
  Roger E.A. Farmer #22228 (   AP   EFG   ME)
  
• Parental Responses to Child Support Obligations: Evidence from Administrative Data
  Maya Rossin-Slater and Miriam Wüst #22227 (   CH   PE)
  
• What Do Test Scores Miss? The Importance of Teacher Effects on Non-Test Score Outcomes
  C. Kirabo Jackson #22226 (   CH   ED   LS   PE)
  
• Identifying Ambiguity Shocks in Business Cycle Models Using Survey Data
  Anmol Bhandari, Jaroslav Borovička, and Paul Ho #22225 (   AP   EFG)
  
• Optimal Capital Controls and Real Exchange Rate Policies: A Pecuniary Externality Perspective
  Gianluca Benigno, Huigang Chen, Christopher Otrok, Alessandro Rebucci, and Eric R. Young #22224 (   EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• Deposit Insurance: Theories and Facts
  Charles W. Calomiris and Matthew Jaremski #22223 (   CF   DAE)
  
• The Effect of Single-Sex Education on Academic Outcomes and Crime: Fresh Evidence from Low-Performing Schools in Trinidad and Tobago
  C. Kirabo Jackson #22222 (   CH   DEV   ED   LS   PE)
  
• Compulsory Voting, Turnout, and Government Spending: Evidence from Austria
  Mitchell Hoffman, Gianmarco León, and María Lombardi #22221 (   LE   LS   PE   POL)
  
• Open Access as a Crude Solution to a Hold-up Problem in the Two-Sided Market for Academic Journals
  Mark J. McCabe and Christopher M. Snyder #22220 (   LE   PR)
  
• Communication in Vertical Markets: Experimental Evidence
  Claudia Möllers, Hans-Theo Normann, and Christopher M. Snyder #22219 (   IO   LE)
  
• The Requirements of Jobs: Evidence from a Nationally Representative Survey
  Maury Gittleman, Kristen Monaco, and Nicole Nestoriak #22218 (   LS)
  
• Multifaceted Aid for Low-Income Students and College Outcomes: Evidence from North Carolina
  Charles T. Clotfelter, Steven W. Hemelt, and Helen F. Ladd #22217 (   ED)
  
• Newer Need Not be Better: Evaluating the Penn World Tables and the World Development Indicators Using Nighttime Lights
  Maxim Pinkovskiy and Xavier Sala-i-Martin #22216 (   DEV   EFG)
  
• Labor Supply in the Past, Present, and Future: a Balanced-Growth Perspective
  Timo Boppart and Per Krusell #22215 (   EFG)
  

---

Weekly papers released by May 2, 2016

• Federal Coal Program Reform, the Clean Power Plan, and the Interaction of Upstream and Downstream Climate Policies
  Todd Gerarden, W. Spencer Reeder, and James H. Stock #22214 (   EEE)
  
• Premium Subsidies, the Mandate, and Medicaid Expansion: Coverage Effects of the Affordable Care Act
  Molly Frean, Jonathan Gruber, and Benjamin D. Sommers #22213 (   CH   HC   HE   PE)
  
• Financial Frictions in Production Networks
  Saki Bigio and Jennifer La’O #22212 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Growth of income and welfare in the U.S, 1979-2011
  John Komlos #22211 (      DEV   EFG   POL)
  
• The History and Economics of Safe Assets
  Gary B. Gorton #22210 (   AP   CF   DAE   ME)
  
• Who Sold During the Crash of 2008-9? Evidence from Tax-Return Data on Daily Sales of Stock
  Jeffrey Hoopes, Patrick Langetieg, Stefan Nagel, Daniel Reck, Joel Slemrod, and Bryan Stuart #22209 (   AP   PE)
  
• Volatility Managed Portfolios
  Alan Moreira and Tyler Muir #22208 (   AP)
  
• The Long-term Consequences of Teacher Discretion in Grading of High-stakes Tests
  Rebecca Diamond and Petra Persson #22207 (   ED   LS   PE)
  
• Disability policies: Reform strategies in a comparative perspective
  René Böheim and Thomas Leoni #22206 (   AG   PE)
  
• The 'Pupil' Factory: Specialization and the Production of Human Capital in Schools
  Roland G. Fryer, Jr #22205 (   ED   LS)
  
• Who Wants Affordable Housing in their Backyard? An Equilibrium Analysis of Low Income Property Development
  Rebecca Diamond and Timothy McQuade #22204 (   LS   PE)
  
• Image Versus Information: Changing Societal Norms and Optimal Privacy
  S. Nageeb Ali and Roland Bénabou #22203 (   DEV   IO   LE   PE   POL)
  
• Who Gets Hired? The Importance of Finding an Open Slot
  Edward P. Lazear, Kathryn L. Shaw, and Christopher T. Stanton #22202 (   LS)
  
• The Economics of Bank Supervision
  Thomas M. Eisenbach, David O. Lucca, and Robert M. Townsend #22201 (   CF)
  
• The Effect of Weight on Labor Market Outcomes: an Application of Genetic Instrumental Variables
  Petri Böckerman, John Cawley, Jutta Viinikainen, Terho Lehtimäki, Suvi Rovio, Ilkka Seppälä, Jaakko Pehkonen, and Olli Raitakari #22200 (   HE   LS   PE)
  
• Mortality Inequality: The Good News from a County-Level Approach
  Janet Currie and Hannes Schwandt #22199 (   AG   CH)
  
• The 'Real' Explanation of the PPP Puzzle
  Nicholas Ford and Charles Yuji Horioka #22198 (   IFM   ITI)
  
• How a Minimum Carbon Price Commitment Might Help to Internalize the Global Warming Externality
  Martin L. Weitzman #22197 (   EEE)
  
• Understanding the Decline in the Safe Real Interest Rate
  Robert E. Hall #22196 (   AP   EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• Competition and Bank Liquidity Creation
  Liangliang Jiang, Ross Levine, and Chen Lin #22195 (   CF)
  
• Are Settlements in Patent Litigation Collusive? Evidence from Paragraph IV Challenges
  Eric Helland and Seth A. Seabury #22194 (   HC   HE   LE)
  
• What Motivates Effort? Evidence and Expert Forecasts
  Stefano DellaVigna and Devin Pope #22193 (   LS   PE   PR)
  
• Colonial American Paper Money and the Quantity Theory of Money: An Extension
  Farley Grubb #22192 (   DAE)
  
• How Migration Can Change Income Inequality?
  Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka #22191 (   IFM)
  

---

Weekly papers released by April 25, 2016

• What Explains the Flow of Foreign Fighters to ISIS?
  Efraim Benmelech and Esteban F. Klor #22190 (   DEV   LS   POL)
  
• Motivating Effort In Contributing to Public Goods Inside Organizations: Field Experimental Evidence
  Andrea Blasco, Olivia S. Jung, Karim R. Lakhani, and Michael Menietti #22189 (   PR)
  
• Decomposing Duration Dependence in a Stopping Time Model
  Fernando E. Alvarez, Katarína Borovičková, and Robert Shimer #22188 (   EFG   LS)
  
• Age and Gender Profiling in the Chinese and Mexican Labor Markets: Evidence from Four Job Boards
  Miguel Delgado Helleseter, Peter Kuhn, and Kailing Shen #22187 (   LS)
  
• Homophily and Transitivity in Dynamic Network Formation
  Bryan S. Graham #22186 (   IO   LS   TWP)
  
• Economic Analysis of Property Rights: First Possession of Water in the American West
  Bryan Leonard and Gary D. Libecap #22185 (   DAE   EEE   LE)
  
• The Impact of the Civil War on Southern Wealth Holders
  Brandon Dupont and Joshua Rosenbloom #22184 (   DAE)
  
• Bond Risk Premia in Consumption-based Models
  Drew D. Creal and Jing Cynthia Wu #22183 (   AP   EFG   ME)
  
• Impacts of the Affordable Care Act on Health Insurance Coverage in Medicaid Expansion and Non-Expansion States
  Charles Courtemanche, James Marton, Benjamin Ukert, Aaron Yelowitz, and Daniela Zapata #22182 (   HC   HE)
  
• Climate Econometrics
  Solomon M. Hsiang #22181 (   DEV   EEE   EFG   HE)
  
• Bias against Novelty in Science: A Cautionary Tale for Users of Bibliometric Indicators
  Jian Wang, Reinhilde Veugelers, and Paula Stephan #22180 (   LS   PR)
  
• Nutrient Intake: A Cross-National Analysis of Trends and Economic Correlates
  Dhaval M. Dave, Nadia Doytch, and Inas Rashad Kelly #22179 (   HE)
  

---

Weekly papers released by April 18, 2016

• Does Trade Liberalization with China Influence U.S. Elections?
  Yi Che, Yi Lu, Justin R. Pierce, Peter K. Schott, and Zhigang Tao #22178 (   ITI)
  
• Raise Rates to Raise Inflation? Neo-Fisherianism in the New Keynesian Model
  Julio Garín, Robert Lester, and Eric Sims #22177 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Technology, Skill and the Wage Structure
  Nancy L. Stokey #22176 (   EFG   LS)
  
• Distance and Time Effects in Swedish Commodity Prices, 1732–1914
  Mario J. Crucini and Gregor W. Smith #22175 (   DAE   IFM   ITI)
  
• Social Mobility and Stability of Democracy: Re-evaluating De Tocqueville
  Daron Acemoglu, Georgy Egorov, and Konstantin Sonin #22174 (   POL)
  
• Preference for the Workplace, Human Capital, and Gender
  Matthew Wiswall and Basit Zafar #22173 (   ED   LS)
  
• Secular Stagnation in the Open Economy
  Gauti B. Eggertsson, Neil R. Mehrotra, and Lawrence H. Summers #22172 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Selective Hearing: Physician-Ownership and Physicians' Response to New Evidence
  David H. Howard, Guy David, and Jason Hockenberry #22171 (   HC   HE)
  
• The Effect of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act Medicaid Expansions on Financial Well-Being
  Luojia Hu, Robert Kaestner, Bhashkar Mazumder, Sarah Miller, and Ashley Wong #22170 (   HE)
  
• Organizational Complexity and Balance Sheet Management in Global Banks
  Nicola Cetorelli and Linda S. Goldberg #22169 (   IFM   ME)
  
• The Importance of Family Income in the Formation and Evolution of Non-Cognitive Skills in Childhood
  Jason Fletcher and Barbara L. Wolfe #22168 (   CH   ED   HE)
  
• Decision Theoretic Approaches to Experiment Design and External Validity
  Abhijit Banerjee, Sylvain Chassang, and Erik Snowberg #22167 (   DEV   ED   HE   LS   PE   POL)
  
• Stirring Up a Hornets' Nest: Geographic Distribution of Crime
  Sebastian Galiani, Ivan Lopez Cruz, and Gustavo Torrens #22166 (   DEV)
  

---

Weekly papers released by April 11, 2016

• The Causes and Consequences of Test Score Manipulation: Evidence from the New York Regents Examinations
  Thomas S. Dee, Will Dobbie, Brian A. Jacob, and Jonah Rockoff #22165 (   ED)
  
• The Effect of Aid on Growth: Evidence from a Quasi-Experiment
  Sebastian Galiani, Stephen Knack, Lixin Colin Xu, and Ben Zou #22164 (   DEV)
  
• The Limited Macroeconomic Effects of Unemployment Benefit Extensions
  Gabriel Chodorow-Reich and Loukas Karabarbounis #22163 (   EFG   LS   ME   PE)
  
• Term Structures of Asset Prices and Returns
  David Backus, Nina Boyarchenko, and Mikhail Chernov #22162 (   AP)
  
• Coordinated Noise Trading: Evidence from Pension Fund Reallocations
  Zhi Da, Borja Larrain, Clemens Sialm, and José Tessada #22161 (   AG   AP   CF   IFM   ITI   PE)
  
• The Impact of Innovation in the Multinational Firm
  L. Kamran Bilir and Eduardo Morales #22160 (   ITI   PR)
  
• Temporary Migration and Endogenous Risk Sharing in Village India
  Melanie Morten #22159 (   DEV)
  
• Paving the Way to Development: Costly Migration and Labor Market Integration
  Melanie Morten and Jaqueline Oliveira #22158 (   DEV)
  
• Can Currency Competition Work?
  Jesús Fernández-Villaverde and Daniel Sanches #22157 (   EFG)
  
• Optimal Contracting with Subjective Evaluation: The Effects of Timing, Malfeasance and Guile
  W. Bentley MacLeod and Teck Yong Tan #22156 (   LS   TWP)
  
• Canary in a Coal Mine: Infant Mortality, Property Values, and Tradeoffs Associated with Mid-20th Century Air Pollution
  Karen Clay, Joshua Lewis, and Edson Severnini #22155 (   CH   DAE   EEE)
  
• Differences in Quarterly Utilization-Adjusted TFP by Vintage, with an Application to News Shocks
  Eric R. Sims #22154 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Corporate Resilience to Banking Crises: The Roles of Trust and Trade Credit
  Ross Levine, Chen Lin, and Wensi Xie #22153 (   CF   EFG   IFM   LS)
  
• The Deposits Channel of Monetary Policy
  Itamar Drechsler, Alexi Savov, and Philipp Schnabl #22152 (   AP   CF   ME)
  
• Learning, Career Paths, and the Distribution of Wages
  Santiago Caicedo, Robert E. Lucas, Jr., and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg #22151 (   EFG)
  
• Levered Returns
  Ivo Welch #22150 (   AP   CF)
  
• Faculty Preferences over Unionization: Evidence from Open Letters at Two Research Universities
  Joel Waldfogel #22149 (   LE)
  
• The Real Effects of Liquidity During the Financial Crisis: Evidence from Automobiles
  Efraim Benmelech, Ralf R. Meisenzahl, and Rodney Ramcharan #22148 (   CF   EFG   IO   ME)
  
• Measuring Openness to Trade
  Michael E. Waugh and B. Ravikumar #22147 (   EFG   IFM   ITI)
  
• Uninformative Feedback and Risk Taking: Evidence from Retail Forex Trading
  Itzhak Ben-David, Justin Birru, and Viktor Prokopenya #22146 (   AP   CF)
  
• The Global Spatial Distribution of Economic Activity: Nature, History, and the Role of Trade
  J. Vernon Henderson, Tim L. Squires, Adam Storeygard, and David N. Weil #22145 (   DEV   EFG)
  
• A Conceptual Framework for Understanding Critical Transitions
  Lee J. Alston, Marcus André Melo, Bernardo Mueller, and Carlos Pereira #22144 (   DAE   DEV   LE   POL)
  
• Crash Beliefs From Investor Surveys
  William N. Goetzmann, Dasol Kim, and Robert J. Shiller #22143 (   AP)
  
• Market Reforms in the Time of Imbalance
  Matteo Cacciatore, Romain Duval, Giuseppe Fiori, and Fabio Ghironi #22128 (   EFG   IFM   ME)
  

---

Weekly papers released by April 4, 2016

• Are Online and Offine Prices Similar? Evidence from Large Multi-Channel Retailers
  Alberto F. Cavallo #22142 (   IFM   ME)
  
• Financial Dampening
  Johannes F. Wieland and Mu-Jeung Yang #22141 (   CF   EFG   ME)
  
• Supply-Side Policies in the Depression: Evidence from France
  Jérémie Cohen-Setton, Joshua K. Hausman, and Johannes F. Wieland #22140 (   DAE   EFG   ME)
  
• Optimal Reserves in Financially Closed Economies
  Olivier Jeanne and Damiano Sandri #22139 (   IFM)
  
• Preferential Trade Agreements
  Nuno Limão #22138 (   ITI)
  
• The Inclusive Cost of Pandemic Influenza Risk
  Victoria Y. Fan, Dean T. Jamison, and Lawrence H. Summers #22137 (   HC   HE)
  
• Animal Spirits in a Monetary Model
  Roger E.A. Farmer and Konstantin Platonov #22136 (   EFG   ME)
  
• The Theory of Unconventional Monetary Policy
  Roger Farmer and Pawel Zabczyk #22135 (   AP   EFG   ME)
  
• Rethinking Performance Evaluation
  Campbell R. Harvey and Yan Liu #22134 (   AP)
  
• On the Optimal Inflation Rate
  Markus K. Brunnermeier and Yuliy Sannikov #22133 (   AP   EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• Government Old-Age Support and Labor Supply: Evidence from the Old Age Assistance Program
  Daniel K. Fetter and Lee M. Lockwood #22132 (   AG   DAE   LS   PE)
  
• Clans, Guilds, and Markets: Apprenticeship Institutions and Growth in the Pre-Industrial Economy
  David de la Croix, Matthias Doepke, and Joel Mokyr #22131 (   DEV   EFG)
  
• The Production of Human Capital in Developed Countries: Evidence from 196 Randomized Field Experiments
  Roland G. Fryer, Jr #22130 (   CH   ED   LS)
  
• The Discounted Euler Equation: A Note
  Alisdair McKay, Emi Nakamura, and Jón Steinsson #22129 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Tax Benefits for College Attendance
  Susan Dynarski and Judith Scott-Clayton #22127 (   ED   PE)
  
• Targeted or Universal Coverage? Assessing Heterogeneity in the Effects of Universal Childcare
  Michael J. Kottelenberg and Steven F. Lehrer #22126 (   CH   PE)
  
• Quantitative Models of Sovereign Debt Crises
  Mark Aguiar, Satyajit Chatterjee, Harold Cole, and Zachary Stangebye #22125 (   EFG   IFM)
  

---

Weekly papers released by March 28, 2016

• Crowdsourcing City Government: Using Tournaments to Improve Inspection Accuracy
  Edward L. Glaeser, Andrew Hillis, Scott Duke Kominers, and Michael Luca #22124 (   PE   PR)
  
• Viewpoint: The Human Capital Approach to Inference
  W. Bentley MacLeod #22123 (   HE   LS)
  
• Neoclassical Models in Macroeconomics
  Gary D. Hansen and Lee E. Ohanian #22122 (   EFG)
  
• Can Iron-Fortified Salt Control Anemia? Evidence from Two Experiments in Rural Bihar
  Abhijit Banerjee, Sharon Barnhardt, and Esther Duflo #22121 (   DEV   HC   HE)
  
• Academics vs. Athletics: Career Concerns for NCAA Division I Coaches
  Christopher Avery, Brian Cadman, and Gavin Cassar #22120 (   ED)
  
• International Shocks and Domestic Prices: How Large Are Strategic Complementarities?
  Mary Amiti, Oleg Itskhoki, and Jozef Konings #22119 (   IFM   ITI   ME)
  
• Beyond Job Lock: Impacts of Public Health Insurance on Occupational and Industrial Mobility
  Ammar Farooq and Adriana Kugler #22118 (   HC   LS)
  
• Labor Market Institutions in the Gilded Age of American Economic History
  Suresh Naidu and Noam Yuchtman #22117 (   DAE   DEV   LS   POL)
  
• The Risk Anomaly Tradeoff of Leverage
  Malcolm Baker, Mathias F. Hoeyer, and Jeffrey Wurgler #22116 (   CF)
  
• Trading Skill: Evidence from Trades of Corporate Insiders in Their Personal Portfolios
  Itzhak Ben-David, Justin Birru, and Andrea Rossi #22115 (   AP   CF)
  
• Rethinking Deindustrialization
  Andrew B. Bernard, Valerie Smeets, and Frederic Warzynski #22114 (   IO   ITI)
  
• Field Experiments in Markets
  Omar Al-Ubaydli and John A. List #22113 (   DEV   IO      LS)
  
• Interactions Between Family and School Environments: Evidence on Dynamic Complementarities?
  Ofer Malamud, Cristian Pop-Eleches, and Miguel Urquiola #22112 (   CH   ED)
  
• The Billion Prices Project: Using Online Prices for Measurement and Research
  Alberto Cavallo and Roberto Rigobon #22111 (   IFM   ME)
  
• The March of the Techies: Technology, Trade, and Job Polarization in France, 1994-2007
  James Harrigan, Ariell Reshef, and Farid Toubal #22110 (   ITI   LS)
  
• Explicit vs. Statistical Preferential Treatment in Affirmative Action: Theory and Evidence from Chicago's Exam Schools
  Umut Dur, Parag A. Pathak, and Tayfun Sönmez #22109 (   ED   LS   PE)
  
• Refugees From Dust and Shrinking Land: Tracking the Dust Bowl Migrants
  Jason Long and Henry E. Siu #22108 (   DAE   LS)
  
• The Effect of Performance-Based Incentives on Educational Achievement: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment
  Steven D. Levitt, John A. List, and Sally Sadoff #22107 (   CH   ED)
  

---

Weekly papers released by March 21, 2016

• The Price Effects of Cross-Market Hospital Mergers
  Leemore Dafny, Kate Ho, and Robin S. Lee #22106 (   HC   IO)
  
• The Environmental Cost of Global Fuel Subsidies
  Lucas W. Davis #22105 (   EEE)
  
• Can Tracking Raise the Test Scores of High-Ability Minority Students?
  David Card and Laura Giuliano #22104 (   ED   LS)
  
• Learning from Potentially-Biased Statistics: Household Inflation Perceptions and Expectations in Argentina
  Alberto Cavallo, Guillermo Cruces, and Ricardo Perez-Truglia #22103 (   IFM   ME)
  
• The Labor Supply of Undocumented Immigrants
  George J. Borjas #22102 (   AG   LS)
  
• Management Practices, Workforce Selection and Productivity
  Stefan Bender, Nicholas Bloom, David Card, John Van Reenen, and Stefanie Wolter #22101 (   IO   LS   PR)
  
• Money and Velocity During Financial Crises: From the Great Depression to the Great Recession
  Richard G. Anderson, Michael Bordo, and John V. Duca #22100 (   DAE)
  
• A Glimpse into the World of High Capacity Givers: Experimental Evidence from a University Capital Campaign
  Tova Levin, Steven D. Levitt, and John A. List #22099 (   PE)
  
• Identification and Efficiency Bounds for the Average Match Function under Conditionally Exogenous Matching
  Bryan S. Graham, Guido W. Imbens, and Geert Ridder #22098 (   ED   IO   LS   TWP)
  
• Optimal Currency Area: A 20th Century Idea For the 21st Century?
  Joshua Aizenman #22097 (   IFM)
  
• Macroeconomic-Driven Prepayment Risk and the Valuation of Mortgage-Backed Securities
  Mikhail Chernov, Brett R. Dunn, and Francis A. Longstaff #22096 (   AP)
  
• The State of American Entrepreneurship: New Estimates of the Quantity and Quality of Entrepreneurship for 15 US States, 1988-2014
  Jorge Guzman and Scott Stern #22095 (   EFG   PR)
  
• Three-generation Mobility in the United States, 1850-1940: The Role of Maternal and Paternal Grandparents
  Claudia Olivetti, M. Daniele Paserman, and Laura Salisbury #22094 (   DAE   LS)
  
• Organized Crime, Violence, and Politics
  Alberto Alesina, Salvatore Piccolo, and Paolo Pinotti #22093 (   POL)
  
• An Input-Output Model of the U.S. Economy with Pollution Externality
  Nicholas Z. Muller #22092 (   EEE)
  
• How Management Risk Affects Corporate Debt
  Yihui Pan, Tracy Yue Wang, and Michael S. Weisbach #22091 (   AP   CF)
  
• Revenue and Incentive Effects of Basis Step-Up at Death: Lessons from the 2010 "Voluntary" Estate Tax Regime
  Robert Gordon, David Joulfaian, and James Poterba #22090 (   PE)
  
• Why Does Fast Loan Growth Predict Poor Performance for Banks?
  Rüdiger Fahlenbrach, Robert Prilmeier, and René M. Stulz #22089 (   CF)
  
• Efficient Local Government Service Provision: The Role of Privatization and Public Sector Unions
  Rhiannon Jerch, Matthew E. Kahn, and Shanjun Li #22088 (   EEE   IO   LS   PE   POL)
  
• The Design of Trade Agreements
  Kyle Bagwell and Robert W. Staiger #22087 (   ITI)
  
• Accounting for the New Gains from Trade Liberalization
  Chang-Tai Hsieh, Nicholas Li, Ralph Ossa, and Mu-Jeung Yang #22069 (   EFG   ITI   PR)
  

---

Weekly papers released by March 14, 2016

• Empirical Tools and Competition Analysis: Past Progress and Current Problems
  Ariel Pakes #22086 (   IO)
  
• Population Policy: Abortion and Modern Contraception are Substitutes
  Grant Miller and Christine Valente #22085 (   DAE   HC)
  
• Detecting Potential Overbilling in Medicare Reimbursement via Hours Worked
  Hanming Fang and Qing Gong #22084 (   HC   HE   PE)
  
• Disruptive Change in the Taxi Business: The Case of Uber
  Judd Cramer and Alan B. Krueger #22083 (   LS   PR)
  
• Copyright Enforcement: Evidence from Two Field Experiments
  Hong Luo and Julie Holland Mortimer #22082 (   IO   PR)
  
• The "Real" Explanation of the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle
  Nicholas Ford and Charles Yuji Horioka #22081 (   IFM   ITI)
  
• Tax Policy Toward Low-Income Families
  Hilary Hoynes and Jesse Rothstein #22080 (   CH   LS   PE)
  
• To ‘Vape’ or Smoke? A Discrete Choice Experiment Among U.S. Adult Smokers
  Joachim Marti, John Buckell, Johanna Catherine Maclean, and Jody L. Sindelar #22079 (   HE)
  
• Family Inequality: Diverging Patterns in Marriage, Cohabitation, and Childbearing
  Shelly Lundberg, Robert A. Pollak, and Jenna E. Stearns #22078 (   CH   LS)
  
• Racial Sorting and the Emergence of Segregation in American Cities
  Allison Shertzer and Randall P. Walsh #22077 (   DAE   LE)
  
• Mirrlees meets Diamond-Mirrlees
  Florian Scheuer and Iván Werning #22076 (   EFG   LS   PE)
  
• Global Energy Outlook 2015
  Richard G. Newell, Yifei Qian, and Daniel Raimi #22075 (   DEV   EEE)
  
• Network Contagion and Interbank Amplification during the Great Depression
  Kris James Mitchener and Gary Richardson #22074 (   DAE   ME)
  
• National Policy for Regional Development: Evidence from Appalachian Highways
  Taylor Jaworski and Carl T. Kitchens #22073 (   DAE)
  
• Bargaining over Babies: Theory, Evidence, and Policy Implications
  Matthias Doepke and Fabian Kindermann #22072 (   CH   EFG)
  
• The Performance of Elected Officials: Evidence from State Supreme Courts
  Elliott Ash and W. Bentley MacLeod #22071 (   LE   LS   POL)
  
• The Purpose of Trade Agreements
  Gene M. Grossman #22070 (   ITI)
  
• Families in Macroeconomics
  Matthias Doepke and Michèle Tertilt #22068 (   EFG)
  
• Competitive Price Targeting with Smartphone Coupons
  Jean-Pierre H. Dubé, Zheng Fang, Nathan Fong, and Xueming Luo #22067 (   IO)
  
• U.S. Inequality, Fiscal Progressivity, and Work Disincentives: An Intragenerational Accounting
  Alan J. Auerbach, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, and Darryl R. Koehler #22032 (   AG   PE)
  

---

Weekly papers released by March 7, 2016

• International Comparative Household Finance
  Cristian Badarinza, John Y. Campbell, and Tarun Ramadorai #22066 (   AP)
  
• Speculative Fever: Investor Contagion in the Housing Bubble
  Patrick Bayer, Kyle Mangum, and James W. Roberts #22065 (   AP   IO   PE)
  
• Too-Big-To-Fail Before the Fed
  Gary Gorton and Ellis W. Tallman #22064 (   DAE   EFG   ME)
  
• Sufficient Statistics for Imperfect Externality-Correcting Policies
  Mark R. Jacobsen, Christopher R. Knittel, James M. Sallee, and Arthur A. van Benthem #22063 (   EEE   IO   PE)
  
• Quantitative Models of Commercial Policy
  Ralph Ossa #22062 (   ITI)
  
• Decentralized Governance and the Quality of School Leadership
  Derek Laing, Steven G. Rivkin, Jeffrey C. Schiman, and Jason Ward #22061 (   ED   PE)
  
• Some Theoretical Connections Among Wealth, Income, Sustainability, and Accounting
  Martin L. Weitzman #22060 (   EEE)
  
• Fiscal and Financial Crises
  Michael D. Bordo and Christopher M. Meissner #22059 (   DAE   IFM   ME)
  
• The Macroeconomic Impact of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks
  Dario Caldara, Cristina Fuentes-Albero, Simon Gilchrist, and Egon ZakrajÅ¡ek #22058 (   EFG   ME)
  
• University Innovation and the Professor's Privilege
  Hans K. Hvide and Benjamin F. Jones #22057 (   PR)
  
• A Market Based Solution for Fire Sales and Other Pecuniary Externalities
  Weerachart T. Kilenthong and Robert M. Townsend #22056 (   DEV   IFM)
  
• The Limits of Propaganda: Evidence from Chavez's Venezuela
  Brian Knight and Ana Tribin #22055 (   PE   POL)
  
• Teacher Applicant Hiring and Teacher Performance: Evidence from DC Public Schools
  Brian Jacob, Jonah E. Rockoff, Eric S. Taylor, Benjamin Lindy, and Rachel Rosen #22054 (   ED   LS)
  
• Liquidity Requirements, Liquidity Choice and Financial Stability
  Douglas W. Diamond and Anil K Kashyap #22053 (   CF   ME)
  
• Effects of Welfare Reform on Women's Voting Participation
  Dhaval M. Dave, Hope Corman, and Nancy Reichman #22052 (   HE   LS   PE)
  

---

Weekly papers released by February 29, 2016

• Economic Conditions, Illicit Drug Use, and Substance Use Disorders in the United States
  Christopher S. Carpenter, Chandler B. McClellan, and Daniel I. Rees #22051 (   HE)
  
• The Market for Financial Adviser Misconduct
  Mark Egan, Gregor Matvos, and Amit Seru #22050 (   CF   IO   LE   LS)
  
• The Long Run Effects of Labor Migration on Human Capital Formation in Communities of Origin
  Taryn Dinkelman and Martine Mariotti #22049 (   CH   DEV   ED   LS)
  
• Can Fixed-Term Contracts Put Low Skilled Youth on a Better Career Path? Evidence from Spain
  J. Ignacio García-Pérez, Judit Vall Castelló, and Ioana Marinescu #22048 (   LS   PE)
  
• The Social Value of Financial Expertise
  Pablo Kurlat #22047 (   EFG   PE)
  
• Globalization and Political Structure
  Gino Gancia, Giacomo A.M. Ponzetto, and Jaume Ventura #22046 (   EFG)
  
• Excess Volatility: Beyond Discount Rates
  Stefano Giglio and Bryan Kelly #22045 (   AP)
  
• Safe Asset Scarcity and Aggregate Demand
  Ricardo J. Caballero, Emmanuel Farhi, and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas #22044 (   EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• Estimating Social Preferences and Gift Exchange at Work
  Stefano DellaVigna, John A. List, Ulrike Malmendier, and Gautam Rao #22043 (   LS   PE)
  
• The Long-Run Effects of Disruptive Peers
  Scott E. Carrell, Mark Hoekstra, and Elira Kuka #22042 (   ED   LS)
  
• Offshoring and Labor Markets
  David Hummels, Jakob R. Munch, and Chong Xiang #22041 (   ITI   LS)
  
• Net Neutrality, Pricing Instruments and Incentives
  Joshua S. Gans and Michael L. Katz #22040 (   IO   PR)
  
• Transparency and Negotiated Prices: The Value of Information in Hospital-Supplier Bargaining
  Matthew Grennan and Ashley Swanson #22039 (   HC   IO)
  
• A Theory of Bidding Dynamics and Deadlines in Online Retail
  Dominic Coey, Bradley Larsen, and Brennan Platt #22038 (   IO   TWP)
  
• Subsidies and Structure: The Lasting Impact of the Hill-Burton Program on the Hospital Industry
  Andrea Park Chung, Martin Gaynor, and Seth Richards-Shubik #22037 (   HC)
  
• How Did Pre-Fed Banking Panics End?
  Gary Gorton and Ellis W. Tallman #22036 (   AP   CF   DAE   EFG   ME)
  
• Dynamic R&D Choice and the Impact of the Firm's Financial Strength
  Bettina Peters, Mark J. Roberts, and Van Anh Vuong #22035 (   PR)
  
• Bank Quality, Judicial Efficiency and Borrower Runs: Loan Repayment Delays in Italy
  Fabio Schiantarelli, Massimiliano Stacchini, and Philip E. Strahan #22034 (   CF)
  
• Does Fundraising Create New Giving?
  Jonathan Meer #22033 (   PE)
  
• Self-insuring against Liability Risk: Evidence from Physician Home Values in States with Unlimited Homestead Exemptions
  Eric Helland, Anupam B. Jena, Dan P. Ly, and Seth A. Seabury #22031 (   HC   HE   LE)
  
• How Does Access to Health Care Affect Teen Fertility and High School Dropout Rates? Evidence from School-based Health Centers
  Michael F. Lovenheim, Randall Reback, and Leigh Wedenoja #22030 (   CH   ED   HE   PE)
  
• Owning, Using and Renting: Some Simple Economics of the "Sharing Economy"
  John J. Horton and Richard J. Zeckhauser #22029 (   IO   PR)
  
• How Crashes Develop: Intradaily Volatility and Crash Evolution
  David S. Bates #22028 (   AP)
  
• Popular Attitudes towards Markets and Democracy: Russia and United States Compared 25 Years Later
  Maxim Boycko and Robert J. Shiller #22027 (   EFG   POL)
  
• Decision-Making under the Gambler's Fallacy: Evidence from Asylum Judges, Loan Officers, and Baseball Umpires
  Daniel Chen, Tobias J. Moskowitz, and Kelly Shue #22026 (   CF   LE)
  
• Restoring Rational Choice: The Challenge of Consumer Financial Regulation
  John Y. Campbell #22025 (   AP   PE)
  
• Health Capacity to Work at Older Ages in France
  Didier Blanchet, Eve Caroli, Corinne Prost, and Muriel Roger #22024 (   AG)
  
• Does Incomplete Spanning in International Financial Markets Help to Explain Exchange Rates?
  Hanno Lustig and Adrien Verdelhan #22023 (   AP   EFG   IFM)
  
• Experimental Research on Labor Market Discrimination
  David Neumark #22022 (   AG   LS)
  
• Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Credit Channel: Aggregate and Bank Level U.S. Evidence over Several Decades
  Michael D. Bordo, John V. Duca, and Christoffer Koch #22021 (   DAE   ME)
  
• The Term Structure of Interest Rates in India
  Rajnish Mehra and Arunima Sinha #22020 (   AP)
  
• Using Preference Estimates to Customize Incentives: An Application to Polio Vaccination Drives in Pakistan
  James Andreoni, Michael Callen, Yasir Khan, Karrar Jaffar, and Charles Sprenger #22019 (   DEV   POL)
  
• Health Capacity to Work at Older Ages in Denmark
  Paul Bingley, Nabanita Datta Gupta, and Peder Pedersen #22018 (   AG)
  
• What Makes US Government Bonds Safe Assets?
  Zhiguo He, Arvind Krishnamurthy, and Konstantin Milbradt #22017 (   AP   IFM)
  
• The Demand for Diversification in Incomplete Markets
  Rajnish Mehra, Sunil Wahal, and Daruo Xie #22016 (   AP)
  
• Social Norms, Labor Market Opportunities, and the Marriage Gap for Skilled Women
  Marianne Bertrand, Patricia Cortés, Claudia Olivetti, and Jessica Pan #22015 (   LS)
  
• Field Experiments on Discrimination
  Marianne Bertrand and Esther Duflo #22014 (   LS)
  
• Are Expectations Alone Enough? Estimating the Effect of a Mandatory College-Prep Curriculum in Michigan
  Brian Jacob, Susan Dynarski, Kenneth Frank, and Barbara Schneider #22013 (   CH   ED   LS   PE)
  
• Recursive Contracts and Endogenously Incomplete Markets
  Mikhail Golosov, Aleh Tsyvinski, and Nicolas Werquin #22012 (   EFG)
  

---

Weekly papers released by February 22, 2016

• School Finance Reform and the Distribution of Student Achievement
  Julien Lafortune, Jesse Rothstein, and Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach #22011 (   CH   ED   LS   PE)
  
• MisMatch in Human Capital Accumulation
  Russell Cooper and Huacong Liu #22010 (   ED   EFG)
  
• Sluggish Inflation Expectations: A Markov Chain Analysis
  Narayana R. Kocherlakota #22009 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Good Booms, Bad Booms
  Gary Gorton and Guillermo Ordoñez #22008 (   AP   CF   EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• Dynamic Savings Choices with Disagreements
  Dan Cao and Iván Werning #22007 (   DEV   EFG   PE)
  
• Breaking the Spell with Credit-Easing: Self-Confirming Credit Crises in Competitive Search Economies
  Gaetano Gaballo and Ramon Marimon #22006 (   ME)
  
• Endogenous Technology Adoption and R&D as Sources of Business Cycle Persistence
  Diego Anzoategui, Diego Comin, Mark Gertler, and Joseba Martinez #22005 (   AP   DAE   IFM   ME   PR)
  
• What Drives Racial and Ethnic Differences in High Cost Mortgages? The Role of High Risk Lenders
  Patrick Bayer, Fernando Ferreira, and Stephen L. Ross #22004 (   LE   PE)
  
• Judges, Juveniles and In-group Bias
  Briggs Depew, Ozkan Eren, and Naci Mocan #22003 (   CH   LE   LS   PE)
  
• What is Different About Urbanization in Rich and Poor Countries? Cities in Brazil, China, India and the United States
  Juan Pablo Chauvin, Edward Glaeser, Yueran Ma, and Kristina Tobio #22002 (   DEV   LS)
  
• Anti-Corruption Reforms and Shareholder Valuations: Event Study Evidence from China
  Chen Lin, Randall Morck, Bernard Yeung, and Xiaofeng Zhao #22001 (   CF)
  
• Sets of Models and Prices of Uncertainty
  Lars P. Hansen and Thomas J. Sargent #22000 (   AP)
  
• Methodological Issues in Analyzing Market Dynamics
  Ariel Pakes #21999 (   IO)
  
• Income-comparison Attitudes in the US and the UK: Evidence from Discrete-choice Experiments
  Hitoshi Shigeoka and Katsunori Yamada #21998 (   PE)
  

---

Weekly papers released by February 15, 2016

• Solution Methods for Models with Rare Disasters
  Jesús Fernández-Villaverde and Oren Levintal #21997 (   EFG)
  
• Just Starting Out: Learning and Equilibrium in a New Market
  Ulrich Doraszelski, Gregory Lewis, and Ariel Pakes #21996 (   IO   PR)
  
• The Mobility of Elite Life Scientists: Professional and Personal Determinants
  Pierre Azoulay, Ina Ganguli, and Joshua S. Graff Zivin #21995 (   CH   HE   LS   PR)
  
• Effect of International Competition on Firm Productivity and Market Power
  Jan De Loecker and Johannes Van Biesebroeck #21994 (   IO   ITI   PR)
  
• The Sovereign-Bank Diabolic Loop and ESBies
  Markus K. Brunnermeier, Luis Garicano, Philip Lane, Marco Pagano, Ricardo Reis, Tano Santos, David Thesmar, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and Dimitri Vayanos #21993 (   AP   CF   IFM   ME)
  
• Who Benefits from Calorie Labeling? An Analysis of its Effects on Body Mass
  Partha Deb and Carmen Vargas #21992 (   HE)
  
• What has Been Happening to UK Income Inequality Since the Mid-1990s? Answers from Reconciled and Combined Household Survey and Tax Return Data
  Richard V. Burkhauser, Nicolas Hérault, Stephen P. Jenkins, and Roger Wilkins #21991 (   LS   PE   TWP)
  
• Including Health Insurance in Poverty Measurement: The Impact of Massachusetts Health Reform on Poverty
  Sanders Korenman and Dahlia K. Remler #21990 (   HC   HE   LS   PE)
  
• Micro to Macro: Optimal Trade Policy with Firm Heterogeneity
  Arnaud Costinot, Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, and Iván Werning #21989 (   ITI)
  
• Economic Backwardness and Catching Up: Brazilian Agriculture, 1964–2014
  Lee Alston and Bernardo Mueller #21988 (   DAE   DEV   EEE   LE   POL)
  
• Intergenerational Persistence of Health in the U.S.: Do Immigrants Get Healthier as they Assimilate?
  Mevlude Akbulut-Yuksel and Adriana D. Kugler #21987 (   HE   LS)
  
• Learning Job Skills from Colleagues at Work: Evidence from a Field Experiment Using Teacher Performance Data
  John P. Papay, Eric S. Taylor, John H. Tyler, and Mary Laski #21986 (   ED   LS)
  
• Trade Policy Uncertainty and Exports: Evidence from China’s WTO Accession
  Ling Feng, Zhiyuan Li, and Deborah L. Swenson #21985 (   ITI)
  
• International Trade with Indirect Additivity
  Paolo Bertoletti, Federico Etro, and Ina Simonovska #21984 (   DEV   EFG   IFM   IO   ITI)
  
• Growth, Urbanization and Poverty Reduction in India
  Gaurav Datt, Martin Ravallion, and Rinku Murgai #21983 (   DEV)
  
• The Complexity of Immigrant Generations: Implications for Assessing the Socioeconomic Integration of Hispanics and Asians
  Brian Duncan and Stephen J. Trejo #21982 (   LS)
  
• Does Government Intervention Affect Banking Globalization?
  Anya Kleymenova, Andrew K. Rose, and Tomasz Wieladek #21981 (   IFM)
  
• Health Capacity to Work at Older Ages: Evidence from the United Kingdom
  James Banks, Carl Emmerson, and Gemma Tetlow #21980 (   AG)
  
• Conditional PPP and Real Exchange Rate Convergence in the Euro Area
  Paul R. Bergin, Reuven Glick, and Jyh-Lin Wu #21979 (   IFM)
  
• Macroeconomic Shocks and Their Propagation
  Valerie A. Ramey #21978 (   EFG   ME)
  
• A Jury of Her Peers: The Impact of the First Female Jurors on Criminal Convictions
  Shamena Anwar, Patrick Bayer, and Randi Hjalmarsson #21960 (   LE   LS   POL)
  

---

Weekly papers released by February 8, 2016

• Financial Markets’ Views about the Euro-Swiss Franc Floor
  Urban J. Jermann #21977 (   AP   IFM)
  
• Work Capacity at Older Ages in the Netherlands
  Adriaan Kalwij, Arie Kapteyn, and Klaas de Vos #21976 (   HE)
  
• Growth through Rigidity: An Explanation for the Rise in CEO Pay
  Kelly Shue and Richard Townsend #21975 (   CF   LE)
  
• Challenges to Mismeasurement Explanations for the U.S. Productivity Slowdown
  Chad Syverson #21974 (   EFG   PR)
  
• Health Capacity to Work at Older Ages: Evidence from Spain
  Pilar García-Gómez, Sergi Jimenez-Martin, and Judit Vall Castelló #21973 (   AG   HE)
  
• Healthy, Happy and Idle: Estimating the Health Capacity to Work at Older Ages in Germany
  Hendrik Jürges, Lars Thiel, and Axel Börsch-Supan #21972 (   AG)
  
• Health Capacity to Work at Older Ages: Evidence from Japan
  Emiko Usui, Satoshi Shimizutani, and Takashi Oshio #21971 (   AG)
  
• Work Capacity and Longer Working Lives in Belgium
  Alain Jousten and Mathieu Lefebvre #21970 (   AG)
  
• Health, Work Capacity and Retirement in Sweden
  Per Johansson, Lisa Laun, and MÃ¥rten Palme #21969 (   AG)
  
• Who Did the Ethanol Tax Credit Benefit? An Event Analysis of Subsidy Incidence
  David A. Bielen, Richard G. Newell, and William A. Pizer #21968 (   EEE   IO   PE)
  
• Accounting for the Rise in College Tuition
  Grey Gordon and Aaron Hedlund #21967 (   ED   EFG)
  
• What Forces Dictate the Design of Pollution Monitoring Networks?
  Nicholas Z. Muller and Paul Ruud #21966 (   EEE   PE)
  
• Wage Inequality and Cognitive Skills: Re-Opening the Debate
  Stijn Broecke, Glenda Quintini, and Marieke Vandeweyer #21965 (   LS)
  
• Patents and Innovation in Economic History
  Petra Moser #21964 (   DAE   LE   PR)
  
• The One Child Policy and Promotion of Mayors in China
  Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato, Xiao Yu Wang, and Shuang Zhang #21963 (   DEV   LS   PE   POL)
  
• Partners in Crime: Schools, Neighborhoods and the Formation of Criminal Networks
  Stephen B. Billings, David J. Deming, and Stephen L. Ross #21962 (   CH   ED   LS)
  
• Using Lagged Outcomes to Evaluate Bias in Value-Added Models
  Raj Chetty, John N. Friedman, and Jonah Rockoff #21961 (   CH   ED   LS   PE)
  
• The Bright Side of Patents
  Joan Farre-Mensa, Deepak Hegde, and Alexander Ljungqvist #21959 (   LE   PR)
  
• Global Cycles: Capital Flows, Commodities, and Sovereign Defaults, 1815-2015
  Carmen M. Reinhart, Vincent Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch #21958 (   IFM   ME)
  
• The Effects of Trade Policy
  Pinelopi K. Goldberg and Nina Pavcnik #21957 (   DEV   ITI)
  
• The Aggregate Implications of Regional Business Cycles
  Martin Beraja, Erik Hurst, and Juan Ospina #21956 (   EFG   IFM   ITI   ME)
  
• Financial Frictions and Unconventional Monetary Policy in Emerging Economies
  Roberto Chang and Andrés Velasco #21955 (   IFM)
  
• Japanization: Is it Endemic or Epidemic?
  Takatoshi Ito #21954 (   IFM)
  
• Supply and Demand for Discrimination: Strategic Revelation of Own Characteristics in a Trust Game
  Anthony Heyes and John A. List #21953 (      LS)
  
• Bankruptcy and Investment: Evidence from Changes in Marital Property Laws in the U.S. South, 1840-1850
  Peter Koudijs and Laura Salisbury #21952 (   CF   DAE   LE)
  

---

Weekly papers released by February 1, 2016

• To Borrow or Not to Borrow? An Analysis of University Leverage Decisions
  Harvey S. Rosen and Alexander J. W. Sappington #21951 (   ED   PE)
  
• Net Neutrality: A Fast Lane to Understanding the Trade-offs
  Shane Greenstein, Martin Peitz, and Tommaso Valletti #21950 (   IO   PR)
  
• Appliance Ownership and Aspirations among Electric Grid and Home Solar Households in Rural Kenya
  Kenneth Lee, Edward Miguel, and Catherine Wolfram #21949 (   DEV   EEE)
  
• Political Economy of Sovereign Debt: A Theory of Cycles of Populism and Austerity
  Alessandro Dovis, Mikhail Golosov, and Ali Shourideh #21948 (   EFG   IFM   POL)
  
• Separate and Unequal in the Labor Market: Human Capital and the Jim Crow Wage Gap
  Celeste K. Carruthers and Marianne H. Wanamaker #21947 (   DAE   LS   ED)
  
• Parental Influences on Health and Longevity: Lessons from a Large Sample of Adoptees
  Mikael Lindahl, Evelina Lundberg, MÃ¥rten Palme, and Emilia Simeonova #21946 (   CH   HE)
  
• Overconfident Investors, Predictable Returns, and Excessive Trading
  Kent Daniel and David Hirshleifer #21945 (   AP)
  
• Extrapolation and Bubbles
  Nicholas Barberis, Robin Greenwood, Lawrence Jin, and Andrei Shleifer #21944 (   AP)
  
• Unanimous Rules in the Laboratory
  Laurent Bouton, Aniol Llorente-Saguer, and Frédéric Malherbe #21943 (   POL)
  
• A Simple Model of Subprime Borrowers and Credit Growth
  Alejandro Justiniano, Giorgio E. Primiceri, and Andrea Tambalotti #21942 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Immigration to the U.S.: A problem for the Republicans or the Democrats?
  Anna Maria Mayda, Giovanni Peri, and Walter Steingress #21941 (   POL)
  
• Health Capacity to Work at Older Ages: Evidence from the U.S.
  Courtney Coile, Kevin S. Milligan, and David A. Wise #21940 (   AG)
  
• Social Security and Retirement Programs Around the World: The Capacity to Work at Older Ages – Introduction and Summary
  Courtney Coile, Kevin S. Milligan, and David A. Wise #21939 (   AG)
  
• Strong Sterling Pound and Weak European Currencies in the Crises: Evidence from Covered Interest Parity of Secured Rates
  Shin-ichi Fukuda #21938 (   IFM)
  
• The Effect of Smoking on Obesity: Evidence from a Randomized Trial
  Charles Courtemanche, Rusty Tchernis, and Benjamin Ukert #21937 (   HC   HE)
  
• Childhood Environment and Gender Gaps in Adulthood
  Raj Chetty, Nathaniel Hendren, Frina Lin, Jeremy Majerovitz, and Benjamin Scuderi #21936 (   CH   ED   LS   PE)
  
• How Exporters Grow
  Doireann Fitzgerald, Stefanie Haller, and Yaniv Yedid-Levi #21935 (   EFG   IFM   ITI   PR)
  
• Starting Small: Endogenous Stakes and Rational Cooperation
  James Andreoni, Michael A. Kuhn, and Larry Samuelson #21934 (   PE)
  
• Obama, Katrina, and the Persistence of Racial Inequality
  Robert A. Margo #21933 (   DAE   LS)
  
• State Capacity and American Technology: Evidence from the 19th Century
  Daron Acemoglu, Jacob Moscona, and James A. Robinson #21932 (   DAE)
  
• Relative Price Dispersion: Evidence and Theory
  Greg Kaplan, Guido Menzio, Leena Rudanko, and Nicholas Trachter #21931 (   EFG   IO)
  
• Saving Lives or Saving Money? Understanding the Dual Nature of Physician Preferences
  Alice Chen and Darius N. Lakdawalla #21930 (   AG   HC   HE)
  
• Incentivizing Nutritious Diets: A Field Experiment of Relative Price Changes and How They are Framed
  John Cawley, Andrew S. Hanks, David R. Just, and Brian Wansink #21929 (   CH   HC   HE   PE)
  
• Taxation, Corruption, and Growth
  Philippe Aghion, Ufuk Akcigit, Julia Cagé, and William R. Kerr #21928 (   EFG   PE   PR)
  
• Positive and Normative Judgments Implicit in U.S. Tax Policy, and the Costs of Unequal Growth and Recessions
  Benjamin B. Lockwood and Matthew C. Weinzierl #21927 (   PE)
  

---

Weekly papers released by January 25, 2016

• Raising the Bar for College Admission: North Carolina’s Increase in Minimum Math Course Requirements
  Charles T. Clotfelter, Steven W. Hemelt, and Helen Ladd #21926 (   ED)
  
• How Successful Was the New Deal? The Microeconomic Impact of New Deal Spending and Lending Policies in the 1930s
  Price V. Fishback #21925 (   DAE)
  
• Skewed Wealth Distributions: Theory and Empirics
  Jess Benhabib and Alberto Bisin #21924 (   EFG)
  
• Not Working at Work: Loafing, Unemployment and Labor Productivity
  Michael Burda, Katie R. Genadek, and Daniel S. Hamermesh #21923 (   LS)
  
• Teacher Turnover, Teacher Quality, and Student Achievement in DCPS
  Melinda Adnot, Thomas Dee, Veronica Katz, and James Wyckoff #21922 (   CH   ED)
  
• Overconfidence and Occupational Choice
  Edward P. Lazear #21921 (   LS   PR)
  
• Intermediary Asset Pricing: New Evidence from Many Asset Classes
  Zhiguo He, Bryan Kelly, and Asaf Manela #21920 (   AP   CF   EFG   IFM)
  
• Dynamic Debt Maturity
  Zhiguo He and Konstantin Milbradt #21919 (   AP   CF)
  
• Australia Farewell: Predictors of Emigration in the 2000s
  Richard V. Burkhauser, Markus H. Hahn, Matthew Hall, and Nicole Watson #21918 (   LS)
  
• The Implications of Richer Earnings Dynamics for Consumption, Wealth, and Welfare
  Mariacristina De Nardi, Giulio Fella, and Gonzalo Paz Pardo #21917 (   PE)
  
• Housing Inequality
  David Albouy and Mike Zabek #21916 (   LS   PE)
  
• Guns, Latrines, and Land Reform: Private Expectations and Public Policy
  Michael Kremer and Jack Willis #21915 (   DEV   PE)
  
• Life-Cycle Human Capital Accumulation Across Countries: Lessons From U.S. Immigrants
  David Lagakos, Benjamin Moll, Tommaso Porzio, Nancy Qian, and Todd Schoellman #21914 (   EFG)
  
• The Gender Wage Gap: Extent, Trends, and Explanations
  Francine D. Blau and Lawrence M. Kahn #21913 (   LS)
  
• Is California More Energy Efficient than the Rest of the Nation? Evidence from Commercial Real Estate
  Matthew E. Kahn, Nils Kok, and Peng Liu #21912 (   EEE   PE)
  
• How Collateral Laws Shape Lending and Sectoral Activity
  Charles W. Calomiris, Mauricio Larrain, José M. Liberti, and Jason D. Sturgess #21911 (   CF)
  
• Infrastructure, Incentives and Institutions
  Nava Ashraf, Edward L. Glaeser, and Giacomo A.M. Ponzetto #21910 (   DAE   DEV   ITI   LE)
  
• Private Equity's Unintended Dark Side: On the Economic Consequences of Excessive Delistings
  Alexander Ljungqvist, Lars Persson, and Joacim TÃ¥g #21909 (   CF   POL)
  
• School Quality and the Gender Gap in Educational Achievement
  David H. Autor, David N. Figlio, Krzysztof Karbownik, Jeffrey Roth, and Melanie Wasserman #21908 (   CH   LS)
  
• The Influence of Ancestral Lifeways on Individual Economic Outcomes in Sub-Saharan Africa
  Stelios Michalopoulos, Louis Putterman, and David N. Weil #21907 (   DEV   EFG   POL)
  
• The China Shock: Learning from Labor Market Adjustment to Large Changes in Trade
  David H. Autor, David Dorn, and Gordon H. Hanson #21906 (   ITI   LS)
  
• Lack of Selection and Limits to Delegation: Firm Dynamics in Developing Countries
  Ufuk Akcigit, Harun Alp, and Michael Peters #21905 (   DEV   EFG   IO   PR)
  
• Reminders & Recidivism: Evidence from Tax Filing & EITC Participation among Low-Income Nonfilers
  John Guyton, Dayanand S. Manoli, Brenda Schafer, and Michael Sebastiani #21904 (   PE)
  
• Coasean Bargaining to Address Environmental Externalities
  Gary D. Libecap #21903 (   DAE   EEE   PE)
  
• Cost-Benefit Analysis of Leaning Against the Wind: Are Costs Larger Also with Less Effective Macroprudential Policy?
  Lars E.O. Svensson #21902 (   ME)
  
• Violence Against Women: A Cross-cultural Analysis for Africa
  Alberto Alesina, Benedetta Brioschi, and Eliana La Ferrara #21901 (   POL)
  
• The Welfare Costs of Well-being Inequality
  Leonard Goff, John F. Helliwell, and Guy Mayraz #21900 (   DEV   PE   POL)
  

---

Weekly papers released by January 25, 2016

---

Weekly papers released by January 25, 2016

• Raising the Bar for College Admission: North Carolina’s Increase in Minimum Math Course Requirements
  Charles T. Clotfelter, Steven W. Hemelt, and Helen Ladd #21926 (   ED)
  
• How Successful Was the New Deal? The Microeconomic Impact of New Deal Spending and Lending Policies in the 1930s
  Price V. Fishback #21925 (   DAE)
  
• Skewed Wealth Distributions: Theory and Empirics
  Jess Benhabib and Alberto Bisin #21924 (   EFG)
  
• Not Working at Work: Loafing, Unemployment and Labor Productivity
  Michael Burda, Katie R. Genadek, and Daniel S. Hamermesh #21923 (   LS)
  
• Teacher Turnover, Teacher Quality, and Student Achievement in DCPS
  Melinda Adnot, Thomas Dee, Veronica Katz, and James Wyckoff #21922 (   CH   ED)
  
• Overconfidence and Occupational Choice
  Edward P. Lazear #21921 (   LS   PR)
  
• Intermediary Asset Pricing: New Evidence from Many Asset Classes
  Zhiguo He, Bryan Kelly, and Asaf Manela #21920 (   AP   CF   EFG   IFM)
  
• Dynamic Debt Maturity
  Zhiguo He and Konstantin Milbradt #21919 (   AP   CF)
  
• Australia Farewell: Predictors of Emigration in the 2000s
  Richard V. Burkhauser, Markus H. Hahn, Matthew Hall, and Nicole Watson #21918 (   LS)
  
• The Implications of Richer Earnings Dynamics for Consumption, Wealth, and Welfare
  Mariacristina De Nardi, Giulio Fella, and Gonzalo Paz Pardo #21917 (   PE)
  
• Housing Inequality
  David Albouy and Mike Zabek #21916 (   LS   PE)
  
• Guns, Latrines, and Land Reform: Private Expectations and Public Policy
  Michael Kremer and Jack Willis #21915 (   DEV   PE)
  
• Life-Cycle Human Capital Accumulation Across Countries: Lessons From U.S. Immigrants
  David Lagakos, Benjamin Moll, Tommaso Porzio, Nancy Qian, and Todd Schoellman #21914 (   EFG)
  
• The Gender Wage Gap: Extent, Trends, and Explanations
  Francine D. Blau and Lawrence M. Kahn #21913 (   LS)
  
• Is California More Energy Efficient than the Rest of the Nation? Evidence from Commercial Real Estate
  Matthew E. Kahn, Nils Kok, and Peng Liu #21912 (   EEE   PE)
  
• How Collateral Laws Shape Lending and Sectoral Activity
  Charles W. Calomiris, Mauricio Larrain, José M. Liberti, and Jason D. Sturgess #21911 (   CF)
  
• Infrastructure, Incentives and Institutions
  Nava Ashraf, Edward L. Glaeser, and Giacomo A.M. Ponzetto #21910 (   DAE   DEV   ITI   LE)
  
• Private Equity's Unintended Dark Side: On the Economic Consequences of Excessive Delistings
  Alexander Ljungqvist, Lars Persson, and Joacim TÃ¥g #21909 (   CF   POL)
  
• School Quality and the Gender Gap in Educational Achievement
  David H. Autor, David N. Figlio, Krzysztof Karbownik, Jeffrey Roth, and Melanie Wasserman #21908 (   CH   LS)
  
• The Influence of Ancestral Lifeways on Individual Economic Outcomes in Sub-Saharan Africa
  Stelios Michalopoulos, Louis Putterman, and David N. Weil #21907 (   DEV   EFG   POL)
  
• The China Shock: Learning from Labor Market Adjustment to Large Changes in Trade
  David H. Autor, David Dorn, and Gordon H. Hanson #21906 (   ITI   LS)
  
• Lack of Selection and Limits to Delegation: Firm Dynamics in Developing Countries
  Ufuk Akcigit, Harun Alp, and Michael Peters #21905 (   DEV   EFG   IO   PR)
  
• Reminders & Recidivism: Evidence from Tax Filing & EITC Participation among Low-Income Nonfilers
  John Guyton, Dayanand S. Manoli, Brenda Schafer, and Michael Sebastiani #21904 (   PE)
  
• Coasean Bargaining to Address Environmental Externalities
  Gary D. Libecap #21903 (   DAE   EEE   PE)
  
• Cost-Benefit Analysis of Leaning Against the Wind: Are Costs Larger Also with Less Effective Macroprudential Policy?
  Lars E.O. Svensson #21902 (   ME)
  
• Violence Against Women: A Cross-cultural Analysis for Africa
  Alberto Alesina, Benedetta Brioschi, and Eliana La Ferrara #21901 (   POL)
  
• The Welfare Costs of Well-being Inequality
  Leonard Goff, John F. Helliwell, and Guy Mayraz #21900 (   DEV   PE   POL)
  

---

Weekly papers released by January 25, 2016

• Raising the Bar for College Admission: North Carolina’s Increase in Minimum Math Course Requirements
  Charles T. Clotfelter, Steven W. Hemelt, and Helen Ladd #21926 (   ED)
  
• How Successful Was the New Deal? The Microeconomic Impact of New Deal Spending and Lending Policies in the 1930s
  Price V. Fishback #21925 (   DAE)
  
• Skewed Wealth Distributions: Theory and Empirics
  Jess Benhabib and Alberto Bisin #21924 (   EFG)
  
• Not Working at Work: Loafing, Unemployment and Labor Productivity
  Michael Burda, Katie R. Genadek, and Daniel S. Hamermesh #21923 (   LS)
  
• Teacher Turnover, Teacher Quality, and Student Achievement in DCPS
  Melinda Adnot, Thomas Dee, Veronica Katz, and James Wyckoff #21922 (   CH   ED)
  
• Overconfidence and Occupational Choice
  Edward P. Lazear #21921 (   LS   PR)
  
• Intermediary Asset Pricing: New Evidence from Many Asset Classes
  Zhiguo He, Bryan Kelly, and Asaf Manela #21920 (   AP   CF   EFG   IFM)
  
• Dynamic Debt Maturity
  Zhiguo He and Konstantin Milbradt #21919 (   AP   CF)
  
• Australia Farewell: Predictors of Emigration in the 2000s
  Richard V. Burkhauser, Markus H. Hahn, Matthew Hall, and Nicole Watson #21918 (   LS)
  
• The Implications of Richer Earnings Dynamics for Consumption, Wealth, and Welfare
  Mariacristina De Nardi, Giulio Fella, and Gonzalo Paz Pardo #21917 (   PE)
  
• Housing Inequality
  David Albouy and Mike Zabek #21916 (   LS   PE)
  
• Guns, Latrines, and Land Reform: Private Expectations and Public Policy
  Michael Kremer and Jack Willis #21915 (   DEV   PE)
  
• Life-Cycle Human Capital Accumulation Across Countries: Lessons From U.S. Immigrants
  David Lagakos, Benjamin Moll, Tommaso Porzio, Nancy Qian, and Todd Schoellman #21914 (   EFG)
  
• The Gender Wage Gap: Extent, Trends, and Explanations
  Francine D. Blau and Lawrence M. Kahn #21913 (   LS)
  
• Is California More Energy Efficient than the Rest of the Nation? Evidence from Commercial Real Estate
  Matthew E. Kahn, Nils Kok, and Peng Liu #21912 (   EEE   PE)
  
• How Collateral Laws Shape Lending and Sectoral Activity
  Charles W. Calomiris, Mauricio Larrain, José M. Liberti, and Jason D. Sturgess #21911 (   CF)
  
• Infrastructure, Incentives and Institutions
  Nava Ashraf, Edward L. Glaeser, and Giacomo A.M. Ponzetto #21910 (   DAE   DEV   ITI   LE)
  
• Private Equity's Unintended Dark Side: On the Economic Consequences of Excessive Delistings
  Alexander Ljungqvist, Lars Persson, and Joacim TÃ¥g #21909 (   CF   POL)
  
• School Quality and the Gender Gap in Educational Achievement
  David H. Autor, David N. Figlio, Krzysztof Karbownik, Jeffrey Roth, and Melanie Wasserman #21908 (   CH   LS)
  
• The Influence of Ancestral Lifeways on Individual Economic Outcomes in Sub-Saharan Africa
  Stelios Michalopoulos, Louis Putterman, and David N. Weil #21907 (   DEV   EFG   POL)
  
• The China Shock: Learning from Labor Market Adjustment to Large Changes in Trade
  David H. Autor, David Dorn, and Gordon H. Hanson #21906 (   ITI   LS)
  
• Lack of Selection and Limits to Delegation: Firm Dynamics in Developing Countries
  Ufuk Akcigit, Harun Alp, and Michael Peters #21905 (   DEV   EFG   IO   PR)
  
• Reminders & Recidivism: Evidence from Tax Filing & EITC Participation among Low-Income Nonfilers
  John Guyton, Dayanand S. Manoli, Brenda Schafer, and Michael Sebastiani #21904 (   PE)
  
• Coasean Bargaining to Address Environmental Externalities
  Gary D. Libecap #21903 (   DAE   EEE   PE)
  
• Cost-Benefit Analysis of Leaning Against the Wind: Are Costs Larger Also with Less Effective Macroprudential Policy?
  Lars E.O. Svensson #21902 (   ME)
  
• Violence Against Women: A Cross-cultural Analysis for Africa
  Alberto Alesina, Benedetta Brioschi, and Eliana La Ferrara #21901 (   POL)
  
• The Welfare Costs of Well-being Inequality
  Leonard Goff, John F. Helliwell, and Guy Mayraz #21900 (   DEV   PE   POL)
  

---

Weekly papers released by January 25, 2016

---

Weekly papers released by January 18, 2016

• Winners and Losers in International Trade: The Effects on U.S. Presidential Voting
  J. Bradford Jensen, Dennis P. Quinn, and Stephen Weymouth #21899 (   ITI   POL)
  
• On the Desirability of Capital Controls
  Jonathan Heathcote and Fabrizio Perri #21898 (   EFG   IFM)
  
• Monetary Policy According to HANK
  Greg Kaplan, Benjamin Moll, and Giovanni L. Violante #21897 (   EFG   IFM   ME)
  
• The Role of Bequests in Shaping Wealth Inequality: Evidence from Danish Wealth Records
  Simon H. Boserup, Wojciech Kopczuk, and Claus T. Kreiner #21896 (   AG   EFG   PE)
  
• Can States Take Over and Turn Around School Districts? Evidence from Lawrence, Massachusetts
  Beth E. Schueler, Joshua Goodman, and David J. Deming #21895 (   CH   ED   LS)
  
• Out of Africa: Human Capital Consequences of In Utero Conditions
  Victor Lavy, Analia Schlosser, and Adi Shany #21894 (   CH   DEV   ED   HC   HE   LS)
  
• Moment Inequalities for Multinomial Choice with Fixed Effects
  Ariel Pakes and Jack Porter #21893 (   IO   LS)
  
• Wholesale Banking and Bank Runs in Macroeconomic Modelling of Financial Crises
  Mark Gertler, Nobuhiro Kiyotaki, and Andrea Prestipino #21892 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Procrastination in Teams
  Joshua S. Gans and Peter Landry #21891 (   PR)
  
• What We Learn from China's Rising Shadow Banking: Exploring the Nexus of Monetary Tightening and Banks' Role in Entrusted Lending
  Kaiji Chen, Jue Ren, and Tao Zha #21890 (   AP   EFG   LE   ME)
  
• Patents and Research Investments: Assessing the Empirical Evidence
  Eric Budish, Benjamin N. Roin, and Heidi L. Williams #21889 (   IO   LE   PE   PR)
  
• Options-Pricing Formula with Disaster Risk
  Robert J. Barro and Gordon Y. Liao #21888 (   AP   EFG)
  
• The Evolution of Gender Gaps in Industrialized Countries
  Claudia Olivetti and Barbara Petrongolo #21887 (   EFG   LS)
  
• Foreigners Knocking on the Door: Trade in China During the Treaty Port Era
  Wolfgang Keller, Javier Andres Santiago, and Carol H. Shiue #21886 (   ITI)
  
• The Micro Origins of International Business Cycle Comovement
  Julian di Giovanni, Andrei A. Levchenko, and Isabelle Mejean #21885 (   IFM   ITI)
  
• Cables, Sharks and Servers: Technology and the Geography of the Foreign Exchange Market
  Barry Eichengreen, Romain Lafarguette, and Arnaud Mehl #21884 (   IFM)
  
• Global Supply Chains and Trade Policy
  Emily J. Blanchard, Chad P. Bown, and Robert C. Johnson #21883 (   ITI)
  
• Immigration in American Economic History
  Ran Abramitzky and Leah Platt Boustan #21882 (   DAE   LS)
  
• Colonial Virginia's Paper Money Regime, 1755-1774: Value Decomposition and Performance
  Farley Grubb #21881 (   DAE)
  
• Liquidity Regulation and Unintended Financial Transformation in China
  Kinda Cheryl Hachem and Zheng Michael Song #21880 (   CF   EFG   ME)
  
• Credit-Market Sentiment and the Business Cycle
  David López-Salido, Jeremy C. Stein, and Egon ZakrajÅ¡ek #21879 (   AP   CF   ME)
  
• International Coordination
  Jeffrey A. Frankel #21878 (   IFM   ME)
  
• Social Frictions to Knowledge Diffusion: Evidence from an Information Intervention
  Arthur Alik-Lagrange and Martin Ravallion #21877 (   DEV   PE)
  
• Tax Policy and Heterogeneous Investment Behavior
  Eric Zwick and James Mahon #21876 (   CF   PE)
  
• Multiple Hypothesis Testing in Experimental Economics
  John A. List, Azeem M. Shaikh, and Yang Xu #21875 (   EEE   PE)
  
• How do Average Hours Worked Vary with Development? Cross-Country Evidence and Implications
  Alexander Bick, Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln, and David Lagakos #21874 (   EFG)
  
• Rich, Poor, Singles, and Couples. Who Receives Medicaid in Old Age and Why?
  Margherita Borella, Mariacristina De Nardi, and Eric French #21873 (   AG   HC   HE   PE)
  
• Economic Growth and Convergence, Applied Especially to China
  Robert J. Barro #21872 (   EFG)
  
• Rare Events and Long-Run Risks
  Robert J. Barro and Tao Jin #21871 (   AP   EFG   ME)
  
• Forecasting Trends in Disability in a Super-Aging Society: Adapting the Future Elderly Model to Japan
  Brian K. Chen, Hawre Jalal, Hideki Hashimoto, Sze-Chuan Suen, Karen Eggleston, Michael Hurley, Lena Schoemaker, and Jay Bhattacharya #21870 (   AG   HC   HE)
  
• An Illiquid Market in the Desert: The Role of Interest Groups in Shaping Environmental Regulation
  Eric C. Edwards, Oscar Cristi, Gonzalo Edwards, and Gary D. Libecap #21869 (   DAE   EEE)
  
• Double for Nothing? Experimental Evidence on the Impact of an Unconditional Teacher Salary Increase on Student Performance in Indonesia
  Joppe de Ree, Karthik Muralidharan, Menno Pradhan, and Halsey Rogers #21806 (   CH   DEV   ED   LS   PE)
  

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Weekly papers released by January 11, 2016

• Patent Citation Data in Social Science Research: Overview and Best Practices
  Adam B. Jaffe and Gaétan de Rassenfosse #21868 (   PR)
  
• Understanding Inflation as a Joint Monetary-Fiscal Phenomenon
  Eric M. Leeper and Campbell Leith #21867 (   EFG)
  
• Fragility of Purely Real Macroeconomic Models
  Narayana Kocherlakota #21866 (   EFG   ME)
  
• The Causal Effects of Cultural Relevance: Evidence from an Ethnic Studies Curriculum
  Thomas Dee and Emily Penner #21865 (   ED)
  
• Secular Labor Reallocation and Business Cycles
  Gabriel Chodorow-Reich and Johannes Wieland #21864 (   EFG   LS   ME)
  
• Macroeconomic Regimes and Regime Shifts
  James D. Hamilton #21863 (   AP   EFG   ME)
  
• Solution and Estimation Methods for DSGE Models
  Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, Juan F. Rubio Ramírez, and Frank Schorfheide #21862 (   EFG)
  
• Balanced Growth Despite Uzawa
  Gene M. Grossman, Elhanan Helpman, Ezra Oberfield, and Thomas Sampson #21861 (   EFG)
  
• EU Accession and Foreign Owned Firms in Bulgaria
  Zadia M. Feliciano and Nadia Doytch #21860 (   ITI)
  
• Electoral Incentives and the Allocation of Public Funds
  Frederico Finan and Maurizio Mazzocco #21859 (   DEV   POL)
  
• Disentangling Moral Hazard and Adverse Selection in Private Health Insurance
  David Powell and Dana Goldman #21858 (   HC   HE)
  
• Horizontal and Vertical Conflict: Experimental Evidence
  Sebastian Galiani, Cheryl Long, Camila Navajas, and Gustavo Torrens #21857 (   DEV)
  
• America's First Great Moderation
  Joseph Davis and Marc D. Weidenmier #21856 (   DAE   EFG   ME)
  
• Uncertainty, Tacit Knowledge, and Practice Variation: Evidence from Physicians in Training
  David C. Chan, Jr #21855 (   HC   HE   IO   LS   PR)
  
• Simplifying Choices in Defined Contribution Retirement Plan Design
  Donald B. Keim and Olivia S. Mitchell #21854 (   AG)
  
• The 2008 Financial Crisis and the Lack of Retaliatory Trade Intervention
  Chunding Li and John Whalley #21853 (   ITI)
  
• International Channels of Transmission of Monetary Policy and the Mundellian Trilemma
  Hélène Rey #21852 (   AP   IFM   ME)
  
• The Effect of Disability Insurance Payments on Beneficiaries’ Earnings
  Alexander Gelber, Timothy Moore, and Alexander Strand #21851 (   AG   HC   HE   LS   PE)
  
• The Wage Impact of the Marielitos: Additional Evidence
  George J. Borjas #21850 (   LS)
  
• Expanding Governance as Development: Evidence on Child Nutrition in the Philippines
  Eli Berman, Mitch Downey, and Joseph Felter #21849 (   DEV   HE   PE)
  
• Behavioral Macroeconomics Via Sparse Dynamic Programming
  Xavier Gabaix #21848 (   AG   AP   EFG   PE)
  
• Migrants, Ancestors, and Investment
  Konrad B. Burchardi, Thomas Chaney, and Tarek A. Hassan #21847 (   CF   DAE   DEV      IFM   ITI   POL   PR)
  
• The Incidence of Mandated Health Insurance: Evidence from the Affordable Care Act Dependent Care Mandate
  Gopi Shah Goda, Monica Farid, and Jay Bhattacharya #21846 (   HC   HE   LS)
  
• The Decline in the Nutritional Status of the U.S. Antebellum Population at the Onset of Modern Economic Growth
  John Komlos and Brian A'Hearn #21845 (   DAE   DEV   HE)
  
• The Global Diffusion of Ideas
  Francisco J. Buera and Ezra Oberfield #21844 (   EFG)
  
• Deadly Embrace: Sovereign and Financial Balance Sheets Doom Loops
  Emmanuel Farhi and Jean Tirole #21843 (   EFG   IFM   ME   PE)
  
• Using Split Samples to Improve Inference about Causal Effects
  Marcel Fafchamps and Julien Labonne #21842 (   DEV)
  
• Human Capital Investment, Inequality and Economic Growth
  Kevin M. Murphy and Robert H. Topel #21841 (   LS)
  
• The Interaction and Sequencing of Policy Reforms
  Jose Asturias, Sewon Hur, Timothy J. Kehoe, and Kim J. Ruhl #21840 (   EFG   IFM   ITI)
  

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Weekly papers released by January 4, 2016

• School Vouchers and Student Achievement: First-Year Evidence from the Louisiana Scholarship Program
  Atila Abdulkadiroglu, Parag A. Pathak, and Christopher R. Walters #21839 (   ED   LS   PE)
  
• Endogenous Volatility at the Zero Lower Bound: Implications for Stabilization Policy
  Susanto Basu and Brent Bundick #21838 (   EFG   ME)
  
• Contracting out the Last-Mile of Service Delivery: Subsidized Food Distribution in Indonesia
  Abhijit Banerjee, Rema Hanna, Jordan C. Kyle, Benjamin A. Olken, and Sudarno Sumarto #21837 (   DEV   POL)
  
• Effects of ACA Medicaid Expansions on Health Insurance Coverage and Labor Supply
  Robert Kaestner, Bowen Garrett, Anuj Gangopadhyaya, and Caitlyn Fleming #21836 (   HE)
  
• Incentive Design in Education: An Empirical Analysis
  Hugh Macartney, Robert McMillan, and Uros Petronijevic #21835 (   CH   ED   LS   PE)
  
• Sharing Risk with the Government: On the Causal Effects of Taxes on Corporate Risk-Taking
  Alexander Ljungqvist, Liandong Zhang, and Luo Zuo #21834 (   CF)
  
• Screening and Adverse Selection in Frictional Markets
  Benjamin Lester, Ali Shourideh, Venky Venkateswaran, and Ariel Zetlin-Jones #21833 (   HC   HE   IO)
  
• The Welfare Effects of Vertical Integration in Multichannel Television Markets
  Gregory S. Crawford, Robin S. Lee, Michael D. Whinston, and Ali Yurukoglu #21832 (   IO)
  
• An Empirical Analysis of Racial Segregation in Higher Education
  Peter Hinrichs #21831 (   ED   LS)
  
• The Minimum Wage and the Great Recession: Evidence from the Current Population Survey
  Jeffrey Clemens #21830 (   EFG   LS   PE)
  

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